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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 15, 2010

Covered Bonds Hybrid Debt Securitization: The Solution to America’s Economic Ills? / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2010

By: Money_Morning

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleShah Gilani writes: When it comes to the global financial crisis and the Great Recession that followed, this could well be the ultimate irony: The Wall Street invention that got us into this mess may well be the only thing that can get us out.

I'm talking about securitization, a masterstroke of financial engineering in which assets are aggregated in order to reduce risk. Once heralded as the greatest financial innovation of modern times, abusive securitization practices instead generated a feeding frenzy of gross excesses that exponentially multiplied risk and drove the world to the brink of financial Armageddon.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, September 14, 2010

The Curse of Fiat Money, Preventing the Banking Industry from Shrinking / Interest-Rates / Fiat Currency

By: Thorsten_Polleit

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt may come as a surprise to many, but the relative size of the US commercial-banking industry has not declined following the so-called credit-market crisis, which developed in the second half of 2007. On the contrary, it has increased since then. While nominal GDP rose 4.2% from the second quarter of 2007 to the second quarter of 2010, banks' total assets rose 18.4%.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, September 14, 2010

UK Savers Hopes on Hold as Inflation Fails to Fall / Interest-Rates / Savings Accounts

By: MoneyFacts

Inflation figures released today show that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) has remained unchanged at 3.10%, still way above the Government’s 2% target.

To stop their savings pot effectively eroding away, a basic rate tax payer needs to find an account paying 3.88%, while a higher rate tax payer needs to find an account offering 5.17%.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, September 14, 2010

Does the Fed Ultimately Control U.S. Interest Rates? / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Michael_Pento

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article

In forecasting the consequences of current economic policy, many pundits are downplaying the risks associated with the surging national debt and the rapid expansion of marketable Treasury securities. Their comfort stems from the belief that a staggering debt burden will be manageable as long as interest rates remain extremely low; and, as they believe the Fed is in complete control of setting rates across the yield curve, they see no danger of rates ever rising past the point of comfort. Those who subscribe to this fairy tale forget that, in real life, there are many more hands on the interest rate steering wheel.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, September 14, 2010

Americans Going Out with a Bang, Using Credit Cards They Can’t Pay Back / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Mac_Slavo

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePeter Schiff joins the CNBC talking heads panel on Fast Money September 8, 2010. (Video follows excerpts and commentary)

As usual, Schiff is a bull on gold and precious metals commenting that silver “is going a lot higher.” Though he didn’t have a specific number in mind, he sees a likely and continued uptrend that can reach levels much higher than where it is today. “I think silver is going to go, ultimately, fifty dollars an ounce, a hundred dollars an ounce, who knows how high it can go?” forecasts Schiff.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, September 13, 2010

The Federal Reserve’s Next Moves … / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Larry_Edelson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe are now entering a period of time that I’ve been warning you about. A time when the majority begins to recognize that the U.S. and European economies are both plunging deep under water, drowning in debt …

While at the same time, leaders in both the U.S. and Europe face political nightmares … financial markets going haywire … gold soaring through the roof … and central banks beginning, yet again, to pull out their big guns.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, September 11, 2010

U.S. Monetary System is in Serious Trouble / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Bob_Chapman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere is no question the US monetary system is in serious trouble and the situation continues to deteriorate. The smug elitist owners of the system are not getting the desired results and there is great consternation among the players. Since 1913 in running US monetary policy the Fed has had one recession after another and two depressions. The second one is the one we are now in. The Fed’s creation was mainly to end recessions and depressions, something obviously they have been quite unsuccessful at.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 10, 2010

Is This Where the U.S. Treasury Bond Market Gets Into Trouble? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Marty_Chenard

Bonds prices up, bond yields down. Bonds prices down, bond yields up.

This is an important day for watching bond yields, because the odds are now starting to increase for an upside move on bond yields ... and that would mean down movement on bond prices.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 10, 2010

TLTs Should Hold / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Let's notice that the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NYSE: TLT) is testing the 102.00-101.80 area, which represents the lower channel support line off of the April low (87.30), as well as the mid-August upside breakaway gap area.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 10, 2010

Japanese Bonds Teeter on the Brink of a Big Bull Rally / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOver recent weeks the JGB has endured a reasonable pull-back, much like other bond markets, as equities staged a rally fuelled by:

  •  Bernanke’s recent pledge to ease further if the faltering US economic recovery continues to lose traction, and
  • A better-than-expected US non-farm payroll report last Friday.
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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 10, 2010

Investor Fixed Income Feeding Frenzy, Bond Markets Hoovering Up Cash / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Larson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMore than a decade ago, investors speculated wildly in dot-com stocks. You don’t need me to remind you how that ended.

Then a half-decade ago, investors went hog wild in real estate. That didn’t work out so well, either.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 10, 2010

Making Money from Municipal Waste, Increasing Risk of States Bond Defaults / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Fred_Sheehan

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHarrisburg, Pennsylvania, is defaulting; Half Moon Bay, California, is disincorporating; and the City of Miami, Florida, declared a "state of fiscal urgency," then broke contracts with workers. Yet, Pennsylvania, California, and Florida municipal bond funds managed by Blackrock are trading at or near 52-week highs.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 08, 2010

Investor Shift from U.S. Treasury Bonds and into Gold and Commodities? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Gary_Dorsch

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor the past decade, prices in Japan have been stable or fallen, in an economy where the central bank has pegged its overnight loan rate near zero-percent, and where 10-year bond yields haven’t climbed above 2-percent. Between 1991 and 1995, Tokyo spent $2.1-trillion on public works, in an economy that’s less than half the size of the United States, in order to lift its economy out of a severe downturn caused by the bursting of a real estate and stock market bubble in the early 1990’s.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 08, 2010

Investors Searching for Yield: At Any Cost? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Kieran_Osborne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn an environment with historically low interest rates, fixed income investors have been pouring money into longer-duration securities, substituting 3 and 6 month T-Bills with 10-year Treasures or bond funds. To an extent, this should not be so surprising: the Federal Reserve’s (the Fed) extraordinary monetary policies have resulted in extremely low yields at the short end of the yield curve. Investors seeking yield have been forced out the yield curve or into increasingly risky investments in an attempt to gain higher investment returns. However, this is not a strategy without risks, both at the individual investor level and for the economy as a whole. Are the Fed’s monetary policies, combined with the government’s decision to issue increasing levels of longer duration debt, having the unintended consequence of stoking the fire for further financial stress?

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, September 07, 2010

I Guarantee You'll Lose Money in The U.S. Treasury Bond "Comfort Trap" / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: DailyWealth

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTom Dyson writes: You'll sleep soundly at night. Your neighbors won't laugh at you. Your pulse won't budge. But if you make this trade, I guarantee you'll lose money...

One year ago, I opened an essay with the paragraph above. Then I showed you why a certain trade was a foolish proposition, even though it appeared to be a "no brainer."

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, September 04, 2010

Quantitative Easing QE2, Debt Created Out of Thin Air, Banking Crisis Worsens / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Bob_Chapman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn a futile attempt to keep the economic and financial system afloat, QE2 is underway. It began in early June as banks changed the rules for awarding loans. Their efforts over the past few months have only met with moderate success. Banks had cut back lending by some 25% over the past 16 months mainly to small and medium-sized companies. In the process the economy slowed down markedly and unemployment shot up to levels not seen since the 1930s. These first attempts to restart a sliding economy have so far not met with success. It was not long after that the real decision makers at the Fed that QE2 was going to be needed. We saw the marshalling of financial and economic forces and the tell tale sign of a stock market moving upward for unexplained reasons. That tipped us to QE2.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 03, 2010

Moving into Bonds: From Frying Pan to Fire / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: David_Galland

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDavid Galland and Kevin Brekke, Casey Research writes: The other day, I came across an article that said, while individuals may be moving their money out of equities, they have been moving into bond funds - and in a big way.

It's called jumping from the frying fan into the fire.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 03, 2010

How to Profit From the “Widow-Maker” Trade, Shorting U.S. Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeith Fitz-Gerald writes: Although we're in the midst of a U.S. Treasury bond bubble so big that pundits are calling for investors to short the government paper, resist the urge to jump in with both feet.

Doing so right now is nothing more than a "widow-maker" trade that will test both your patience and your pocket book. And yet, "shorting" the U.S. Treasury bond market is an opportunity you can't afford to pass up - so long as you execute the trade correctly.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 03, 2010

Exhaustion Gap on Yields Chart! / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Brian_Bloom

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSummary: The charts are signalling an important change in market attitudes to risk – and by implication, the Fed’s attitude to risk. If yields are to rise from here it will be because investors in treasury bonds are expecting to incur capital losses. Why would this be? This article comes to the conclusion that we are heading for a period of tight capital markets. If money is tight, credit will be tight. If credit is tight, then, to borrow money will require the borrower to pay higher rates of interest to compensate the lender for his higher level of risk. If credit is tight, consumer demand will, at best, not grow and, at worst, fall. In the former case, we can expect a steady-as-she-goes outcome. In the latter case, the result will be a slow down in economic activity and a so-called “double dip” recession.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 02, 2010

Blowing Bubbles, U.S. Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Charles_Maley

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCommon sense is the knack of seeing things as they are, and doing things as they ought to be done – C.E. Stowe

The American media is officially obsessed with sensational terminology when describing the financial markets these days. Nothing trends, it either explodes higher or melts down. We have “flash crashes”, a “new normal” and the frightening “double dip”. We also see bubbles about to burst everywhere.

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