Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, October 29, 2011
Strong Week For Stock Market Bulls... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Everyone who participates in the stock market knows this was a great week for the bulls as they accomplished something most thought impossible. That was to blow through S&P 500 1260, and to do it with strong internals, such as strong volume and a great advance-decline line. We got close to 1260 some days back and failed, but refused to fall to far below. After pulling back a few percent, the market tried again and succeeded in getting through 1260 S&P 500 this week, the level from which there was a triple-bottom breakdown some months back that led to a huge eleven-day fall of 19%.
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Saturday, October 29, 2011
Investors Positioning for Five Impending Investment Critical Events / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
“The end crisis will be postponed until the sovereigns go bankrupt.” Marc Faber, 10/27/11
Eurozone issues are critical for many reasons including the fact that they are a harbinger of those facing the World’s largest Economy and Reserve Currency. Issuer, the USA, in the not too distant future.
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Friday, October 28, 2011
Friday After the Stock Market Rally Promising a Very Profitable Christmas / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Yesterday on Thursday the market rallied off of a plan that the Euro zone leaders had promised and investors had demanded. That alone came as a relief to markets given how low expectations had fallen. The S&P not only broke the key resistance level of 1257 but blew away the 200 day moving average and closed at 1284.59. The Dow broke the psychologically 1200 level and closed at 12208.55. Sadly, the plan falls short of the comprehensive plan that Euro zone leaders had promised and the best hope is that this deal buys a little more time.
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Friday, October 28, 2011
European Debt Crisis Contagion Turns Positive, Will it Last? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Shah Gilani writes: Everybody loves a rally.
After European leaders announced a plan to stem Eurozone and global panic over Greece's potential default and shore up capital at beleaguered banks, positive contagion is lifting stock markets from one end of the planet to the other.
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Friday, October 28, 2011
Why Stocks Rally Despite Crisis, Darwin’s Deceptive and Dangerous Devices / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
“The film depicts a future in which reality as perceived by most humans is actually a simulated reality created by sentient machines to pacify and subdue the human population, while their bodies' heat and electrical activity are used as an energy source. Upon learning this, computer programmer ‘Neo’ is drawn into a rebellion against the machines, involving other people who have been freed from the ‘dream world’ and into reality.”
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Friday, October 28, 2011
Stock Market Volatility Cycle Uncovered / Stock-Markets / Volatility
In the third quarter of 2011, it has become obvious that many investors, mutual fund and hedge fund managers have ignored the role volatility plays in evaluating market risk. It is possible that they view it, if at all, as a dispersion model, not a harbinger of market direction. That is because rising volatility accompanied rising markets during the entire decade of the 90s, with the exception of the two 4-year market lows in 1994 and 1998. Since then, the relationship between volatility and market direction has changed dramatically. A look at potential cycles in volatility may prove valuable.
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Thursday, October 27, 2011
Stocks Stealth Bull Market Pounds the Crash is Coming Bears with Euro-zone Hammer / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The Dow rocketed higher today to close at 12,208, up more than 17% from its summer low of 10,404, and just 5% away from its bull market peak, the mainstream financial press jumped onto the E.U. bailout deal bandwagon as for the reason why stocks soared, despite the fact that the actual agreement is pretty weak i.e. the minimum that the markets were expecting which could just as easily have been used to explain away a sharp drop in the stock market.
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Thursday, October 27, 2011
Hugh Hendry Interview at the LSE’s Alternative Investment Conference / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Hugh Hendry spoke at the London School of Economic’s Alternative Investment Conference. This was a really fantastic interview and we highly recommend watching the following videos in full. See below for the videos.
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Thursday, October 27, 2011
Today Europe Promised Stock Market Investors a Profitable Christmas / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
On Wednesday night EST, Euro zone leaders struck a deal with private banks and insurers for them to accept a 50 percent loss on their Greek government bonds under a plan to lower Greece's debt burden and try to contain the two-year-old euro zone crisis.
The agreement was reached after more than eight hours of hard-nosed negotiations involving bankers, heads of state, central bankers and the International Monetary Fund and aims to draw a line under spiraling debt problems that have threatened to unravel the European single currency project.
Thursday, October 27, 2011
Do You Trust The Eurocrats To Deliver? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
The financial markets are hanging by a thread as they await the outcome of the 22nd emergency summit of the European Union. A single positive statement by a lone Eurocrat can lift the DOW by 250 points, conversely a denial can send it tumbling down again. The suggestions to remedy the economic woes of the euro zone vary from modifications around the periphery to grandiose schemes borrowed from fairy land.
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Thursday, October 27, 2011
Stock Market Consolidating For Now Below 1260.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
There's nothing wrong with consolidation after a nice run up off the lows. Markets often rest when they get close to massive long-term resistance. The key to it all is how they consolidate, or not. If they just plunge lower, it's not the best action. If they hang around within a few percent of that massive breakout level, while things cool off on the oscillators, that's very good action overall. It appears, although no guarantee, that this is what's starting to set up for this market. The wrong news can come out and kill things, and the entire pattern in a heartbeat, but you have to look at what's taking place in the moment. For now, it says the market is handling out after a long run up. The handle could last quite some time, so you don't want to get too aggressive in it. But if this continues for a while longer without a major plunge lower, the bulls should be very satisfied with that type of set-up.
Wednesday, October 26, 2011
Do Bullish Investors Have an Ace in the Hole? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Right now, there are planes full of travelers heading to Vegas with dreams of striking it rich. These starry-eyed gamblers would greatly improve their odds by learning how to count cards. Yet, as we learned in the movie 21, where six MIT students team with Micky Rosa to become expert card counters and "bring down the house," this highly illegal technique carries dire consequences.
You may not be able to count cards at the blackjack table, but counting historical trends of the stock market and discovering inflection points are not only legal strategies, they are essential to successful investing.
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Tuesday, October 25, 2011
The Stock Market's Next 1,000-Point Move / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: Stuart Varney, host of the aptly named and very highly rated "Varney & Co." program on Fox Business, put the following question to me in his usual direct style: "Will we have an agreement on Wednesday out of Europe and what will that mean for the markets?"
Yes, I began, we probably will - but for all the wrong reasons, and it will never last.
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Tuesday, October 25, 2011
Stock Market Technical Tipping Point Near at Hand / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
In September, following five months of impulsive decline from its May high, the Dow has reversed abruptly, rallying incessantly after a fleeting 20% roller coaster drop from its secondary QE-2 bailout crest. The Dow is currently on path toward violently reclaiming more than 60% of these recent losses within the extremely short span of 14-sessions.
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Tuesday, October 25, 2011
Stock Market Keeps Fooling The Masses.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
And that's normal behavior. It rarely moves in the direction of the masses, especially for any extended time period. We have seen the masses get too bearish for quite some time now. It's approaching two months' worth of pessimism at extremes. The last five weeks have been off the charts. The market has exploded in those five weeks. Again, that's normal behavior.
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Tuesday, October 25, 2011
October has Killed Another Stocks Bear / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
October has a tendency to be a "bear killer." That is, in years when the stock market has been in decline heading into October, the month of October more often than not reverses the decline, at least temporarily. In the years that I've been writing a financial newsletter this was true in the following Octobers: 1998, 1999, 2001, 2002 and 2005.
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Tuesday, October 25, 2011
The E.U. is Over Banked, Chaos in the Land of Oz (Part 2) / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
Elliott: In Part 1 of our interview, we agreed that by not allowing the too-big-to-fail (TBTF) banks to fail, the federal government is continuing its environment of corruption and moral hazard. Case in point - the scheme to force taxpayers to insure Bank of America’s worthless debt via the FDIC.
So, Russ, it will get worse, until TBTF banks get decapitalized?
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Monday, October 24, 2011
Stock Climb Wall of Worry. It is all about the Dollar Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The stock markets tend to make a seasonal low at this time, most years. Then rally into the New Year. The big question is, can we climb the wall of worry one more time.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 24, 2011
Financial Markets Extend Rally Despite Weekend Deadlock / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
The big weekend European summit has passed largely without a major agreement on the two potential models to expand the financial firepower of the European Financial Stability Facility. Focus has now shifted to Wednesday's joint EU and Eurozone summit which is supposedly the deadline for tangible plans being produced. What price on this deadline slipping with more hazy plans put out in the interim?
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Monday, October 24, 2011
The S&P Goes - So Goes SPXU and UPRO / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Above my desk I have a big sign that says “the market will always do what the market has always done, misdirect, confuse and confound.” The way the S&P has been behaving since August is proof perfect that this slogan is as true as ever.
For those of you not conversant with the Ultra Pro Shares ETFs Pro Shares Ultra Pro S&P 500 (UPRO) is a triple leveraged fund that seeks a 300% return on the performance of the S&P for a single day. Conversely, The Pro Shares Ultra Pro Short S&P 500 (SPXU) seeks a triple leverage or 300% return on the inverse performance of the S&P 500.