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1.Putin’s World: Why Russia’s Showdown with the West Will Worsen - John_Mauldin
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4.Gold Price Golden Bottom? - Toby_Connor
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7.Gold Price 2015 - EWI
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Last 5 days
Ruble Takedown Exposes Cracks in Putin’s Defense - 20th Dec 14
Oil Drilling Our Way Into Oblivion - 20th Dec 14
Stocks Bull Market Resumes - 20th Dec 14
Gold And Silver Nothing Is Ever As It Seems And No Respite For PMs - 20th Dec 14
What Are Technical Indicators Saying About the Stock Market? - 20th Dec 14
Here’s How You Can Still Make 27% With Apple Even if You Buy Now - 20th Dec 14
Gold Stocks to Shine in 2015 - 19th Dec 14
Why Alibaba Stock Shares Are a Screaming Buy - 19th Dec 14
China, Dollar, Japan, Europe Burning Questions for 2015 - 19th Dec 14
U.S. Economy is in a Sweet Spot! - 19th Dec 14
US Dollar and the Gold Fairy Tale - 19th Dec 14
Show Me The Money (Flow)! Tracking Money-Flow Through Value Shifts In Stock Markets - 19th Dec 14
The Commodities Market Is Not Dying, It’s Just Hibernating - 19th Dec 14
The Price Of Gold And The Art Of War - 18th Dec 14
Euro Succumbs to ECB QE Expectations and FOMC - 18th Dec 14
John Williams: A Downhill Run for the U.S. Dollar in 2015 - 18th Dec 14
Outrage at Taliban Islamic Fundamentalists Massacre of 132 Pakistani School Children in the Name of God - 18th Dec 14
How Inflation Changes Retirement Benefit Choices - 17th Dec 14
The Real Reason It's Tough to Beat the Stock Market - 17th Dec 14
Russian Currency Crisis and Debt Defaults Could Create Contagion in West - 17th Dec 14
How to Profit From Russia's Stock Market Crash - 17th Dec 14
Russia Crisis - If You Put Your Money in the Bank Will You Get it Back? - 17th Dec 14
Crude Oil Price Crash, U.S. Employment and Economic Growth - 17th Dec 14
Opposing Forces At Play In Gold and Silver Precious Metals Complex - 17th Dec 14
Wall Street Will Always Find An Excuse For Not Raising U.S. Interest Rates - 17th Dec 14
Torture, Terror And Elite Schizophrenia In The UK - 16th Dec 14
Eurozone Conflict Will Bring a Major Stocks Buying Opportunity - 16th Dec 14
Viewing Russia From the Inside - 16th Dec 14
Gold and Silver Stocks Bottom - Are We There Yet? - 16th Dec 14
The Financial Industry Pigmen Win Again - 16th Dec 14
Crude Oil Price Epic Blowout - 16th Dec 14
Asian Stocks Markets: Sand In The Gears Of The Bull Market - 16th Dec 14
U.S. Dollar Trend Forecast 2015 - Video - 16th Dec 14
Silver Price Bottom? - 15th Dec 14
Gold Price Base Building Bullish Pattern - 15th Dec 14
Stock Market Probable Pop-n-Crash Today - 15th Dec 14
Stock Market Time for a Bounce - 15th Dec 14
Stock Market Euphoria: The Mother of All Ponzi Schemes - 15th Dec 14
Gold - The Weight of Time as Trend - 15th Dec 14
U.S. Dollar Collapse? USD Index Trend Forecast 2015 - 14th Dec 14
The Rushing Stocks Bear Market and How to Prepare - 14th Dec 14
Gold and Silver Dreaming of a White Christmas - 14th Dec 14

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Politics

Saturday, December 20, 2014

Ruble Takedown Exposes Cracks in Putin’s Defense / Politics / Russia

By: Mike_Whitney

Russian President Vladimir Putin suffered a stunning defeat on Tuesday when a US-backed plan to push down oil prices sent the ruble into freefall. Russia’s currency plunged 10 percent on Monday followed by an 11 percent drop on Tuesday reducing the ruble’s value by more than half in less than a year. The jarring slide was assisted by western sympathizers at Russia’s Central Bank who, earlier in the day, boosted interest rates from 10.5 percent to 17 percent to slow the decline. But the higher rates only intensified the outflow of capital which put the ruble into a tailspin forcing international banks to remove pricing and liquidity from the currency leading to the suspension of trade. According to Russia Today:

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Currencies

Saturday, December 20, 2014

The Link between the Ruble and Keynes / Currencies / Russia

By: Steve_H_Hanke

On March 3, 2014, the United States went to war with Russia. That’s when the U.S. first imposed sanctions. And, yes, sanctions are nothing more than war by non-military means. Then, on November 11 Russia committed a major misstep. It floated the ruble. Since then, the ruble hasn’t floated on a sea of tranquility. It has plunged in lockstep with oil — by about 25% and its volatility has soared to around 65%.

The ruble’s plunge means that Russian imports will be more expensive and exports more competitive. This combination will help keep Russia’s current account positive, which will offset some of Russia’s massive capital flight.

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Commodities

Saturday, December 20, 2014

Oil Drilling Our Way Into Oblivion / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Oh, that sweet black gold won’t leave us alone, will it? West Texas Intermediate went through some speedbumps Friday, but ended over +5%, though still only at $57. Think them buyers know something we don’t? I don’t either. I see people covering lousy bets. And PPT (and that’s not the one we used to spray our crops with).

The damage done must be epic by now, throughout the financial system, but we’re not hearing much about that yet, are we? We will in time, not to worry. Everyone’s invested in oil, and big time too, and they’ve all just become party to a loss of about half of what both oil itself and oil stocks were worth just this summer.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, December 20, 2014

Stocks Bull Market Resumes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Tony_Caldaro

Another wild week in the markets. The market opened the week at SPX 2002 after last week’s 3.5% selloff. After a gap up opening on Monday carrying the SPX to 2019, it gapped down on Tuesday hitting 1973 right at the close. After that the market gapped up Wednesday, and on Thursday, then came with one point of its all time high on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 3.2%, the NDX/NAZ gained 2.2%, and the DJ World index was up 2.2%. Economic reports for the week were slightly biased to the downside. On the uptick: industrial production, capacity utilization, housing starts, leading indicators and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: the NY/Philly FED, the NAHB, building permits, the CPI, and the WLEI. Next week, a holiday shortened week, we get Q3 GDP, PCE prices, and more reports on housing. Best to your holiday week!

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Commodities

Saturday, December 20, 2014

Gold And Silver Nothing Is Ever As It Seems And No Respite For PMs / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Michael_Noonan

An eminent collapse of the US fiat petrodollar? China and Russia, with their enormous build-up of physical gold over the last several years, waiting in the wings to lead a new gold-backed currency? The growing BRICS alliance to unseat the elite's Western NWO and its banking system?

A growing likelihood on the first question, and no and no to the latter two questions. In fact, the elites are probably doing more to destroy the fiat Federal Reserve "dollar" than any other group or alliance. There has been talk about the US destroying the dollar for at least the past four years. Kyle Bass even made the pronouncement whereby a senior Obama administration official told him, "We're just going to kill the dollar." That is exactly what is happening and coming from "inside information."

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, December 20, 2014

What Are Technical Indicators Saying About the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Sy_Harding

It was just a week ago that financial headlines bemoaned the market having suffered its worst week in 2 ½ years. The bears came out of hiding with scary forecasts. Plunging oil prices, previously thought to be a positive for global economies, were suddenly seen as a major negative, along with the collapse of Russia’s economy and currency. Warnings of a potential global meltdown, perhaps even a 1998 style mini-crash, grew in number.

Bullish investor sentiment and confidence plunged. The weekly poll of its members by the American Association of Individual investors (AAII) fell to only 38.7% bullish.

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Commodities

Saturday, December 20, 2014

Bullish Reversal in Gold Miners but Metals Remain in Question / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

The gold and silver stocks have put in a bullish weekly reversal but Gold and Silver have not confirmed it. The interplay between the metals and the shares has been complicated in recent weeks. Hopefully this missive will make some sense of it as the two groups are sending mixed signals.

Gold and Silver are charted below in weekly candle format. Before this week the metals looked bullish. Each tested support and rebounded strongly towards resistance. However, both metals gave back much of the recent gains. Bulls would say they are correcting and still in position to test resistance. Bears would say the metals failed to reach resistance and are headed to new lows.

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Companies

Saturday, December 20, 2014

Here’s How You Can Still Make 27% With Apple Even if You Buy Now / Companies / Apple

By: Money_Morning

Michael A. Robinson writes: On October 30, 2013, I predicted that shares of Apple Inc. (Nasdaq: AAPL) had a 5-to-1 chance of skyrocketing to $1,000 a share and told you folks to buy it.

A little more than a year later, we have made amazing gains of 48%.

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Commodities

Saturday, December 20, 2014

Important Development for Bitcoin Traders / Commodities / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

Briefly: short speculative positions, stop-loss at $332, take-profit at $275.

We read an interesting piece on Tech Crunch on how 2014 was difficult for Bitcoin:

Overall creation of bitcoin wallets is up, which is an indication of continued interest from potential buyers. Wallets are files that contain private keys used to unlock the bitcoins within the tool so that you can spend them. It's akin to a physical wallet that holds credit cards.

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Commodities

Friday, December 19, 2014

Gold Stocks to Shine in 2015 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold stocks have suffered a miserable few years, becoming a laughingstock even among contrarians.  But this despised sector’s seemingly-endless downward spiral has left gold stocks vastly undervalued relative to gold, which drives their profits.  The fundamentally-absurd disconnect between gold-stock price levels and gold can’t last.  And it sure looks ready to end, making 2015 the year gold stocks shine again.

Any stock is a fractional ownership stake in a corporation, entitling shareholders to participate in that company’s profits.  So over time, any stock price ultimately reflects a reasonable multiple of these very underlying earnings.  If a stock price falls too low relative to corporate profits, investors step in to buy shares cheap bidding their prices higher.  And the opposite is true if a stock grows too expensive relative to earnings.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, December 19, 2014

Derivatives and Mass Financial Destruction / Stock-Markets / Derivatives

By: Alasdair_Macleod

Globally systemically important banks (G-SIBs in the language of the Financial Stability Board) are to be bailed-in if they fail, moving the cost from governments to the depositors, bondholders and shareholders. There are exceptions to this rule, principally, small depositors who are protected by government schemes, and also derivatives, so the bail-in is partial and bail-out in these respects still applies.

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Commodities

Friday, December 19, 2014

Gold and Silver Relative Calm in Wild Markets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Alasdair_Macleod

This week has been extremely volatile for oil, currencies and stock markets. Against this background gold and silver have drifted sideways to slightly lower, which given the dollar's strong performance is almost a positive result.

Along with a collapsing oil price on Monday and Tuesday, the Russian ruble fell from 58 to the USD on Monday to 77 the following day. It was clear that Russian oligarchs were getting out of rubles as fast as they could, hence the steep fall. By yesterday things had calmed down and the ruble was back to the 60.4 this morning. There was a slight frisson of excitement over the release of the FOMC minutes on Wednesday, to be followed by Quadruple Witching today. Stock index futures, stock index options, stock options and single stock options all expire on the third Friday of December. The result is the Dow 30 Index rose by 4.3% between Tuesday's opening and last night's close on an enormous bear squeeze.

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Companies

Friday, December 19, 2014

Why Alibaba Stock Shares Are a Screaming Buy / Companies / Internet

By: Money_Morning

When I'm not spending time digging through charts and analysis for Stealth Profits Trader, I like to look at some of the broader market elements that might be useful for any investor.

Today, I've found a great opportunity to buy a well-known and heavily traded stock at a great, low-risk price – perhaps even the best risk-adjusted price that we've seen on this stock to date.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, December 19, 2014

A Time to Prepare / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

The observation of modern finance through the lens of sound money requires an onion peeler. Each time I imagine onions, I think of my soft contact lens patients; the ones who abuse them.  I think of the patients who wear them too long or through periods of mild irritation or redness and practice poor hygiene. 

Soft contact lenses mask normal corneal sensitivity. They act like tiny onion goggles. With soft lenses in place, one can literally chop onions and not feel the normal irritating sensation at all.  The problem is they tend to be the last to know about the trouble.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, December 19, 2014

China, Dollar, Japan, Europe Burning Questions for 2015 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: John_Mauldin

Louis Gave is one of my favorite investment and economic thinkers, besides being a good friend and an all-around fun guy. When he and his father Charles and the well-known European journalist Anatole Kaletsky decided to form Gavekal some 15 years ago, Louis moved to Hong Kong, as they felt that Asia and especially China would be a part of the world they would have to understand. Since then Gavekal has expanded its research offices all over the world. The Gavekal team’s various research arms produce an astounding amount of work on an incredibly wide range of topics, but somehow Louis always seems to be on top of all of it.

Longtime readers know that I often republish a piece by someone in their firm (typically Charles or Louis). I have to be somewhat judicious, as their research is actually quite expensive, but they kindly give me permission to share it from time to time.

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