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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Saturday, September 19, 2009

Keynesian Economics and Negative Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Gary_North

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere is considerable discussion about the possibility that the Federal Reserve could and possibly should create a monetary environment in which interest rates are negative.

First, why should it do this?

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 18, 2009

Easy-Money Fed Fueling U.S. Dollar “Carry Trades” / Interest-Rates / US Dollar

By: Mike_Larson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA fascinating thing just occurred in the global interest rate market: For the first time since 1993, it became cheaper to borrow dollars than Japanese yen! The three-month dollar-based London Interbank Offered Rate, or LIBOR, slumped to 0.292 percent, compared with the yen-based LIBOR rate of 0.352 percent.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 18, 2009

Jim Cramer Calling For A Top In US Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Guy_Lerner

Jim Cramer is at it again. This time he is calling for a top in US Treasury Bonds. Mama mia, I am heading for the hills. Cramer is calling for higher interest rates, therefore it must be so.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 17, 2009

The Looming Global Debt Crisis / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Bob_Chapman

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhat do you do after you have zero interest rates and you have flooded the world with money and credit?

The answer is you attempt to fight off higher interest rates and see if you can dodge the inflation bubble that follows. The commitment for this current fiasco to save the world’s Illuminist banks has already caused an official debt responsibility for the US of more than $23 trillion or about 40% of world GDP. That is staggering and it is official. We wonder what the real figure is? It is also wise to remember that the Federal Reserve, and other reserve banks worldwide, all international, are responsible for the carnage we are witnessing.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 16, 2009

Treasury Bond Market Bullish Sentiment, Circumstances Are Different / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIf you have been paying attention the last couple of weeks, I have been warming up to bonds. However, earlier in the year, I thought that Treasury yields would head higher (i.e., bonds lower), and that this would result in a secular trend change. In other words, we would be embarking on a long period of increasing yield pressures. This did not come to pass although yields on the 10 year Treasury bond did reach 4.0%. Despite this failed signal, Treasury yields still have the technical characteristics of an asset poised to undergo a secular trend change, and by secular, I mean lasting years. But not now.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, September 15, 2009

Are Foreign Purchases of U.S. Treasury Bonds Being Faked? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Washingtons_Blog

Everyone knows that the American government is gaming the market for treasury bonds to some extent.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, September 14, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bonds Trade Higher on Weak Economy / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market traded mostly positive all week and followed the recent pattern of one ugly Friday alternating with one neutral Friday.  This last one actually managed to eke out a small gain.  The financial markets are shaping up to be a diverging tale of three themes.  On the one hand we have the stock markets around the world relentlessly grinding to new highs, while on the other hand the bond market refuses to buckle as it continues to retain a strong safe haven bid.  In the mean time, gold is also breaking out to the upside with some conviction.  The yellow metal managed to achieve its highest weekly closing level ever at $1007 per ounce. 

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, September 12, 2009

What Will Happen When Foreign Investors Dump U.S. Treasury Bonds? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Larson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEvery time I talk about the risk of our foreign creditors selling off their U.S. Treasuries, I hear the same objection: These guys have no place else to put the money! They’ll ALWAYS buy our debt because our bond market is the most liquid, freest place to stash their money.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 11, 2009

UK Government Bond, Gilt Market’s Uncertainty / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Macro Trader’s view:

‘The Gilt is a government bond market that is dogged by an unprecedented build of peacetime debt, supported by the Central Bank.’ Discuss.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 11, 2009

Junk Bond Defaults Worst Since Great Depression, Why Is the Stock Market Rallying? / Interest-Rates / Corporate Bonds

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNumerous people have asked for an update to Corporate Bond Spreads Key To Continued S&P Rally.

Specifically, inquiring minds are interested in my statement "It will pay to keep one eye on the credit markets to help ascertain long-term equity direction. In August of 2007 the corporate bond market cracked wide open. Although the S&P 500 made a new high in November, the corporate bond market didn't. It was the mother of all warning calls that most missed."

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, September 08, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bonds Move Higher in Spite of Stronger Economic Data / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market traded mostly positive all week only to give up most of its weekly advance for second time in the past three Fridays.  Ironically, the worst fundamental news was released on Friday in the form of the monthly Employment report (see details in the economic data section below). 

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Interest-Rates

Monday, September 07, 2009

A Plan for the Resolution to the Insolvency of the United States Banking System / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Mansoor_H_Khan

The core problem of the United States' banking system (and maybe the world's banking system) is not liquidity but insolvency.   The liabilities of the United States' banking system exceed the value of its  assets.   The issue is not only the toxic assets (toxic mortgage backed securities,  toxic commercial real estate loans,  sub-prime mortgages, alt-A loans, adjustable loans likely to go bust, increase in prime mortgage default rates, etc) but also off-balance sheet liabilities (such as expected huge unaccounted for future derivatives losses).

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, September 06, 2009

China is Now a Net SELLER of U.S. Treasury Notes and Bonds! / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Larson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe told you this was coming. Heck: A blind man could have seen it a mile away.

For many months now, we’ve predicted that Washington’s wild spending and borrowing spree would make the global investors who buy our longer-term Treasuries — notes and bonds — as nervous as long-tailed cats in a room full of rocking chairs.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 04, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bonds Supply and Quantitative Easing, Got Gold? / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe are struck by the size of the needs of the State, and the meager assistance offered by patriotic gifts..." - Finance committee of the French National Assembly, March 1790

BY END-JULY 2009, sales of new US Treasury bonds had already outstripped full-year sales in calendar 2008.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 03, 2009

Can a Central Bank Go Broke? / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: David_Howden

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCentralized monetary authorities enjoy a privileged position in the current monetary system. People tend to view the economists and politicians at these institutions as demigods, individuals who if given enough resources will ensure that the economy continues an ever-advancing and smooth trajectory. However, unlike the Greek demigods of yore, today's central bankers are mere mortals who must work within the confines and constraints of the institution that they head.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 02, 2009

Rising U.S. Treasuries Foretell Lower Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhile gold prices attempt to break out to the upside, the bond market continues to climb as well. Let's take a look at the pattern developing in the iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NYSE: TLT).

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Interest-Rates

Monday, August 31, 2009

The Interest Rate Cosa Nostra / Interest-Rates / Market Manipulation

By: Rob_Kirby

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRecently, Bloomberg News reported that a legal brouhaha has developed in Italy surrounding the municipality of Milan entering into a refinancing package, including retiring older existing debt and associated interest rate swaps, with a combination of new bonds and interest rate swap agreements designed to protect Milan against a rise in long-term interest rates, back in 2005.  This financing was arranged with a quartet of banks including J.P. Morgan Chase, U.B.S. AG, Deutsche Bank AG and Depfa Bank Plc.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, August 31, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bonds Lower, Despite Supportive Fundementals / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market moved up last week as yields dropped across the curve.  In spite of stronger than expected economic data, another auction cycle and a rock solid stock market, bonds spent most of the week in positive territory and managed to hold on to their gains better than the previous week.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, August 27, 2009

Bernanke: Central Bankers' Bob the Builder? / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFirst, the good news about Bernanke’s nomination for a second term as head of the Federal Reserve (Fed): we know what we are getting and may be able to prepare for the risks his continued leadership may pose to inflation and the dollar. The bad news: more of the same.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, August 26, 2009

Long Term U.S. Treasury Yields, Someone Is Going To Be Wrong / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor over 8 months now, I have been chronicling the plight of the 10 year Treasury bond. Based upon the "next big thing" indicator it was my expectation that yields on the 10 year Treasury bond would rise once there was a monthly close above a yield of 3.342%. This occurred at the end of May, 2009.

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