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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Thursday, March 04, 2010

Marc Faber Discusses U.S. Debt Default and Hyper Inflation / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Submissions

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMarc Faber sets out how he expects the U.S. will handle the growing debt mountain by first monetizing the debt, then defaulting on interest payments to foreigners as the U.S. inflates the debt away through high inflation or even hyper inflation.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, March 04, 2010

Investors Beware of Government Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Thorsten_Polleit

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI. The Incentives for Holding and Issuing Government Debt

Many people invest their savings in government bonds. They are obviously of the opinion that government bonds offer an attractive yield and represent fairly little risk.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, March 03, 2010

Long-end Treasuries Drives Valuation Of Stocks And Real Estate: Where Are They Going? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Andrew_Butter

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNot many people say this, but recently I noticed one of the guys at Minyanville saying…out of the blue, that the “fundamental” value of a stock is the best estimate of what the earnings will be discounted using the best estimate of what the 30 Year will be.

I almost had a heart attack!

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, March 03, 2010

Bernanke on a Bailout of the U.S. Treasury / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Gary_North

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOn February 10, Ben Bernanke testified to the House Financial Services Committee. The topic: "Federal Reserve's exit strategy." His printed testimony contained the familiar promises. The Federal Reserve System will unwind when the economy recovers. Speaking of the TAF and TALF programs, he said:

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, March 02, 2010

An Attempt to Think Through the Greek Debt Crisis / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleToday I am sitting listening to Ralph Merkle lecture on nanotechnology, part of a 9-day-long series of lectures on how accelerating change in technologies of all types will affect our world. 15-hour days and intense discussions are stretching my brain, but I still have to make sure you get your Outside the Box. Fortunately, I came across today's OTB last week from my friends at GaveKal, who offer a way to think about the Greek crisis and what it means for all European bonds.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, March 01, 2010

The Real Cause of Hyperinflation / Interest-Rates / HyperInflation

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn his weekly letter, John Mauldin concluded that we have not experienced hyperinflation (despite massive Fed “printing”) due to the fact that the money multiplier has fallen and fallen below 1.0. This means that for each additional $1 added to the monetary base, the money supply is changing by less than $1. In other words, banks are not lending and so the velocity of money is declining.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, February 28, 2010

Bernanke Says U.S. Heading for Greece Style Debt Crisis / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Washingtons_Blog

Bernanke is now joining Rosenberg, Ferguson and Faber, Edwards, Grice and many others in warning that the debt crisis rearing its head in Greece may spread to America, causing U.S. interest rates to climb.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, February 26, 2010

U.S. Treasury Bond Market Auctions Results This Week / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Fresbee

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe hereby summarise the bond auctions this week which held another record breaking amount as nearly 150 billion were auctioned between 3 months to 7 year duration. The overall Bid/cover has been very healthy at 2.9 and even with Chinese spat going on, Indirect bidders have been significant with their presence albeit at a lower level of participation.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, February 25, 2010

Bond Vigilantes set Sights on Sovereign Debt / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Gary_Dorsch

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe collapse of Lehman Brothers triggered one of the biggest corporate debt defaults in history, and also ignited the biggest stock market meltdown in decades. When the smoke had finally cleared, Lehman’s bonds attracted bids of 8-cents on the dollar, resulting in staggering losses of $365-billion. Worse yet, about 350 banks and investors were thought to have insured $400-billion of Lehman’s bonds through complex derivatives, known as credit default swaps (CDS’s), causing even deeper losses and mayhem in the markets. A fifth was wiped off London Footsie shares, and in Tokyo, the Nikkei-225 index lost 10% of its value in a single week.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, February 24, 2010

Sultans of Swap - Explaining $605 Trillion of Derivatives! / Interest-Rates / Derivatives

By: Gordon_T_Long

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis Article(The Bond Vigilantes are dead - RIP - Long Live the Sultans of Swap)

Every parent has had that moment when their child asks them the simplest sounding question but in that instance before you respond, you realize you have never really thought about it and actually don"t know the real truth. To not have an answer would be to lose all credibility as the "all knowing" parent. Like generations of parents before you - you bluff!

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, February 24, 2010

U.S. Treasury Bonds, The Correct Play Is To Be Long / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOver the past many months, I have spent much time on this blog writing about US Treasury bonds. Treasury bonds have become a tale of two diverse stories, and both stories have the potential to be secular or generational in nature.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, February 23, 2010

How the Fed Lost Control of Monetary Policy / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

While investors contemplate the recent increase in the Federal Funds rate, astute investors realize this arbitrary figure means nothing in regards to fighting inflation or decreasing the money supply.  Although the Federal Funds rate may have made an impact in 2008, its impact on the market was lost after the Fed expanded the balance sheet to buy illiquid assets in late 2008 through 2009.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, February 23, 2010

The Most Important Chart in the World Right Now / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: DailyWealth

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTo most people, any talk of the U.S. government debt simply doesn't mean anything.

For instance, I could tell you the annual funding costs of our national debt are approaching $4 trillion per year – that's $1.5 trillion in new annual deficits, plus $2 trillion-$3 trillion a year in short-term obligations coming due that need to be refinanced. Foreigners hold roughly half of this debt. Thus, we have about $2 trillion in foreign debt that must be repaid or refinanced each year.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, February 22, 2010

U.S. Government Debt Crisis is Financial Armageddon / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Martin_D_Weiss

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIf you thought Wall Street’s debt crisis was traumatic, wait till you the see the consequences of Washington’s debt crisis!

Never before in history has a world power like the U.S. been so utterly buried in debt! And never before has that debt been financed so massively by foreign investors!

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Interest-Rates

Monday, February 22, 2010

U.S. Federal Reserve Raises Discount Rate, What is the Economic Significance? / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Barry_Grey

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn a move that took the financial markets by surprise, the US Federal Reserve Board on Thursday announced that, effective Friday, it was raising its discount rate by a quarter point, from 0.50 percent to 0.75 percent.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, February 22, 2010

Interest Rate Yield Curve Steepest In History, Is it Different This Time? / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCurve Watchers Anonymous is once again taking a look at the yield curve looking for economic clues. Here are a few charts to consider.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, February 19, 2010

U.S. Treasury Debt Auctions Bombing, China Heading for the Hills … Higher Interest Rates Dead Ahead! / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Mike_Larson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleYou can’t count on Washington to proactively warn you about major economic and market problems …

blackhalfarrow Debt Auctions Bombing ... China Heading for the Hills ... Higher Rates Dead Ahead! Politicians and Fed policymakers failed to warn investors away from tech stocks during the Nasdaq bubble.

blackhalfarrow Debt Auctions Bombing ... China Heading for the Hills ... Higher Rates Dead Ahead! They failed to warn you in advance that the housing and mortgage markets would crash.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, February 19, 2010

Fed Raises Discount Interest Rate, Dollar Soars, Equity Futures Sink, What's It Really Mean? / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Fed has been talking about its "exit strategy" for quite some time. Few believed he would pull the trigger on anything soon. Yet, Bernanke, unexpectedly raised the discount rate headed into options expiration.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, February 19, 2010

Is all this Fed Central Bank Exit Strategy Talk Warranted? / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Tim_Iacono

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBoy, for a group of policymakers at the nation's central bank who, in a best case scenario, are going to just sit on their hands for at least the rest of the year, there sure has been a lot of talk about an "exit strategy".

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, February 17, 2010

Are US Treasury Bonds About to Rally or Implode? Part2 / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Graham_Summers

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBack in October I wrote a piece, Are US Treasuries About to Rally or Implode?  At that time, I noted that the chart for long-term US debt was forming what could have either been a challenge to long-term support, or a potential head and shoulders pattern.

The main idea was that the market was about to tell us whether or not investors considered US Treasuries a safe-haven anymore. If they did, long-term debt would rally. If they didn’t the potential head and shoulders pattern would be confirmed by a break below the “neckline” which would trigger a major sell-off.

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