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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Personal_Finance

Sunday, February 13, 2022

Budgies Love PEK Blocks for Fun and Health - JVP Large Iodised Condition Pek Blocks Amazon Review / Personal_Finance / Animals & Pets

By: N_Walayat

Budgies LOVE the mineral PEK blocks! After having gone without our two budgies leapt into action and pecked a new PEK block to death! DOn't waste your time getting those small single PEK blocks that soon get consumed, instead go for JVP large blocks ! Where you can get a pack of 12 for just £17 from Amazon (https://amzn.to/3LoCp82). Watch the video the video to see how much fun Budgies have with PEK Blocks.

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Companies

Friday, February 11, 2022

AI Tech Stocks 2022 Correction / Companies / Tech Stocks

By: Nadeem_Walayat

People tend to over complicate investing, looking for that which will give them the exact bottom price to buy at because they cannot cope with draw downs, even though the draw down delivers lower buying prices and thus risk missing out on the golden opportunity of accumulating into some of the best stocks one can ever dream of investing in at deep discounts to their trading highs, virtually all of which traded at least 15% lower during the week with a number such as Nvidia and AMD trading lower by more than 1.3rd of where they were trading barely a month ago!

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Commodities

Friday, February 11, 2022

Gold Withstands the Storm. Will Miners Drag It off the Raft? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022

By: P_Radomski_CFA

In line with bearish bets, miners have thrown a match. Gold, however, doesn’t want to leave the ring without a fight. How long will it stay high?

While gold remains relatively firm despite stock market turbulence, rising real yields, and bearish technical indicators, even a confluence of headwinds hasn’t been able to knock the yellow metal off its lofty perch. However, mining stocks haven’t been so lucky. With my short position in the GDXJ ETF offering a great risk-reward proposition, the junior gold miners’ underperformance has played out exactly as I expected.

Moreover, with major spikes in volume preceding predictable sell-offs (follow the vertical dashed lines below), I’ve warned on several occasions that the GDX ETF is prone to tipping its hand – we saw this volume spike in January, which was the 2022 top (as of today). In addition, with mining investors’ power drying up by the day, the medium-term looks equally unkind.

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Personal_Finance

Friday, February 11, 2022

We The People Launches Pre-Sale Minting Event February 21 / Personal_Finance / NFTs

By: Sumeet_Manhas

Saturday, February 5 2022 – We The People, an ultra-utility driven NFT project, has announced exciting plans for an NFT digital-art drop that aims to set the metaverse on fire.

We The People’s founders intend to create a community with land acquisition, governance, and community, designed, built and run by the people. This community will be driven by its own economy, where members can operate businesses and earn real crypto assets passively and actively. 

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 10, 2022

INVESTORS SEDUCED by CNBC and the STOCK CHARTS COMPLETELY MISS the BIG PICTURE! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Dear Reader

Have you capitalised on the stock investing lemmings as they leapt off the investing cliff as I and many of my patrons / readers have been doing? If not why not?

For instance during the PANIC I have expanded my exposure to my select list of AI tech stocks form 22.7% to 36.9%.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 10, 2022

Is it time to buy the Stock Market Dip? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022

By: Stephen_McBride

By Justin Spittler : Is it time to buy the dip?

After all, the stock market has been a sea of red lately.

Many former highflyers are down 50%... 60%... even 70%.

That has many investors salivating to buy “cheap” shares.

And I get it…

Buying the dip can be a great money-making strategy.

But I don’t think that’s the play here.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 10, 2022

"A Stock Market Top for the Ages" Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022

By: EWI

Hi reader,

In late 2021, Elliott Wave International Founder and President Robert Prechter gave a rare, live presentation -- "A Stock Market Top for the Ages" -- at the annual New Orleans Investment Conference. The recording comprises Prechter's December 2021 Elliott Wave Theorist.

And now our friends at EWI are sharing it with you free ($99 value).

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Housing-Market

Thursday, February 10, 2022

Important Things You Need To Consider Before Selling A Property / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Steve_Barker

House-selling is one of the most complex things that you'll ever do in your life. It's not just about choosing the right realtor or finding an ideal property, but there are some other factors that are just as important, so keep reading to find out what they are.

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Politics

Tuesday, February 08, 2022

Pandemic Rear View Mirror - Next Potential Catastrophe? / Politics / Environmental Issues

By: Nadeem_Walayat

We are fast leaving the pandemic behind in the rear view mirror where as expected the Omicron wave despite shrill cries from the vested interests barely resulted in a bump than a wave.

But what's next? What could be the next big real life global disaster movie that we are largely unprepared for.

Top of the list is - CLIMATE CHANGE!

Despite all of the noise, we actually are facing a CLIMATE CHANGE CATASTROPHE!

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, February 08, 2022

Reform of the G 7 and the City of London Corporation needed as a matter of urgency. / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2022

By: Christopher_Quigley

Nicholas Shaxon:
"Wealthy individuals hold over 10 trillion dollars offshore….However, the IMF estimates …… that the balance sheets of small island financial centres alone added up to 18 trillion dollars".

The Group of Seven (G-7) is an intergovernmental organization made up of the world's largest developed economies: France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United States, the United Kingdom, and Canada. Government leaders of these countries meet periodically to address international economic and monetary issues, with each member taking over the presidency on a rotating basis.

In response to the Panama Papers on off-shore banking operations in South America (released by WikiLeaks) the European Commission set up a commission of investigation. Its recommendations are outlined below. However, to date, the G 7 and the City of London Corporation have refused to adopt such measures. This is despite the fact that the G 7 adopted a specific mandate to adopt strategies to aid third world spiralling debt.

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Companies

Tuesday, February 08, 2022

Buy This Top Payment Disruptor Stock / Companies / Sector Analysis

By: Stephen_McBride

Did you add payment stocks to your portfolio yet?

A few weeks ago, I showed you why payment stocks are one of my top investment ideas for 2022.

I told you one “threat” weighing on these stocks: the buy-now-pay-later trend.

But there’s another reason some folks in the know are worried…

Today, I’ll share all the details. I’ll explain why it’s only more reason to buy world-class payment stocks.

And I’ll share one of my favorites to buy today…

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Stock-Markets

Monday, February 07, 2022

INVESTORS SEDUCED BY STOCK CHARTS COMPLETELY MISS THE THE BIG PICTURE! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Given some of the comments I tend to get, (without mentioning anyone) illustrates that many people are STILL failing to fully grasp what we are dealing with here, the AI stocks are NOT NORMAL CORPORATIONS! THEY ARE ON AN EXPONENTIAL TREND TRAJECTORY!

And that exponential reality is QUANTUM AI!

Instead investors are getting seduced by standardised charts of every stock, throwing random names about just because they have fallen x%, perhaps buoyed by one of the more useful metrics, a low PE ratio to entertain thoughts of investing. All of which acts to dilute what is actually taking place as most investors focus is usually in the wrong place, permanently hinged on a few droplets of water that are the quarterly earnings reports at the expense of ignoring the ocean that is the Quantum AI mega-trend.

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Currencies

Monday, February 07, 2022

Why the Federal Reserve Note’s Decline Is FAR Worse Than Reported / Currencies / US Dollar

By: MoneyMetals

Americans are waking up to some uncomfortable truths. One of these is the fact that government bureaucrats and the corporate media regularly lie about what is going on in the world.

They tell us the Federal Reserve Note “dollar” is strong and price inflation is completely under control. (We use quote marks because a true dollar is 24.057 grams of silver, whereas the Federal Reserve Note is a form of counterfeit.)

Millions of Americans now notice rapid price inflation and a good portion of them are pouring into physical bullion.

To illustrate just how much nonsense is baked into official inflation data, we are presenting three charts... 

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Interest-Rates

Monday, February 07, 2022

Powell the Pivoter Cannot Now Pivot Back to a Dove / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Michael_Pento

The current Fed Chair is perhaps best known for his quick pivots from hawkish back to dovish and vice versa. Maybe he is just too dependent on the prevailing winds of the current economic data. Or, perhaps more accurately, he is most swayed by the performance of the stock market. In either case, Jerome Powell received more reasons to become hawkish just one day following his already hawkish FOMC press conference.

The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported Q4 2021 GDP growth at a 6.9% SAAR. This is a big problem for the Fed, since it falsely believes inflation comes from an economy that is growing too fast. Add in the 7% CPI print for December, and you have a Fed that now understands it is far behind the inflation curve and it's time to pivot towards an even tighter monetary policy stance. Nevertheless, the FOMC fails to grasp the rapid growth and inflation was engendered by unprecedented fiscal and monetary stimulus, which has now gone in reverse.

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Politics

Sunday, February 06, 2022

Why Putin Wants the WHOLE of Ukraine - World War 3 Untended Consequences / Politics / Russia

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Saber rattling, troop build ups, mis-information, clutching at peace straws, clueless journalist suggesting it's not going to happen because Putin's best buddy in China is in the mood for an omicron spreading sporting event.

Clearing away the fog - The Russians ARE going to invade Ukraine as soon as weather permits! Why? Because Russia is a dictatorship! Dictatorships seek out that which can exaggerate their power and Ukraine in those terms is the only obvious bordering target for Putin.

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Commodities

Sunday, February 06, 2022

Will the Fed Tighten Gold? The Consequences Might Be Ignoble / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Beware, the Fed’s tightening of monetary policy could lift real interest rates! For gold, this poses a risk of prices wildly rolling down.

The first FOMC meeting in 2022 is behind us. What can we expect from the US central bank this year and how will it affect the price of gold? Well, this year’s episode of Fed Street will be sponsored by the letter “T”, which stands for “tightening”. It will consist of three elements.

First, quantitative easing tapering. The asset purchases are going to end by early March. To be clear, during tapering, the Fed is still buying securities, so it remains accommodative, but less and less. Tapering has been very gradual and well-telegraphed to the markets, so it’s probably already priced in gold. Thus, the infamous taper tantrum shouldn’t replay.
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Interest-Rates

Sunday, February 06, 2022

New US National Debt Milestone Signals Currency Crisis Ahead / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: MoneyMetals

The U.S. reached a $30 trillion milestone this week. Instead of signifying a great achievement, though, it serves as a dire warning for American workers, investors, and retirees.

On Tuesday, the Treasury Department reported that total public debt outstanding surpassed $30,000,000,000,000.

That’s a lot of zeroes. It amounts to $231,000 per household.

Interest on the debt currently costs taxpayers $900 million per day, or $330 billion per year. Enormous as that sum may seem, it is artificially low at present due to depressed interest rates.

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Commodities

Sunday, February 06, 2022

Gold and SIlver, Precious Metals Sector Is at a Terrific Buy Spot / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical Analyst Clive Maund examines the charts for the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF, code GDX, and sees good cause to be positive about gold's future outlook.

In this update we are going to do something that we haven’t done for a while, which is to examine the charts for the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF, code GDX, in an effort to figure out where it is in its cycle, and as we will see there is every reason to be positive about its future outlook.

Generally speaking, the Precious Metals sector has been dull for a long time, since early August 2020 to be exact and it has seriously underperformed the market as a whole, which is a positive in the sense that this makes it more undervalued with more upside.

In recent months, as we can see on the latest 6-month chart, GDX has been pretty much rangebound above a strong support level, with its overall trend being neutral to slightly lower. Over the past couple of weeks it has dropped quite sharply, which of course was partly in sympathy with the sharp drop in the broad market, and it is looking more of a buy here with the appearance of a bull hammer on Friday close to the support.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, February 05, 2022

THE Stock Market VALUATION RESET Explained / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The valuation reset is the rotation out of over valued growth stocks the pinnacle of which populate Cathy Wood's ARK funds and into under valued low PE usually dividend paying stocks as the following illustrates for the Russell Small cap stocks where high value stocks were bid up to to fever pitch ridiculous valuations whilst the value stocks were largely neglected by the market and as you can see we are a long way from the value reset from running it's course so this could play out for most of 2022. Where our AI tech stocks are concerned this translates into the higher the PE stocks facing greater downwards pressure for the likes of Nvidia, AMD, Microsoft and Amazon. Conversely the lower the PE stocks should see upwards pressure especially for dividend paying stocks such as IBM, Intel, GPN, LMT and so on into the biotech's.

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Commodities

Saturday, February 05, 2022

A Gold-centric Macro View / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022

By: Gary_Tanashian

As the gold “community” rationalizes gold’s currently low standing…

As unpopular it may be, I cannot alter the truth as I see it. Marketing is fine, but never at the expense of truth, as with much financial media/analysis (with little disclaimers tucked in below the fold).

In my opinion, a sizeable component of the gold ‘market’ is actually marketing; to the fearful, to the naive, to the biased, to the politically rigid… Also in my opinion, Twitter is a breeding ground made for brief promos, sloganeering and bias reinforcement.

Pop up mini-screed behind us, let’s take another view of the macro from the perspective of a pretty rock that is heavy and does nothing, other than provide an anchor to long-term value in a bubble era where value is temporarily an outmoded concept. You don’t root for gold. You play the macro and keep an eye on gold, because when it is time to be bullish on gold, it will mean that…

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