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Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Wednesday, December 17, 2014

Wall Street Will Always Find An Excuse For Not Raising U.S. Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: EconMatters

Reasons or Excuses?
The reasons for the Fed not raising rates keep getting more bizarre and outside the scope of what used to constitute the Fed`s purview. First it was the financial crisis, then it was GDP growth not being up to par, then it was inflation not being robust enough, then it was employment being too soft, next it became China is slowing, then it became Europe is slowing, then it was Wall Street will sell off and there will be too much volatility, then it became lack of wage growth, next it was the Dollar was too strong, and now it is that Energy is too cheap. I am sure I missed at least 5 other reasons that have come and gone for the Fed not raising rates over the last 7 plus years of this ZIRP Fed Wall Street Welfare program.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, December 16, 2014

U.S. Bond Market Bubble is Reaching Epic Proportions / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: EconMatters

The 10-Year Bond now has a Yield of 2.08% right before the all-important Fed Quarterly Meeting and Press Conference this Wednesday, the 10-Year basically lost 24 basis points in a week, and mind you the week right after the strongest Employment Report (a positive 321,000 jobs added for the month) since the Financial Crisis, capping what has been a remarkable year in added jobs to the US economy, even wages spiked 0.4 % with strong upward employment revisions for the prior months. In short, in a normal functioning Bond Market Yields should be rising with improved economic conditions. Especially in a week with a robust Retail Sales Report up 0.7 % for the month. Bond Yields in the US should be much higher given the strong economic performance for 2014, and the Fed not only exiting QE, but about to start raising rates in 2015.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, December 09, 2014

More Washington DC Lies on Debts and Spending / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: MISES

Mark Brandly writes: ”Recently, the Treasury Department secretary asserted that “The President’s policies and a strengthening U.S. economy have resulted in a reduction of the U.S. budget deficit of approximately two-thirds — the fastest sustained deficit reduction since World War II.” And, “the deficit in FY 20141 fell to $483 billion.”

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, December 09, 2014

Debt, Default, and Taxes (DDT) Are Poison / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: DeviantInvestor

The official US National Debt is about $18,000,000,000,000, or 57 times the current market price of the US gold SUPPOSEDLY stored at Fort Knox, the NY Fed, and elsewhere.  With so much paper in the system it is easy to see why the Fed publicly denigrates gold.

In the single year from Sept. 30, 2013 to Sept. 30, 2014, the US official national debt increased by over three times the value of all the gold that the US supposedly owns.  The total debt and the increase in that debt is clearly “a problem.”

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, December 09, 2014

Welcome to the Brave New World of Central Bank Tyranny / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Money_Morning

Shah Gilani writes: Remember when banks used to make it worth your while to deposit cash with them?

Heck, if you’re old enough you probably even remember such inducements as free toasters.

But in a reprehensible turn of events, now you – the depositor – are about to get toasted.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, December 07, 2014

Why the Fed Won’t Raise Interest Rates in 2015 / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Investment_U

Alexander Green writes: U.S. short-term interest rates have stayed near zero for six years.

But if there’s one thing investment analysts of all stripes can agree on now, it’s that the Fed will start gradually raising rates in 2015.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, December 03, 2014

World Slides Deeper into the Dangerous "Helicopter Money" Delusion / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Money_Morning

Peter Krauth writes: If it seems to you that central banks and government leaders have run out of ideas, you're not totally wrong.

Indeed, the latest move by Japan smacks of pure desperation, and it might seem silly if it wasn't already an idea that's been floated before.

In fact, we may yet have the chance to see "helicopter money" and its effects after all.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, December 03, 2014

Another Ponzi Roll Over of U.S. Treasury Debt / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: BATR

As the holiday season draws nearer, it is nice to know that a present for all Americans and future generations is building as the hordes of consumers’ storm the aisles of their favorite box store so that they can go further in debt. Much like maxing out your plastic limits and paying the monthly minimum, the U.S. Treasury just keeps rolling over their debt since their credit card has no ceiling. The banksters behind the Federal Reserve have no problem with monetizing the national debt, since the Treasury provides their stamp of guarantee. As the public sector continues their spending spree, few really know the extent and amount of their share of the obligation.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, December 03, 2014

Lower Interest Rates Forecast for 2015 / Interest-Rates / Global Financial System

By: DailyWealth

Steve Sjuggerud writes: "It seems to me almost unthinkable that U.S. interest rates could rise in any meaningful way," Jeff Gundlach said on CNBC last week.

Jeff Gundlach is "The New Bond King" according to Forbes.

To be crowned King of the bond world, you must know interest rates better than anyone else on the planet. Gundlach has earned his place.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, December 02, 2014

US Debt Reaches $18 Trillion; Surges 70% In ‘Recovery’ of President Obama / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: GoldCore

Total U.S. national debt hit a new record high overnight at over $18 trillion as the Obama administration continues to pile debt onto the back of the U.S. taxpayer at a rate that would have made George W. Bush look positively prudent.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, December 01, 2014

Central Banks Go All In - Capturing the China Cat / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Look for awhile at the China Cat Sunflower
Proud-walking jingle in the midnight sun
Copper-dome Bodhi drip a silver kimono
Like a crazy-quilt stargown 
Through a dream night wind
Krazy Kat peeking through a lace bandana
Like a one-eyed Cheshire
Like a diamond-eye Jack
A leaf of all colors plays
A golden string fiddle
To a double-e waterfall over my back
Comic book colors on a violin river
Crying Leonardo words 
From out a silk trombone
I rang a silent bell
Beneath a shower of pearls
In the eagle wing palace
Of the Queen Chinee

- Robert Hunter  

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, November 25, 2014

How the Fed Sees Itself Is Not Pretty / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Money_Morning

Shah Gilani writes: Talk about putting your foot in your mouth. This would be funny if it wasn’t sickening.

During congressional questioning on Friday, Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D. Mass.) commented that the U.S. Federal Reserve‘s job is like that of “a cop on the beat.”

And that’s when New York Fed President William Dudley inserted a foot in his big mouth.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, November 22, 2014

Global Economies Will Dictate Interest Rate Hike Timing / Interest-Rates / Global Financial System

By: Sy_Harding

The Federal Reserve spent this year winding down its $85 billion a month QE stimulus program. With that task completed, the hot topic of analysts, and concern of markets, is how soon the Fed will take the next step in moving back toward normal monetary policies. That is, when will it begin raising interest rates from the current near-zero levels back toward normal?

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Interest-Rates

Friday, November 21, 2014

Draghi Speaks the Truth; ECB Will ‘Do What it Must’ / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Gary_Tanashian

Words are important.  This is not just a headline, it is a reality…

Draghi says ECB will ‘do what it must’ on asset buying to lift inflation

Not ‘do what it thinks would be the best course for the European economy’, not ‘choose the path of least resistance in guiding the financial system to recovery’… the ECB will DO WHAT IT MUST.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, November 21, 2014

30 Year Bond Bull Market - I Had My Cake, Until I Ate It / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: John_Mauldin

After 30 years of declining interest rates, bond investors are beginning to worry that rates will go higher—especially after the events of May 2013.

Back then, 10-year yields went from 2% to 3% on a frozen rope. Things got very dicey in fixed income. Some holders of corporate bonds (like the new Apple bond) were suddenly down 10% just on interest rates alone.

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