Category: Commodities Trading
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Friday, June 14, 2013
While the Fed Parties, Gold & Crude Oil Have Left the Building / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: J_W_Jones
Risk assets and financial markets around the world have been supported by central bank action for several years. Performing financial alchemy on a scale larger than has been seen in the history of mankind, central banks have hijacked global financial markets. Mountains of liquidity, artificially low interest rates, and the creation of future asset bubbles has been their calling card for the past few years.
Tuesday, May 28, 2013
Commodities Catching a Falling Knife Part II / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Ed_Carlson
In my May 7, 2013 commentary, “Catching a Falling Knife?” I discussed my expectations for a temporary low in the commodity complex near the end of May. Since that time the DJ UBS commodity index has essentially moved sideways forming a triangle pattern on its chart. Triangles are typically thought of as continuation patterns. In this case, that would be a continuation of the previous decline from last September and should give us one final decline into the expected low this week.
Monday, May 20, 2013
Commodities Bear Market Elliott Wave Analysis / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: EWI
We have written about the commodity market over the years, and have been generally bearish for quite some time. The typical commodity bull market lasts about 13 years, followed by about a 21 year bear market. This is the 34-year cycle. Commodity bull markets usually begin near the beginning of stock market Secular inflation/deflation cycles. Then end just before these cycles end. During the stock market Secular growth cycles commodities remain in a longer term bear market.
Tuesday, May 07, 2013
Catching a Commodity Falling Price Knife / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Ed_Carlson
The April collapse in gold has drawn attention to the two-year decline in the commodity sector. Since gold’s collapse both it and crude oil have experienced a strong rally over the last two weeks. Many want to know if commodities have bottomed.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 17, 2013
Commodity Trading Opportunities Videos / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: EWI
Dear Trader,
If you read commodity news, you've probably noticed a trend: Seems like no one likes commodities any more! Here are some recent headlines:
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 17, 2013
Shale Oil is a Big Game Changer for Dow-to-Gold Ratio / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Gary_Dorsch
Financial history is marked with times when populations took collective leave of their senses and succumbed to delusions of ever-expanding wealth. Times of rampant speculation have been enthralled by the introduction of new technologies, that are used to justify pumping-up market valuations, - not just for the present, but also for the near future, and far over the horizon as well. Quite often, the new found wealth is nothing more than a mirage. The wild enthusiasm for the stock market is often overtaken by speculative froth and emotional mania. As such, spectacular rallies deliver massive gains for one generation of lucky investors, but also create massive overvaluations that plague the next generation.
Wednesday, April 03, 2013
Why Rick Rule Bought $280M of Platinum and Palladium / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Critical_Metals_Repo
When Rick Rule pairs lower grades, labor strife and inefficient mines with the relentless demand for platinum and palladium, his result is an investment thesis that could pay off for bullion and equity investors. In his Metals Report interview, the founder and chairman of Sprott Global Resource Investments Ltd. compares the current platinum and palladium space to the uranium sector 10 years ago, and predicts handsome returns for investors willing to shoulder the risk.
The Metals Report: Your report, Platinum and Palladium, predicts a 915,000-ounce (915 Koz) deficit in platinum and palladium this year. Does your investment thesis treat the platinum group metals (PGMs) more as precious or industrial metals?
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 23, 2013
Commodity Super Cycle Good and Bad News / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Richard_Mills
Commodity super-cycles are defined as decades long price movements in a wide range of commodities. Super-cycles differ from shorter term fluctuations in three ways:
- Super-cycles are demand driven because they follow world GDP
- Super-cycles span a much longer period of time with upswings of 10-35 years, taking 20-70 years to generate complete cycles
- Super-cycles are observed over a broad range of commodities. These commodities are mostly inputs for industrial production and for the urban development of an emerging economy
Wednesday, March 06, 2013
U.S. Dollar Top, Gold, Commodities Bottom / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Toby_Connor
While I suspect this is probably the furthest thing from what most investors expect, I think the dollar index is very close to forming another major top, and once it does it should release oil, gold and the rest of the commodity index from their extended corrections. Granted no one believed me when I called the major three year cycle low in the CRB last summer either.
As you can see in the next chart, as soon as the dollar began to rally out of its last intermediate bottom, commodities, including oil and gold, all began to move down into major intermediate degree declines. For gold this has turned out to be one of the most difficult yearly cycle lows of the entire bull market, other than the eight year cycle low in 2008.
Thursday, February 28, 2013
Five Commodity ETFs to Invest in Right Now / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Money_Morning
Tony Daltorio writes: One of things all investors should know for 2013 is how to invest in commodities, as the prices of many of these products head for huge gains.
One of the reasons they will soar is because institutional investors have quickly abandoned them in the current risk on/risk off investment climate. There is right now roughly $424 billion invested in commodities, but that is a mere fraction of 1% of all global investment assets.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 04, 2013
Wheat Commodity Analysis - A Technical Treatise For All Markets / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Michael_Noonan
What could wheat possibly have in common with gold/silver, or the S&P, or interest rates? When put into chart form, they are all the same: Bars that show highs, lows, closes, and volume. Market psychology affects all players, regardless of market. The factors of fear and greed are no different in a wheat trader than for a silver, S&P or interest rate trader, even stock investors.
The corollary to the above is that precious metals and/or S&P traders also think they have nothing in common with grain traders. All miss the point. Profit/loss opportunity, which is what the market provides, is the exact same across the board. Markets are neutral! They do not care what is being traded nor by whom. All markets do is reflect back what the collective is doing, be it in wheat, silver, cotton, stocks, you name it.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 27, 2013
Corn – Smart Money Putting On Short-Squeeze Clinic / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Michael_Noonan
While most eyes remain fixed on gold and silver, and the stock market, to a
lesser extent, the Fed having driven the little investor away, we take a fresh
look at the corn market. It has been some time since we last visited grains,
and corn deserves some attention. What do traders in PMs, S&P, Natural Gas,
Notes, or Corn have in common? To them, nothing. Being chart-driven, for
us all charts are the same. An opportunity is what we look for, and it matters
not from which sector that opportunity arises. Nor does not matter what the
underlying product is in any chart. We are equal-seeking opportunists.
Friday, January 18, 2013
Technical Trading Charts for Dollar, Stocks, Gold, Oil and Bonds - 18th Jan / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Chris_Vermeulen
January 18th, 2013 at 9:41 am Dollar index 4 hour chart is forming a bear flag. Until the lower blue support line is broken the flag will continue higher.
Thursday, January 17, 2013
Gold, Silver, and Real Assets to Shelter from The Coming Storm / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: DeviantInvestor
What Storm?
- A hurricane of digital money created by central banks to purchase government debt and other dodgy assets from banks.
- A tidal wave of deficit spending by governments around the world. It continues, regardless of whether you call it business as usual, stimulus, payoffs, or bailouts.
- A perfect storm of derivatives – the weapons of mass financial destruction that continue to plague our financial system – but make $Billions (Maybe $Trillions) in profits for the huge banks.
- A tornado of bailouts, giveaways, loans, and currency swaps from the Federal Reserve to backstop banks, politically connected individuals and corporations, European governments and others.
- An approaching thunderstorm of new and higher taxes – perhaps a carbon tax, a VAT, and a wealth tax. We hope most of these will be downgraded to a hot air disturbance.
- A tsunami of Japanese Yen based on the election of Prime Minister Abe and his avowed intention to weaken the Yen
Monday, January 14, 2013
Physical Delivery Needed in Agriculture & Energy Markets / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: EconMatters
“Risk On” Mode
It is pretty obvious that there is a lot of liquidity in the system, with the Fed`s loose monetary policy, extremely low interest rates, and traders in all out “Risk On” mode with regard to their two favorite funding currency crosses in the EUR/USD and USD/JPY. Traders are banging every asset class except for the Metals into the close, pushing asset classes up overnight with the futures contracts on a regular basis, and it is definitely a “Risk On” environment in the markets.
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Friday, December 14, 2012
Natural Gas Will be Trigger for Commodities Bull Run / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Toby_Connor
Last summer I told traders to watch the oil cycle as the CRB was working its way down into a final three year cycle low. At the time I was confident that the entire commodity complex was just waiting for the oil cycle to bottom. Once it did, the rest of the commodity complex launched out of that bottom like a rocket.
Friday, November 30, 2012
Two Major Stock and Commodities Trading Opportunities - Video / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: EWI
The editor of Elliott Wave International's Metals Specialty Service, Mike Drakulich, has just recorded a new, free video forecast:
Read full article... Read full article..."Aluminum and Alcoa: Exciting Juncture (Nov. 29, 2012.)"
Tuesday, October 02, 2012
Commodity Stocks Investing: Improving Returns With No Extra Volatility / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Frank_Holmes
Commodities are the necessary building blocks of the world. Glance around you--commodities are what the world needs to live and prosper and are everywhere you look. The world's seven billion people need resources, and that's why we recommend investors consistently allocate a portion of their portfolio to a natural resources investment.
Friday, September 28, 2012
Commodity Prices Will Rise / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Fred_Sheehan
There is not enough money being invested in energy to hold prices at current levels. It costs a bundle to replace depleted sources of oil and gas. The justification for increasing exploration budgets is hard to come by when countries are (effectively) nationalizing companies' projects. There is also the problem of actual production not meeting anticipated levels. And the matter - not, by any means, confined to a single industry or country - of companies not investing at all, terrorized as they are by our stark, raving, mad monetary policy.
Tuesday, September 25, 2012
QE and the Commodity Markets / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Tony_Caldaro
QE and the Commodity Markets
After the recent announcements of the ECB’s OMT program, (outright monetary transactions), and the FED’s QE 3 program, (open ended asset purchases), we were forced to not only review the equity markets, but also the commodity markets. We updated the commodity charts last weekend. Those who review our public charts, on a regular basis, are one step ahead of this report. We will start with a review of the GTX (S&P GSCI Commodity Index), then all five of its sectors.