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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Thursday, April 23, 2009

LIBOR Interest Rate Nudges Below 1.5% On Quantitative Easing and Price Deflation / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe 3 Month Inter bank Money Market Interest Rate (LIBOR) drifted below 1.5% for the first time in over 50 years despite the budget busting deficit budget delivered on Tuesday. The prime drivers of lower LIBOR rates are the Bank of England providing near unlimited liquidity to the Banking System coupled with the 0.5% base rate coupled with Quantitative Easing (monetization of debt) with the prime aim of driving down interest rates across the curve i.e. from the short end to the long-end. This is further reinforced by the deflationary driven sentiment following RPI of -0.4% for March.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, April 21, 2009

UK Savings Interest Rates in Free Fall, Pensioners Pay the Price / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: MoneyFacts

Savings rates are still in freefall with the average no notice rate currently at 0.64%, just above bank base rate.

The recent published inflation figures shows that the real return after basic tax and inflation on an average no notice savings account is 1.06 per cent for RPI, but is at a worrying minus 2.24 per cent for CPI.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, April 19, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bonds Now 2 Standard Deviations Cheaper than Stocks / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market continues to chop around aimlessly.  The market was stronger most of the week, but a 2 point sell-off on Friday destroyed all the gains and then some.  The fundamental news turned considerably weaker – even in relation to expectations - but the stock market managed to show further gains for the 6th week in a row now.  That generated further outflow from bonds to stocks.  Based on the Fed model which compares the 10 year Treasury note to the dividend yield in the stock market, stocks made a close to 4 standard deviation move relative to bonds in a little over one month. 

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, April 14, 2009

Bernanke's Un-shrinkable Fed Balance Sheet / Interest-Rates / Money Supply

By: Michael_Pento

As he stated again clearly today, the Chairman of the Federal Reserve has deluded himself into thinking that when the time comes, he will be able to shrink the size of the Fed’s balance sheet and reduce the monetary base with both ease and impunity. He also has deluded himself into thinking inflation will be easily contained.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, April 14, 2009

What to Do When the U.S. Treasury Bond Market Falls / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: DailyWealth

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTom Dyson Writes: Jesse Livermore called it "the path of least resistance." Livermore is probably the greatest trader that ever lived. He made his first fortune in the stock market as a teenager... in the late 1890s. The book of his trading techniques – Reminiscences of a Stock Operator – is the best book on stock market trading ever written. You shouldn't buy another stock until you've read it. (Just don't copy his money-management techniques. By overtrading, Livermore made and lost several multimillion-dollar fortunes in his lifetime.)

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Interest-Rates

Monday, April 13, 2009

Economic Weakness Supportive of Bond Prices / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

Before the start of this week’s column, I would like to make a quick announcement. I am not affiliated with MF Global any longer, so please note the new contact email below if you wish to reach me. The old email address and phone number that was published in previous editions is no longer functional. 

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Interest-Rates

Friday, April 10, 2009

How To Take Advantage of Low Mortgage Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / Mortgages

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePresident Obama declares "good news" and says Timing right for millions to refinance .
Declaring "good news" in the midst of an economic meltdown, President Barack Obama on Thursday urged families to take advantage of near-record low mortgage rates by refinancing their home loans.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, April 09, 2009

UK Interest Rates on Hold, the Easing of Quantitative Easing? / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUK Interest rates are expected to be kept on hold at today's MPC meeting at the record low of 0.5%, which is indicative of the FAILURE of monetary policy to counter the economic slump as the economy started to fall off the edge of the cliff during the summer months of 2008 in the wake of a housing market in freefall as bank after bank teetered on the edge of bankruptcy requiring literally a £1 trillion tax payer guarantee and capital injection bailouts to prevent financial armageddon.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, April 07, 2009

Corporate Bond Default Rate Highest Since Great Depression / Interest-Rates / Corporate Bonds

By: Mike_Shedlock

Moodys says Default Rate Surges to Highest Since Depression .
Thirty-five companies defaulted in March, the highest number in a single month since the Great Depression, according to Moody's Investors Service.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, April 06, 2009

Fed's Flawed Strategy of Buying Long Dated Treasuries to Force Rates Lower / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Shedlock

Bernanke thinks he can manipulate treasury yields by purchasing long dated treasuries. He can't. The market is simply too big. Please consider Treasurys slide after Fed purchases .

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, April 04, 2009

Debt is a drug...Danger of Overdose? / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Andrew_Butter

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKids are diff-erent today, I hear evry mother say...but there's a little yellow pill...Doctor please, some more of these...outside the door, she took four more. (Rolling Stones: Mother's Little Helper).

The problem with drugs is you develop a tolerance to the thrill part, without necessarily developing a tolerance to the addictive part.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, April 01, 2009

U.S. Debtor Meets G20 Creditors at the Dollar's Funeral / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis Article An historically unprecedented mess has been created by compromised central bankers and inept economic advisors, whose interference has irreversibly altered and damaged the world financial system, urgently pushed after the removed anchor of money to gold. Analysis features Gold, Crude Oil, US Dollar, Treasury bonds, and inter-market dynamics with the US Economy and US Federal Reserve monetary policy.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, April 01, 2009

Commercial Real Estate Market in Limbo as Lenders Ignore Defaults / Interest-Rates / Corporate Bonds

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere is a new twist in commercial real estate action today. Lenders are ignoring defaults of $billions on commercial real estate as if nothing happened, praying that credit conditions will improve.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, March 31, 2009

Bank Losses Spreading as Interest Rate Derivatives Start Imploding / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Weiss writes:For the first time in history, U.S. banks have suffered large, ominous losses in a giant sector that, until now, they thought was solid: bets on interest rates.

In a moment, I'll explain what this means for your savings and your stocks.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, March 31, 2009

Current Financial Crisis Russia Debt Default Risk Lower than 1998 / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Pravda

The current economic crisis will be a lot harder than the financial collapse of 1998, a recent report from the World Bank said. WB experts believe that Russia will have to deal with severe problems as a result of the crisis. The economic growth in the country will decline considerably and the recovery will take a much longer time in comparison with the critical period of 1998, when Russia declared default.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, March 30, 2009

The Thinking Behind the Stimulus and Bailout Programs / Interest-Rates / Economic Stimulus

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt is important to understand the thinking of those who are in fact making the decisions at the Fed and Treasury. In today's Outside the Box, Paul McCulley, Managing Director at PIMCO, gives us some insight into the thinking that is driving the massive stimulus and bailout programs. Whether or not you agree, it is important to have a handle on what is actually happening and the thinking behind it.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, March 28, 2009

The SEVEN "Values" of Toxic Assets FAQ / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Andrew_Butter

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Hiesenburg Uncertainty Principle says the more you know about the weight of something the less you know about how fast it's moving. A toxic asset follows the same principle, which is presumably why investment banks used to hire rocket scientists.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, March 28, 2009

Do Bonds Beat Stocks Over the Long Run? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhy Bother With Bonds?
So Then, Bonds for the Long Run?
P/E Ratios at 200? Really?
Mark-to-Market Slip Slides Away
Housing Sales Improve? Not Hardly

Investors, we are told, demand a risk premium for investing in stocks rather than bonds. Without that extra return, why invest in risky stocks if you can get guaranteed returns in bonds? This week we look at a brilliantly done paper examining whether or not investors have gotten better returns from stocks over the really long run and not just the last ten years, when stocks have wandered in the wilderness. This will not sit well with the buy and hope crowd, but the data is what the data is. Then we look at how bulls are spinning bad news into good and, if we have time, look at how you should analyze GDP numbers. Are we really down 6%? (Short answer: no.) It should make for a very interesting letter.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, March 28, 2009

How the Free Market Mortgage Bond Scam Works / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis Bailouts

By: Submissions

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMichael Hudson writes: Newspaper reports seem surprised at how high banks are bidding for the junk mortgages that Treasury Secretary Geithner is now bidding for, having mobilized the FDIC and Fed to transfer yet more public funds to the banks. Bank stocks are soaring – thereby bidding up the Dow Jones Industrial Average, as if the “financial industry” really were part of the industrial economy.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, March 27, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bonds Heading for Day of Reckoning / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMike Larson writes: The U.K. Treasury held a bond auction on Wednesday morning. On the offer were 1.75 billion pounds ($2.55 billion ) worth of 40-year “Gilts” — the U.K. equivalent of U.S. Treasuries. There was just one problem …

Buyers went on strike! They offered to purchase just 1.63 billion pounds ($2.37 billion) of debt.

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