Most Popular
1. Dow Max Drawdown Bear Stock Market 2022 - Accumulating Deviations from the Highs - 21st Feb 22
2.Putin Starts WW3 in Ukraine, Will Use Tactical Nuclear Weapons, China Prepares Taiwan Blitzkrieg - 28th Feb 22
3.World War 3 Phase 1 - Putin WINS Ukraine War! - 25th Feb 22
4.INVESTORS SEDUCED by CNBC and the STOCK CHARTS COMPLETELY MISS the BIG PICTURE! - 10th Feb 22
5.Will There Be A 2024 US Presidential Election? - 3rd Mar 22
6.Gold and SIlver, Precious Metals Sector Is at a Terrific Buy Spot - 6th Feb 22
7.Why Putin Wants the WHOLE of Ukraine - World War 3 Untended Consequences - 6th Feb 22
8.Dow Stock Market Expected Max Drawdown 2022 - 19th Feb 22
9.Stock Market Calm In the Eye of the Inflation Storm - 4th Mar 22
10.M = F - Everything is Waving! Stock Market Forward Guidance - 7th Mar 22
Last 7 days
Why Ray Dalio is WRONG About China - Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order - 24th May 22
Globalists Convene to Plan Central Bank Digital Currencies - 24th May 22
After Recent Highs, What’s Next for the Gold Junior Miners? - 24th May 22
Why APPLE Could CRASH the Stock Market! - 21st May 22
Why Is Crude Oil Ignoring US Inventories? - 21st May 22
Here is Why I’m Still Bullish on Gold Mining Stocks - 21st May 22
THE INFLATION MEGA-TREND QE4EVER! - 20th May 22
US Real Estate Investors – Is There An End In Sight? - 20th May 22
How Technology Affected the Gaming Industry - 20th May 22
How To Set And Achieve Reasonable Goals For Your Company - 20th May 22
How Low Could the Amazon (AMZN) Stock Price Fall? - 19th May 22
Bitten by FANG? Clocked by Cryptos? -- 'Air Pockets' Everywhere - 19th May 22
Northern General Hospital Orthopedics Fractures and and Ankle Clinic Consultations Real Patient Experience - 19th May 22
Cathie Wood Goes All in on Teladoc, ARKK INSANE Noob Investing Strategy! - 17th May 22
This is Anything but Positive for US Housing Market - 17th May 22
What Should We Do If There Is No Fed Monetary Policy Pivot? - 17th May 22
All Possible Ways to Earn Free Litecoin - 17th May 22
How low Could the Amazon Stock Price Fall? - 16th May 22
Cathy Wood ARKK INSANITY There is NO Coming Back! - 16th May 22
NASDAQ 100 Stock Market LOWER LOWS & LOWER HIGH - 16th May 22
Sanctions, trade wars worsen US inflation - 16th May 22
AI Tech Stocks Earnings BloodBath Buying Opportunity - 14th May 22
Futures Contract – Trading Crude Oil With USO - 14th May 22
How to Get Kaspersky Internet Security for 80% Discount! Do not Pay Renewal Price! - 14th May 22
Sagittarius A* Super Massive Black Hole Monster at Centre of Our Galaxy REVEALED! - 14th May 22
UK Public Debt Smoking Inflation Gun - 13th May 22
What Happens When the Stock Market Dip Keeps Dipping? - 13th May 22
Biden Seeks Inflation Scapegoats; Gold Advocate Wins GOP Primary - 13th May 22
Apple and Microsoft Nuts Are About to CRACK and Send Stock Market Sharply Lower - 12th May 22
The War on Gold Ensures the Dollar’s Downfall - 12th May 22

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Kirstie and Phil's Location, Location, Location Returns as UK House Prices Crash

Housing-Market / UK Housing Nov 20, 2008 - 01:12 AM GMT

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Housing-Market Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKirstie and Phil self professed property experts make a return to the UK's TV screens with a more muted version of their long standing delusionally bullish UK property candy floss show titled location, location, location that helped feed the get on the property ladder frenzy of the last few years.


Finally, Kirstie has been forced to recognise the fact that house prices can actually fall which follows earlier near religiously opinionated programming that fed on and reinforced the fervour that gripped much of the country as annual house prices roared ahead every month by more than that which people earned in wages, that house prices are a one way bet.

The credit crash is clearly leaving the presenters in an air of frustration that the wood be buyers are in increasing numbers failing to act on their suggestions of buying found properties as people increasingly realise the risks of buying into a crashing UK housing market. Kirstie is still not getting the message that no matter how much you want house prices to rise, you can't talk up the market. But still the impression is that the presenters desperately want the potential buyers to BUY the located properties upon which the programme still hinges, when most are not wanting to once they do the sums away from the glare of the TV cameras, that BUYING does NOT stack up as the analysis of November 2007 showed and concluded that house prices need to rise by more than 2% per annum to beat renting, anything else and buyers lose money.

housepricecrash.co.uk video

Whilst Kirstie's now infamous emotional and angry response against anyone that suggested that house prices could fall on ITV's London Tonight 'appears' to have gone. Still both Kirstie and Phil are attempting to talk people into lemming like house buying decisions that they will likely regret as the housing bear market progresses, as in fact the most recent program illustrates which showed that had prospective buyers acted on Kirstie's and Phil's 'suggestion to buy', they would have lost £20k ! Let alone many of those that acted during the programming's boom years that are now probably sitting in negative equity.

Perhaps Channel 4 should have commissioned a show titled Repossession, Repossession, Repossession, so as to revisit those of Kirstie and Phil's clients that are in the process of handing their keys back as they pack their possessions and head off to some rundown council estate. Instead Channel 4 is holding onto an old programming formula that has been tinkered to at the edges for primarily an era that has now GONE ! No longer exists, instead of focusing on the housing bear market.

The return of the property show location,location, location follows Channel 4's other new money series titled the Ascent of Money, unfortunately again Channel 4 have commissioned a series led by an academic called Niall Ferguson, who appears to have little real world experience of actually trading the financial markets but purports to know the answers that led up to the credit collapse and what is likely to transpire. This from someone who apparently stated in late 1999 and early 2000 that Gold was dead as an investment and held no future other than as jewellery, and in fact published a book to the the same effect in 2001 as this was his conclusion after 'studying' over 500 years of monetary history.

It just goes to show the wide difference between academia that basically does not understand what they are talking about as they have never actually gained the experience and insight that comes with actually trading the markets over a number of years by reacting to price movements in real time. Instead academics rely on sanitised historic events without any of the associated experience of actually being immersed in events in real-time which is from which accurate forecasts are generated, rather grandiose theories of what should happen are employed that usually never stand up to a real market environment.

Given the poor quality of mainstream programming, its no wonder than people are waking up to find out that their banks are bankrupt and the housing market has crashed.

As to where house prices are going ?

The most recent house price data released by the Halifax shows that UK house prices have fallen by more than 16% from the peak of August 2007 and October 2008. The crash in both US and UK housing markets over the last 12 months was increasingly followed in September by the bankrupt banks collapsing one by one like a chain of dominos with governments rushing to their rescue during September and early October to the tune of unheard of amounts of tax payers money that now runs to collectively over $3 trillion. This triggered the near panic co-ordinated interest rate cuts in October of 0.5%, which was followed this month by an near unprecedented 1.5% cut.

The whole trend for the house price crash has been forecast well in advance of events, right from the very peak to the initial down-trend path amidst prevailing mainstream denial that house prices were actually falling as recent as of March of this year, and right up to the most recent data that fulfills the original forecast of a 15% fall in average UK house prices as projected in August 2007.

The current house price forecast is now complete, therefore work is underway towards completing in-depth analysis geared towards generating the next accurate forecast for UK house prices to cover the next 2 to 3 years, to get the analysis in your inbox subscribe to our always free newsletter.

By Nadeem Walayat
http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Copyright © 2005-08 Marketoracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat has over 20 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis specialises on the housing market and interest rates. Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication. We present in-depth analysis from over 150 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets. Thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

Attention Editors and Publishers! - You have permission to republish THIS article. Republished articles must include attribution to the author and links back to the http://www.marketoracle.co.uk . Please send an email to republish@marketoracle.co.uk, to include a link to the published article.

Nadeem Walayat Archive

© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in