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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Sunday, July 10, 2011

On the Road to U.S. Government Debt Default, August 2nd Judgement Day / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Gary_North

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA great default is behind us. The public is unaware of this. If you read this report, you will no longer be unaware of it.

The ease with which this default took place should serve as a warning: there will be additional, much larger defaults. Again, the public does not understand this. The main one will be Social Security. The program is now in the red: more money going out than comiomng in. But most people still cannot believe that the program really will go belly-up. That's why I produced a video on this.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, July 09, 2011

Central Banks Monetary Policy Week in Review - 9 July 2011 / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: CentralBankNews

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe past week in monetary policy saw interest rate decisions from 14 central banks around the world, of which 7 made changes in their monetary policy settings. Those that increased interest rates were: Sweden +25bps to 2.00%, China +25bps to 6.56%, the EU +25bps to 1.50%, and Denmark +25bps to 1.55%. While those that cut rates included Vietnam, which cut its OMO rate -100bps to 14.00%, and Ghana -50bps to 12.50%.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, July 09, 2011

Real Bills Doctrine, You Have Never Ever Seen An Elephant Fly / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Professor_Emeritus

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn the 19th century a saying, long since forgotten, was current on Lombard Street: "There is nothing easier in the world than the banker's profession - provided that he can tell a real bill and a mortgage apart."

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Interest-Rates

Friday, July 08, 2011

The China Debt $1.5 trillion, Is there a problem? / Interest-Rates / China Economy

By: James_Loong

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt is a mystery. US analysts and rating agencies are increasingly worried about Chinese debt problem. But try and hunt as much as we do, we cant find a rationale for this.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, July 08, 2011

Is The Irish Debt Attractive? / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Jan_Kaska

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAccording to a Bloomberg article, Sandor Steverink, the Europe’s best-performing sovereign debt fund manager over the last decade, asserted that when the Irish debt gets downgraded to junk, it is time to become a buyer. Steverink said he prefers Irish bonds to Portuguese ones as the country’s debt burden was caused by the banks and the country doesn’t have the structural problems of southern Europe’s economies. Above all, Ireland also has more potential to export its way out of trouble. We very much agree with such assessment and believe that once Ireland gets downgraded to junk, forced sellers will create a wonderful opportunity to buy.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, July 07, 2011

The Psychology of Bond Market Investors / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Michael_Pento

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThose who take issue with the outlook of Austrian economists in general, and Euro Pacific Capital in particular, have pointed to the persistence of low bond yields as proof that our philosophy does not hold water. We argue that as the United States takes on ever more debt and prints greater quantities of dollars, that buyers of our debt will demand higher rates of interest to compensate for greater risk.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, July 07, 2011

World's High Debt Default Risk Countries / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Jenson

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTop Risky countries in the world
■ Greek spreads peaked on 27th June – one day before the austerity measures set by the EU and IMF were approved by the Greek parliament. Spreads rallied following the decisive vote, but remain high with five year probability of restructuring at 80% and the markets expecting it to take around two years for the austerity measures to drive down the cost of borrowing.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, July 07, 2011

A Glimpse into America' a Money Printing Future 2015, Bernanke's QE17 / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: At the end of last month, the U.S. Federal Reserve brought down the curtain on its $600 billion "quantitative easing" initiative, a U.S. Treasury-bond-purchase program that investors liked to refer to as "QE2."

Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke has indicated that he does not intend to carry out a follow-up "QE3" program.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, July 07, 2011

U.S. States Slowly Slipping Into Bankruptcy and Beyond / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Adam_Brochert

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article Everyone is focused on Europe and their debt problems. The peripheral countries (i.e. PIIGS) of Europe are now being asked to sell off national assets to keep the bankers fat and happy. What a system, huh? Meanwhile, several larger states in the United States (e.g., Illinois, California) are quietly slipping into bankruptcy and beyond. Will they be bailed out? The odds are strongly in favor of federal help for states in dire financial straights. After all, an election year is coming and who ever heard of a government not willing to give away other people's money/future purchasing power to get a few more votes for the incumbents?

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, July 07, 2011

Greece Massive Loss of Sovereignty, E.U. Seeks to Curb Rating Firms / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJean-Claude Junker, the man who says "When it becomes serious, you have to lie", apparently has had a sudden splash of honesty, stating Greek sovereignty to be massively limited.

Greece faces severe restrictions on its sovereignty and must privatize state assets on a scale similar to the sell off of East German firms in the 1990s after communism fell, Eurogroup chairman Jean-Claude Juncker said.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, July 06, 2011

China Owns More Debt Than Thought: Did US Win Inflation War? / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

It has been brought to the attention of the Treasury that China may own more US Treasury debt than once thought.  Rules put in place in 2009 limited would-be buyers of US Treasury debt to 35% of any given auction, but by using primary dealers (who have to buy US Treasuries at auction) as a proxy, the Chinese government has purchased more Treasuries than originally thought.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, July 06, 2011

How Commercial Paper Prices In Economic Recession / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Tony_Pallotta

In what is becoming a multi part series on how various products price in recession tonight it is time to check out the commercial paper markets. Below are two charts (1) showing the last two recessions and how commercial paper rates performed and (2) commercial paper rates since Q2 2009. Both charts utilize non financial AA rated 30 and 90 day terms. The results were similar for financial paper as well.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, July 06, 2011

The Looming U.S. Debt Downgrade / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Investment_U

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTony Daltorio writes: An old saying, “Be careful what you wish for,” holds true in the investment world at times… such as now.

Over the past several days, the stock market enjoyed its best rally in months. This occurred on the back of news that the Greek crisis was resolved, at least temporarily.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, July 03, 2011

China's Secret U.S. Treasury Bond Buying, Nuclear Dollar Dump Theory Revisted / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNot only did China buy more treasuries than disclosed, it did so in violation of treasury auction rules.

When the Treasury Department revamped its rules for participating in government bond auctions two years ago, officials said they were simply modernizing outdated procedures.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, July 03, 2011

No Solution to the Global Credit Crisis, Rising Gold and Silver Prices / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Bob_Chapman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWorld markets and especially US markets are in a state of uneasiness and it is only a matter of time before they degenerate further. The real question is will everything break loose between now and the end of the year? The answer in part is yes, and it is currently in process.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, July 02, 2011

Global Interest Rate Movements: Half-Year Review / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: CentralBankNews

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis article reviews the monetary policy interest rate activity of the world's central banks during the first half of 2011. The key takeaway is that monetary policy tightening has been the dominant game for most emerging market central banks in the first half of the year, however the majority of central banks are still in the no-change camp. Indeed of the 79 central banks that Central Bank News monitors, 33 made net increases to their interest rates, while 40 held their rates net unchanged, and only 6 made net reductions to their policy interest rates.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, July 01, 2011

Time Table for the Coming U.S. Treasury Bond Market Crash, Moves Every Investor Must Make / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: Since last November, the U.S. Federal Reserve has been buying U.S. Treasury bonds at a rate of about $75 billion a month. That's part of Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke's "QE2" program, under which the central bank was to buy $600 billion of the government bonds.

But QE2 ended yesterday (Thursday), meaning the Fed will no longer be a big buyer of Treasury bonds.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, July 01, 2011

Can the EU Fix Greece? / Interest-Rates / Euro-Zone

By: Victoria_Marklew

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Greek parliament has passed the latest austerity package asked for by the IMF/ EU, and has approved the implementation legislation spelling out the various steps in detail. The markets have heaved a sigh of relief, comforted by the assumption that a new "bailout" plan is in the works. However, nothing has fundamentally changed: Greece is still facing an unsustainable debt burden and the various agencies of the European Union are still unable to come up with a coherent approach to the financial and structural challenges facing many member states.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, June 30, 2011

S&P, U.S. Will Lift Debt Ceiling, Avoid Default Rating / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Bloomberg

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJohn Chambers, managing director of sovereign ratings at Standard & Poor’s, spoke with Bloomberg Television's Erik Schatzker this morning about the debt ceiling and U.S. credit rating.

Chambers said that S&P would lower its sovereign top-level AAA ranking to D if the U.S. can't pay its debt, but clarified that S&P thinks that the government “will raise the debt ceiling.” He also said that if we get to a situation where the government can’t pay its debts, it will be “much more chaotic” than the September 2008 Lehman collapse.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, June 30, 2011

Greek Austerity Package Gets Favorable Vote, Will Bond Yields Head North? / Interest-Rates / Euro-Zone

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Greek parliament voted in favor of the austerity package and the second vote to implement this law is scheduled for June 29.  In the meanwhile, 2-year U.S. Treasury note yield moved up 13 basis points in four trading days (0.48% as of June 28 vs. 0.35% as of June 23) and was trading at 0.45% as of this writing. 

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