Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Thursday, October 13, 2011

Another Similar Stock Market 2008 Crash Chart Pattern / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Tony_Pallotta

"He observed that human emotions collectively had major impacts on the movement of stock prices and markets in general, ultimately creating patterns that kept repeating." - From a book on Jesse Livermore's trading style

Without a doubt one common similarity between the current market and the fall of 2008 is heightened investor emotions. There are plenty of other similarities from bank nationalizations, a deteriorating global economy and government intervention.

Thursday, October 13, 2011

Stock Market Broadening Formation Wave structure now agrees with the Cycle / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The market has morphed yet again, but the Broadening Formation is providing a structure within which we may interpret these moves.

Wednesday, October 12, 2011

SP Dec Futures Intraday - Operation Twist Begins / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Jesse

Although this could break out and keep going, I have held the thought that this is just a short squeeze within the context of a broad trading range from 1100 to 1220. It should be noted that the futures tend to be a little 'sloppy.' These moves up and down in a broad channel are what is known as a 'wash and rinse' or 'wax on, wax off.'

Wednesday, October 12, 2011

Slovakia Rejects EFSF, Financial Markets Yawn / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Regent_Markets

Overnight the Slovak government voted against expanding the EFSF (European Financial Stability Fund). All Eurozone countries must ratify the changes before they can come to pass, so technically the vote failure could derail the bailout plans. In reality, there appears to have been some political horse play involved in this vote, with a second vote likely to pass as early as Thursday.

Wednesday, October 12, 2011

$600 Trillion Derivatives Time Bomb That's Set to Explode / Stock-Markets / Derivatives

By: Money_Morning

Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: Do you want to know the real reason banks aren't lending and the PIIGS have control of the barnyard in Europe?

It's because risk in the $600 trillion derivatives market isn't evening out. To the contrary, it's growing increasingly concentrated among a select few banks, especially here in the United States.

Wednesday, October 12, 2011

What Next for the Stock Market and Gold? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: J_W_Jones

A lot of eyes were watching the Slovakian Parliament around the closing bell today as they voted on the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF). The first vote failed to pass the pending legislation, but members of the opposition party have indicated that they will vote for the bill in a second scheduled vote.

The S&P 500 E-Mini futures contract has not sold off sharply on the news, but the trap door risk for equity traders is that the second vote comes up short and the legislation fails unexpectedly. The marketplace is expecting the second vote to pass without issue and if a different scenario plays out selling pressure could become extreme potentially. With earnings season now upon us, there is plenty of headline risk to go around and this Slovakian situation just adds more complexity to the news flow.

Tuesday, October 11, 2011

Stock Market Wait For A Pullback Before Making New Buys / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: David_Grandey

The S&P 500 is up 10% in 6 days!
Until we get some sort of pullback there is nothing to do on the longside, that is unless you like chasing buses at these levels. We don’t and we won’t. But if we get some sort of ABC pullback? A Pullback Off Highs (POH)?, then a launch? Sure then we can SELECTIVELY step up to the plate.

Tuesday, October 11, 2011

Markets Slip Back After Monday Rally / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Regent_Markets

Last night, US markets closed strongly with the S&P 500 up 3.41% and the Dow Jones up 2.97%. This morning the S&P 500 futures have slipped back, but not by much, down 0.10% this morning.

Tuesday, October 11, 2011

SPXU Right But too Early / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: George_Maniere

Several weeks ago I called for a buy of SPXU. The Pro Shares Ultra Pro Short S&P 500 (SPXU) seeks a triple leverage or 300% return on the inverse performance of the S&P 500. Conversely, Pro Shares Ultra Pro S&P 500 (UPRO) is a triple leveraged fund that seeks a 300% return on the performance of the S&P for a single day. If you believe as I do that we are setting up for a leg down on the S&P then SPXU is the best way to profit from this trade.

Tuesday, October 11, 2011

Europe Pulls A Bernanke..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Jack_Steiman

If you can't beat them, join them, is what we've heard throughout the years. Europe is in a very dire situation with regards to defaults and their banks. Sarkozy from France and Merkel from Germany got together over the weekend and flooded the system with cash. Sound familiar? It should. It doesn't work, but it offers up hope for some reason. This hope got the futures moving higher overnight in Europe, and that happy feeling came into our neck of the woods. Up we went at the open and up we stayed all day. Nothing rousing after the open, but nice action as the major indexes all closed above the opening prints.

Monday, October 10, 2011

No Damage (Yet) to Downtrends in Gold, Oil, Euro/USD / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Apart from Sunday's announcement from leaders Merkel and Sarkozy that both agree that European banks must be recapitalized (the details of which will have to wait until Nov 2), let's notice that today's almost euphoric reaction has propelled the Euro/USD as well as gold and silver only towards a test of their prior recovery highs.

Monday, October 10, 2011

Can Stock Markets Find the Road Back to Positive Territory? / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets

By: John_Derrick

As we began last quarter, we asked: “Is the market set to take off?” In a world full of uncertainty during the third quarter, global investors gave a definitive answer: No.

U.S. stock markets suffered through the worst quarter since 2008, with the S&P 500 Index dropping nearly 14 percent for the quarter; more than half of this drop occurred in September alone. Only 54 companies in the S&P 500 saw positive returns during the month, while more than 200 dropped at least 20 percent, TheStreet.com reports.

Monday, October 10, 2011

Gold, Silver And The US Dollar Analysis and Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Willem_Weytjens

Last week, we wrote that gold and gold stocks could be at – or very close to – a bottom. So far so good, as the miners rallied out of oversold conditions.

Gold found support at the 35 weeks Exponential Moving Average, and RSI held above 50. That’s a good sign so far:

Monday, October 10, 2011

European bank pledge lifts markets in early trading / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Regent_Markets

The weekend's pledge from Germany's Merkel and France's Sarkozy has been taken as a sign that the Eurozone finally has the will and the unity to get to tackle the crisis. There is increasing belief in the optimistic view that Greek default will be contained by full support of European banks. This comes as French and Belgian authorities guarantee 90bn euros of Dexia debt.

Monday, October 10, 2011

Start Of A Secondary Reaction In A Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Andre_Gratian

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline (which appears to have already started) into 2014.

SPX: Intermediate trend - An intermediate uptrend has begun.

Sunday, October 09, 2011

How Long Before The Eurozone Debt Crisis Catastrophic Avalanche Occurs? / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis

By: DK_Matai

1. Time left is limited now, as a number of well placed sources envisage weeks � not months � before the Eurozone crisis deteriorates into a catastrophic avalanche;

2. October 8th is the date the Greeks were expecting to receive 8bn Euros from the IMF-EU-ECB troika to enable payments of wages to public sector workers by mid-October and to maintain public services. This payment has been postponed as the conditions for the bailout and the total sum involved are being recalculated by the troika;

Sunday, October 09, 2011

Stock and Commodity Markets Bullish Set-Up vs. Europe, Downtrend / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Chris_Ciovacco

For the past eight weeks, this market has been difficult for bulls and bears alike. I do not recall a more difficult two month stretch in terms of volatility and the magnitude of the ups and downs. Here are the peak-to-trough losses for a few ETFs since the spring 2011 highs:

Sunday, October 09, 2011

Market Short Squeezes and Trading Ranges, Risk On? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: WavePatternTraders

Wow!, every time I see one of those short squeezes they still blow me away at the speed and aggression they show, it clearly shows how many are selling this market, as without doubt that was another aggressive short squeeze you saw this past week.

Last week I left you with this chart, and the FX markets were suggesting that we were on the verge of a reversal.

Sunday, October 09, 2011

Stock Market Breaking Down The Bullish Argument / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Tony_Pallotta

Equity bulls have found solace in the abnormally high bearish sentiment readings. Seems everyone wants to be considered a contrarian. Rather than follow the herd these free thinkers venture out into the cold dark tundra alone and unafraid. They proclaim to the world "huge bearish sentiment to propel the stock market rally."

Saturday, October 08, 2011

Stocks Bear Market Deja Vu? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Tony_Caldaro

Another wild week on Wall Street. For the past two weeks the market had made the high for the week on tuesday, and then sold off for the rest of the week. This week, however, the market made a new bear market low on tuesday, and then rallied for the rest of the week. Markets, worldwide, were generally higher with the DJ World index gaining 1.7%. In the US the SPX/DOW were +1.9%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 2.9%. Economic reports for the week continued their downward trend with negatives outpacing positives 6 to 4. On the positive side: ISM manufacturing, construction spending, auto sales and non-farm payrolls. On the negative side: factory orders, ISM services, consumer credit, the monetary base, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims rose. The ADP index and the unemployment rate both came in unchanged. Next week the FOMC minutes, the twin deficits. and Retail sales highlight the economic agenda.