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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Monday, April 28, 2014

European Bond Market Sentiment Gauge in Reaches Epic Proportion / Interest-Rates / Euro-Zone

By: EWI

A visual history of complacency and fear as seen by the 10-year spread over German Bunds

The one-two punch 2014 winter storms that battered the southeastern United States left $13.5 million in damages in Georgia alone and thousands of residents displaced due to burst pipes and power outages. I am one of the displaced. Three months after the flood, I'm still living out of suitcases in a hotel while my apartment gets rebuilt.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, April 25, 2014

Bond Market Investing - Not All Debt Is Created Equal / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Don_Miller

Optimal diversification: We all want it. Diversification is, after all, the holy grail of portfolio management. Our senior research analyst Andrey Dashkov has said that many times before, and he echoes that refrain in his editorial guest spot below.

A brief note before I hand over the reins to Andrey. The last time the market tanked, many of my friends suffered huge losses. They all thought their portfolios were well diversified. Many held several mutual funds and thought their plans were foolproof. Sad to say, those funds dropped in tandem with the rapidly falling market. Our readers need not suffer a similar fate.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, April 24, 2014

The Central Banks Have Realized Their Worst Nightmares Are Approaching / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Graham_Summers

Central Bankers will never openly admit that they or their policies have failed. Moreover, they do not rush into sudden tightening (more on this in a moment). But one can begin to notice subtle changes in their language and actions that indicate they have noticed what’s happening in Japan (the failure of the BoJ’s “shock and awe” QE program to generate growth).

Nowhere is this more clear than at the US’s Federal Reserve or Fed. Indeed, starting in August 2013, various Fed officials began questioning the efficacy of QE.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, April 23, 2014

QE Is A Fraud Perpetrated By Made Men / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Raul_I_Meijer

A lot of words are being spent again these days on deflation and the QE measures that are supposed to “cure” it. Paul Krugman, who when it comes to stimulus is a hammer seeing nails only, now has it in for Sweden’s central bank, which he labels monetary sadists for not opening the spigots. But it’s all a hugely deceptive false flag; it’s not an issue of whether you launch QE or not. There’s a third, and much more valid, way of looking at this.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, April 23, 2014

G-20 and the US Tell the Bank of Japan to End Quantitative Easing / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Mike_Whitney

It looks like QE is going to end with a whimper instead of a bang.

The bigwigs in the G-20 have put the kibosh on Japan’s money printing extravaganza. While most analysts expect the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to announce more “easing” in the days ahead to counter weakening economic data and droopy stock prices; it’s not going to happen. Why? Because the big boys have told the BoJ to knock it the hell off, that’s why? Here’s the scoop from the Japan Times:

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, April 22, 2014

Rates are NOT Rising! / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Jonathan_Davis

Back in December our firm noted that ‘everyone’ was saying interest rates would soon rise.  After all, they said, The Governor of the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve of the US had all but announced it.

We also noted that rates had been falling for getting on for 40 years.

We wondered if those saying higher rates are coming were looking in the wrong places.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, April 17, 2014

Amazing Story From Japan - Bond Market Liquidity Dries Up / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2014

By: John_Rubino

Here’s something you don’t see very often: For a day and a half this week, the Japanese government’s benchmark 10-year bonds attracted not a single successful private sector bid. At today’s artificially-depressed yields, no one wants this paper — except of course the Bank of Japan, which is buying up the bonds with newly-created yen. As the Gulf Times noted:

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, April 16, 2014

Glaring Q.E. Failure Spotted - Money Velocity Is Falling Rapidly / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Sometimes pictures are far more effective in communicating an important point. They are extremely effective in undermining respect and confidence, when in the cartoon format. A sequence of graphics struck the cognitive circuits recently. Long explanations will not serve well. The US Federal Reserve has been printing money since 2011 to cover USGovt debt securities in a frenetic manner. They have lost control. They call it stimulus, when it is actually the opposite. It does assist the speculators with nearly zero cost money to borrow, but one must be a club member to win loan grants.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, April 15, 2014

The Real Purpose Of QE - It’s Not Employment / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Darryl_R_Schoon

Free markets are a function of supply and demand whereas capital markets are a function of credit and debt

The bankers’ ponzi-scheme – which began with the distortion of free markets in 1694 when the Bank of England began issuing debt-based paper banknotes alongside the Royal Mint’s gold and silver coins – is coming to an end.

The bankers’ wildly successful and long-running scheme, dependent on the uneasy equilibrium between credit and debt, has now been irrevocably destabilized. Aggregate levels of debt are now so high that credit—no matter how cheap and available—cannot restore the balance.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, April 14, 2014

Get Your Share of an Extra Trillion Euros Money Printing / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Money_Morning

Peter Krauth writes: When Gutenberg introduced the printing press to Europe, he never could have imagined this.
Like so many revolutionary inventions, it's proven a doubled-edged sword.

The U.S. Fed has begun winding down its latest QE program (for now), and the baton's already been passed to Japan with its own massive easing campaign.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, April 10, 2014

They Snuck In Eurobonds Through The Backdoor / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Raul_I_Meijer

The headlines are great, but then so is the headfake. “Greece makes ‘triumphant’ return to the markets in €3 billion bond sale”, says the Guardian. CNBC speaks of a “voracious appetite” for Greek bonds, but does question whether it’s justified. Still, at first glance it certainly looks like the Greeks have been welcomed back into the fold of civilized people:

Greece, the country once held responsible for sparking the sovereign debt crisis, managed to attract €20 billion ($27.7 billion) of offers for a new five-year bond and is set to sell €3 billion at a yield of 4.95%.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, April 10, 2014

Interest Rate Hikes on the Horizon? Not Likely / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Matt_Machaj

Recent weeks were not bad for those gold investors’ hearts filled with golden hopes. The price of gold depends on many factors, but past patterns can give us important hints and suggest which of them are to be carefully studied and properly comprehended. If history were to teach us anything about gold’s past market values it would most primarily be the following: watch out for the feds! Wise observation of government policies is the main driving force for what is happening in the gold market (surely along with supply factors in the longer run). As we discussed a month ago, this is the main reason for the observed correlation between the gold price and the interest rates. Not because interest rates per se are always casually linked to the gold price. But because interest rates are a reflection of current government policies.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, April 07, 2014

Rising Interest Rate Realities / Interest-Rates / Stock Markets 2014

By: Michael_Pento

The entire global economy now clings precariously to one crucial phenomenon. That is, how much longer can the central banks of the developed world artificially suppress interest rates at near zero percent?

The violently-negative market reaction to Janet Yellen's comments during her first press conference was a clear indication of how vulnerable the stock market is to the eventual reality of rising interest rates. All Ms. Yellen did was remind investors that the Fed Funds Rate would have to be moved up from zero percent -- probably beginning in the middle of next year. That was enough to send the major averages cascading downward faster than you could say the words "flash trading."

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, April 02, 2014

Will the ECB Ever Really do QE? / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: MahiFX

There is an outside chance that the European Central Bank could upstage the normally all important US Non-Farm Payroll figures due this Friday with an announcement over new stimulus measures to combat potential deflationary pressures.

Last week Bundesbank President Jens Weidmann and ECB executive board member left open the possibility that the central bank could engage in quantitative easing to counter deflationary pressures in the Eurozone.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, March 27, 2014

Japanese Debt Debacle Now Imminent / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2014

By: Michael_Pento

I first warned about the impending bust of Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs) when I wrote "Abe Pulls Pin on JGBs" back in January of 2013. In that commentary I laid out the math behind a collapse of the Japanese bond market and economy stemming from the nation's massive amount of government debt, combined with the Bank of Japan's (BOJ's) folly of pursuing an inflation target.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, March 25, 2014

Why Is The Federal Deficit Really Falling? / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Dan_Amerman

There are two ways a nation can use economic growth to reduce budget deficits.  The first method is to participate in economic growth, with a growing economy increasing tax collections.  A second method is to raise taxes so drastically that they consume all economic growth.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, March 24, 2014

Message to the U.S. Fed: Here Are a Few Things That You Can’t Do / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: F_F_Wiley

[A]sset purchases are not on a preset course, and the Committee’s decisions about their pace will remain contingent on the Committee’s outlook for the labor market and inflation as well as its assessment of the likely efficacy and costs of such purchases. -March 19 FOMC statement

The excerpt above or some variation has appeared in every one of the Fed’s post-FOMC meeting statements since the beginning of QE3 in September 2012.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, March 20, 2014

Fed Changes the Rules to Maintain ZIRP / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Michael_Pento

The New Chairperson of the Federal Reserve showed off her dovish feathers after the latest meeting of the FOMC. Ms. Yellen abrogated the threshold of 6.5% on the unemployment rate as the starting point for short term rate hikes and replaced it with amorphous and ambiguous language that allows plenty of wiggle room with rates.

Just like a child sometimes changes the rules of a game in mid-stream in order to guarantee a favorable outcome, the Fed has ripped up the rulebook to suit its own needs.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, March 19, 2014

Bank of England Lights A Fuse Under the Field of Economics / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Raul_I_Meijer

There will be many people who don’t care, there will be many more who don’t understand, and there will be boatloads who refuse to believe it’s true, but it still is. The Bank of England, in one single document, discredited, just at first count, 1) the majority of economics textbooks, 2) vast swaths of the entire field of economics, run as it is by economists educated by those same textbooks, 3) most governments’ economic policies, designed by these economists, 4) much of its own work, also designed by the same economists, 5) Paul Krugman and 6) the “committee” that hands Krugman and his ilk their Not-So-Nobel Prizes.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, March 18, 2014

Interest Rates - Is Yellen Fishing for Gold? / Interest-Rates / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Axel_Merk

If interest rates are supposed to be on the rise, why has the price of gold gone up so much this year? Is it merely because it is bouncing back after a sharp decline in 2013? We have a closer look at the link between gold and interest rates to gauge how investors may want to approach the bait provided by the Fed.

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