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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Friday, January 22, 2010

UK Government Bonds, Gilts Rebound / Interest-Rates / UK Debt

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe started the New Year bearish of bonds as we judged the global economic recovery looked on track and although a slow recovery was still expected, traders seemed confident enough to turn their attention to the debt build up in the major developed economies.

This had the effect of hitting many major sovereign bond markets hard in the early days of January. Of course, the bear move had begun over the Christmas and New Year Holiday period, but it wasn’t until the New trading year had began that we judged the move was more than Year End activity.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, January 19, 2010

UK CPI Inflation Begins Spiralling Out of Control Means Headache for Savers / Interest-Rates / Savings Accounts

By: MoneyFacts

The consumer price index again rose sharply to 2.9%, spiralling above the Government’s target of 2% for the first time since May.

Savings rates look to have hit rock bottom, with the average no notice rate hovering at 0.75%, not far above bank base rate.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, January 18, 2010

UK Banks Such as Halifax (HBOS) Underpaying Cash ISA Saving Account Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / ISA's

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe tax payer bailed out bank Halifax (HBOS), which was forced into a shotgun wedding with Lloyds TSB in Sept/Oct 08 to prevent nationalisation, the combined group later going on to become defacto nationalised as the HBOS exploding mortgage book shredded Lloyds TSB's balance sheet to pieces, illustrates the consequences of an artificial banking system as borrowers and savers pay the ultimate price of bailing out the banks.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, January 16, 2010

What Happens When the Fed Stops Quantitative Easing? / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: John_Mauldin

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen the Fed Stops the Music
Who Wants the Old Maid?
It's the Deleveraging, Stupid!

Last week we delved into the uncertainties that face us and that make forecasting for 2010 problematical. Will the government actually increase taxes as much as they say, with unemployment still likely to be at 10%? Or will cooler heads prevail? Would such an increase cause a recession? Will the markets anticipate the effects of such a major increase in advance? How will the mortgage market react when the Fed stops buying mortgage securities at the end of March? There are so many things in the air, and today we explore more of them, as I continue (perhaps foolishly) to try and peer into what is a very cloudy crystal ball.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, January 16, 2010

Rising Interest Iates and Lower Stock Market Before End of 2010 / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Lorimer_Wilson

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"The unprecedented run in the equity markets has boosted confidence among households and helped solidify the economy's shaky foundations. The improving economic outlook undoubtedly applies increasing pressure on the U.S. Federal Reserve and Bank of Canada to hike interest rates from record-low levels. Are traders and investors ready for the end of nearly free money?" asks Paul Vieira of The Financial Post in an article entitled 'The End of Free Money'. Below are edited excerpts from Vieira's article examining the repercussions such increased rates would have on the economies of Canada and the United States.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, January 15, 2010

UK Interest Rates Rise 2010 Sentance / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe mainstream press this week is starting to fragment from its near consensus view that interest rates would remain unchanged or little changed well into 2011 following a few sentences from Andrew Sentance, a member of the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee who's comments have been jumped upon to now generate headlines of interest rate rises this year though backed up with little or no actual analytical substance, which is highly suggestive of the press again flip flopping in the opposite direction every other week going forward.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, January 15, 2010

Technical Update On IEF And TLT / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen we last looked at longer term Treasury yields, I stated that longer term Treasury yields were likely to undergo a secular trend change from down to up, but I had reservations because significant resistance was overhead, sentiment was too bullish for higher yields, and Treasury yields were greatly overbought. Honestly, last week I was not sure which way the bond market was going to go but I did offer up a game plan. This article will review the game plan that now have me more constructive on bonds or bearish on Treasury yields.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, January 13, 2010

UK Interest Rate Forecast 2010 and 2011 / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe British Economy as with other developed economies entered 2009 in recession and on the brink of Depression which triggered a series of panic interest rate cuts all the way to 0.5% by March 2009 and they have stayed there right into the start of 2010. This in-depth analysis is third in a series of analysis that seeks to generate accurate forecasts for UK Inflation, GDP Growth and Interest Rates for 2010 and beyond. The whole analysis and implications of which will be published as an ebook that I will make available for FREE, ensure you are subscribed to my always free newsletter to get the completed scenario in your email in-box.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, January 12, 2010

UK, U.S. and Euro Interest Rate Trends Analysis / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis analysis forms part of a series that aims resolve in an accurate UK interest rate forecast for 2010 which follows in depth analysis and forecasts for UK inflation and economy. Ensure you are subscribed to my always free newsletter to receive the final analysis and forecast in your email in box.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, January 12, 2010

British Pound Currency Trends and the UK Base Interest Rate / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis analysis forms part of a series that aims resolve in an accurate UK interest rate forecast for 2010 which follows in depth analysis and forecasts for UK inflation and economy.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, January 12, 2010

Improving UK Mortgage Lending Feeding the House Prices Bounce / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis analysis forms part of a series that aims resolve in an accurate UK interest rate forecast for 2010 which follows in depth analysis and forecasts for UK inflation and economy.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, January 11, 2010

LIBOR / UK Base Interest Rate Spread Analysis / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis analysis forms part of a series that aims resolve in an accurate UK interest rate forecast for 2010 which follows in depth analysis and forecasts for UK inflation and economy.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, January 10, 2010

UK Interest Rates and GDP Growth Trend Relationship / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis analysis forms part of a series that aims resolve in an accurate UK interest rate forecast for 2010 which follows in depth analysis and forecasts for UK inflation and economy.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, January 10, 2010

Bill Gross Say FED Will Exit Easy Monetary Policy, Quantitative Easing in March 2010 / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: G_Abraham

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe latest PIMCO newsletter suggests that 2010 will be year of caution and change. And yet he gives ample suggestions to the coming holocaust in financial markets if things do not go as planned.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, January 10, 2010

U.S. Treasury Bonds Supported by Strong Seasonal Factors / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market remained range bound last week.  The New Year started off with a full slate of economic data, but the impact on the longer maturities was minimal.  It looks like we have a stalemate between weak fundamentals that are supportive and supply concerns that present a headwind for the market for now.  Meanwhile – in spite of the weak fundamentals – the risk trade continues to hum along.  The market action on Friday was prime example that at this point one can throw the fundamentals out the window and the best strategy is to just buy anything you can get your dirty paws on.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, January 09, 2010

UK interest Rates and M4 Money Supply Relationship / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis analysis forms part of a series that aims resolve in an accurate UK interest rate forecast for 2010 which follows in depth analysis and forecasts for UK inflation and economy.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Interest-Rates

Saturday, January 09, 2010

Do UK Interest Rates Lead or Lag Inflation? / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis analysis forms part of a series that aims resolve in an accurate UK interest rate forecast for 2010 which follows in depth analysis and forecasts for UK inflation and economy.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, January 08, 2010

Could the British Pound Bear a Fresh Slug of Quantitative Easing? / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRearranging the Deck chairs on the QEII - The BANK of ENGLAND's asset purchase program – better known as "quantitative easing" – was maintained at its £200 billion limit ($318bn) at this week's policy meeting in London.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, January 08, 2010

Bank of England UK Quantitative Easing Money Printing to Hit £275 Billion 2010 / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Bank of England cut UK interest to a historic low of 0.5% in March 2009 for the objective of boosting the economy so as to enable it to SELL government bonds, however this did not work as bond auctions started to FAIL in March, which therefore triggered the Bank of England hitting the panic button and igniting Quantitative Easing or Quantitative Inflation, having received the green light from the Government a few months earlier.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, January 08, 2010

Cutting Through the Fed U.S. Interest Rate Tightening Claptrap / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Mike_Larson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere’s a real debate waging on Wall Street. Just like that famous scene from the 1974 movie Chinatown, where Faye Dunaway’s Evelyn Mulwray goes back and forth saying “She’s my daughter … She’s my sister,” today’s pundits keep debating the Fed. “The Fed will tighten” … “The Fed won’t tighten” … “The Fed will tighten” — the commentary shifts with each new data point that crosses the transom.

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