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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Friday, September 24, 2010

Long Term Bonds, Inflation and Deflation / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Tony_Caldaro

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBeen thinking about Bonds, inflation, deflation, etc recently. Everyone seems to have a different opinion these days. Checking around all I could find on long term Gov't Bond rates was at the St. Louis FED. Could not find anything elsewhere. After reviewing the charts of Long Term Gov'ts since 1925, Moody's AAA since 1919, and Moody's BAA since 1919 ... I found a pattern.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 23, 2010

Have You Considered International Bond ETFs For Income and Diversification? / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Ron_Rowland

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn these turbulent times, plenty of investors just want steady income. Others realize they need to look outside the U.S. as they ride out the storm. Yet in a world where some once-stable economies are starting to look like emerging markets, they also see the need for diversification.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 22, 2010

PIMCO's Bill Gross' $8.1 Billion Bet on Inflation / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: DailyWealth

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: "Bill Gross's PIMCO made an $8.1 billion wager," Bloomberg news reported last week.

Bill's bet is simple: He's betting inflation will return to the U.S. in the next 10 years. And he's willing to risk billions on the idea.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 22, 2010

FOMC Policy Statement, Fed's Level of Uneasiness Up Several Notches, Postpones Action / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs expected, the target federal funds rate was left unchanged.  President Hoenig of Kansas City cast the lone dissenting vote; he has taken the opposing stance in all meetings year-to-date. 

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 22, 2010

UK Debt Interest Spiral Time Bomb Explodes in August / Interest-Rates / UK Debt

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe UK government borrowed a record amount of £13.3 / £15.9 billion in August (public sector net borrowing requirement), which brings total public sector net debt to £823 billion, 56% of GDP (excluding financial interventions - bank capital injections) / £935 billion (including financial interventions) 64% of GDP, which puts the economy within touching distance of breaking above £1 trillion for December 2010.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, September 21, 2010

Don’t Get Bullied out of U.S. Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJon D. Markman writes: Bonds have provided a welcome safe-haven for investors seeking shelter from the financial maelstrom of the past two years, offering steady returns while stocks bounce up and down.

Now some analysts are afraid that once the selling of bonds begins it will be indiscriminate, and there will be a bloodbath. But that fear totally ignores the new investment reality in which we're living.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, September 19, 2010

Was Stagflation Really Hyperinflation? / Interest-Rates / HyperInflation

By: LewRockwell

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGonsalvo Lira writes: In his new post, Gonzalo Lira analyzes the Oil Shock of '79, and the subsequent run up in inflation. He comes to some interesting conclusions about 1979, and how those conclusions might apply to today, if and when there is a run on Treasuries. He writes: "In both 1979 and today, dollars were poised to chase after commodities, following a triggering event. In '79, it was the fall of the Shah of Iran. In 2010, we are waiting for our moment to exit the Treasuries bubble. Therefore, one can look at the events of '79–'82 as a dress rehearsal for what I think will happen today, and in the immediate future – if and when the Treasury bond bubble pops."

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 16, 2010

U.S. Treasury TLT ETF Downmove Nearing Completion? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Let's have a look at the pattern that continues to unfold in the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT). Very interesting and tricky set-up in the TLTs now. Let's notice that it plunged to new lows at 100.85 for the decline off of the 8/25 high at 109.50 and in so doing has broken the Apr-Sep up trendline at 102.15 (for a second consecutive session).

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 16, 2010

Jim Rogers Warns, United States Biggest Debtor Nation in History / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Videos

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUnited States is now the largest debtor nation , not in the world , in the history of the world...no country has ever run up so much debt as we have in the US , this is not just a problem for our children and grand children judge , this is a problem for you for me and our parents , you know this is a problem that is hitting all of us in the face right now , those guys in Washington just worry about the next election , they worry to make sure they'll stick around , they do not care about you , they do not care about me , they care about getting their next pay check and not whether the country survives....etc...

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 15, 2010

If You Own These Popular Income Investments, Watch Out / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: DailyWealth

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIncome investments are on fire right now...

Take the MLP sector as an example. MLP stands for "master limited partnership." It's a special corporate structure used by about 100 small companies – mostly natural gas pipelines. MLPs can make excellent dividend investments. You can usually expect to earn around 9% a year in dividends from them.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 15, 2010

Covered Bonds Hybrid Debt Securitization: The Solution to America’s Economic Ills? / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2010

By: Money_Morning

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleShah Gilani writes: When it comes to the global financial crisis and the Great Recession that followed, this could well be the ultimate irony: The Wall Street invention that got us into this mess may well be the only thing that can get us out.

I'm talking about securitization, a masterstroke of financial engineering in which assets are aggregated in order to reduce risk. Once heralded as the greatest financial innovation of modern times, abusive securitization practices instead generated a feeding frenzy of gross excesses that exponentially multiplied risk and drove the world to the brink of financial Armageddon.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, September 14, 2010

The Curse of Fiat Money, Preventing the Banking Industry from Shrinking / Interest-Rates / Fiat Currency

By: Thorsten_Polleit

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt may come as a surprise to many, but the relative size of the US commercial-banking industry has not declined following the so-called credit-market crisis, which developed in the second half of 2007. On the contrary, it has increased since then. While nominal GDP rose 4.2% from the second quarter of 2007 to the second quarter of 2010, banks' total assets rose 18.4%.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, September 14, 2010

UK Savers Hopes on Hold as Inflation Fails to Fall / Interest-Rates / Savings Accounts

By: MoneyFacts

Inflation figures released today show that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) has remained unchanged at 3.10%, still way above the Government’s 2% target.

To stop their savings pot effectively eroding away, a basic rate tax payer needs to find an account paying 3.88%, while a higher rate tax payer needs to find an account offering 5.17%.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, September 14, 2010

Does the Fed Ultimately Control U.S. Interest Rates? / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Michael_Pento

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article

In forecasting the consequences of current economic policy, many pundits are downplaying the risks associated with the surging national debt and the rapid expansion of marketable Treasury securities. Their comfort stems from the belief that a staggering debt burden will be manageable as long as interest rates remain extremely low; and, as they believe the Fed is in complete control of setting rates across the yield curve, they see no danger of rates ever rising past the point of comfort. Those who subscribe to this fairy tale forget that, in real life, there are many more hands on the interest rate steering wheel.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, September 14, 2010

Americans Going Out with a Bang, Using Credit Cards They Can’t Pay Back / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Mac_Slavo

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePeter Schiff joins the CNBC talking heads panel on Fast Money September 8, 2010. (Video follows excerpts and commentary)

As usual, Schiff is a bull on gold and precious metals commenting that silver “is going a lot higher.” Though he didn’t have a specific number in mind, he sees a likely and continued uptrend that can reach levels much higher than where it is today. “I think silver is going to go, ultimately, fifty dollars an ounce, a hundred dollars an ounce, who knows how high it can go?” forecasts Schiff.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, September 13, 2010

The Federal Reserve’s Next Moves … / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Larry_Edelson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe are now entering a period of time that I’ve been warning you about. A time when the majority begins to recognize that the U.S. and European economies are both plunging deep under water, drowning in debt …

While at the same time, leaders in both the U.S. and Europe face political nightmares … financial markets going haywire … gold soaring through the roof … and central banks beginning, yet again, to pull out their big guns.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, September 11, 2010

U.S. Monetary System is in Serious Trouble / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Bob_Chapman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere is no question the US monetary system is in serious trouble and the situation continues to deteriorate. The smug elitist owners of the system are not getting the desired results and there is great consternation among the players. Since 1913 in running US monetary policy the Fed has had one recession after another and two depressions. The second one is the one we are now in. The Fed’s creation was mainly to end recessions and depressions, something obviously they have been quite unsuccessful at.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 10, 2010

Is This Where the U.S. Treasury Bond Market Gets Into Trouble? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Marty_Chenard

Bonds prices up, bond yields down. Bonds prices down, bond yields up.

This is an important day for watching bond yields, because the odds are now starting to increase for an upside move on bond yields ... and that would mean down movement on bond prices.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 10, 2010

TLTs Should Hold / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Let's notice that the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NYSE: TLT) is testing the 102.00-101.80 area, which represents the lower channel support line off of the April low (87.30), as well as the mid-August upside breakaway gap area.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 10, 2010

Japanese Bonds Teeter on the Brink of a Big Bull Rally / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOver recent weeks the JGB has endured a reasonable pull-back, much like other bond markets, as equities staged a rally fuelled by:

  •  Bernanke’s recent pledge to ease further if the faltering US economic recovery continues to lose traction, and
  • A better-than-expected US non-farm payroll report last Friday.
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