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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Saturday, June 13, 2015

The Future of Greece and Gold / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

What are the possible scenarios for Greece and what do they imply for the gold market? The base-case scenario is that a bailout deal will be reached in coming days since no one wants the Grexit. Without the agreement, Greece would lose access to its external funding (like current bailouts funds, Eurozone’s crisis fund, IMF’s support or ECB’s Emergency Liquidity Assistance), whilst creditors risk Greece’s default, financial contagion and the loss of the euro’s prestige. However, both sides took tough positions, since Syriza does not want to disappoint its voters and does not believe in austerity policy, especially during recession, while creditors believe that the Eurozone is immune to possible Grexit. It is true that Greece and its creditors can only play the game of chicken to negotiate the best agreement and save face before their respective voters, but at this point, any mistake in negotiations can trigger a new crisis in Europe and increased volatility on the forex market.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, June 11, 2015

Is The Age Of Negative Interest Rates Ending Already? / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: John_Rubino

History teaches that long trends end only when everyone is finally convinced that they’ll keep going.

Maybe no trend in modern times has been as convincing as interest rates. The yield on long-term Treasury bonds, for instance, has been falling for as long as most people have been alive:

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, June 10, 2015

How to Play the Bond Market Crash / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Shah Gilani writes: A week ago, in a strategy piece detailing ways to handle the looming bond-market crash, I recommended shorting the iShares PLC Markit iBoxx Euro High Yield Bond ETF (LON: IHYG).

Several readers wrote in to say that “not every brokerage lets you buy this.” Some do, in fact: In this day and age, many brokerages let you buy any shares, anywhere. But for those of you whose brokerages won’t let you, I wanted to give you an alternative.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, June 08, 2015

Get Ready for the Greatest Trade in History / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com William Patalon writes: In Wall Street lore, it's known as the "Greatest Trade Ever."

It's also known as "The Big Short."

In 2006, John Paulson was a relatively unknown hedge-fund manager – just another face in the crowd.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, June 06, 2015

Greece’s Current Debt Problems / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Greece is again on the brink. Hellas stood on the edge for the first time in spring 2010. In May 2010 the European Union and International Monetary Fund approved the first bailout worth €110 billion, under the condition of austerity measures. The first rescue package missed its targets as lenders’ economic forecasts for Greece were too optimistic. Therefore, in February 2012 the Troika (the Eurogroup, the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund) finalized the second rescue package worth a €173 billion (including money left over from the first bailout) provided by the newly created European Financial Stability Facility.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, June 05, 2015

US Jobs Report Gives Green Light for a Interest Rate Hike? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

TNX is back in the news this morning with a huge spike in yields. The monthly Jobs Report came out much better than expected. Never mind that the vast bulk of those jobs was fictitious, AKA the CES Birth/Death Model. This gives the Fed the green light to hike rates, er…to follow what the market is already doing with the rates. This is an awfully tight corner for the Fed to be in.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, June 05, 2015

The Ugly Truth Behind the Fed's Quantitative Easing / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Shah Gilani writes: The growing income and wealth gap between the rich and poor, most of whom used to be called middle class, has many fathers. But behind the scenes one primary cause emerges. It's the greatest financial disruptor of modern times: Quantitative Easing (QE).

While the jury's out on whether QE will eventually be the step-ladder that lifts us out of the lingering Great Recession, as its proponents argue, the facts demand that the verdict on QE's egregious enrichment of the rich and subjugation of everyone else is: "guilty."

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Interest-Rates

Friday, June 05, 2015

Bernanke is Still Bubble Blind / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Michael_Pento

Even though the former Chairman of the Federal Reserve is now getting paid privately for his economic and market prognostications, he is still unable to identify or acknowledge the monumental bubbles that central banks have engineered. Mr. Bernanke, who was recently interviewed in Korea, tried to assure investors that rate hikes (whenever they begin) would be good news for the U.S. economy. He was also very "optimistic" there would not be a hard landing in China. And, not surprisingly, the man who is now gainfully employed at the Brookings Institution, Pimco and hedge fund Citadel, is also "encouraged" by Japanese Premier Shinzo Abe's growth strategy. This is despite the fact that the thrust of Abenomics has been to depreciate the value of the Yen by 35 percent in the past two and a half years.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, June 04, 2015

Japan’s Easy-Money Experiment and the Future / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: MISES

Brendan Brown writes: The International Monetary Fund (IMF), once the conductor of a global dollar exchange standard based partially on gold convertibility, has mutated into the official platform for the 2 percent inflation standard launched surreptitiously by the Greenspan Fed in July 1996. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) then approved a position paper by Professor Yellen that price stability should mean 2 percent inflation forever. Europe joined the standard in 1998, and Japan became the newest member in January 2013.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, June 04, 2015

Global Bond Market Rout - Draghi Says 'Get Used to Higher Volatility' / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Mike_Shedlock

Bond Rout in Pictures

German 10-year bonds hit a yield low of .048% on April 16. Since then it's been a pretty steep uphill climb in yield (down in price).

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 02, 2015

The Coming Bond Market Collapse: Make a Killing – While Everyone Else Gets Killed / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Shah Gilani writes: We’re hurtling toward the biggest bond bubble the world has ever seen.

It’s going to start leaking.

Then it’s going to pop.

Today I’m going to tell you what to look for – because I’m all over this.

I’m also going to share four handpicked recommendations that will soar when the bond bubble bursts.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, June 01, 2015

Bikers, Bonds, and Black Swans / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: DeviantInvestor

A “black swan” event occurred at a gathering of outlaw bikers on Sunday, May 17 in Waco, Texas.  According to news stories a fight broke out between several motorcycle gangs at the Twin Peaks restaurant.  At least nine bikers are dead, another 17 were injured, and perhaps as many as 170 were detained or jailed.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, June 01, 2015

Bond Bubble Bust Won’t Cause Great Rotation / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2015

By: Michael_Pento

For the first time in its country’s history, Portugal sold 6 month T-bills at a negative yield. The 300 million euros ($333 million) worth of bills due in November 2015 sold at an average yield of minus 0.002%. A negative yield means investors buying these securities will get back less money from the government than they paid when the debt matures.

To put this in perspective, the 10 year note in Portugal now yields just 2.38%, down from 18% a mere three years ago. Back in 2012, creditors grew wary of the countries referred to as PIIG’s (Portugal, Ireland, Italy and Greece) and their ability to pay back the massive amounts of outstanding debt. Consequently, creditors drove interest rates dramatically higher to reflect the added risk of potential defaults.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, June 01, 2015

Dangerous Debt Trend And What It Could Do to Your Wealth / Interest-Rates / Global Financial System

By: Investment_U

Andrew Snyder writes: It is a fascinating trend - something every investor must be aware of. It’s yet another reason interest rates are likely to stay lower for far longer than most folks ever expected.

If rates rise, after all, countless governments are in big trouble.

Everywhere we look, return-desperate investors are turning to the debt market and its virtually free money. It’s one thing when companies use borrowed money to buy their own shares. It’s a victimless crime.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, June 01, 2015

Monetary Reform in Iceland: Maybe There is Still Hope? / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2015

By: Submissions

Antonius Aquinas writes: Despite the barrage of catastrophic financial data throughout the Western world, there may be a glimmer of hope coming from the tiny Nordic island of Iceland.

It must not be forgotten that it was Iceland which was one of the first to feel the fallout of the financial crisis of 2007-08. Unlike most of the other nations, however, Iceland showed tremendous backbone and did not allow, for the most part, any of the NWO monetary agencies to intervene in its affairs. So, any Icelandic currency reform considerations must be taken seriously.

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