Thursday, August 22, 2019
Fed Too Late To Prevent US Real Estate Market Crash? / Housing-Market / US Housing
In Part I of this research, we highlighted the Case-Shiller index of home affordability and how it relates to the US real estate market and consumer economic activity going forward. We warned that once consumers start to shift away from an optimistic view of the economy, they typically shift into a protectionist stance where they attempt to protect wealth, assets and risk of loss while attempting to weather the economic storm.
We’ve seen this happen in 2008-09 as well as after the 9/11 attacks in the US in 2001. The process is always somewhat similar. Consumers start to react to pricing levels that are unaffordable and do so by trying to skimp on extraneous purchases like travel, new cars, credit card debt or other items that are not essential. The other thing that happens is that the lower tier borrowers (the “at-risk borrowers”) typically begin to become delinquent on debts and fall behind on their mortgage payments. This is how the process starts.
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Thursday, August 22, 2019
FREE Access EWI's Financial Market Forecasting Service / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
Dear Reader,
With the recent stock market volatility, millions of investors are wondering what's next.
And the fact that the typically wild fall season is approaching only makes it worse.
Our friends at Elliott Wave International -- who are celebrating 40 years in the business this year -- get it.
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Thursday, August 22, 2019
Benefits of Acrobits Softphone / Companies / SME
The spread of the SIP technology is accelerating, as companies and individuals recognize its immediate benefits. In days of yore, people could only call each other by landline. Now, we have a wide array of options, with cellular networks and Internet-assisted voice and video calls.
Not only has SIP made it possible to connect systems of different nature (VoIP with cellular or PSTN), but you can now make calls using your smartphones or tablets. Forget about costly international rates. Programs like Acrobits softphone with simple setup guides eliminate communication barriers cheaply and easily.
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Wednesday, August 21, 2019
How to Protect Your Site from Bots & Spam? / Companies / Cyber Crime
To ensure your business effectiveness and build up a strong brand, it necessary to establish a smooth operation of your website with no downtimes and system failures. That’s why we strongly recommend you to think about your site protection against bots and spam. You can use a single module for this purpose. In this case, the data protection will occur automatically, with no involvement from your side. The module will define whether it is a bot or a real visitor who tries to access your website. Based on the data, the system will block all possible malicious bots, whether it is spam, parsing, vulnerability search, etc.
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Wednesday, August 21, 2019
Fed Too Late To Prevent A US Housing Market Crash? / Housing-Market / US Housing
Real Estate is one of the biggest purchases anyone will make in their lifetime. It can account for 30x to 300x one’s annual income and take over 30 years to pay off. After you’re done paying for your property, now you have to keep paying to maintain it and to support the property taxes to keep it. What has happened to the US Real Estate market since the 2008-09 global credit market collapse and is the US Fed behind the curve?
Case-Shiller Home Price Index
One of the most common indicators used to measure national housing affordability and price trend is the Case-Shiller Home Price Index. In this chart, we are displaying the Case-Shiller National Home Price Index – including all markets in the US. It is fairly easy to see that in last 2016, on a national level, the Case-Shiller index had reached the 2006 peak level. After that, the new Trump economy pushed it even higher where we now near 210. This is a very uncommon level for this index and because we are in uncharted territory with this 210 ranking, it should concern everyone that a reversion maybe somewhere in our future.
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Wednesday, August 21, 2019
Gold and the Cracks in the U.S., Japan and Germany’s Economic Data / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
Talk of a synchronized world - all three economic superpowers are in a recession! The U.S. suffers from industrial recession, Japan from export recession, while Germany may fall into a broad economic recession. Will the gold market warm up to these news?
Recent U.S. Data Shows Industrial Recession
The recent inversion of the yield curve has sparked recessionary fears. Some of the newest pieces of the U.S. economic data confirm the gloomy outlook. For example, the industrial production fell 0.2 percent in July, the second drop in the past four months, according to the Federal Reserve, as one can see in the chart below. Although the scale of slump might be overstated due to the Hurricane Barry hitting oil production in the Gulf of Mexico, the industrial sector remains in a technical recession.
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Wednesday, August 21, 2019
The Gold Rush of 2019 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
One side of my family has held a reunion every few years for more than four decades. It’s a big, raucous event filled with lots of food, many half-true stories about the past, and copious amounts of alcohol.In other words, it’s a not-to-be-missed event.
Hosting responsibilities transferred from one sibling at the oldest generation to the next, and then moved down a level. My relatives are spread across the nation. So, we’ve held the reunion in Minnesota, Wisconsin, the Upper Peninsula of Michigan, California, Texas, and Florida. Last week we gathered in Colorado, descending on Mt. Princeton Hot Springs Resort just outside of Salida.
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Tuesday, August 20, 2019
How to Play Interest Rates in US Real Estate / Housing-Market / US Housing
I can walk into a car dealership and drive away with a moving asset worth more than $130,000 in less than an hour. However, if I want to buy – or sell – an immovable object that’s always right where you left it, then I have to go through a million hoops.Home Sale And Home Purchase
Clearly, I’m frustrated with the latest twist in my home sale and purchase saga.
Everything started out pretty good. We listed the house, had a fair number of showings, no real bites, so lowered the price. And we negotiated with one couple, but before we settled on a number, another group jumped in and out-bid them. We came to an agreement and started the option/inspection/negotiation/appraisal process.
Tuesday, August 20, 2019
Stocks Likely to Breakout Instead of Gold / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
The funny thing is that gold and stocks currently seem to like the same thing: more money printing.Treasury bonds keep falling in rates and we’re seeing a slowing global economy despite Trump’s tax cuts and central banks leaning towards easing. That has hurt stocks a bit, as has the recent near break-off in trade negotiations with China. Markets were fearing a currency war now that the trade war is at an impasse.
So, no surprise gold has been rallying here. But for stocks, the surprise is that they’re holding up as well as they are considering the slow growth foreshadowed by the bond markets and trade impasses.
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Tuesday, August 20, 2019
The Tip of the Debt-Bomb Iceberg / Interest-Rates / US Debt
This week I wanted to bring your attention to a key development. And while overlooked by many, is part of the trigger that will set off the next financial crisis.All eyes were focused intently this week on US Treasury yields. And a lot of people might have missed what I believe will prove to be a very big event – after the dust from the next big implosion finally settles.
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Tuesday, August 20, 2019
Top 6 Tips to Attract Followers On SoundCloud / Personal_Finance / Social Media
Are you an aspiring artist looking to get more exposure? Then SoundCloud is the place to go. SoundCloud boasts of millions of users, with tens of thousands of new users joining every month. But one thing to note is that getting a good following on this platform is not as easy as many would want to make it look.
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Tuesday, August 20, 2019
WAYS TO SECURE YOUR FINANCIAL FUTURE / Personal_Finance / Financial Education
What most people do not realize is that the investments and small financial steps they make at earlier stages in their life will greatly determine the kind of financial future they have in the next few years. Being prepared for some unprecedented situations can make you feel optimistic about the future.
So, how do you ensure your financial future is both stable and secure? Below are a few life-defining steps for you to take.
Tuesday, August 20, 2019
Holiday Nightmares - Your Caravan is Missing! / Personal_Finance / Holidays
The nightmare scenerio for every caravan park holidayer is after along journey to arrive at your destination and find that you can't find your booked caravan! Here's what happened when after a 6.5 hour long drive to a caravan park on the coast of Cornwall. We get your key to our caravan so as to have a restful evening, to recuperate from the long journey for the next days activities.
But what happens if caravan No 95 doesn't exist? It's not where it was supposed to be. And not wanting to look a fool we scoured the caravan park for the elusive No 95. There's 94, 96,97, 98 and 99 but no No 95!
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Tuesday, August 20, 2019
UK House Building and House Prices Trend Forecast / Housing-Market / UK Housing
UK House Building 20 Years Shortfall
The Tory government has once more pledged to build 300,000 homes per year to address Britain's chronic housing crisis which is set against the current pace of construction of about 200,000 homes per year. However, every government of the past 20 years has made similar promises to increase house building to targets of anywhere between 250,000 to 400,000 homes per year and ALL have FAILED to deliver! Every house building manifesto promise BROKEN! That's by Labour, Coalition, Tories, and our current DUP/Remain barely able to open a tin of beans government. So the first message is to take government house building targets with a giant pinch of salt!
However, against this consistent mantra of increasing house building is the reality of the real agenda which is actually not to increase house building to meet demand but rather one of leveraging house prices as being one of the primary drivers of the UK economy and thus the chances for electoral success, so forget opinions polls it is house prices that are one of the most accurate predictors for the outcome of UK general elections.
UK House Prices the Most Accurate General Election Forecast Predictor
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Tuesday, August 20, 2019
The Next Stock Market Breakdown And The Setup / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
If you’ve been following our research long enough, you’ll remember that we often discuss Fibonacci Price Theory and how we use it to try to identify opportunities and trends in the markets. The basic premise of Fibonacci Price Theory is that price is always seeking to establish newer highs or newer lows with every rotation on the charts. The theory is rather simple to understand and learn and it helps easily identify where support, resistance, and the trend is established. Let’s take a minute to go over the basics of Fibonacci Price Theory before we continue.
This first example of Fibonacci Price Theory trend is a simple example that highlights the basic premise of the theory – price move always attempts to establish new price highs or new price lows in a trend. Therefore, in a downtrend, we would attempt to observe price in a simple structure as you see on the left side of this example – establishing new lower lows and new lower highs in a series of waves. In an uptrend, we would attempt to observe price in an opposite structure where new higher highs and new higher lows are set up. Fairly simple so far – right?
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Tuesday, August 20, 2019
The Case for Gold Keeps Getting Stronger As Negative Interest Rates Spread / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
The world has truly entered uncharted waters with negative interest rates spreading so far and wide.
Frank Holmes, CEO of US Global Investors, recently noted that a whopping 25% of all bonds sold globally now carry a negative yield. “Investors” are even buying some “junk” rated bonds which will repay the bearer less than purchase price upon maturity.
Now European banks, who have been absorbing the European Central Bank’s 0.4% charge to hold deposits, are throwing in the towel and getting ready to pass those charges on to clients.
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Tuesday, August 20, 2019
5 Ways to Save by Using a Mortgage Broker / Personal_Finance / Mortgages
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Monday, August 19, 2019
The Google Globalism Gulag / Politics / Google
The puzzling switch in the corporate motivation of Google seems confusing on the surface. But if you dig deeper into the manure of globalism, the notion that Google is primarily a business for profit is exposed as a distraction of what it really is and how it operates. It is entirely understandable that free internet services, especially when they usually work well and use superior features will attract the public in droves. However, the filtration of search results that only provide a biased outcome can no longer be denied. Notwithstanding, who benefits the most from the abandonment of the old motto, "Don't be evil"?
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Monday, August 19, 2019
Stock Market One Step Closer to Confirming That August Low Is In / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
The second week of August was pretty simple as the market followed our expectations from the previous weekend report. If you recall, the market chose to follow scenario 1 on the daily chart timeframe by backtesting into the 2858-2836 zone on the Emini S&P 500 (ES). This was the 50%-61.8% Fib retracement zone of the 2775 to 2940 V-shape recovery, creating a higher-lows setup. In addition, our must-hold level at 2823 held last Wednesday and Thursday as price stick-saved against this key level precisely and the bulls did their job in terms of the two massive feedback loop squeeze setups.
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Monday, August 19, 2019
The Geopolitical Consequences of a Coming Recession / Politics / Recession 2020
With the recent ominous inversion of the 2-10 year yield curve and its near infallible predictive recessionary power, the consequences for the economy are plain to see, however, what has not been spoken of by pundits will be the effect of a recession on US foreign policy. If a recession comes about prior to November 2020, or if economic indicators such as GDP plummet even further, the chances of a Trump re-election is extremely problematic even if the Democrats nominate a socialist nut case such as Bernie Sanders or Pocahontas.
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