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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Saturday, August 15, 2009

FDIC Depositor Insurance Scheme is Bankrupt! / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBank Failure Friday is in full swing. Tonight there were 5 more failures, numbers 73 through 77 on the year. In the biggest failure since WaMu, BB&T Takes Over Colonial.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, August 15, 2009

U.S. Debt as a Percentage of GDP Means No Growth for 50 Years / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Andy_Sutton

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleApparently, a bazooka wasn’t enough. Last summer, that is what then Secy. of the Treasury Henry Paulson asked for when he made his case for sweeping financial powers. Instead, Congress gave him a nuke, and apparently that wasn’t enough either. Making the jump from completely absurd to the absolutely ridiculous, Timothy Geithner became the latest in a long line of Treasury Chiefs to run to Congress to ask for an increase in the nation’s debt ceiling.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, August 14, 2009

Moment of Truth for U.S. Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The moment of truth for the iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NYSE:  TLT).  If current strength continues to propel prices into and ABOVE a key near-term resistance plateau between 94.15 and 94.85, then prices should explode even more rapidly towards 97 thereafter (and I will be forced to chase the long side). 

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, August 13, 2009

The Federal Reserve is Immoral / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Tim_Iacono

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDuring the first few days of each month comes a task that is increasingly approached with dread around here and, unfortunately, that condition is likely to persist for some time.

Shortly after banks make their month-end update to various short-term savings accounts that we hold, these balances are queried, only to find that, almost without exception, interest credited is less than it was in prior months and far less than it was eight or ten months ago.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, August 13, 2009

Fed a Rudderless Ship? / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Axel_Merk

How much excitement can a statement by the Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee (FOMC) generate? Given that the Fed has been printing over a $1 trillion of fresh currency over the past year, more are indeed taking note when the Fed speaks.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, August 13, 2009

Bernanke, Do You Have The Cojones To Raise U.S. Interest Rates? / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Mike_Whitney

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMike Whitney writes: Booyah. It's morning in America. The jobless numbers are stabilizing, the stock market is sizzling, quarterly earnings came in better than expected, traders have turned bullish, housing is showing signs of life, and clunker-swaps have given Detroit a well-needed boost of adrenalin. Even Cassandra economists --like Paul Krugman and Nouriel Roubini--have been uncharacteristically optimistic. Is is true; did we avoid a Second Great Depression? Is the worst really behind us?

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Interest-Rates

Monday, August 10, 2009

Treasury Bond Holders Receive a Pasting, Though Seasonal Influences Remain Bullish / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market got pasted last week.  While the trend in bonds has been sideways, it is noticeable that there has been a fairly predictable cycle within the course of each month related to the Treasury auction calendar.  The first week of the month has the announcement for the long auction cycle consisting of 3-10-30 year auctions to be conducted during the second week. 

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, August 04, 2009

Derivatives Interest Rate Swaps, The Elephant In the Room: More Pieces of the Puzzle / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Rob_Kirby

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis following article was an address by Rob Kirby at the Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc., GATA Goes to Washington -- Anybody Seen Our Gold?, at the

Hyatt Regency Crystal City Hotel, Arlington, Virginia, Saturday, April 19, 2008.  The original address has been updated and added to since new information has come to light. 

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, August 04, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bond Market Expected to Surprise to the Upside / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market traded sideways in July.  This is remarkable in light of the events that have transpired last month in the financial markets.  The risk trade remained in vogue for another month as stocks, commodities and peripheral currencies powered ahead.  Chinese equities have almost doubled from their lows and they have led the charge in emerging market equities.  Market participants however fully realize that efforts to re-flate prices only have a chance in a steady to declining interest rate environment. 

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, July 30, 2009

Economic Statistical Deceptions to Sell U.S. Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / Market Manipulation

By: Paul_Craig_Roberts

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast week on NPR a professor in the Sloan School of Management at MIT explained that what is really at stake in the health care bill is the US government’s ability to borrow. In other words, the bill is about cutting health care costs, not about providing hard-pressed Americans with health care.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, July 30, 2009

Hidden Flaw in Bernanke's Fed Money Printing Exit Strategy Could Trigger Depression / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleShah Gilani writes: At its most basic level, the U.S. Federal Reserve’s so-called “exit strategy” is designed to let government bailout and liquidity programs unwind on their own, as markets return to a state of “normalcy.”

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, July 29, 2009

U.S. Govt Yuan Bond Threat to U.S. Dollar / Interest-Rates / US Dollar

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe tables are fast turning against the deeply indebted USGovt officials. USA Inc is in deep trouble. Its productive engines in both finance and industry are either wrecked or sputtering, even as its debt burden grows exponentially. Debt default litters the landscape. Next its sovereign bonds will be have to be sold to some extent outside the US$ Sphere, which will put at great risk its stock, namely the USDollar itself. Let’s call them USGovt Dragon Bonds.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, July 29, 2009

Foreign Investment Flows into U.S. Treasuries and Money Printing Consequences / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Michael_Pollaro

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleObama and Company say... All We Need Is A Little Help From Our Foreign Friends

Oh I get by with a little help from my friends
Mm going to try with a little help from my friends
Oh I get high with a little help from my friends
Yes I get by with a little help from my friends
With a little help from my friends

Refrain to The Beatles “With a Little Help from My Friends”

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, July 28, 2009

Why the U.S. is Financing its Debt at the Short End of the Yield Curve / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Michael_Pento

The Greatest Subprime A.R.M. of All is our Debt - It troubles me greatly to know that while the 30 year Treasury bond is yielding a mere 4.6%, we are not locking in that low rate for our newly issued debt. Any thinking American knows it would be best to take advantage of that ridiculously low yield and finance the Treasury’s borrowing at the long end of the curve.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, July 28, 2009

Trading Eurodollar August 2009 Put Option Update / Interest-Rates / Options & Warrants

By: Patrice_V_Johnson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLONG-TERM TREND (> 1YR) OF THE MARKETS: DOWN

SHORTS LONGS _____________________
None August 2009 Eurodollar (Ticker Symbol: EDQ9)

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Interest-Rates

Monday, July 27, 2009

Real U.S. Treasury Yields Highest In History / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBloomberg is reporting Real Yields Highest Since 1994 Aid Record Debt Sales.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, July 26, 2009

Darling Warns UK Banks on Loan Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Sarah_Jones

The Chancellor, Alistair Darling is "Extremely concerned" at the high interest rate being charged to small firms.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, July 24, 2009

How to Profit if Bernanke's Quantitative Easing 'Exit Strategy' Fails / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBy Jason Simpkins writes: After more than a year of lax monetary policy and direct capital infusions, U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke has finally outlined an "exit strategy" that he says will lead to the "smooth and timely" withdrawal of monetary stimulus and keep inflation at bay.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, July 23, 2009

How California Could Turn its Debt IOUs into Dollars / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Global_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEllen Brown writes: California has over $17 billion on deposit in banks that have refused to honor its IOUs, forcing legislators to accept crippling budget cuts. These austerity measures are unnecessary. If the state were to deposit its money in its own state-owned bank, it could have enough credit to solve its budget crisis with funds to spare.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, July 22, 2009

Shorting U.S. Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe bond, TLT, TBT charts and technicals are urging me to get short the long end of the yield curve...looking for longer term rates to climb in the days ahead.  My near-term work in the ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year T-Bond ETF (NYSE: TBT) argues that the upmove off of the July lows at 48.01/05 exhibits very bullish form, in the aftermath of the completion of a major correction from the 6/10 high at 59.97 into the July lows. 

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