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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Economics

Tuesday, September 25, 2018

Venezuela's Retrogressing Socialist Economy, Spotlight on the Failing PDVSA / Economics / Venezuela

By: Steve_H_Hanke

Two hallmarks characterize capitalist economies. Firstly, property is predominately in private hands. Consequently, goods and services are allocated via market mechanisms in which prices provide signals for businesses, workers, and consumers. Secondly, capitalist economies are highly capitalized. Indeed, the stocks of physical and human capital are relatively large in relation to the capitalist economies’ income flows.

On those two counts, Venezuela is retrogressing. With Chavismo, which commenced when Hugo Chavez took power in 1999, Venezuela has beaten a hasty retreat from anything that would qualify as “capitalist.” Today, it is clearly in the throes of a socialist-interventionist system.

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Companies

Tuesday, September 25, 2018

5 Problems All Restaurant Owners Will Face / Companies / Sector Analysis

By: Dylan_Moran

Owning a restaurant is a common dream for millions of people—but it’s also a dangerous one due to the simple fact that owning your own restaurant is complicated, expensive, and incredibly risky. It is a fact that about 80% of restaurants will not last more than 5 years, costing their owners hundreds of thousands—if not millions—of dollars in debt.

 Let’s take a closer look at 5 common problems that all restaurant owners will face in order to give you a more realistic idea of what it takes to own your own restaurant business.
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Commodities

Tuesday, September 25, 2018

Gold Price Trend Forecast 2018 - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is the fifth and final part of my Gold analysis that concludes in a detailed trend forecast for the Gold price for the whole of the remainder of 2018.

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Economics

Monday, September 24, 2018

How the US Dollar Penalizes Emerging Asia / Economics / Emerging Markets

By: Dan_Steinbock

Foreign exchange rates in emerging markets have suffered significant damage against US dollar, including Asia’s high-growth economies (India, Indonesia, Philippines). Is the severity of the damage justified?

Internationally, US dollar has been fueled by the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes, oil price increases, and the Trump administration’s trade wars.

Domestically, the worst foreign-exchange performers have been emerging economies - including Argentina, Turkey, Brazil, and Russia - that are vulnerable to rate normalization, exposed to Trump tariffs, major energy importers, or whose sovereign interests have conflicted with US geopolitics.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 24, 2018

Stock Market Macro/Macro View: Waves and Cycles Part II / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Brad_Gudgeon

Last week, I mainly discussed the coming economic crash and where we are in the cycles.  I also talked about the short term stock market cycles, which I believe have peaked as of Friday or will peak on Monday. In this segment, I will mainly talk about my short term work.

Due to the fact that the waves no longer move up in 5 wave sequences anymore, and the normal cycles are changing rapidly, I have had to augment my wave work with other data including astro-cycles and more technical data. This has forced me to buy other timing experts’ work to meld with my own so I can hone my timing skills better.

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Commodities

Monday, September 24, 2018

Gold and Miners are About to Explode Upward / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

After many weeks of pricing pressure as the US Dollar extended a rally delivering nearly unending devaluation pricing in most commodities, Gold is setting up for a big upside rally and is likely to extend beyond $1240 in this initial run higher. We believe the immediate bottom has formed in Gold and we believe the upside move will consist of two unique legs higher. The first leg is likely to run to near $1240~1250 and end near the middle of November 2018. The second leg of this move will likely run to near $1310 and end near May 2019.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 24, 2018

DJIA Makes New High  / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Andre_Gratian

SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
 
Intermediate trend –  Breaking to a new high has only delayed the anticipated correction into mid-October; it has not eliminated its potential.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.

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Politics

Monday, September 24, 2018

Destroy America with Information Warfare / Politics / US Politics

By: BATR

The populace has been misled for decades by the information that comes from the establishment. Most people believe that foreign powers are the primary providers of disinformation. Few are willing to confront the reality that the most destructive culprits are the international monopolists who dominate the global economy. These plutocrats may be part of boards of public companies that are listed in the U.S. but their allegiance is with the globalist model of transnational economic hegemony. This commercial pattern supersedes any nationalistic obligation to accept President Trump's goal of making America great again.  

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Commodities

Monday, September 24, 2018

Gold Price Trend Forecast 2018 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is the fifth and final part of my Gold analysis that concludes in a detailed trend forecast for the Gold price for the whole of the remainder of 2018.

  1. Gold Price Trend 2018 Recap
  2. Trend Analysis
  3. Seasonal Analysis
  4. US Dollar
  5. Forecast Conclusion
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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 24, 2018

The Stock Market Has Been Exceptionally Strong this September. What’s Next for Q4 2018 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

From a seasonality perspective, the U.S. stock market is weakest in September.

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Commodities

Sunday, September 23, 2018

Gold / US Dollar Inverse Trend Relationship Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is my fourth video in a series of 5 to conclude in a detailed trend forecast for the Gold price for the whole of the remainder of 2018.

  1. Gold Price Trend 2018 Recap
  2. Trend Analysis
  3. Seasonal Analysis
  4. US Dollar
  5. Forecast Conclusion
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Stock-Markets

Sunday, September 23, 2018

US and Global Stocks, Commodities, Precious Metals and the ‘Anti-USD’ Trade / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

The most recent leg of the US stock market rally and the bounces in global equities, commodities and precious metals are coming as part of an “anti-USD trade”. Certain US stock sectors, most global stock markets, commodities and precious metals were pressured by the USD rally that began in April and now, as the buck eases, a relief valve opens.

All charts below are as of Thursday’s close.

US – S&P 500

The S&P 500 – in essence a collection of sectors that are ‘pro’, ‘anti’ and ‘neutral’ the USD’s status – appears to be on the way to our target of 3000+, based on a conservative measurement of its daily chart pattern. This was the NFTRH alternate scenario after our expected summer drive to test the January top did not prove out a then favored view that the test would fail. As you can see, SPX broke out, dropped to test the breakout and off it goes. We have since been operating to the new favored plan.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, September 23, 2018

Gerald Celente Warns Fed May Bring Down the Economy, Crash Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: MoneyMetals

Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason

Coming up the one and only Gerald Celente joins me for another explosive interview on the state of the markets. Gerald tells us why he’s not only focused on the dollar but also oil and explains what is likely to happen if the Fed continues to hike interest rates. Don’t miss my conversation with the top trends forecaster in the world, Gerald Celente, coming up after this week’s market update.

Precious metals finally put together an across the board rally this week, led by platinum and palladium. The palladium market is surging 7.0% this week to a 7-month high at $1,054 per ounce. Platinum, meanwhile is putting together a 4.0% weekly advance – though prices still remain deeply depressed on a long-term basis at $831.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, September 23, 2018

Top 3 Side Jobs for Day Traders / Stock-Markets / Learn to Trade

By: Boris_Dzhingarov

The financial markets present a lot of opportunities for investors and traders, but they are not without their challenges. Today’s market volatility means you have more opportunities to bank profits in the financial markets of your choice, but you also have more risks to manage.

If you are day trading, a volatile market means you have to spend a lot of time in front of the computer. Most of the time, what you do is spend time looking at market movements and waiting for the right signals to appear.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, September 23, 2018

Two Scenarios for the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Harry_Dent

The Trump rally into January 2018 looked like the classic final blow-off top.

It had been advancing in a clear channel, then it broke above that in a classic “overthrow” pattern, followed by a sharp correction.

Was that the beginning of the final and greatest crash?
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Economics

Saturday, September 22, 2018

The Trade War With China Could Last A While / Economics / Protectionism

By: Harry_Dent

I agree with him!

The richest man in China, Alibaba co-founder Jack Ma, reckons the trade war is the beginning of a long-term battle for supremacy between China and the U.S.

He’s sees no effective short-term solution to this big global issue.

China needs to strengthen its economy to fulfill its long-term shift to stronger domestic consumption while focusing on the real global growth markets in Southeast Asia, India, and Africa.
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Commodities

Saturday, September 22, 2018

Trade War vs. Commodities / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: The_Gold_Report

Lobo Tiggre of the Independent Speculator discusses the trade war and its impact on commodities, and what that all means for resource investors. There is a widespread notion among investors, analysts and pundits that the escalating trade conflict between the U.S. and its trading partners is bad for the global economy. This is no stretch. The leap from there to it being bad for commodities is understandable, but less certain. Still, people who should know, like those running the world's largest mining company, are saying it's so.

Is it any wonder, then, that we've seen the rally in commodities that started in 2016 start to peter out?

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Commodities

Saturday, September 22, 2018

Gold Exodus to Reverse / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

Investors have pulled much capital out of gold in recent months in a major mass exodus.  Their sentiment waxed very bearish as gold was pounded lower by extreme record gold-futures short selling.  The latest record stock-market highs also suppressed the perceived need for diversifying portfolios with gold.  But this heavy investment gold selling is slowing, and should reverse sharply once stock markets roll over again.

Not too long ago in mid-June, gold was trading at $1302.  It looked fairly strong for the summer doldrums, its weakest time of the year seasonally.  But selling would soon return with a vengeance, pummeling gold 9.9% lower over the next 2.1 months into mid-August.  That major slide leading into a late-summer low of $1174 certainly cast a dark pall over psychology, fueling surging bearishness that remains ubiquitous today.

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Personal_Finance

Saturday, September 22, 2018

Bitcoin Trader SCAM WARNING - Peter Jones, Dragons Den Fake Facebook Ads / Personal_Finance / Scams

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Earlier today whilst posting my most recent gold video on the Market Oracle's facebook group page, I immediately noticed a side link featuring an image of Peter Jones accompanied with the worrying message -

"Peter Jones In Deep Trouble"
http://businessinfodaily.com
The Family Of Peter Jones Are Shocked After Recent Bombshell Report."

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Politics

Saturday, September 22, 2018

The News Just Ain’t The News No More / Politics / Social Media

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Two thirds of Americans get at least some of their news on social media. Google and Facebook receive well over 70% of US digital advertising revenues. The average daily time spent on social media is 2 hours. Just a few factoids that have at least one thing in common: nothing like them was around 10 years ago, let alone 20. And they depict a change, or set of changes, in our world that will take a long time yet to understand and absorb. Some things just move too fast for us to keep track of, let alone process.

Those of us who were alive before the meteoric rise of the hardware and software of ‘social’ media may be able to relate a little more and better than those who were not, but even that is not a given. There are plenty people over 20, over 30, that make one think: what did you do before you had that magic machine? When you walk down the street talking to some friend, or looking at what your friends wrote on Facebook, do you ever think about what you did in such situations before the machine came into your life?

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