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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Thursday, December 03, 2009

Is the Fed Engaged in Quantitative or Qualitative Easing? / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs I define it, qualitative easing. If the Fed were pursuing a quantitative easing policy, its balance sheet would be growing at an unusually high rate. The Fed allegedly began to engage in quantitative easing at its mid-March FOMC meeting this year.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, December 03, 2009

ECB, The Reluctant Interest Rate Hawk? / Interest-Rates / ECB Interest Rates

By: Axel_Merk

The European Central Bank (ECB) kept its main refinancing rate unchanged at 1%, but announced that it will phase out its six-month and one-year refinancing facilities and move to an index-based interest rate rather than a fixed or auction based rate for future refinancing operations.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, December 03, 2009

Long-Term U.S. Treasury Yield Setting Up for Powerful Advance / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The daily chart of the 10-Year T-Bond Futures could be one of the most important charts we discuss entering 2010. Why? Purely from a technical perspective, let’s notice that three distinct instances in the last 12 months YIELD pressed to 3.50% or lower, only to see an upside reversal back above 3.50% very quickly thereafter. In other words, the “beachball effect” kicks in under 3.50%. With the foregoing as a backdrop, let’s also notice that YIELD has been DECLINING since June even though nonfarm payrolls have been improving.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, December 03, 2009

Pension Annuity Interest Rates at Record Lows / Interest-Rates / Pensions & Retirement

By: MoneyFacts

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe prospects of securing a comfortable retirement have taken a further blow with news that pension annuity rates have hit an all time low. Research from Investment Life & Pensions Moneyfacts has revealed that, after holding firm during the summer, annuity rates have fallen steadily over the last two months.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, December 01, 2009

Treasury Bonds Signal Inflation Pressures Moderating / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe composite indicator that measures the trends in gold, crude oil, and yields on the 10 year Treasury has moderated significantly. See figure 1 a weekly chart of the S&P500 with the indicator in the lower panel.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, November 30, 2009

Dubai Debt Bubble Bursting Triggering Financial Shock Waves / Interest-Rates / Global Economy

By: Washingtons_Blog

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleYou know about Dubai's economic crisis. But do you know the background to - and fallout from - the crisis?

A Brief History

Historically, Dubai had an oil-based economy.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, November 30, 2009

Governments Benefit From ‘Teaser’ Interest Rates, Wait ’til They Come to an End… / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Bill_Bonner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere are so many breathtaking things going on around us we practically suffocate. Last week, three-month US Treasury-bills yielded all of 0.015% interest. Some yields were below zero. In effect, investors gave the government money. The government thanked them and promised to give them back less money three months later. How do you explain this strange transaction? Was there a full moon?

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, November 29, 2009

Dubai Debt Default illustrates Financial Crisis Not Over / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe default in Dubai is not the beginning of Financial Meltdown 2. Don't look for dominoes here. Yes, it does raise serious questions about the vast debt-overhang in emerging economies--particularly East Europe. But, this is not a "sovereign default" in the strict sense, nor is there any great risk of contagion.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, November 27, 2009

Greece Tests the Limit of Sovereign Debt As it Grinds Toward Slump / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Trader_Mark

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI've been reading quite a bit of handwring over Greece in the UK papers, and came upon this piece from one of my favorite writers, Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, early this week.  It was in the "to do pile" to put on the website, but I never got around to it.  It appears with events in the past 48 hours, there is no time like the present.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, November 27, 2009

New Record Low Two Year Treasuries Yield, Is This Start Of U.S. Dollar Rally? / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn the wake of the Dubai default (please see Dubai Defaults - Deflation In Action - Watched Pot Theory Revisited for details), I am up watching treasury yields.

Two year treasury yields plunged to an new all-time record low as the following Bloomberg table shows.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, November 26, 2009

Zero Interest Rates, the Cruelest Tax of All / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Sarel_Oberholster

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe zero-interest-rate policy of the Fed is sold to the public as a benign economic rescue in the public interest. The stark reality is that this policy is a disguised tax implemented by the Fed. It takes income from savers and hands it as a subsidy to borrowers. It also facilitates and funds the fiscal deficit policies of central government. Such a well disguised tax is a boon for governments. The cruelest tax of all is this 100 percent tax on interest income, disguised and rationalized as "good" policy.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, November 23, 2009

Average Two Year Fixed Mortgage Interest Rate Falls to Lowest Since June / Interest-Rates / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

The average two year fixed has fallen to 4.99%, the first time it has been below 5.00% since 23 June 2009.

A string of rate rises during July saw the average quickly rise, peaking at 5.21% by the end of the month.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, November 23, 2009

Fundamental Backdrop Remains Supportive of Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe bond market crept up toward the middle of the 118 to 124 trading range of recent months as per our advertisement in last week’s issue.  3 month Treasury Bills are back to negative yields again heading into the year end, just like last year.  While 3 month Bills are back under 0, the swap market is telling us that sovereign risk is on the increase.  Credit Default Swap spreads for most of the largest developed nations (think G7) have widened noticeably over the past few weeks.  With the front end literally at 0, it looks like long rates will dictate the shape of the yield curve for the rest of the year. 

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, November 21, 2009

The Unintended Consequences of the Federal Reserve's Low Interest Rate Policy / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: John_Mauldin

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhere the Wild Things Are
It Is Not Just Japan
The Euro-Yen Cross and the Dollar Carry Trade

Where the Wild Things Are is a beloved children's book and now a beautiful movie. But in the investment world there are really scary wild things lurking about in the hidden recesses of the economic landscape. Today we look at one of the unintended consequences of the Federal Reserve's low interest rate policy.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, November 19, 2009

What If the Foreigners Stop Buying Our Debt? / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Doug_Horning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBy Doug Hornig, Senior Editor, Casey Research - “I have always depended on the kindness of strangers,” said Blanche DuBois, in the final words of the play A Streetcar Named Desire. Well, don’t we all.

Many citizens probably still cling to the old saw that public debt doesn’t matter because “we owe it to ourselves.” Wrong. Debt always matters. And as for whom we owe it to, it is a lot of kind (or, at least, not yet unkind) strangers.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, November 16, 2009

The Fed's Policy of Near Zero Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Bob_Chapman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne of the outcomes of Fed policy of near zero interest rates is that seniors cannot live on an income of 1-1/% and that pension funds, insurance companies and endowments cannot fulfill their commitments. As yields eventually rise, although the Fed has signaled that is at least a year away, and if Japan is any guideline, we could be 19 years away from solving the problem of fiduciaries.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, November 16, 2009

Are U.S. Treasury Bond Yields Headed Lower? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI am beginning to see signs that there is a high likelihood of this occurring over the next couple of weeks. Figure 1 is a weekly chart of the Ultra Short Lehman 7-10 Year Treasury (symbol: PST); this is an ETF that corresponds to the inverse of the daily performance of the Barclays Capital 7-10 Year U.S. Treasury index.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, November 16, 2009

Fixed Interest Rate Bonds Shelf Life Hits New Low / Interest-Rates / Savings Accounts

By: MoneyFacts

Savers looking to take out a fixed rate bond need to act fast after the average bond shelf-life fell to a new low of 23 days last month.

At its peak in March 2006, the average shelf-life of a fixed rate bond was 158 days.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, November 14, 2009

Origins of the Federal Reserve Banking System- Part 3 / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Murray_N_Rothbard

Jacob Schiff Ignites the Drive for a Central Bank

The defeat of the Fowler Bill for broader asset currency and branch banking in 1902, coupled with the failure of Secretary of Treasury Shaw's attempts of 1903–1905 to use the Treasury as a central bank, led the big bankers and their economist allies to adopt a new solution: the frank imposition of a central bank in the United States.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, November 14, 2009

Origins of the Federal Reserve Banking System-Part 2 / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Murray_N_Rothbard

Continued From Part 1

Charles A. Conant: Surplus Capital and Economic Imperialism

The years shortly before and after 1900 proved to be the beginnings of the drive toward the establishment of a Federal Reserve System. It was also the origin of the gold-exchange standard, the fateful system imposed upon the world by the British in the 1920s and by the United States after World War II at Bretton Woods. Even more than the case of a gold standard with a central bank, the gold-exchange standard establishes a system, in the name of gold, which in reality manages to install coordinated, international, inflationary, paper money.

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