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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Commodities

Wednesday, April 21, 2021

Pausing Stocks and Gold Fireworks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: Monica_Kingsley

The S&P 500 went back to relentless rallying on Friday, yet the selling wave before the close looks to indicate hesitation ahead. Even though VIX is attacking the 16 level, and the put/call ratio ticked higher, the bulls are little disturbed thus far – and they‘re unlikely to get upset. Whatever consolidation comes, would be a sideways one – one to be bought.

That‘s the result of ample liquidity in the system, which is denting the rotations. Yields can go up or down, yet the sectoral adjustments to the downside aren‘t largely there, and that extends beyond the recently discussed financials. It concerns tech specifically, as the sector appears at a turning point – it defended gains:

(…) without too much help from the behemoths, and value stocks surged. …. Retail sales outdoing expectations and unemployment claims dropping sharply – the economic recovery is doing fine, manufacturing expands, and inflation doesn‘t yet bite. We‘re still in the reflationary stage where economic growth is higher than the rate of inflation or its expectations.

Gold loved the TLT upswing and Powell‘s assurances about not selling bonds back into the market in rememberance of eating a humble pie after the Dec 2018 hissy fit in the stock market (isn‘t this the third mandate actually, the cynics might ask). I called for the sharp gains across the precious metals board sending my open position(s) even more into the black.

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 21, 2021

Precious Metals and Miners Start of New Longer-Term Bullish Trend - P2 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: Chris_Vermeulen

This second part of our research article related to the new Bullish price phase in Precious Metals and Miners will continue to explore the potential range and targets for higher price trends.

In the first part of this article, I discussed how precious metals have started moving higher in somewhat of a stealth mode – not really drawing a lot of attention from traders.  While other commodities and market sectors continue to rally, Gold and Silver have recently been setting up a new momentum base over the past few weeks.  If our research is correct, we may soon see a stronger bullish price rally in precious metals which may drive miners 3x to 5x higher as Miners have greater Alpha than precious metals.

Are The Stars Aligning For A Big Market Shift Focusing On Gold & Silver?

Another key factor is that we’ve recently shifted away from an appreciation cycle phase and into a depreciation cycle phase.  This new Depreciation cycle phase suggests the US Dollar may enter a decidedly downward overall trend while the US stock market may continue to move higher with increased volatility and extended price rotation ranges.  Additionally, this new Depreciation cycle phase clearly suggests precious metals will begin an upward price trend that may last well into 2027~2028 or longer.

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Housing-Market

Wednesday, April 21, 2021

Looking For A Mortgage Broker? Here's How To Hire One / Housing-Market / Mortgages

By: Steve_Barker

Are you looking to buy a house or to get an investment loan, or you need help sifting through mortgage options? Then you will need a mortgage broker. It is possible to do all this on your own, but it will be tasking. A mortgage broker is a professional that acts as an intermediary between you and the lenders. They don't just connect you to any lender. They use your financial situation to get the best fit lender at an interest rate you can afford.

Mortgage brokerage is a rising business. In 2004, there was 53,000 mortgage brokerage in the United States. With online mortgage brokers, an increase in the mortgage industry has occurred. These rising numbers make it difficult to hire mortgage brokers easily. You are not just looking for any mortgage broker. You are looking for a good one that makes you his/her priority and helps you navigate the complex mortgage market.

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Companies

Tuesday, April 20, 2021

Amazon AMZN Stock PRIMEDAY SALE! Trend Analysis / Companies / Amazon

By: Nadeem_Walayat

First Amazon stock soared into the stratosphere and now so have Amazon earnings doubling, sales up 44%.Gone is Amazons EC of 148! Gone too is the relatively pricey valuation of 91 of November 2020, and here we now stand barely 3 months on with Amazon priced on par with Google trading on an EC of just 42. What does this mean, it means Amazon is CHEAP! And thus the Buy Percentage is 100%!

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 20, 2021

Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: You May Not Believe My 2021 Targets / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Avi_Gilburt

Ever since the market crash in February and March of 2020, so many investors, authors and analysts have been on high alert for the next shoe to drop.

In fact, I can no longer count how many articles (along with comments) I have read which have called this market one name or another, while looking for the next crash. While such descriptive name calling included a “bubble,” or “topping,” or having gone “too far too fast,” or “not supported by the fundamentals,” or having an “overly heated PE ratio,” it is clear that this rally has taken many by surprise, and many still do not believe in its ability to continue on further.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 20, 2021

Stock Market Phase Two Projection / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend:  There is some evidence that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009 and which could continue into the first half of 2021 before major cycles take over and it comes to an end.

SPX Intermediate trend:  SPX has completed the next phase of its intermediate uptrend and should correct.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which determine longer market trends.

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 20, 2021

Are Precious Metals & Miners Starting A New Longer-Term Bullish Trend? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Almost in stealth mode, precious metals have begun to bottom and start a new upside price trend while the US stock market focused on the FOMC meeting a few weeks back and current economic data.  Gold, Silver, and many of the Miner ETFs recently started a moderately strong push higher – almost completely behind the scenes of the hype in the markets regarding IPOs and Bitcoin’s new recent highs.

All the Gold traders know that when Gold starts a new leg higher, it could mean inflation fears are being amplified in the global markets and/or fear is starting to creep back into the markets.  After the recent rally in the US major indexes and as we plow through Q1:2021 earnings, it makes sense that some fear and inflation concerns are starting to take precedence over other concerns.  Will the markets just continue to push higher and higher? Or are the market nearing some type of intermediate-term peak after rallying from November 2020? Only time will tell…

The recent move in Gold and Silver prices suggests traders and investors are starting to act more aggressively to hedge against downside market risks.  My research team and I believe these upside trends may confirm an upside breakout trend in Precious Metals and Miners within 2 to 4+ weeks. You may find some of our earlier research articles related to metals, including our April 15th price targets for Gold, Silver, and Platinum, and our research from March 26th where we explore an impending miners breakout rally.

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Economics

Tuesday, April 20, 2021

Inflation: First the Gain, Then the Pain… / Economics / Inflation

By: MoneyMetals

Gold and silver markets are exhibiting more signs of breaking out into a rally.

On Thursday, bond yields pulled back sharply. That helped fuel a new record in the Dow Jones Industrials. But the precious metals sector was an outperformer on the day, with mining stocks leading gold prices to a fresh multi-week high.

With the exception of palladium, precious metals markets have lagged behind other asset classes in 2021. That may be in the process of changing here in the second quarter.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 19, 2021

8 Stock Market Indicators in 1: Here's the Message of the Panic/Euphoria Model / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: EWI

Prior model extremes occurred in March 2000 and October 2007

Elliott Wave International has been providing market analysis for more than four decades -- which includes many bull/bear market cycles.

That said, the public's current market mindset -- especially among inexperienced investors -- is a reminder of the extremes surrounding the 2000 market top, and a few others.

For example, a February 27 MarketWatch headline said:

A new wave of fearless retail investors is ready to pour $170 billion into stocks ...

Also, according to an early February Deutsche Bank survey of online brokerage users, 61% are under 34 years of age and 45% are in their first year of investing.

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Commodities

Monday, April 19, 2021

Gold - You Can Win a Battle, but Still Lose the War / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Gold had a good day yesterday, but as it hits the $1,770 resistance line, it will be anything but easy for the yellow metal. The real test has begun.

And so, it happened. Gold moved right to its target level that seemed to be the max that it could reach, but that didn’t seem to be the most likely outcome. Just because it wasn’t the most likely outcome, doesn’t make it impossible. The “most likely” can happen all the time – after all its only “most likely” not “certain” or “inevitable”.

Gold declined right after its triangle-vertex-based reversal, but it appears that the market participants didn’t want to give up on the bullish tone until gold finally reached its previous lows and highs.

Just like magnets, the strong support and resistance lines draw investors and traders, and it seems that we saw this play out once again.

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Commodities

Monday, April 19, 2021

Will Interest Rates Rally Further Push Gold Price Down? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The recent rally in the bond yields pushed gold prices down, but this trend won’t continue forever, as the Fed will likely be forced to step in.

In March, we saw a continuation of the rally in bond yields that started in February. As the chart below shows, the 10-year real interest rates have soared from -1.06 on February 10 to -0.66 percent on March 23.

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Commodities

Monday, April 19, 2021

Gold Fireworks Doubt the Official Inflation Story / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: Monica_Kingsley

The S&P 500 red candle and then some – erased in a day, that‘s what you get with the Fed always having your back. The staircase climb certainly looks like continuing without any real breather. Whatever steep ascent you compare it to (Jun or early Sep 2020), this one is different in that it doesn‘t offer but token corrections. Not that it would be reasonable to expect a steep downswing given the tide of liquidity, but even sideways trading has become rarer than it used to be.

With the VIX still below 17 and the put/call ratio in the middle of its slowly but surely less complacent range, the path of least resistance is higher – the signs are still aligned behind the upswing to go on:

(…) Don‘t pin your hopes too high for a (sharp) correction though. Yes, [on Wednesday] stocks listened to the weakening corporate credit markets, and the daily retreat in long-dated Treasuries inspired some profit taking in tech. Quite some run there as yields stabilized, which has turned XLK from very stretched to the downside of its 50-day moving average, to the upside extreme. Tesla also followed suit but I doubt this is a true reversal of tech fortunes.

Just at yesterday‘s moves – technology surged higher without too much help from the behemoths, and value stocks surged. Even financials ignored the sharp retreat in yields. Yes, that‘s the result of retails sales outdoing expectations and unemployment claims dropping sharply – the economic recovery is doing fine, manufacturing expands, and inflation doesn‘t yet bite. We‘re still in the reflationary stage where economic growth is higher than the rate of inflation or its expectations.

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Currencies

Monday, April 19, 2021

YuanPay Team Discuss The Process Of Crypto Diversification / Currencies / BlockChain

By: Mark_Adan

...

 


Commodities

Sunday, April 18, 2021

Central Banks May Ramp Up Gold Buying / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: MoneyMetals

Ignore what central bankers are saying; instead, watch what they are doing.

While they poo-poo gold or pretend it doesn't exist, global central banks have been quietly but aggressively accumulating gold bullion for several years now. The Central Bank of Russia, for example, has been a consistent buyer of gold.

Other major central banks have also been acquiring and holding the metal, although some scaled back last year following the pandemic and record-high prices for the metal.

Given more favorable market conditions and greater risks to holding U.S. dollar reserves, central banks may soon ramp up their gold buying again.

The Hungarian Central Bank cited “long-term national and economic policy strategy objectives” for its move.

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Personal_Finance

Sunday, April 18, 2021

How to Get Rid of Driveway Weeds With Just WATER! 6 Months later NO Weeds, Ultimate Killer! / Personal_Finance / Money Saving

By: HGR

Here's a near permanent solution to getting rid of driveway weeds by just using WATER! And it works as I did this in October 2020 and 6 months on the weeds have NOT returned! How did I do it? I used a good pressure washer such as the Karcher K7 Pressure that tackled an extremely weed infested driveway.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, April 18, 2021

State of the European Markets - DAX, FTSE, CAC, AEX, SMI, IBEX 35, S&P/MIB, Euro Stoxx 50, RTS / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: EWI

Dear reader,

In many ways, over the past year Europe had it tougher than the rest.

And now, with the slow vaccine roll-out and calls for new lockdowns, things look shaky.

Despite all that, European stocks have powered on. The DAX even hit a record high!

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Companies

Sunday, April 18, 2021

Einvestment Fund: What You Need To Know About Investments / Companies / Investing 2021

By: Mark_Adan

Investing is very crucial because it helps your finances and your future. It helps you generate more income and also boosts your wealth. Having an investment will secure your retirement period. A financial investment is an instrument or asset purchased for a future resell. It will then be put up for a resale at a higher price than the bring price to get additional income.

Alternatively, the asset can be used to generate income for the investor directly. In factors such as rental income and dividends, the investor will get direct returns from the asset. There are no accurate transaction criteria to define an investment. However, any operation that is undertaken to create more money is an investment.
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Stock-Markets

Saturday, April 17, 2021

Stocks and Bonds Inflationary Slingshot / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021

By: Gary_Tanashian

Cost-push inflation could break out (and a note on gold)

Before beginning the post a little context is in order. We (NFTRH) anticipated the current pause in long-term Treasury yields (one indicator of inflation) because pro-inflation sentiment became over-done in March and was due for a cool down; so said a contrarian view. This post discussing the likelihood of more inflation to come is not written by a one-way bias booster. It’s important for credibility to make these distinctions from the herds running with the daily news cycle.

The short-term contrary sentiment situation against the inflation view began with the Bond King’s media-touted short of long-term Treasuries (i.e. expectation of higher yields), per one of our best macro tools…

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Companies

Saturday, April 17, 2021

Google Alphabet (GOOG) AI Deep Mind Stock Trend Analysis / Companies / Google

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Google stock has just rocketed higher after under performing it's brethren, and coming from it's last great buying opportunity low during September that saw Google trade down to $1400. This illustrates the primary point that we don't know precisely WHEN an individual stock will surge higher i.e. the AI stocks are not going to all move in lock step together. So it is pointless to ask questions such as why is Amazon soaring but Google is not, if a stock is good then eventually it will come good in terms of price performance and Google is literally PRIMARY which means that Google is likely to be the first mega-corp to be run by an AI in all but name. So the existence and scope of the AI's control and management needs will need to be inferred where one big clue will be inexplicable to most stock price movements that to me reveal the handiwork of post human intelligence - DEEP MIND!

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Personal_Finance

Saturday, April 17, 2021

Best Smartphone Selfie Stick Tripod Review by ATUMTEK Works with Samsung Galaxy and Iphone / Personal_Finance / Mobile Technology

By: HGR

This is a review of one of the best tripod selfie sticks on the market (Amazon) that is made by ATUMTEK. Mini Extendable 3 in 1 Aluminum Blue tooth Selfie Stick with Wireless Remote and Tripod Stand 270° Rotation for iPhone 12,11 Pro/XS Max/XS/XR/X/8/7,10,20, Samsung and Smartphone. Watch the video to find out what its like.

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