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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Tuesday, December 16, 2008

Expect Smaller If Any Pay Increases During 2009 / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Shedlock

The latest business survey from Hewitt Associates Inc. suggests that Pay Raises Will Take A Hit

Employers, who as recently as October said they were barely modifying their salary budgets for 2009, have changed their tune in December, this time bringing some workers' projected annual pay raises to a low not seen in three decades.

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Economics

Monday, December 15, 2008

Deflation 2009 as Central Bank Credit Creation Loses to Derivatives Deleveraging / Economics / Deflation

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis week I am really delighted to be able to give you a condensed version of Gary Shilling's latest INSIGHT newsletter for your Outside the Box. Each month I really look forward to getting Gary's latest thoughts on the economy and investing. Last year in his forecast issue he suggested 13 investment ideas, all of which were profitable by the end of the year. It is not unusual for Gary to give us over 75 charts and tables in his monthly letters along with his commentary, which makes his thinking unusually clear and accessible.

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Economics

Monday, December 15, 2008

U.S. Federal Reserve Sets Stage for Weimar Style Hyper-inflation / Economics / HyperInflation

By: F_William_Engdahl

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Federal Reserve has bluntly refused a request by a major US financial news service to disclose the recipients of more than $2 trillion of emergency loans from US taxpayers and to reveal the assets the central bank is accepting as collateral. Their lawyers resorted to the bizarre argument that they did so to protect ‘trade secrets.' Is the secret that the US financial system is de facto bankrupt? The latest Fed move is further indication of the degree of panic and lack of clear strategy within the highest ranks of the US financial institutions. Unprecedented Federal Reserve expansion of the Monetary Base in recent weeks sets the stage for a future Weimar-style hyperinflation perhaps before 2010.

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Economics

Monday, December 15, 2008

How Deflation Creates Hyper-inflation / Economics / HyperInflation

By: Eric_deCarbonnel

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI keep reading about the dollar being a "new multi-year bull market" and that the US is headed for "Japan style deflation". Frankly, it is a little tiring. The people making these arguments should know better.

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Economics

Monday, December 15, 2008

The Financial Bomb in your Christmas Stockings / Economics / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Darryl_R_Schoon

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMisplaced fears are the most dangerous of all - The Muslim terrorists of Mumbai are not our greatest threat nor will they cause the greatest suffering in the days ahead. That which will cause the greatest grief is the banker's system of credit-based paper money, a house of cards now in flames and about to burn all inside who still believe it to be shelter instead of a charnel house.

Those who have attended Professor Antal E. Fekete's Gold Standard University Live (GSUL) are not found around corporate watering holes discussing stock tips. Although aware of the markets, those in attendance have their focus on the system itself, on what caused its problems and what can be done to correct it.

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Economics

Sunday, December 14, 2008

Excess Debt and Deflation = Depression / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Stephen_Lendman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIrving Fisher (1867 - 1947) was perhaps the most noted economist of his day. The Concise Encyclopedia of Economics calls him "one of America's greatest mathematical economists and one of" its clearest writers. He earned special acclaim for his work on monetary and statistical theory, policy, index numbers, econometrics, and the distinction between real and nominal interest rates.

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Economics

Sunday, December 14, 2008

Imploding Overly Leveraged Private Equity Deals Deepen Recession / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Money_Morning

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleShah Gilani writes: The once booming business of private equity faces an uncertain future. What's not uncertain, however, is that many private equity deals are imploding from the weight of leveraged debt and greed. Inevitable bankruptcies will result in higher unemployment and a deeper recession.

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Economics

Sunday, December 14, 2008

China to Print Money, Devalue Currency to Combat Deep Slowdown / Economics / China Economy

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDeflation talk is surfacing in China as Chairman Liu Mingkang says China December Producer Price Index to Drop .

China's producer price index is expected to drop "sharply" in December, China Banking Regulatory Commission Chairman Liu Mingkang said. The world's fourth-biggest economy is shifting toward deflation, Liu told a financial forum in Beijing today. Capital inflows may shift to outflows, with gross domestic product projected around 8 percent next year, he said.

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Economics

Sunday, December 14, 2008

How to Prepare for the Deflationary Market Crash / Economics / Deflation

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEditor's Note: The following article is adapted from Robert Prechter's best-selling book, Conquer the Crash – You Can Survive and Prosper in a Deflationary Depression . In addition to this article, visit Elliott Wave International to download the free 15-page report about how to protect yourself, you wealth and your family in this environment. It contains details about what you should do with your pension plan, valuable tips for business owners, insights on handling loans and debt and important warnings against trusting the government to protect you.

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Economics

Friday, December 12, 2008

Our Asset Value Trend Dependent Economy / Economics / US Economy

By: Tim_Iacono

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Federal Reserve's latest Flow of Funds Report contains some painful news about how our asset-dependent economy is faring in what is now an increasingly asset-averse world. This time around we have double the trouble as prices for both stocks and housing are declining.

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Economics

Friday, December 12, 2008

Fed Policy Makers Wasting $10 Trillion on Bailout Liabilities / Economics / Credit Crisis Bailouts

By: David_Haas

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhat These Dangerous Clowns Don’t Understand - I had the unnerving experience last night of staying up late watching C-Span as U.S. Senators hammered and then shot down the bailout bill for the Detroit“Big 3″ (a misnomer?) automakers. I must admit, there was a great deal of heart-felt passion in the words of the representatives who were courageous enough to speak out and it was this rare display of authenticity and, dare-I-say, credibility that kept me watching.

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Economics

Thursday, December 11, 2008

Forget Inflation Instead Focus on How Long Deflation Will Last / Economics / Deflation

By: Mike_Shedlock

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHumpty Dumpty On Inflation - There is an excellent article by Axel Merk on Market Oracle called Monetizing the Debt . The article discusses the Fed's growing balance sheet and whether or not it represents inflation. The aspect that I want to highlight is in regards to bank lending.

Here are a couple of charts from the article along with commentary by Merk.

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Economics

Wednesday, December 10, 2008

The Global Economic Crisis- Bad and Worsening / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Stephen_Lendman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn a new article, economics professor Richard Wolff explains the current crisis in Marxian terms. It "emerged from the workings of the capitalist class structure. Capitalism's history displays repeated boom-bust cycles punctuated by bubbles. They range unpredictably from local, shallow and short to global, deep and long." Clearly we're now in one of the latter and potentially the worst ever.

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Economics

Wednesday, December 10, 2008

Inflation or Deflation? / Economics / Deflation

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleExplanation of the Price Effects of Inflation and Deflation - The U.S. Labor Department reported a 1 percent drop in the consumer price index for October 2008. The drop marked the largest decline in 61 years, and it was the first decline in that measure in nearly a quarter of a century. The 1 percent drop was twice as large as many mainstream analysts had forecast. Such a large decline in consumer prices is forcing U.S. policymakers to rethink the possibility of deflation in America. For more on deflation, we turn to Robert Prechter, the man who literally wrote a book on how to survive it.

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Economics

Tuesday, December 09, 2008

Economic Depression, Deflation and Your Financial Survival / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Money_and_Markets

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Weiss writes: If you're still skeptical that we're sinking into America's Second Great Depression, you don't have to believe Alan Greenspan, who says we're already experiencing the worst financial crisis in a hundred years. Nor need you heed the news that the economy just lost a half-million more jobs or that retail sales have just suffered their worst plunge in 35 years. All you have to do is get up from your chair, open the door and take a walk outside.

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Economics

Tuesday, December 09, 2008

British Economy in Deep Trouble Sterling to Suffer / Economics / UK Economy

By: MoneyWeek

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHopes that Barack Obama's 'New Deal' spending spree can save the global economy saw share prices bounce sharply yesterday.

The FTSE 100 ended more than 6% higher, climbing 250 points to 4,300.

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Economics

Tuesday, December 09, 2008

China's Unique Opportunity to Shape Global Economic Future / Economics / Global Economy

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleChina has a unique opportunity and responsibility to shape not only its own future, but also that of the global economy. While China is by no means responsible for the plight the world faces, it has played an important role in allowing global imbalances to be built. If China decides to help prop up the world economic model that got us into trouble in the first place, we may face the same challenges again a few years down the road. Except then, China may not have $2 trillion in reserves to rescue its economy, and could face severe challenges. China will ultimately act in its own best interest, but prudent she must be. The time for China to act is now.

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Economics

Monday, December 08, 2008

Real Threat is Inflation Not Deflation / Economics / Inflation

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeith Fitz-Gerald writes: We're “officially” in a recession and the panicky markets are bracing for deflation. But what most investors don't realize is that inflation – not deflation – is the real threat that they face.

For more than a year now, I've been telling readers and attendees at financial conferences around the world that the United States has been in a recession since last November.

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Economics

Sunday, December 07, 2008

Why Bailouts Will Lead to Inflation Not Deflation / Economics / Money Supply

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: The U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) both fell in October. Those declines – combined with sharp downward spirals in worldwide stock and commodity prices – have caused many analysts, and even central bankers, to worry that we are on the brink of deflation.

Such concerns may be warranted in the short-term. But in the long run, deflation won't be the challenge we face.

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Economics

Sunday, December 07, 2008

Fed Deploys Every Trick in the Book to Avert Another Great Depression / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article" Conditions have deteriorated on a scale and with a speed that no one could have predicted just a few months ago. Market conditions of unprecedented strength are roiling the world's financial markets. The global economy is either in, or close to, recession and 2009 is not likely to be a year of great recovery." Brett White, chief executive officer of CB Richard Ellis, LA Times

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