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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Thursday, July 24, 2008

Evidence of the US Banking System Teetering on the Brink of Collapse / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article1. Paulson appears on Face The Nation and says "Our banking system is a safe and a sound one." If the banking system was safe and sound, everyone would know it (or at least think it). There would be no need to say it.

2. Paulson says the list of troubled banks "is a very manageable situation". The reality is there are 90 banks on the list of problem banks. Indymac was not one of them until a month before it collapsed. How many other banks will magically appear on the list a month before they collapse?

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, July 23, 2008

US Treasury Bonds at Risk Under Weight of Debt Moutain / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Alex_Wallenwein

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInstead of building its full faith and credit, the United States government is becoming increasingly faith less and is losing credit by the second while sucking individual Americans into ever-greater debt. Yet, against all expectations, Americans seem to be waking up

Wealth cannot be borrowed. For some not-so-unknown reason, Americans seem oblivious of that fact. The reason: they have been conditioned to view debt as ‘money' for decades on end, while TV commercials showed them since childhood that all you need for the good life is a credit card from so-and-so bank – and a golden one, at that.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, July 22, 2008

Paulson Thumbs His Nose At Congress, Pushes Creation of Covered Bonds / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Mike_Shedlock

Bloomberg is reporting Paulson Pushes Covered Bonds, Sidestepping Congress . Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, aiming to create a new source of U.S. mortgage financing, wants banks to start issuing covered bonds without waiting for legislation from Congress.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, July 22, 2008

McFadden's Attempts to Abolish the Federal Reserve System / Interest-Rates / Fiat Currency

By: Richard_C_Cook

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLouis T. McFadden (1876-1936): An American Hero - Dr. Ron Paul, the Republican candidate for the 2008 presidential nomination, is not the first U.S. politician to point to the abuses of the Federal Reserve System and call for its abolishment. Similar pleas to get rid of the Fed were made by Reps. Wright Patman (1893-1976) and Henry Gonzales (1916-2000), both Democratic congressmen from Texas and chairmen of the House Banking Committee.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, July 21, 2008

US Corporate Bond Sales Collapse / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Shedlock

Last week all eyes were on the Short Squeeze In Financials , triggered by a SEC Order To Protect Those Most Responsible For Naked Shorting , and fueled by nearly everyone going ga-ga over fabricated earning reports at Wells Fargo and Citigroup.

However, most missed the quiet but extremely important action in the corporate bond market. Please consider Bond Sales Slow to $5.3 Billion as Spreads Approach March Highs

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Interest-Rates

Monday, July 21, 2008

Bonds Slump as Equities Recovery from the Abyss / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAfter extending its gains for a 4th week in a row, the Treasury market pulled back as equities recovered from the abyss. The trend of bonds and energy trading in lock-step remained intact as bonds now sold off as energy prices corrected sharply. There was a recovery in stocks – especially financials during the latter part of the week, so the reverse safe-haven flows pressed bonds lower. The sharp increase in headline inflation also added fuel to the sell-off. Real returns on Treasury bonds are now negative across the entire yield curve, as even 30 year bonds provide a -.35% return after adjusting for inflation. That is great news for spenders and the government (who gets to borrow massive amounts of money at ultra low rates) but not so good for savers.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, July 15, 2008

US Tax Payers to Fund Banking Losses to Prevent US Bond Market Collapse / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJust in case you have been on Mars for the last week, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in the U.S. seem to be having some financial trouble. For those outside the U.S., these two private companies are involved in funneling money to the U.S. housing market. Well, funneling might not be the right word. Shoveling, with big ones, might be more appropriate. Now that they are having financial problems a major question must be answered.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, July 15, 2008

Senators Blast Bernanke on Monetary Policy Failures / Interest-Rates / Money Supply

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEarlier today Bernanke Chairman Ben S. Bernanke testified Before the U.S. Senate in the Fed's Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to Congress. I commented on his testimony in Bernanke's Hogwash .

In an unusual but encouraging development, someone besides Ron Paul is calling Bernanke on his hogwash. Please consider Bunning Statement To The Senate Banking Committee On The Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Report .

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Interest-Rates

Monday, July 14, 2008

Freddie and Fannie is A Sad Day for U.S. Taxpayers and Investors / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Chris_Ciovacco

"Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson swatted back reports of government nationalization of Fannie and Freddie, which would mean making explicit what, has long been an implicit taxpayer guarantee of their liabilities. This would instantly add $5 trillion in liabilities to the federal balance sheet, doubling the U.S. public debt burden and putting America's AAA credit rating at risk. This is a nightmare scenario for taxpayers." Wall Street Journal, Saturday, July 12, 2008 (prior to Sunday's announcements)

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Interest-Rates

Monday, July 14, 2008

Trillion Dollar Bailouts Will Likely Cripple US Budget and Imperil the Dollar / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold finished trading in New York on Friday at $959.10, up $18.90 and silver was up to $18.72, up 48 cents. Gold rose in trading in Asia before selling off in early European trading on profit taking due to falling oil prices and a rising dollar this morning. Both gold and silver were up nearly 3% last week on inflation hedging and safe haven buying and profit taking is to be expected.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, July 14, 2008

Paulson Crosses Rubicon Lands In 5th Dimension / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Mike_Shedlock

Earlier today I posted Operation "Rescue Fannie" Underway - Paulson a Blatant Liar . Since then, additional details are trickling out.

Consider Paulson's Statement on Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae .
First, as a liquidity backstop, the plan includes a temporary increase in the line of credit the GSEs have with Treasury. Treasury would determine the terms and conditions for accessing the line of credit and the amount to be drawn. Read full article... Read full article...

 


Interest-Rates

Sunday, July 13, 2008

Fed is Playing an Incredibly Dangerous Game, a Look Back Over the Past 2 years / Interest-Rates / Credit Crunch

By: Mick_Phoenix

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWelcome to the Weekly Report. Normally at An Occasional Letter From The Collection Agency we try to focus attention on the macro-economic near term effects using the Weekly Report, allowing the Occasional Letter to look further into the future by about 18-24 months. We have reached a stage now where it is becoming difficult to keep the various strands of my convoluted thoughts distinct and clear for the readers so, in keeping with one or two other writers it is time for a re-cap.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, July 13, 2008

Farewell Indymac, What's Next? Say Hello to the 1970s Inflation Rate (Part2)  / Interest-Rates / Inflation

By: Mike_Stathis

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThose of you who are familiar with my previous publications know my real estate forecasts remain unchanged since first published in 2006. To reiterate, I'm expecting an average decline from peak prices of 30% (best case scenario) to 35% (worst case scenario), sending home values back to pre-1999 levels. Within the next three years, mortgage rates should approach 8% and take off thereafter. Soon, we will see a 1970s type inflationary period. This will bode well for owners of real estate rental units.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, July 13, 2008

Federal Reserve Strikes Gold! A Genius to Save the US Economy / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeith Fitz-Gerald writes: Every market cycle has its genius. Even a market cycle as wild and volatile as this one has been.

And the latest genius might be just what the U.S. Federal Reserve needs to restore order around here: She might even be able to bring credibility back to the global financial markets.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, July 10, 2008

Long-Term Treasury Bond Market Paradox / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe US Treasury Bond market can be confusing. Price inflation in the United States is intentionally made confusing. That keeps the public ignorant and poorly prepared to interrupt grand larceny and elite control of the printing press, the result of which has been a few decades of hidden confiscation of Middle Class work, wealth, and dreams. Long-term bond yields have many fundamental reasons why they should fall lower in the United States . They are interwoven and integrated. The US Economy is being killed by rising costs, in no way justifying higher borrowing costs. Yet amateurish opinions seem to coalesce in an absurd consensus. The Asian renaissance contributes mightily to both the impoverishment of America and its economic stagnation. Anyone who believes the US and Europe should share a consistent rhyming monetary policy is asleep at the analytic wheel. In the zero-sum game that is currencies, higher prices in the United States come with lower prices in Europe . Refer to marginal incremental movement in prices.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, July 10, 2008

Parasitic G7 Government Policies of Insolvency- Crack Up BOOM Part4 / Interest-Rates / Fiat Currency

By: Ty_Andros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleParasitic governments of the G7 have outgrown the hosts in the private sector and have substituted deficit spending, FIAT currency and credit creation for the policies of wealth creation and growing economies.

As the next chapter in the unfolding insolvency of the G7 financial and banking system progresses, the next round of balance sheet destruction is at hand. Look no further than gold and silver, which it appears is about to embark on their next leg higher in confirmation of the next round of monetary debasement that looms directly ahead. “Volatility is Opportunity ” for the prepared investor and it has created opportunities GALORE in all markets: stocks, interest rates, metals, currencies, raw materials, grains, commodity and energy markets. Which side of these opportunities are you on? The positive or the negative? If it's the latter you have homework to do…

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, July 10, 2008

UK Interest Rates On Hold as Bank of England is Paralysed by Fear of Inflation / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee is expected to keep interest rates on hold for a third month at 5% at today's meeting despite widespread calls for a rate cut in response to a collapsing housing market and an economy that is fast falling off the edge of a cliff, which is accompanied by more distress in the banking sector that saw Bradford and Bingley teetering on the brink of collapse earlier this week which resulted in the FSA leaning on the big UK banks to bailout the mortgage bank by agreeing to buy unsold stock at the rights issue price of 55p, against yesterdays close of 43p.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, July 08, 2008

Toxic CDOs Renamed ALT-A Garbage Repackaged / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Mike_Shedlock

“What's in a name? That which we call a rose By any other name would smell as sweet.” William Shakespeare, Romeo and Juliet

Bloomberg is reporting Toxic CDOs Renamed Re-Remics, Come to Life With Pension Funds .
Collateralized debt obligations that helped drive banks to $400 billion of writedowns and credit losses are finding buyers under a different name: Re-Remics.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, July 06, 2008

US Treasury Bonds Trend Higher Despite Inflation as Economy Continues to Weaken / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The Treasury market extended its incredible winning streak to 3 weeks in a row! The trend remained intact as bonds continue to strangely trade higher with increasing energy prices. There was no relief for the financial sector as the US stock market started the second half the same way it finished the first half: round the bowl and down the hole… Credit spreads remain under pressure and liquidity is not improving. In spite of crude oil continuing to set new highs week after week, energy stocks are diverging noticeably. The lack of M&A activity even in the sector is just another sign of how severely liquidity has gone missing.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, July 03, 2008

ECB Increases Interest Rates as Trichet Warns of 'Exploding' Inflation / Interest-Rates / Euro-Zone

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold  rose to $94 4 .80 in New York yesterday and was up $ 2.0 0 and silver closed at $18. 33 , up  13  cents. 

Gold has remained firm near 10 week highs on the surging oil price which reached a new record high today < $145.72 - Light Sweet Crude Oil Future - Combined - AUG08>. The dollar is flat today after it's decline in value in recent days. Against the euro, the dollar looks set to fall through support at 1.60 in the coming days and 1.70 euro/dollar looks like a very real possibility by the end of September. Longer term the likelihood of a sharp long recession in the U.S. could well see the euro reach 1.80 or even 2.00 against the dollar (as sterling did to the surprise of many in recent years).

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