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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Stock-Markets

Monday, May 14, 2018

Stocks Bears Last Stand / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
 
Intermediate trend – The intermediate correction from 2873 should continue until about early June.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

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Commodities

Sunday, May 13, 2018

The Truth About Gold That Neither Bugs Nor Bulls Want to Admit / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Graham_Summers

Let’s talk about Gold as an investment.

Gold is one of the most divisive asset classes on the planet. Stock-centric investors such as Warren Buffett think it’s a worthless “pet rock” that fails to appreciate in value. Gold bugs, on the other hand, revere the precious metal with an almost religious-like ferocity.

Both of these views are misguided particularly when you apply them to a framework that involves TIME.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, May 13, 2018

Stocks Bear Markets Don’t Start when Real Interest Rates are this Low / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Troy_Bombardia

The biggest fear among bearish investors is that “the Fed hiking interest rates will kill the economy and stock market”. But here’s the mistake they’re making.

Interest rates don’t matter. REAL (inflation-adjusted) interest rates are what matters. Real interest rates are still low right now.

This chart demonstrates the real, inflation-adjusted 10 year yield. It subtracts year-over-year Core CPI growth from the 10 year Treasury yield.

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Politics

Sunday, May 13, 2018

Trump Crossed the Rubicon in Pull Out From Iran Nuclear Deal / Politics / Middle East

By: Michael_T_Bucci

Trump crossed the Rubicon and the world is reacting. He decided to pull out of the Iran nuclear agreement (JCPOA) signed in 2015 by Iran, the United States, Germany and all permanent members of the Security Council (P5+1), the fruit of more than a decade of planning. He then lit another match handed him by John Bolton and the “war parties” in Washington, Tel Aviv and Riyadh to widen sanctions by including any nation doing business with Iran (“secondary sanctions”).

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, May 13, 2018

Stocks and Bonds Still Only 1 of 3 Macro Amigos to Destination / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

It’s the happy-go-lucky 3 Amigos (in play since we began this goofy metaphor last fall), which would signal macro changes to come. When you are talking about the macro however, things move slowly and to date, only one of our riders has made it to his destination.

To review, they are Amigos 1-3, Chevy, Steve and Martin.

  1. Stocks vs. Gold
  2. 10yr & 30yr Yields
  3. The 10yr-2yr Yield Curve
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Commodities

Sunday, May 13, 2018

Silver Forecast 2018 and Beyond, Investing for the $35+ Price Spike! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Silver the poor mans gold has so far failed to show any spark of life this year, opening the 2018 at $17.20, and then briefly rallying to a February peak of $17.60 before turning and remaining negative for the year, under performing Gold which has managed to remain positive for the year as both precious metals have effectively flat lined since their February highs, with Silver remaining stuck within a tight trading range of between $16.90 and $16.10 which is a far cry from the bullish expectations of many Silver bugs at the start of the year.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, May 12, 2018

Study: Breadth is Leading the Stock Market Higher. A Bullish Sign / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

In today’s daily post we stated that the NYSE’s Advance-Decline cumulative line (breadth indicator) has made a new high even though the S&P 500 hasn’t.

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Currencies

Saturday, May 12, 2018

The US Dollar Crash of 2018 / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Austin_Galt

Latest Price – 92.41

Price has rallied solidly over the last few weeks however absolutely no damage has been done to the overall downtrend and I believe a mini crash will occur over the coming months that sees price drop down to around the 80 level.

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Companies

Saturday, May 12, 2018

Ways on How to Get An LLC / Companies / SME

By: Anwar_Hossain

Forming a Limited Liability Company (LLC) is not as sophisticated as most people perceive. In fact, it is actually the ideal legal structure for business individuals who want to start their own company.

 Let’s see how to get llc for a company. The requirements for forming an LLC differ from state to state, but the process of setting one up will take you just a few hours, depending on the difficulty of your organizational structure. The following are the basics of forming a Limited Liability Company.

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Politics

Saturday, May 12, 2018

Kanye Is Right: Slavery Is A Choice And We're All Slaves Today / Politics / Social Issues

By: Jeff_Berwick

I generally ignore pop culture. It is almost completely controlled propaganda from the Powers That Shouldn’t Be.

But, now and then some celebrities break from their MK Ultra mind control programming and say something I can’t ignore, like in 2005 when Kanye West went on live TV programming and said “George Bush doesn’t care about black people.”

Most recently, Kanye seemed to “lose it” during a concert performance and was taken offstage and then put into a mental facility where he was likely reprogrammed.

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Commodities

Saturday, May 12, 2018

Trump’s Iran-Decision Did-not and Won’t Affect Oil Prices / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Andrew_Butter

:Unless U.S.A. decides to go to War to Impress Stormy Daniels.

  • By some reports, President Trump’s Iran-decision caused oil prices to “jump 3%”. Actually that was intra-day; the change day-on-day was 1.7%. The probability the mini-jump was not caused by the announcement is 59%; since the null-hypothesis needs less than 5% to be called “statistically-significant”, that’s not.  The probability is 86% if you do four-day changes, i.e. even less probable.
  •  The day after Benjamin Netanyahu made his presentation on Iran, oil prices dropped 2.8%; which, intriguingly, is “statistically significant” (P>[t]=0.0438*); perhaps  the markets’ take; was that they figured the likelihood of an interruption in Iranian oil supplies, or a war, was less likely, after they heard the presentation?
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Stock-Markets

Friday, May 11, 2018

Big US Stocks Fundamentals, New Bear Market Awakening? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

The mega-cap stocks that dominate the US markets are just wrapping up a truly-extraordinary earnings season.  Naturally this first quarter under Republicans’ new corporate tax cuts fueled surging profits.  But sales were up big too, which is no mean feat for massive companies.  With sustained growth at this torrid pace impossible, peak-earnings fears are mounting.  And valuations stayed extremely expensive exiting Q1.

Four times a year publicly-traded companies release treasure troves of valuable information in the form of quarterly reports.  Required by the US Securities and Exchange Commission, these 10-Qs contain the best fundamental data available to investors and speculators.  They dispel all the sentimental distortions inevitably surrounding prevailing stock-price levels, revealing the underlying hard fundamental realities.

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Commodities

Friday, May 11, 2018

Navigating The Bullish Crude Cycle / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Science_Investing

From A Technical Analysis Perspective
Crude remains short-term bullish as long as the nearest WTI contract trades above the blue dotted horizontal support region.

Oil ran up and made higher highs inside the pale blue trend channel. The progress got confirmed by geopolitical newsflow. Moreover, the most important commodity price gained despite a stronger US dollar. A breakout above the January 2018 high got further traction after being retested at the end of April 2018. Oil prices surpassed the solid blue trendline spanning back to June 2016 this trading week. We asses that as a fake breakout as part of a leading diagonal. Oil prices are likely to correct into the 66.50-67.00 region before resuming the uptrend.

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Politics

Friday, May 11, 2018

Why Trump WANTS Iran to Develop Nuclear Weapons for Israel and End Time Prophecies / Politics / Middle East

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Trump has once more pressed the reset button on what has come before by resetting the middle east to where it was before the 2015 Iran nuclear deal as President Trump declared to the masses that he 'keeps his promises' whilst breaking America's promise in respect of the Iran Nuclear deal (JCPOA) which had put Iran's nuclear weapons programme into reverse gear as verified by regular IAEA inspections, in exchange for the lifting of economic sanctions that have now been reimposed. Unfortunately, Iran NOT engaged in developing nuclear weapons is not in the interests for large section of Trumps delirious electoral base, the Christian fundamentalists who desperately crave the End Time apocalypse prophecies to be fulfilled in their life time so that the Messiah may return and they all be raptured straight to paradise, an ideology backed by the Israeli state and its own Jewish fanatics who have their own prophesies for the coming of the Messiah and perceive everything that Israel does being towards that end. Whilst of course the Islamic fundamentalists also await their own version of the End Times prophecies to be fulfilled which was the primary reason why Islamic State came into existence in Syria as a means of making prophecy become manifest.

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Currencies

Friday, May 11, 2018

Bitcoin Simmering Slowly... / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

The situation in the market has become one where Bitcoin is trading on relatively low volume without major moves. But the currency is in a very important place. Actually, Bitcoin is simmering slowly. Will it boil? Will this increase the profits on our hypothetical positions?

The Bitcoin market has its undeniable quirks. From the wild volatility of the currency, to a community of developers supporting it, to the fact that Bitcoin can be put in vaults. Putting Bitcoin in “cold vaults” usually means transferring the currency to a storage device without any access to the Internet or any outside networks. But sometimes Bitcoin is put in actual vaults. In an article on Bloomberg, we read:

Behind the guards, the blast doors and down corridors of reinforced concrete, sit the encrypted computer servers -- connected to nothing -- that hold keys to a vast digital fortune.

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Currencies

Friday, May 11, 2018

Litecoin, Bitcoin and Ethereum Crypto Market Ready For Lunar Launch? / Currencies / BlockChain

By: Avi_Gilburt

Ryan Wilday writes: Over the last few months, I have released a couple articles suggesting a potential bottom was in for the crypto market. Unfortunately, support levels that I called out did not hold, so I had to look lower.

I am writing anew having seen a very bullish pattern off the recent lows struck on April 1. Currently, most of the coins we track have the "impulsive five," a pattern we look for to indicate a bottom. These patterns so far are more bullish in structure than previous patterns seen since January. Furthermore, these structures, as measured in Fibonacci levels, are higher than before. This is promising.

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Commodities

Friday, May 11, 2018

The Precious Metals Conundrum / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

First published on Sun May 6, 2018 for members of ElliottWaveTrader.net: A sideways correction lasting a year and a half certainly does a lot to sour investors on a market. And, even though we have not dropped below 20 in GDX this entire time and the GLD has been consolidating just under its breakout region for months, the bearishness and frustration in the complex is palpable. In fact, I have even seen people calling for sub $1000 gold again, and we have not even broken a single support level yet. For me, this is a head scratcher.

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Commodities

Friday, May 11, 2018

Gold GLD Update…All Aboard ? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Rambus_Chartology

This first chart is a daily line chart for GLD which shows it has completed 5 reversal points so far and is working on the all important 6th reversal point back up to the top rail. This is where the bulls need to step up to the plate.

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Politics

Friday, May 11, 2018

Amazon Patents Orwellian Tech Allowing Police To Track Bitcoin Transactions / Politics / Bitcoin

By: Jeff_Berwick

Corporatist retail giant Amazon.com has received approval from the United States Patent and Trademark Office for a technology allowing police to track Bitcoin transactions.

As reported by CNBC, the patent--filed by Amazon Technologies--will "correlate different data streams and sell the combined feed as a subscription to people who want to track that data."

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, May 10, 2018

What happens to the Stock Market when VIX closes below 14 / Stock-Markets / Volatility

By: Troy_Bombardia

VIX closed below 14 yesterday for the first time since February 1, 2018. This study examines what happens next to the stock market (historically) when VIX closes below 14 for the first time in at least 3 months.

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