Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, August 23, 2009
Big Interest Rate Move Around the Corner? / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
By: Marty_Chenard
Interest rates ... housing demand ... housing affordability ... bank loans ...
Headline confusion? ... Here are the current housing related headlines on a Yahoo news search:
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Saturday, August 22, 2009
Even Warren Buffett Is Now Saying U.S. Treasury Bonds Could Crack! / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Money_and_Markets
Mike Larson writes: I’ve made no secret about my view on U.S. bonds and the U.S. dollar …
I’ve minced no words, and cut no corners …
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Thursday, August 20, 2009
Monetization of U.S. Treasury Bonds In Isolation / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
By: Jim_Willie_CB
Every few months a chart comes along that needs almost no follow-on paragraphs to make the point of the issue. The chart provided by CIGA Eric covers several important types of US$-based bonds, their inflow and outflow, and the aggregate GrandNet. The financial data is publicly available from the USGovt TIC Reports. The messages are clear. Inflows of foreign funds are dwindling.
Wednesday, August 19, 2009
Ruining Public Credit with Imaginary Fiat Money / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
By: Adrian_Ash
"Expect more 'imaginary money – with or without negative bank rates – often and soon..."
IT'S NOT OFTEN that Sweden gets to lead the world. Saab mimicked BMW. Nokia improved on Motorola. Abba took The Carpenters and added a hi-hat.
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Wednesday, August 19, 2009
Broke FDIC Squeezes Banks for More Insurance Cash / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2009
By: Mike_Shedlock
Here is an interesting Email from a Bank Owner and CEO regarding As of Friday August 14, 2009, FDIC is Bankrupt
ABO, who as been in the business 30 years, writes:
Tuesday, August 18, 2009
Bernanke’s Federal Reserve Interest Rate Indecision Meeting / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
By: Money_and_Markets
Nilus Mattive writes: Last week, the Federal Reserve held a two-day interest rate policy meeting, and nobody was surprised by their lack of action. Heck, it’s unlikely that we’re going to see a real change in their target rate for a while yet.
But I do think there were some important suggestions buried in their comments, and I want to talk about those today. Plus, I want to throw my hat into the ring on the “Will Bernanke get another term?” debate as well.
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Monday, August 17, 2009
U.S. Treasury Bond Yields, Where to From Here? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Mike_Shedlock
Last week's treasury rally was the biggest in eight months notes Bloomberg in Treasuries Rise Amid Flat Consumer Prices, Declining Confidence.
Monday, August 17, 2009
U.S. Treasury Bonds Positive Seasonal Influences / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Levente_Mady
The bond market bounced back last week. We went through another 3-10-30 year auction cycle, but the restless natives did not even wait for the auctions to be out of the way as the bond started its move up first thing on Monday. Needless to say the supply was well received. Not only was the bidding substantial and aggressive, but also the closely watched “International Buyers” showed up in force again. They took over 50% of all the bonds auctioned and were especially aggressive in buying the 30 year tranche on Thursday.
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Saturday, August 15, 2009
FDIC Depositor Insurance Scheme is Bankrupt! / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2009
By: Mike_Shedlock
Bank Failure Friday is in full swing. Tonight there were 5 more failures, numbers 73 through 77 on the year. In the biggest failure since WaMu, BB&T Takes Over Colonial.
Saturday, August 15, 2009
U.S. Debt as a Percentage of GDP Means No Growth for 50 Years / Interest-Rates / US Debt
By: Andy_Sutton
Apparently, a bazooka wasn’t enough. Last summer, that is what then Secy. of the Treasury Henry Paulson asked for when he made his case for sweeping financial powers. Instead, Congress gave him a nuke, and apparently that wasn’t enough either. Making the jump from completely absurd to the absolutely ridiculous, Timothy Geithner became the latest in a long line of Treasury Chiefs to run to Congress to ask for an increase in the nation’s debt ceiling.
Friday, August 14, 2009
Moment of Truth for U.S. Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Mike_Paulenoff
The moment of truth for the iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NYSE: TLT). If current strength continues to propel prices into and ABOVE a key near-term resistance plateau between 94.15 and 94.85, then prices should explode even more rapidly towards 97 thereafter (and I will be forced to chase the long side).
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Thursday, August 13, 2009
The Federal Reserve is Immoral / Interest-Rates / Central Banks
By: Tim_Iacono
During the first few days of each month comes a task that is increasingly approached with dread around here and, unfortunately, that condition is likely to persist for some time.
Shortly after banks make their month-end update to various short-term savings accounts that we hold, these balances are queried, only to find that, almost without exception, interest credited is less than it was in prior months and far less than it was eight or ten months ago.
Thursday, August 13, 2009
Fed a Rudderless Ship? / Interest-Rates / Central Banks
By: Axel_Merk
How much excitement can a statement by the Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee (FOMC) generate? Given that the Fed has been printing over a $1 trillion of fresh currency over the past year, more are indeed taking note when the Fed speaks.
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Thursday, August 13, 2009
Bernanke, Do You Have The Cojones To Raise U.S. Interest Rates? / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
By: Mike_Whitney
Mike Whitney writes: Booyah. It's morning in America. The jobless numbers are stabilizing, the stock market is sizzling, quarterly earnings came in better than expected, traders have turned bullish, housing is showing signs of life, and clunker-swaps have given Detroit a well-needed boost of adrenalin. Even Cassandra economists --like Paul Krugman and Nouriel Roubini--have been uncharacteristically optimistic. Is is true; did we avoid a Second Great Depression? Is the worst really behind us?
Monday, August 10, 2009
Treasury Bond Holders Receive a Pasting, Though Seasonal Influences Remain Bullish / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Levente_Mady
The bond market got pasted last week. While the trend in bonds has been sideways, it is noticeable that there has been a fairly predictable cycle within the course of each month related to the Treasury auction calendar. The first week of the month has the announcement for the long auction cycle consisting of 3-10-30 year auctions to be conducted during the second week.
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Tuesday, August 04, 2009
Derivatives Interest Rate Swaps, The Elephant In the Room: More Pieces of the Puzzle / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2009
By: Rob_Kirby
This following article was an address by Rob Kirby at the Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc., GATA Goes to Washington -- Anybody Seen Our Gold?, at the
Hyatt Regency Crystal City Hotel, Arlington, Virginia, Saturday, April 19, 2008. The original address has been updated and added to since new information has come to light.
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Tuesday, August 04, 2009
U.S. Treasury Bond Market Expected to Surprise to the Upside / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Levente_Mady
The bond market traded sideways in July. This is remarkable in light of the events that have transpired last month in the financial markets. The risk trade remained in vogue for another month as stocks, commodities and peripheral currencies powered ahead. Chinese equities have almost doubled from their lows and they have led the charge in emerging market equities. Market participants however fully realize that efforts to re-flate prices only have a chance in a steady to declining interest rate environment.
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Thursday, July 30, 2009
Economic Statistical Deceptions to Sell U.S. Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / Market Manipulation
By: Paul_Craig_Roberts
Last week on NPR a professor in the Sloan School of Management at MIT explained that what is really at stake in the health care bill is the US government’s ability to borrow. In other words, the bill is about cutting health care costs, not about providing hard-pressed Americans with health care.
Thursday, July 30, 2009
Hidden Flaw in Bernanke's Fed Money Printing Exit Strategy Could Trigger Depression / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes: At its most basic level, the U.S. Federal Reserve’s so-called “exit strategy” is designed to let government bailout and liquidity programs unwind on their own, as markets return to a state of “normalcy.”
Wednesday, July 29, 2009
U.S. Govt Yuan Bond Threat to U.S. Dollar / Interest-Rates / US Dollar
By: Jim_Willie_CB
The tables are fast turning against the deeply indebted USGovt officials. USA Inc is in deep trouble. Its productive engines in both finance and industry are either wrecked or sputtering, even as its debt burden grows exponentially. Debt default litters the landscape. Next its sovereign bonds will be have to be sold to some extent outside the US$ Sphere, which will put at great risk its stock, namely the USDollar itself. Let’s call them USGovt Dragon Bonds.