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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Stock-Markets

Saturday, March 26, 2016

Stock Market Maybe This Time is Different? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

The week started at SPX 2050. After a somewhat choppy move higher to SPX 2057 by Tuesday, the market pulled back to SPX 2022 on Thursday. Then it rose for the rest of the day to close at SPX 2036. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 0.6%, the NDX/NAZ lost 0.3%, and the DJ World lost 1.3%. On the economic front reports finally came in on the positive side. On the uptick: FHFA housing, new homes sales, Q4 GDP and the WLEI. On the downtick: existing home sales, durable goods, and Q1 GDPN. Next week, a busy one, is highlighted by Payrolls, the Chicago PMI, and the PCE.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, March 26, 2016

Macro Changes and Future Inflation Problems / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Gary_Tanashian

Ever since beginning the ‘Macrosom‘ theme in July (and updating it here), NFTRH has been managing macro changes that would positively affect the gold sector, and quite possibly have a negative effect on broad stock markets.  Early on in the precious metals bear market we noted they were “in the mirror” and opposite the stock market, which on the post-2011 cycle has been the beneficiary of the Fed’s inflation, instilling confidence in their policies by conventional market participants (after all, the right assets were going up on this cycle).  In August, it appeared that the first real thrust in the direction of our macro theme kicked in as the stock market cracked.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, March 26, 2016

Market Price Discovery is Essential, It is The Nucleus of Capitalism and We Haven't Had it in Decades / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Gordon_T_Long

FRA Co-founder Gordon T. Long is joined by Michael Pento in discussing topics from the government debt problem, the current boom in gold and the outlook of the dollar.

Mr. Pento is the President and Founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies (PPS). PPS is a Registered Investment Advisory Firm that provides money management services and research for individual and institutional clients. Mr. Pento is a well-established specialist in the Austrian School of economics and a regular guest on CNBC, Bloomberg, FOX Business News and other national media outlets. His market analysis can also be read in most major financial publications, including the Wall Street Journal. He also acts as a Financial Columnist for Forbes, Contributor to thestreet.com and is a blogger at the Huffington Post.

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Commodities

Saturday, March 26, 2016

What to Watch For in Gold Price and Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Gold and gold stocks finally showed a bit of weakness during the holiday shortened week. Gold had its biggest weekly loss in months, losing 3% to $1217/oz while the miners (GDX, GDXJ) declined about 5%. Silver lost 4%. If weakness in Gold and gold stocks continues then we should turn our attention to technical support and see if it will hold. Gold and gold stocks are trading above the 400-day moving average which has been key resistance since 2011. Holding that support in the days or weeks ahead would offer confirmation that a new bull has started.

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Commodities

Saturday, March 26, 2016

Who Sets the Gold Price? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

How is the price of gold established? Scratching the surface, the answer seems obvious: it is a result of a free interplay of market forces. However, there is no single gold market; the yellow metal is traded in many places. Who then sets the price of gold? London or New York? Which of them shapes the price discovery process? What is the relationship between the LBMA Gold Price and Comex futures and spot prices? As the chart below shows, there is an almost perfect correlation between London and New York prices; but which leads the dance?

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, March 26, 2016

Stock Market SPX & Crude Oil at Critical Juncture / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The SPX at the 2050 level looks like a great place for a ‘pullback’ to begin as indicated in the chart below. There is a potential “distribution topping phase” in which the SPX may pull back to 2000.  I see a potential target at 1890.

The price has made a series of lower swing highs and lower swing lows since topping in 2015.  There was a big August 2015 sell-off, followed by a rally to a lower high in November 2015, then a sell-off to a lower low in January 2016.  The rally currently is still at a lower high than the November 2015 high.

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Commodities

Friday, March 25, 2016

Gold Stocks Spring Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Zeal_LLC

The red-hot gold stocks have spent most of March in consolidation mode, grinding sideways near their 2016 highs.  Interestingly this month’s rally pause is par for the course seasonally in gold-stock bull markets.  Like gold itself, this sector tends to slump to a seasonal low in mid-March before embarking on a strong spring rally in April and May.  With gold stocks back in a bull, their seasonality warrants consideration.

Seasonality is the tendency for prices to exhibit recurring patterns at certain times during the calendar year.  While seasonality doesn’t drive price action, it quantifies annually-repeating behavior driven by sentiment, technicals, and fundamentals.  We humans are creatures of habit and herd, which naturally colors our trading decisions.  The calendar year’s passage affects the timing and intensity of buying and selling.

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Economics

Friday, March 25, 2016

BEA Revises U.S. GDP Economic Growth Upward to 1.38% for Q4 2015 / Economics / US Economy

By: CMI

In their third and final estimate of the US GDP for the fourth quarter of 2015, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported that the economy was growing at a +1.38% annualized rate, up +0.38% from their previous estimate for the fourth quarter, but still down -0.61% from the third quarter.

The improvement was broadly based, with the revision to consumer expenditures for services having the greatest impact (+0.34%). Exports (+0.09%) and imports (+0.02%) also improved, as did commercial fixed investment (+0.04%) and governmental expenditures (+0.03%).

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Currencies

Friday, March 25, 2016

Fiscal and Monetary Madness / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: DeviantInvestor

Global Currencies Madness:

When central banks and politicians “manage” global currencies, we can expect:

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Commodities

Friday, March 25, 2016

Pre-1965 Silver Pocket Change Provides Investors With an Economic Future / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: MoneyMetals

Among all the choices you have for gold and silver bullion, genuinely historic metal is still around at reasonable prices. The runaway classic is ninety-percent U.S. silver coinage.

The lyrical ring of a handful of silver coins speaks not only to the history of the United States but also the entire heritage of sound money. Simply put, pre-1965 silver used to be called "pocket change." Everyone had some, saved some, spent some. Silver money was a natural part of everyday life.

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ElectionOracle

Friday, March 25, 2016

Belgium Has Fallen, Will London be Next to Fall if BrExit Fails? / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The terror attacks on Belgium following a few months on from the Paris outrage are as a consequence of several reasons topped by the catastrophe in Syria that is sending out ripples of chaos that in the first instance are hitting neighbouring countries such as Turkey and Lebanon and increasingly Europe as a consequence of having sent 10,000 disaffected and marginalised muslim youth with little to live for to Syria to seek a way out of the void of their meaningless lives that the Islamic State seeks to fill with promises of instant rewards for eternity in paradise.

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InvestorEducation

Friday, March 25, 2016

Don't Be Fooled: News Does NOT Drive the Markets - Elliott Wave Crash Course / InvestorEducation / Elliott Wave Theory

By: EWI

See a fresh example in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index

Mark Galasiewski, the editor of our monthly Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast, explains how using the news to predict the markets is "meaningless."

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Personal_Finance

Friday, March 25, 2016

UEFA Champions League 2016 PepsiCo Walkers Prizes Delivery 3 / Personal_Finance / Freebies and Comps

By: Adnaan_Walayat

Its time to find out what's in our THIRD batch of prizes delivered, won in the easy to to win UEFA champions league PEPSI and walkers crisps promo, see the tallys for whats recieved and what's still pending as clues of what to expect. The comp's still running so make sure to check out our other videos giving tips on how to maximise wins.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, March 25, 2016

Dow Transports and Utilities Suggest Stocks Bull Market Is Back / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market

By: Austin_Galt

The Dow Jones Transportation Average (DJT) and Dow Jones Utility Average (DJU) indexes are often seen as leading indicator of the overall stock market. With that in mind, let's analyse the technicals of each index.

The Dow Jones Transportation Average (DJT) is a stock market index of the American transportation sector. Price last traded at $7957.

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Currencies

Friday, March 25, 2016

EUR/USD Likely to Fall Back Below 1.10 / Currencies / Euro

By: Richard_Cox

The EUR/USD has fallen under the radar in recent weeks, as overall volatility in the currency space as slowed significantly.  There are a few different reasons for why this is happening, as recent central bank statements have clarified what we are likely to start seeing from both the US Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank (ECB).  To some extent, we are seeing dovish alterations in many of the previous expectations that most analysts had for both central banks.  So, it would not be entirely surprising to see some accompanying trend changes in the weeks ahead.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, March 24, 2016

US Economic Growth Remains Sluggish…Markets Remain Uninspired / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Dan_Norcini

This morning’s Durables Goods report underscored just how moribund economic growth in the US remains.

Additionally we learn that US business investment remains lackluster at best.

While Central Banks are spiking the punch bowl, it appears the party goers are not imbibing.

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Commodities

Thursday, March 24, 2016

The 'Dangerous Obsession' with Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jesse

"Gold has worked down from Alexander's time. When something holds good for two thousand years I do not believe it can be so because of prejudice or mistaken theory." Bernard Baruch

"The commerce and industry of the country, however, it must be acknowledged, though they may be somewhat augmented [by paper money], cannot be altogether so secure, when they are thus, as it were, suspended upon the Daedalian wings of paper money, as when they travel about upon the solid ground of gold and silver." Adam Smith, Wealth of Nations, p. 262

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Currencies

Thursday, March 24, 2016

US Dollar Rebound Spells Further Downside for the Kiwi Dollar / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: AnyOption

With rhetoric for US rates hikes ramping higher while other advanced economies across the globe consider the merits of additional accommodation, the US dollar has found itself on the mend after several weeks of softness.  Even though US macroeconomic data has been mixed and at times disappointing, first quarter growth is projected to be strong, paving the way for additional tightening while countries such as New Zealand contemplate lowering benchmark rates even further. 

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ElectionOracle

Thursday, March 24, 2016

FT Misinterprets Sterling Market Action on BrExit Fears, EU Referendum Propaganda? / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum

By: Nadeem_Walayat

A recent article in the FT's EU Referendum fear campaign is concerned with the rise in the cost of insuring against a fall in sterling as a consequences of the increasing risks of BrExit that it attributes to the Brussels terror attacks. The story is a continuation of operation Fear that began with Boris Johnson's declaring to join the LEAVE / BrExit campaign.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, March 24, 2016

Stock Market SPX May Gap Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

SPX crossed another short-term trendline in the Premarket and appears to be challenging its Short-term support at 2020.07. Should SPX gap beneath that level at the open, we may be in for a fast ride to Intermediate-term support at 1854.42. It is my opinion that 2040.00 was the most important support of the rally.

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