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Gold / Silver Ratio

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021 Nov 23, 2021 - 03:16 PM GMT

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Commodities

The chart shows that Silver is in a long-term losing battle against Gold, basically Silver is mostly not a precious metal anymore, it really is an industrial metal, well that's what the chart implies for at the time of panic when everything was crashing which commodity did people turn to? It was GOLD! NOT SIlver! So maybe it is time for the Silver bugs to ditch the alternative to fiat currency mantra and realise that it may have been true at one point many, many years ago but not for some time.


So the long-term trend is for Silver to become LESS of a precious metal and thus be marked lower against Gold and subject to industrial factors. Where the long-term trend suggest fair value for Silver should currently be around 95th the price of Gold. Whilst Silver is currently trading at 78, so Silver is over valued against Gold. Of course we should expect a great deal of volatility. However Silver at X55 earlier this year which so happens to have been my target of where silver would trade to as per my analysis of Jan 2020. However 55 was the best that Silver could ever hope of achieving which it did, now it is reverting to its long-term trend channel. which confirms my trend analysis that suggests Silver is heading lower to $18.

This is an another example of where looking at what was true in the past is probably not going to work going forward. Everyone can dream of Silver being a precious metal that is soon going rise along with the Gold price all of the way to $100 per ounce which clearly is not looking probable. In fact any rise beyond $30 is going to be tough to be maintained given the long-term dynamics. Still volatility is high enough for events to deliver sizeable 'temporary' moves out side of the primary trend channel.

The current Gold price of $1758 implies a fair Silver price of about $18.50. Of course if the Gold price takes off then so will Silver price rise by hanging onto Gold's coat tails, desperately trying to have some of Gold's shine rub off on the grey metal. Conversely if Silver is expensive relative to Gold then that implies Gold is cheap!

The rest of this extensive analysis that maps out a trend of the Silver Price into Mid 2022 has first been made available to Patrons who support my work. So for immediate first access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for just $4 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

Silver Price Trend Forecast October 2021 to May 2022, CHINOBLE! AI Stocks Buying Plan

  • UK Inflation Soaring into the Stratosphere, Real rate Probably 20% Per Annum
  • The 2% Inflation SCAM, Millions of Workers take the Red Pill
  • Silver Previous Forecast Recap
  • Gold Price Trend Implications for Silver
  • Silver Supply and Demand
  • Silver vs US Dollar
  • Gold / Silver Ratio
  • SILVER Trend Analysis
  • Long-term Trend Analysis
  • Formulating a Trend Forecast
  • Silver Price Trend Forecast October 2021 to May 2022
  • Silver Investing Strategy
  • SIL ETF - What About Silver Mining Stocks?
  • Gold Price Trend Brief
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Financial Crisis 2.0 Checklist
The China Syndrome
Stock Market Begins it's Year End Seasonal Santa Rally
Stock Market Trend Forecast Current State
INVESTING LESSON - BUYING VALUE
Peloton 35% CRASH a Lesson of What Happens When One Over Pays for a Loss Making Growth Stock
INVESTING LESSON - Give your Portfolio Some Breathing Space
How Stagflation Effects Stocks
INTEL Bargain - 15.5% Discount Sale
Why Intel stock price dropped 15%?
FACEBOOK - 10% DIscount
IBM - 20% Discount
Amazon - 5% Discount
APPLE 4% Discount
AMD $136 on Route to $200
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AI Stocks Portfolio Updated Buying Levels
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Crypto's 20% Discount Event
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Bitcoin NEW All time High is TRIGGER for Future Alt Coins Price Explosion

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  • The BITCOIN NEW ALL TIME HIGH Changes EVERYTHING!
  • Ravencoin to the MOON!
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And access to why inflation will be far from transitory, batten down the hatches for what's to come-

Protect Your Wealth From PERMANENT Transitory Inflation

  • Best Real Terms Asset Price Growth Countries for the Next 10 Years
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  • The INFLATION MEGA-TREND
  • Ripples of Deflation on an Ocean of Inflation!
  • Stock Market Trend Forecast Current State
  • US Dollar - Stocks Correlation
  • US Dollar vs Yields vs Dow
  • Stock Market Conclusion
  • 34th Anniversary of the Greatest Crash in Stock Market History - 1987
  • Key Lesson - How to REALLY Trade Markets
  • AI Stocks Portfolio Current State
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So for immediate first access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for just $4 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

My analysis schedule includes:

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Again for immediate access to all my work do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for just $3 per month that is soon set to increase to $4 per month for new Patrons, so a short window of opportunity exists to lock in at $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

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Your AI data preprocessing analyst.

Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Copyright © 2005-2021 Marketoracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat has over 35 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.

Housing Markets Forecast 2014-2018The Stocks Stealth Bull Market 2013 and Beyond EbookThe Stocks Stealth Bull Market Update 2011 EbookThe Interest Rate Mega-Trend EbookThe Inflation Mega-trend Ebook

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 1000 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

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© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


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