Monday, July 04, 2016

Deutsche Bank to Trigger the Next Financial Crisis! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

I am certain that you remember Lehman Brothers and the “chaos” that it created when it ‘failed’. If you think that the Worlds’ Central Banks are now wiser and consequently will not allow another similar event to occur, think again. We will not only see a repeat of this occurrence, again, but it will be exponentially larger than Lehman’s was!

On June 29^th, 2016 the IMF stated that “among the [globally systemically important banks], Deutsche Bank appears to be the most important net contributor to systemic risks, followed by HSBC and Credit Suisse,” reports The Wall Street Journal.

Monday, July 04, 2016

Fall in UK BTL Mortgages for First-time Landlords / Housing-Market / Buy to Let

By: MoneyFacts

Year-on-year, the number of buy-to-let (BTL) mortgages has increased, so it would be fair to assume that the availability of deals for first-time landlords has also expanded. However, research from Moneyfacts.co.uk shows that the proportion of mortgage deals for new landlords has actually shrunk to a record low.

Monday, July 04, 2016

BrExit Implications for UK Stock Market, Sterling GBP, House Prices and UK Politics... / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Britain's vote to LEAVE the European Union triggered immediate financial markets panic that prompted the Bank of England to implement its emergency market rescue plan that included making upto £250 billion available to Britains banks that succeeded in halting the BrExit financial panic in its tracks as sterling stabilised at lower levels whilst the FTSE soared into the stratosphere recovering all of Fridays plunge and registering its best weekly gain in over 4 years. So what's next for the financial markets? Is the BrExit financial storm over? Find out in Part 2 of the Implications of BrExit on the financial markets, stocks, sterling, house prices and UK politics.

Monday, July 04, 2016

BrExit Implications for UK Economy, Interest Rates, Bonds, Markets, Debt & Deficit, Inflation... / Economics / UK Economy

By: Nadeem_Walayat

On Thursday 23rd of June 2016 the people of Britain voted to LEAVE the European Union surprising all including politicians, financial markets, big businesses, pollsters, bookmakers and even prominent LEAVE campaigners such as Nigel Farage who conceded defeat shortly after the polls closed at 10pm only to start backtracking a couple of hours later. The apparent surprise result that confounded most expectations has led to a spike in market and policy uncertainty as within hours of the decision David Cameron announced that he would be stepping down as PM and thus triggering a Tory leadership contest. Whilst Labour apparently went one step further by completely self destructing as 75% of Westminister Labour MP's attempt to eject Jeremy Corbyn, a civil war that looks set to destroy the Labour party. So Britain today remains rudderless without a functioning government or opposition let alone any idea of exactly how a BrExit vote will translate into real world impacts in every day peoples lives where now major business and economic decisions have been put on hold.

Monday, July 04, 2016

On July 4th Demand Freedom, Don't Celebrate The State / Politics / US Politics

By: Dr_Ron_Paul

As we gather with family and friends to celebrate the July 4th holiday we should remember that we are not celebrating the state, but rather commemorating an act of secession from an oppressive government. We are celebrating the adoption of the Declaration of Independence from Great Britain - a daring move by the Founders inspired by a desire for liberty.

Thomas Jefferson famously said, "Eternal vigilance is the price of liberty." That does not only mean that we should be prepared to defend against foreign invaders. Perhaps more importantly it means that we must retain the lessons from the original American revolt and guard against a government that views the people as the enemy.

Monday, July 04, 2016

A Perplexing Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: A lengthy correction is most likely underway!

SPX Intermediate trend: More time is needed to evaluate the nature of this rally.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Monday, July 04, 2016

Gold Market Manipulation Has Created Rarest of Opportunities / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Gary_Savage

The banksters, by manipulating the price of gold and artificially creating a bear market, have created what will likely turn out to be one of the greatest opportunities ever seen. I’ve maintained all along this was their goal. To create the most destructive bear market in history, which would then generate the largest bull market the world has ever seen.

Folks, you might as well take advantage of this opportunity. The banksters aren’t the only ones that deserve to get rich. They have destroyed millions of peoples lives as the authorities stood by and watched them run the precious metals markets, and especially the mining sector, down to absurd levels over the last few years. Now they have switched sides and the attacks have stopped. It’s time for price to swing in the other direction. And it’s going to swing so far in the other direction, that I have no doubt before it is over this will be the largest bull market the world will ever see.

Sunday, July 03, 2016

UK House Prices BrExit Crash NOT Likely Despite London Property Market Weakness / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The establishment REMAIN camp peddled the same story for the UK housing market all year, one of a collapse, crash or worse! As operation fear each month ramped up the threats of that which awaited a post Brexit Britain. The house prices crash fear mongering even emanated direct from George Osborne himself who warned: “If we leave the European Union there will be an immediate economic shock that will hit financial markets... That affects the value of people’s homes and the Treasury analysis shows that there would be a hit to the value of people’s homes by at least 10 per cent and up to 18 per cent."

Sunday, July 03, 2016

Independence Day Hypocrisy, Not Democracy / Politics / US Politics

By: Stephen_Lendman

On July 4, 1776, America gained independence from Britain. Everything changed but stayed the same under new management - the way the framers planned it.

Today we'd call them a Wall Street crowd - a deplorable bunch, including bankers, merchants, planters, ship owners, lawyers, politicians, judges, slave owners and traders, speculators, smugglers, privateers, and other type wheeler-dealers.

“We the people,” meant them, not us. They created a government of men, not laws. Property owners alone had rights. Ordinary people didn't matter, entirely left out.

Sunday, July 03, 2016

Anti-Brexiteers Hit London Streets / Politics / EU_Referendum

By: Stephen_Lendman

On June 23, referendum results showed most Brits for Brexit, an anti-neoliberal/pro independence rebellion wanting change.

Union beholden to Brussels sacrifices political sovereignty to a higher offshore authority. Independence may not change much but at least would let Brits chart their own way.

Sovereign independence is sacrosanct, inviolable - the inalienable right of all nations. Union destroys it.

Sunday, July 03, 2016

Stock Market Charts - What Do You See That Frightens You? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jesse

"Peter. Verily, verily, I say to you, when you were young, you dressed yourself, and walked where you liked: but when you are old, you will stretch forth your hands, and another will gird you, and carry you where you would not wish to go."

Since the adults all seem to be leaving Wall Street early today to get a head start to the Hamptons, I will just post the charts as they are now and catch up on any late changes next week.

Sunday, July 03, 2016

UK BrExit Inflation Forecasts Spike CPI to 3%, RPI 4% / Economics / Inflation

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Whilst official UK CPI Inflation continues to hug near 0% at a rate of just 0.3% for May 2016, meanwhile RPI which is the closest official measure to real inflation has continued to nudge higher to 1.4%, which are set against the demand adjusted Real UK inflation rate of 1.8%. So deflation? Not really, real UK price Inflation is actually well above 1% and was already trending towards 2% before BrExit.

Sunday, July 03, 2016

Deflation Is Blowing In On An Eastern Trade Wind / Economics / Deflation

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Brexit is nowhere near the biggest challenge to western economies. And not just because it has devolved into a two-bit theater piece. Though we should not forget the value of that development: it lays bare the real Albion and the power hunger of its supposed leaders. From xenophobia and racism on the streets, to back-stabbing in dimly lit smoky backrooms, there’s not a states(wo)man in sight, and none will be forthcoming. Only sell-outs need apply.

The only person with an ounce of integrity left is Jeremy Corbyn, but his Labour party is dead, which is why he must fight off an entire horde of zombies. Unless Corbyn leaves labour and starts Podemos UK, he’s gone too. The current infighting on both the left and right means there is a unique window for something new, but Brits love what they think are their traditions, plus Corbyn has been Labour all his life, and he just won’t see it.

Saturday, July 02, 2016

The Stock Market is Reading it Wrong! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The European markets, the British pound, and Euro had rallied for six days prior to its’ meeting based on political polls.  These polls were showing that the vote was too close to call.  The market incorrectly interpreted this as meaning that the “Remain” side would prevail.  The British pound hit a new a year-to-date high last Thursday, June 23rd, 2016, the day of the election. Banks had done especially well in the rally, some being up by almost double digits during their best days.  After the  Brexit vote, they experienced a massive ‘selloff’.

Saturday, July 02, 2016

Sanitized US Drone Report Masks Killing on an Industrial Scale / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Stephen_Lendman

US administration and congressional news releases reflecting badly on official policies most often occur at low news consumption periods.

Late Friday, the Obama administration chose the start of the July 4 holiday weekend to release its sanitized drone report, an exercise in deception - when few people were paying attention.

It’s not worth the paper it’s written on, fabricated to conceal revealing that drones used for military purposes are instruments of state terror.

Saturday, July 02, 2016

Kerry Suggests Maybe No Brexit / Politics / EU_Referendum

By: Stephen_Lendman

Addressing the right-wing Aspen Institute on Wednesday, Kerry said Brexit “(d)idn’t change a thing.”

“This is a very complicated divorce.” David Cameron is loathe to invoke Lisbon Treaty Article 50, legally required to begin a lengthy Brexit process. He feels “powerless” to negotiate what he doesn’t want.

“(A)nd I think this is a fair conclusion - to go out and start negotiating a thing that he doesn’t believe in and has no idea how he would do it.”

Saturday, July 02, 2016

Two MAJOR Stock Market Warnings Not to Trust This Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Graham_Summers

The market has exploded higher based on verbal intervention.

The verbal intervention came from Germany’s Finance Minister Wolfgang Schauble. Yesterday Schauble announced that, “measures to avoid market chaos have been successful.”

Traders took this to mean that Central Banks were coordinated a massive intervention. So everyone on the planet bought stocks.

Saturday, July 02, 2016

Stock Market Volatility Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 2037. After a gap down opening to start the week, and a decline to SPX 1992, the market reversed and rallied quite strongly for the rest of the week. The two day post Br-exit decline from SPX 2113-1992, was nearly fully retraced when the market hit SPX 2109 on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 3.2%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 3.4%. Economic reports for the week were positive. On the downtick: pending home sales, construction spending, plus weekly jobless claims and the trade deficit rose. On the uptick: Q1 GDP, consumer confidence, personal income/spending, the PCE, the Chicago PMI and ISM manufacturing. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by monthly Payrolls and the FOMC minutes.

Saturday, July 02, 2016

BrExit Gold And Silver – The Only Money That Matters / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Michael_Noonan

The focus this week will be on the charts as much of the Western world remains embroiled in events that become harder and harder to cover up explain.  The elites and their central banker’s curtain continues to be pulled back for all to see, yet the vast majority of the public fails to associate the world’s financial woes as having originated by pure elite greed for control over both money and people.

BREXIT has yet to be put into effect, and it remains to be seen if the globalists will ever allow it to happen.  They have more tricks up their sleeves than a street full of prostitutes.  At least with the latter, there is willing consent.

Saturday, July 02, 2016

George Osborne's BrExit Excuse to Scrap UK Government Debt, Deficit and Borrowing Targets / Economics / UK Debt

By: Nadeem_Walayat

George Osborne Friday announced that he would be using BrExit as an excuse to scrap the cornerstone of his economic policy, one of ending this parliament with an annual budget surplus, instead now stating:

"The referendum result is as expected likely to lead to a significant negative shock for the British economy. How we respond will determine the impact on people’s jobs and on economic growth.

The Bank of England can support demand.

The government must provide fiscal credibility so we will continue to be tough on the deficit but we must be realistic about achieving a surplus by the end of this decade as precisely the flexibility that our rules provide for, and we need to reduce uncertainty by moving as quickly as possible to a new relationship with Europe and being super competitive, open for business and free trading. That’s the plan and we must set to it.”