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Analysis Topic: Housing Market Price trends

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Housing-Market

Monday, November 23, 2015

UK Regional House Prices, Cheapest and Most Expensive Property Markets / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Average UK house prices have now risen by 30% from the 2009 bear market low to currently stand at an average price of £204,119 (Halifax NSA Oct 2015), and are currently galloping along at an annual inflation rate of 10%. However, the UK average price masks huge regional variations in trend and momentum most notable of which is that London has literally soared into the stratosphere, up over 70% on it's bear market low and by virtue of which has pulled the average UK house price indices higher as illustrated by the below graph.

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Housing-Market

Saturday, November 21, 2015

UK Housing Market House Prices Affordability Crisis - Video / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The UK housing market has been in a perpetual state of crisis for at least a decade in terms of the lack of affordable housing that just tends to get worse with each passing year. Therefore most housing market commentators tend to focus on the various measures of housing market affordability or rather unaffordability as house prices despite the price crash of 2008-2009 never fell to anywhere near the affordability levels of the early 1990's housing bear market lows and therefore ivory tower academics have continued to cling onto expectations that a further house prices crash is inevitable so as the fit in with their theoretical models of where house prices should fall to in terms of affordability that gets liberally regurgitated in the mainstream press, see this new video to find out what this means for future UK house prices.

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Housing-Market

Saturday, November 21, 2015

UK Housing Market Affordability, House Prices Momentum and Trend Forecast / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Most academic housing market commentators focus on the various measures of housing market affordability or rather unaffordability as house prices despite the price crash of 2008-2009 never fell to anywhere near the affordability levels of the early 1990's housing bear market lows and therefore ivory tower academics have continued to cling onto expectations that a further house prices crash is inevitable so as the fit in with their theoretical models of where house prices should fall to in terms of affordability that gets liberally regurgitated in the mainstream press, and looking at the graph below it really is very easy to be seduced by something that on first glance appears obvious that house prices really did have a long way to fall to reach the affordability levels of the past.

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Housing-Market

Tuesday, November 10, 2015

The 10-year Fixed Rate Mortgage Gamble / Housing-Market / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

With uncertain times ahead with regards to base rate, many borrowers are looking for long-term mortgage repayment security to shield them from future, unpredictable rate rises.

Ten-year fixed rate mortgages do just that, and data from Moneyfacts.co.uk shows that the number of deals available has almost doubled in just one year to meet growing demand. And in even better news, the interest rates being offered have also fallen.

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Housing-Market

Tuesday, November 03, 2015

Steady Rise in UK Mortgage Freebies / Housing-Market / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

Falls in mortgage rates over the past couple of years have left providers with little room to manoeuvre when it comes to competing on price. As a result, providers have come up with more innovative ways to attract customers.

One of the most popular methods appears to be adding an incentive package to a mortgage deal. Data from Moneyfacts.co.uk shows that the number of mortgage products offering a range of freebies has increased by over third in five years, illustrated by the table below.

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Housing-Market

Thursday, October 29, 2015

London Property Bubble Set To Burst – UBS and Deutsche Warn / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: GoldCore

The London property market is being increasingly recognised as a bubble and now even leading international banks are warning that the bubble may be set to burst.

Today, UBS has warned that London’s property market is “frothing” and last week Deutsche Bank were the property party pooper “calling time” on the London property “party.”  

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Housing-Market

Tuesday, October 27, 2015

The Frightening True Cost of Low Mortgages Interest Rates / Housing-Market / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

Borrowers are often bombarded by an array of choice when looking for a mortgage, so it’s unsurprising that many may mistakenly think that opting for the lowest rate will save them money.

However, this is simply not the case; in fact, Moneyfacts.co.uk can reveal that borrowers would actually be better off choosing a deal with no arrangement fee over a lower rate alternative.

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Housing-Market

Monday, October 26, 2015

Buy-to-Let Property Boom Over Despite UK House Prices Grinding Higher / Housing-Market / Buy to Let

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Britain's 2 million strong army of buy-to-let private landlords with well over 5 million properties in their portfolios face a perfect storm of new regulations, tax hikes and benefits cuts that looks set to turn their and their tenants finances upside down, converting profits into losses, this despite UK house prices expected to continue to grind ever higher and thus increasing portfolio valuations.

The fantasy sales pitch of seminars of buying properties to rent out at huge potential returns had convinced many thousands of investors over the past decade to become buy-to-let landlords, especially given the abysmal rates of bank interest of the past 6 years. However, reality has never matched expectations for many buy to let investors who soon realise that buy to let is actually a second job rather than an invest and forget exercise, as they tended to face a string of problems at the top of the list are problem tenants, a situation greatly worsened by mass migration from eastern europe and the myriad of scams they tended to pull on unsuspecting landlords, leaving behind wrecked properties that will cost far more to rectify than any rental income gleaned from such properties.

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Housing-Market

Saturday, October 10, 2015

A Bifurcated U.S. Housing Market, How Much Longer Can Unaffordable Housing Prices Last? / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Adam_Taggart

Charles Hugh Smith writes: Markets discover price via supply and demand: Big demand + limited supply = rising prices. Abundant supply + sagging demand = declining prices.

Eventually, prices rise to a level that is unaffordable to the majority of potential buyers, with demand coming only from the wealthy. That’s the story of housing in New York City, the San Francisco Bay Area and other desirable locales that are currently magnets for global capital.

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Housing-Market

Wednesday, September 30, 2015

Help to Buy keeps the UK Housing Mortgage Market Alive Two Years On / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: MoneyFacts

The Help to Buy Mortgage Guarantee Scheme will soon be celebrating its second birthday. Phase two aimed to help borrowers who have a 5% deposit buy a home by giving lenders a Government-backed guarantee of 15% of the mortgage.

Since its launch in October 2013, the 95% loan-to-value (LTV) mortgage market has changed dramatically, and data from Moneyfacts.co.uk has revealed that not only are there now lower rates available for borrowers with small deposits, but there’s also far more product choice.

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Housing-Market

Friday, September 25, 2015

U.S. Housing Market Two Outs in The Bottom of The Ninth / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: James_Quinn

The housing market peaked in 2005 and proceeded to crash over the next five years, with existing home sales falling 50%, new home sales falling 75%, and national home prices falling 30%. A funny thing happened after the peak. Wall Street banks accelerated the issuance of subprime mortgages to hyper-speed. The executives of these banks knew housing had peaked, but insatiable greed consumed them as they purposely doled out billions in no-doc liar loans as a necessary ingredient in their CDOs of mass destruction.

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Housing-Market

Monday, September 21, 2015

Remortgagors Reap the Benefits / Housing-Market / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

Moneyfacts.co.uk data can reveal that not only are remortgagors reaping the benefits of more products on the market, but they’re also profiting from significantly lower rates.

With remortgage activity surging to its highest level in four-years*, it looks as though there has been no better time to take advantage of the great deals on offer. The table below highlights how the number of products available to remortgage customers on the market has increased while the rates charged have simultaneously fallen.

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Housing-Market

Friday, September 18, 2015

U.S. Housing Market May be About to Implode -- Again / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: EWI

Before I get into the "why," know that the residential real estate market never fully recovered.

Annualized new home sales this past July stood at 507,000, vs. the July 2005 peak of 1.39 million. The chart and commentary from the August Elliott Wave Theorist offer:

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Housing-Market

Wednesday, September 16, 2015

The Fallacy of "Buy Land — They’re Not Making Any More" / Housing-Market / Land

By: MISES

Peter St. Onge writes: “Buy land — they’re not making any more!” is an old investing chestnut, and a common sense one to boot. Economically, it’s also completely false.

As counterintuitive as it may seem, we make land all the time. It just doesn’t look like land.

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Housing-Market

Wednesday, September 09, 2015

US Housing Market - It's 2008 All Over Again / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Rodney_Johnson

You might have thought it was a good idea when the government started taking all the profits of the Federal National Mortgage Association (FNMA, or Fannie Mae) and the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (FHLMC, or Freddie Mac).

After all, the two quasi-private mortgage insurance giants had sucked a lot of profit out of the markets over the decades, and then required over $180 billion in bailout money from taxpayers. Why not get a little of the bailout cash back, right?

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