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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Politics

Tuesday, June 02, 2020

UK Corona Catastrophe Trend Analysis / Politics / Pandemic

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The devastating consequences of the chinese Coronavirus catastrophe continues in terms of lives lost and severe economic contraction, which given who it's effecting and to what extent (the West) has all the hallmarks of being a bio-weapon that has in large part been engineered to target western population groups to a greater extent but which through negligence prematurely leaked out of the Wuhan bio lab and then proceeded to go on the rampage across world aided by infected Chinese travelers allowed to travel internationally whilst domestic flights out of Wuhan were suspended.

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Housing-Market

Tuesday, June 02, 2020

US Real Estate Stats Show Big Wave Of Refinancing Is Coming / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Current data released for the May Real Estate and Consumer Spending activity suggests a wave of refinancing is taking place – and not much else.  Pending home sales slipped to 69.  That level is 7.4 points below the lowest level in 2010 – at the height of the 2008-09 credit crisis that collapsed the global Real Estate values.  How big is this new low level in Pending home sales?  It’s HUGE.

It suggests the rate of sales in the US for Real Estate has collapsed beyond levels that were seen at the worst possible time in recent history (July 2010).  In fact, over the past 20 years, there has never been a time when the pending home sales index has collapsed below 74 to 75 – until today.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 02, 2020

Let’s Make Sure This Crisis Doesn’t Go to Waste / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020

By: John_Mauldin

A stock market crash wasn’t 1929’s only big event. Coca-Cola (KO) launched a new slogan: “The Pause That Refreshes.”

Coke’s marketers sensed the economy was headed down. How do you sell a completely unnecessary beverage to a struggling country? It’s simple, really: You remind consumers that treating themselves is important, too. 

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 02, 2020

Silver and Gold: Balancing More Than 100 Years Of Debt Abuse / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Hubert_Moolman

Since the creation of the Federal Reserve in 1913, the stock market has outperformed Gold and Silver significantly. Here is a great chart (from longtermtrends.net) that proves this:

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Companies

Tuesday, June 02, 2020

The importance of effective website design in a business marketing strategy / Companies / SME

By: Submissions

If you are starting a new business, or managing an existing one, you have most likely thought about creating a website. Or, you may already have one for your business, and will also probably already be aware of the effects some simple website design can have on your business’ success.

Having an effective marketing strategy will obviously increase the chance of your business becoming successful. Effective marketing is what will lead to more sales and increased revenue, and thus the growth of your business. However, there is one key element that should be part of your marketing strategy, and that is effective website design.

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Companies

Monday, June 01, 2020

AI Mega-trend Tech Stocks Buying Levels Q2 2020 / Companies / AI

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Perceiving Coronavirus as a Disruptive Technology

The 'scientists' say that viruses are not alive. We'll for something that's 'technically' not alive it sure does behave like it is! Perhaps just as scientists will deem AI to be 'not alive' all the way until they take all of the jobs.

So lets leave the academic world behind, for their moronic obsession's has gotten us into this mess, certainties of solutions adopted by the likes of the UK and US to achieve 'herd immunity' when commonsense would have served our nations far better that of isolating and quarantining all those even suspected of being infected! Such as every flight entering the UK from virus infested China during January and February.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, June 01, 2020

M2 Velocity Collapses – Could A Bottom In Capital Velocity Be Setting Up? / Interest-Rates / Money Supply

By: Chris_Vermeulen

M2 Velocity is the measurement of capital circulating within the economy.  The faster capital circulates within the economy, the more that capital is being deployed within the economy to create output and opportunities for economic growth.  When M2 Velocity contracts, capital is being deployed in investments or assets that prevent that capital from further circulation within the economy – thus preventing further output and opportunity growth features.

The decline in M2 Velocity over the past 10+ years has been dramatic and consistent with the dramatic new zero US Federal Reserve interest rates initiated since just after the 2008 credit crisis market collapse.  It appears to our researchers that these extended periods of zero interest rates deflate the capability of money circulating throughout the economy and engaging in real growth opportunities for investment and capital inflation.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, June 01, 2020

The Inflation–Deflation Conundrum / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020

By: The_Gold_Report

Sector expert Michael Ballanger considers what the post-pandemic world could look like in the aftermath of central bank actions. As I sit here on the shores of lovely Lake Scugog, its weed-infested waters lying in wait for countless unsuspecting propellers soon to be ensnared, I am reminded of the failed world of central banking and policy initiatives, which too has become ensnared in flora of its own making—a floating algae bloom of debt, deception and intervention.

Following this metaphor apropos, there is nary a dock with twenty miles of Port Perry that is navigable without encountering an impassable wall of goose droppings. Being Canada's favorite bird, these creatures are the height of ornithological fecal incontinence. Sadly, as a "protected species," citizens are prohibited from causing them not only any harm, but also inconvenience (as in shooing them off your property), resulting in spoiled lawns and malodorous decks and gazebos. When I see a flock of these flying manure sacks about to land on the lake, I am once again reminded of politics, where unelected officials are paid to engineer policies of unknown outcome and uncertain consequence, but where the result will be despoiled surroundings, economic disaster and odors of the foulest origin.

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Personal_Finance

Monday, June 01, 2020

AMD 3900XT, 3800XT, 3600XT Refresh Means Zen 3 4000 AMD CPU's Delayed for 5nm Until 2021? / Personal_Finance / Computing

By: HGR

AMD has leaked specs on 3 new desktop processors to be released as early as Mid June, which are refreshes for 3 Ryzen 3000 series cpus featuring higher clock speeds for the 3900x that becomes the 3900XT, 3800x becomes the 3800XT and so on for the 3600XT at the same price as existing processors, so the X variants will drop in price.

These chips are a bit of a surprise because everyone's been eagerly waiting for the fourth gen Zen 3 desktop processors to start appearing from August or September, which hopefully will also include a 4950x

So why release Zen 2 XT' refresh? We'll it appears to be to put the gaming CPU nail in Intel's 10th gen Comet late coffin. Intel's 10,900k and 10,700k processors that the XT will seek to displace from their gaming number 1 spots..

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InvestorEducation

Monday, June 01, 2020

Why Multi-Asset Brokers Like TRADE.com are the Future of Trading? / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade

By: Justin_Weinger

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Commodities

Saturday, May 30, 2020

Will Fed‘s Cap On Interest Rates Trigger Gold’s Rally? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Last week, the FOMC released the minutes from its last meeting. What implications do they carry for the gold market?

FOMC Finally Acknowledges the Situation As Serious

Last week, the FOMC has published minutes of its meeting from April 28-29. They show that the Fed reassessed the coronavirus economic implications since the previous meeting at which the central banks did not yet grasp the full gravity of the situation. This time, they acknowledged that “the second quarter would likely see overall economic activity decline at an unprecedented rate.” Indeed, as we reported many times, the GDP will collapse, while the unemployment rate will soar to the levels not seen since the Great Depression.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, May 29, 2020

Is Stock Market Setting Up for a Blow-Off Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our research team has become increasingly concerned that the US Fed support for the markets has pushed price levels well above true valuation levels and that a risk of a downside price move is still rather high.  Recently, we published a research article highlighting our Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) predictive modeling system results showing the US stock market was 12% to 15% overvalued based on our ADL results.  Today, Tuesday, May 26, the markets opened much higher which extends that true valuation gap.

We understand that everyone expects the markets to go back to where they were before the COVID-19 virus event happened – and that is likely going to happen over time.  Our research team believes the disruption of the global economy over the past 70+ days will result in a very difficult Q2: 2020 and some very big downside numbers.  Globally, we believe the disruption to the consumer and services sector has been strong enough to really disrupt forward expectations and earnings capabilities.  We’ve been warning our friends and followers to be very cautious of this upside price trend as the Fed is driving prices higher while the foundations of the global economy (consumers, services, goods, and retail) continue to crumble away.

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Companies

Friday, May 29, 2020

Strong Signs In The Mobile Gaming Market / Companies / Gambling

By: Submissions

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Local

Friday, May 29, 2020

Last Clap for NHS and Carers, Sheffield UK / Local / NHS

By: Eliza_Walayat

Eliza joins the rest of Britain at 8'oclock for what could be the last clap for the NHS heroes, clap for carers from Sheffield as the sound of clapping, banging of pots and pans, whistles and fireworks echoes across the UK.

Even so the fact we have to do so is a sign of gross government negligence in the handing of the pandemic. None of which should have happened as Taiwan and South Korea illustrate with a fraction of the 64,000 excess deaths to date (ONS)..

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Companies

Thursday, May 28, 2020

Why You’ll Never Get Another Stimulus Check / Companies / Banking Stocks

By: Stephen_McBride

April 10, 2020 will go down in the history books. As you likely know, the US government recently handed out “coronavirus checks.”

Over 150 million Americans received the $1,200 cash injection. This isn’t the first time Uncle Sam issued free money. But it is the first time Americans didn’t need a bank account to get the cash.

On April 10, PayPal became the first “internet bank” authorized by the US government to issue stimulus checks. Folks didn’t have to wait for a check to arrive in their mailbox… or talk to a bank teller to get the money. Instead, Uncle Sam simply funneled billions of dollars to Americans through PayPal’s “app.”

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Companies

Thursday, May 28, 2020

The AI Mega-trend Stocks Investing - When to Sell? / Companies / AI

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Amidst such prevailing doom and bloom just remember that the AI mega-trend is one of the most powerful mega-trends of our time, maybe even more so than the climate change mega-trend because the AI mega-trend could change the very nature of our reality.

Which is why I have been repeatedly warning for 5 years to PREPARE FOR EVERYTHING TO CHANGE!

We can guess at what is to come but the only way we mere mortals can have a piece of the AI pie is through owning the AI stocks. For which we still have some time to get invested into, maybe several years before the two exponential curves of AI (machine intelligence) and Quantum computing converge and then literally EXPLODE!

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Commodities

Thursday, May 28, 2020

Trump vs. Biden: What’s at Stake for Precious Metals Investors? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: MoneyMetals

The China virus, the economic lockdowns, and the multi-trillion-dollar rescue efforts of central bankers have dominated markets over the past three months.

However, as lockdowns gradually lift and the 2020 election draws nearer, investors will begin to focus more on political developments.

The once-strong economy that President Donald Trump had hoped would propel him to re-election has collapsed. The President has also taken a tremendous amount of heat from the media over his handling of the COVID-19 crisis, and that has hurt his poll numbers.

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Commodities

Thursday, May 28, 2020

Implications for Gold – 2007-9 Great Recession vs. 2020 Coronavirus Crisis / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

When the economic crisis hits, the first instinct is to analyze the previous catastrophes to learn what to expect from and how to handle the current calamity. So, not surprisingly, many analysts have already pointed to the 2008 global financial crisis (GFC) as the most relevant example. However, is really the current coronavirus recession similar to the Great Recession? Let’s compare these two big crises and draw investment conclusions for the gold market!

First of all, in terms of scale and pace of the decline, the current crisis is much broader and deeper. It hits practically the whole globe, not only advanced countries, and it affects all offline sectors, not just the financial sector and construction. And in just four weeks, 22 million of Americans made claims for the unemployment benefit. For comparison, during the Great Recession, 37 million unemployment claims were filed. But the Great Recession started in December 2007 and ended in June 2009, so it lasted one year and half. When it comes to output, the cumulative decline in the real GDP amounted to 4 percent during the Great Recession. Meanwhile, just two months of mitigation measures are estimated by some economists to shrink the real US GDP by 10 percent. Even the overly optimistic IMF expects that the US economy will shrink 5.9 percent this year.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, May 28, 2020

Stocks: What to Make of the Day-Trading Frenzy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: EWI

Many stock market investors believe that prices have already bottomed. Numerous banks, brokers and financial firms have issued statements saying as much.

Indeed, the May Elliott Wave Theorist, a monthly publication which has offered analysis of financial and social trends since 1979, noted:

On April 28, Bloomberg interviewed four money managers to answer the question of "Where to Invest $1 Million Right Now." Cash was not mentioned.

All these professional financial observers might be right in their assessment that the bottom is in for stocks.

Then again, the stock market rise since the March 23 low might be a bear-market rally.

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Economics

Thursday, May 28, 2020

Ray Dalio Suggests USA Is Entering A Period Of Economic Decline And New World Order / Economics / Coronavirus Depression

By: Chris_Vermeulen

We find it interesting how researchers attempt to compare history, sometimes ancient history, to the applicable functions of today’s world and to attempt to translate the decline of empires in the past to what is happening in today’s world.  Ray Dalio appears to be suggesting the rise of the Chinese economy and economic capabilities is going to threaten to unseat the US as a world super-power.

Within Ray Dalio’s article, he suggests the following which seems to sum up his cycle theory:

“In brief, after the creation of a new set of rules establishes the new world order, there is typically a peaceful and prosperous period. As people get used to this they increasingly bet on the prosperity continuing, and they increasingly borrow money to do that, which eventually leads to a bubble. As the prosperity increases the wealth gap grows. Eventually the debt bubble bursts, which leads to the printing of money and credit and increased internal conflict, which leads to some sort of wealth redistribution revolution that can be peaceful or violent. Typically at that time late in the cycle the leading empire that won the last economic and geopolitical war is less powerful relative to rival powers that prospered during the prosperous period, and with the bad economic conditions and the disagreements between powers there is typically some kind of war. Out of these debt, economic, domestic, and world-order breakdowns that take the forms of revolutions and wars come new winners and losers. Then the winners get together to create the new domestic and world orders.”

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