Analysis Topic: Housing Market Price trends
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, May 31, 2009
U.S. Housing Mortgage Market Meltdown, More Pain To Come / Housing-Market / US Housing
T2 Partners has a phenomenal series of charts on the housing crisis stating Why There Is More Pain To Come.
The report is 69 pages almost all of them loaded with charts. I took a liberal selection below, adding plenty of comments, but please take a look at the original article for many additional charts. All charts below are from the article. Quotes from the article in italics. My comments are in plain text.
Sunday, May 31, 2009
U.S. Housing Bust, More Prime Mortgage Foreclosures; More Re-Defaults / Housing-Market / US Housing
John Mauldin has another interesting weekly letter called This Way There Be Dragons. Here's a look at the section on housing. Emphasis mine.
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Saturday, May 30, 2009
No U.S. Housing Bear Market Bottom Until 2011 / Housing-Market / US Housing
This Way Be Dragons
A Housing Update
More Prime Foreclosures In Our Future
Are We Paying Too Much for Health Care?
In fantasy novels the intrepid heroes come across a sign saying "This Way Be Dragons." Of course, they venture on, facing calamity and death, but such is the nature of fantasy novels. We live in a very real world, and if we don't turn around there will be some very nasty dragons in our future. This week we look at three possible paths we can lead the world down. We then review a number of charts and data on the housing market.
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Thursday, May 28, 2009
U.S. Housing Bust: The Epic Garage Sale of America Is Under Way / Housing-Market / US Housing
“Everyone’s furious at him” - In the last 18 months, the topics under discussion at my local café have shifted genres from comedy to horror. I know the CNBC news anchors are high-fiving over the alleged jump in consumer confidence. But if you judge sentiment based on un-massaged data points like the conversations in the café down the street, things aren’t improving.
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Tuesday, May 26, 2009
UK House Prices Summer Bounce an Illusion / Housing-Market / UK Housing
The Value of Housing in UK: Update April 09…The Up-Tick is An Illusion. - The recent up-tick in house prices in UK was a glimmer of hope, I'm sorry to say that I think that's a false dawn.
Last September I wrote an essay putting the peak to trough in UK in the range 34% to 40% (Value of Housing Markets in USA and UK Past, Present, and Future ) (its gone about 20% now on the Nationwide), in January I had another look and said 33% peak to trough. (UK Housing Market Will Not Bottom Before 2012).
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Friday, May 22, 2009
U.S. Housing Markets Big Picture Isn't Pretty / Housing-Market / US Housing
While economists and real estate investors "celebrate" the slight deceleration in the pace of home price declines in the recent data, a quick look at home price trajectories over the past 100 and 50 years reveals little to cheer about and much to be feared.
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Friday, May 22, 2009
Extortionate Mortgage Interest Rates for Russian Home Buyers / Housing-Market / Russia
In April mortgage loan rates in Russia finally stopped rising. Actually it is difficult to imagine the rates to be higher than they are now. Even Russian president Dmitry Medvedev said that no one would take out a mortgage when the rate is higher than 20 percent.
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Wednesday, May 20, 2009
History Will Show That Alan Greenspan Was Responsible for the U.S. Housing Market Bubble / Housing-Market / US Housing
Back during the U.S. invasion of Iraq, when the U.S. government issued its now-famous deck of playing cards featuring pictures of the 52 arch villains of the Iraqi police state, Saddam Hussein's face adorned the Ace of Spades. If the Barack Obama administration wanted to engage in a similar public relations campaign - this time with a focus on the U.S. real estate crisis - that top card should be reserved for former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 18, 2009
UK House Prices Moving in the Right Direction According to RightMove / Housing-Market / UK Housing
UK house prices rose for fourth month in a row according to Britain's biggest online estate agent, Rightmove. House prices surged by 2.4% for the month to 9th May, which takes average house prices on Rightmoves index to £227,441, down 6.2% on an annualised basis.
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Thursday, May 14, 2009
UK House Prices Bottom or Temporary Summer Bounce? / Housing-Market / UK Housing
UK House prices have now fallen by more than 22% from the peak and down 13-16% over the past 12 months with the most recent data across a series of house price indexes such as that of the local government & communities, Nationwide and even the Halifax suggestive of near term support for UK house prices as we move into the seasonally stronger summer months.
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Wednesday, May 13, 2009
U.S. Real Estate Investing, Why It's Time to Buy REITs / Housing-Market / US Housing
Porter Stansberry writes: Just a few weeks ago, I introduced my new theory of "The Great Re-Leveraging" to readers of my investment advisory.What is the Great Re-Leveraging? And how is it going to hand investors 60% in the next six months?
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Wednesday, May 13, 2009
UK Property Watch - Can You Beat the Housing Market? / Housing-Market / UK Housing
Yesterday marked the second hourly showing of the BBC's daily "UK Property Watch" programme shown on BBC2 at 8pm that began on Monday and is set to end this Friday. The aim is to provide analysis on the UK housing market and regional house price trends. However having watched two episodes, I get the distinct impression that the BBC have padded out the useful content of perhaps just two hours of programming to over five hours just to fill the TV schedule which has resulted in repetitive interviews asking the same questions of alternative guests that are either in favour of a UK housing market bottom or are against a property bottom. In fact the same questions are being asked of the same guests as I am sure Merryn Somerset Webb of the Money Week magazine gave near enough the same answers to the questions as she did during yesterdays show.
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Wednesday, May 13, 2009
U.S. Housing Market Driven by Super Sizing Baby Boomers Now Going Bust / Housing-Market / US Housing
Beneath the finely groomed blissful suburban façade of America lurk desperation, denial, hypocrisy, and anger. The kids of suburbia today have an entirely different reality than the suburbs I grew up in during the 1970’s. The Ozzie & Harriet idealized version of suburbia from the 1950’s has degenerated to the Green Day nightmare vision of today. The suburbs have mansion-like homes with spotless interiors, entertainment centers, three car garages, manicured lawns, and no soul. The children of suburbia have been brought up on soda pop and Ritalin.
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Tuesday, May 12, 2009
UK House Prices False Signs of a Bottom on Government Data / Housing-Market / UK Housing
The latest UK Government House Prices index data (Communities and Local Government) showed a continuing downtrend with the annual pace of decline accelerating in March to -13.6% from Februarys -12.3%. However the quarterly change showed a significant improvement with a -3.8% drop for Q1 2009, against the housing market crash the occurred in Q4 2008 of -6.4% (-25.6% annualised), which is falsely being jumped upon by some as signs of a housing market approaching bottom.
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Monday, May 11, 2009
UK Property Watch: Most People in Britian Don't Want House Prices to Rise / Housing-Market / UK Housing
Most people in Great Britain would not welcome a pick up in house prices, suggests a poll commissioned for BBC Two's Propertywatch.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 08, 2009
The Nexus of the Real Estate Crash is Shifting to Commercial Properties / Housing-Market / US Housing
If you’ve been reading my stuff for the past few years, then you’ve been ahead of the real estate pack every step of the way.
I warned you well in advance that the housing market would implode … that the mortgage industry would collapse … and that virtually any stock exposed to building, construction, banking, or finance would suffer immense collateral damage.
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Thursday, May 07, 2009
UK House Prices Bear Market Trend Forecast 2009 Update / Housing-Market / UK Housing
With the stealth stocks bull market bouncing along nicely towards the mid May interim target of Dow 8,750, attention is increasingly being drawn towards green shoots of economic recovery elsewhere, specifically in the UK housing market which has endured a severe bear market that began following the August 2007 peak. Therefore this in depth analysis seeks to provide an up to date answer to the question as to whether the UK housing market is near a bottom or not, following the release of UK house price data for April which showed an headline drop of 1.7% for April though the non seasonally adjusted figure showed a pause with average UK house prices now standing at £157,156 down 22% on the August 2007 Peak.
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Wednesday, May 06, 2009
Banks Fear Housing Market Crash as Mortgage Providers Target 40% Deposit / Housing-Market / Mortgages
The number of new mortgages requiring a minimum of 40 per cent deposit has increased by 61 per cent in the last six months.
The number of mortgages requiring a 10 per cent deposit has decreased by two thirds in the last six months.
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Friday, May 01, 2009
U.S. House Prices Measured in Gold / Housing-Market / US Housing
The broad sweep in housing-gold ratios is just as broad and as sweeping as both gold bulls and bears might hope...
"I WOULD LIKE to see a similar study using US housing market data," asks a note after BullionVault's recent chart of UK house-prices in gold.
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Thursday, April 30, 2009
UK House Prices Continue Falling in April / Housing-Market / UK Housing
• The price of a typical house fell by 0.4% in April
• Housing measures in the budget are welcome, but are unlikely to turn things around
• Economic fundamentals will continue to dominate housing market prospects