Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, September 29, 2017
Stock Investors Should Brace for the Fed’s October Tightening Gambit / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
September’s Federal Reserve meeting left interest rates unchanged but sounded a hawkish tone. The Fed seems intent on hiking interest rates again come December.
Following Fed chair Janet Yellen’s remarks this Tuesday, interest rate futures markets bumped up the odds of a year-end rate hike to 81%.
The more immediate – and perhaps more important – policy move pending from the central bank is its plan to gradually reverse its Quantitative Easing bond buying program starting in October.
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Friday, September 29, 2017
USD Weakening. So are Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The USD futures are in the headlines this morning. It has broken above its 50-day Moving Average at 92.81 and the analysts are calling for a stronger USD. But it may beat a hasty retreat, since the top aof Wave E suggests completion and reversal.
ZeroHedge writes, “The dollar rally paused on Friday and looked poised to finish its best weekly gain of the year with a whimper, when in a repeat of the Thursday session the, Bloomberg dollar index first rose more than 0.1% during Asia hours before slumping around the European open as month and quarter-end flows came into play again.”
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Friday, September 29, 2017
U.S. Stocks: A 'Big' Move Ahead? (Video) / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Dear Investor,
Aside from a brief dip a few weeks ago, U.S. stocks have been the embodiment of stability. And many in the mainstream are talking about this continuing for the foreseeable future.
If there's one thing we know, it's that this won't continue forever. Periods of high volatility ALWAYS follow periods of low volatility. Are you ready for some "fireworks" in the stock market?
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Friday, September 29, 2017
Gold, Stock Market and Newton's Third Law / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses the effects of "Quantitative Tightening" on precious metals markets. In late August, we decided to anchor our boat out in a place called Indian Harbour, a wonderful "safe haven" for boaters that love northern Georgian Bay, in an effort to make the most of what has been an absolutely dreadful summer for most people in the east-central part of Canada and the U.S. This little harbour is protected by a small sliver of rock and trees that separates it from the ravages of the prevailing westerlies which whip across the prairies gathering momentum until they descent upon the largest contiguous consortment of freshwater lakes in the world (The Great Lakes) and gather moisture and volatility until they ultimately unload their liquid bounty into the most fertile farmland in North America which stretches from Detroit and Soo, Michigan, easterly to Kingston, Ontario.
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Thursday, September 28, 2017
SPX Needs Another Probe Higher. NDX Does Not / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
SPX appears to have one further probe higher to complete Wave (v). It appears to be an Ending Diagonal, which means that Wave (v) should be an a-b-c form. Five waves already appear, but the middle wave cannot be a Wave iii because it is the shortest in the series. Wave v may reach equality with Wave i at 2515.00, so that is my target. The Cycle Top is at 2524.55, so we may consider that as a possible limit to an extension.
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Thursday, September 28, 2017
History Illustrates Stock Market Crashes Should be Embraced & Not Feared / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
If you're not just a little bit nervous before a match, you probably don't have the expectations of yourself that you should have. Hale Irwin
This is a topic that financial writers should cover in more depth, but it also needs to be covered accurately. From the very beginning individuals have been trained to view crashes as disasters, and in doing so, they miss an opportunity of a lifetime. One has to wonder why so many experts almost purposely go out of their way to proclaim the next crash will mark the end of everything.
Thursday, September 28, 2017
S&P 500 At New Record High, Will It Continue Higher? Apple Stock Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our Wednesday's intraday intraday outlook has proved partly accurate. The S&P 500 index closed 0.4% higher, but it gained less than 4 points from its opening price. The index may continue to fluctuate along the level of 2,500 today. It remains above support level of the September 12 daily gap up of 2,488.95-2,490.37. Therefore, we prefer to be out of the market, avoiding low risk/reward ratio trades.
Our intraday outlook is neutral today, and our short-term outlook is bearish, as we expect downward correction. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish:
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Wednesday, September 27, 2017
DOW Jones and CRUDE Oil Reaching the End of the Line / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
Hi everyone.
All I have seen throughout the day was one article after the next speculating
on what Yellen may have meant when she said,
Well,
Whatever it is that she said!
I do not care what Jannet Yellen said,
Or what Jannet yellen thinks is going to happen in the future.
Tell me the last time a central bank actually got it right?
As far as I can see,
There is only one single thing that the FED has ever been good at doing,
And that is;
doing the WRONG THING at the wrong time,
pretty much all of the time.
Now is no different,
Tuesday, September 26, 2017
Stock Market Bounce Stops at Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
SPX has apparently been stopped at the Ending Diagonal trendline. The oversold condition has been relieved enough to allow the decline to resume. Should it continue, it is likely to be a complex affair, as it has been so far. As mentioned earlier, the next support appears to be the 50-day Moving Average at 2470.53. But that may not be all. The overlap suggests the decline is nowhere near being finished, so don’t be surprised if the decline starts to accelerate..
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Tuesday, September 26, 2017
Stocks Are Showing Weakness / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
SPX still doesn’t have a completed impulse, but appears unable to make a credible bounce, either. The final hour may give us guidance. So far there is no overlap with Wave (I at 2496.67), so there is still a good probability of a completed impulse by the end of the day or in the overnight market.
His weekend had a strong triple Pivot in the Cycles Model that may indicate the strength of the rally has been played out. If so, we should see the decline continue. The next support is the 50-day Moving Average and mid-Cycle support at 2468.00-2469.00.
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Monday, September 25, 2017
Hidden Gems Shows A Foreboding Stock Market Future / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
A quick look at any of the US majors will show most investors that the markets have recently been pushing upward towards new all-time highs. These traditional market instruments can be misleading at times when relating the actual underlying technical and fundamental price activities. Today, we are going to explore some research using our custom index instruments that we use to gauge and relate more of the underlying market price action.
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Monday, September 25, 2017
Stock Market Mixed Expectations, Will Stocks Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our Friday's neutral intraday outlook has proved accurate. The S&P 500 index continued to fluctuate along the level of 2,500, as it remained close to new record high. The market may extend its short-term consolidation again. The support level is relatively close, at the September 12 daily gap up of 2,488.95-2,490.37. Therefore, we still prefer to be out of the market, avoiding low risk/reward ratio trades.
Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is bearish, as we expect downward correction. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish:
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Monday, September 25, 2017
After The Apocalypse This Weekend, Buy The Stock Market Dip / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The S&P500 gapped up on Monday to the resistance region we noted last week between 2507-2510SPX. And, after testing it many, many times, it still has not been able to overcome that resistance the entire week.
Not much has stopped this market’s upward trajectory over the last year and a half. In fact, even the pullbacks have been much more shallow than standard pullbacks.
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Monday, September 25, 2017
Stock Market Forming a Reluctant Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The uptrend has pushed a little higher, near-term.
SPX Intermediate trend: We may be in a position to get “something” started on the downside.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, September 24, 2017
Two Key Indicators Show the S&P 500 Becoming the New ‘Cash’ / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Pension plan administrators do it. Their actuaries and consultants do it. Professional endowment and foundation investors do it. Financial advisors do it. Private investors may or may not do it, but they probably should.
Do what?
All of these folks already are or should be asking themselves the following question: What’s a reasonable expectation for the long-term return on a broad-market equity investment?
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Sunday, September 24, 2017
Is the Fed About to Burst the Largest Debt Bubble in History? / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2017
Let the farce begin.
The Fed meets today to discuss whether or not to begin shrinking its balance sheet. The financial media informs us that this is the single most important Fed meeting in years and that its coming announcement is a game-changer.
Give me a break.
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Saturday, September 23, 2017
Stocks, Gold, Dollar, Bitcoin Markets Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
As always, I will be adding to this over the weekend and should have all my updates done by 2pm PST on Sunday so please check back then.
Stocks (SPX):
Cycle Status/Outlook: Short term bullish after another new ATH on the SPX this week on day 21. We are slightly lower on day 23 but a 21 day high shifts the odds in favor of a right translated cycle that will make a higher low.
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Saturday, September 23, 2017
A Triangle Consolidation in the SPX / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
I5t appears that a Triangle has formed at the Micro level in the SPX. That explains the week-long sideways consolidation that we’ve seen…and the reason why we haven’t seen the trendline get broken, as well. We may see a pop on Monday morning, so see you there!
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Saturday, September 23, 2017
Stock Market's "Proper Value" Is Nonsense -- Here's Why / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
See why there is no reliable standard of value for the stock market
Should investors rely on traditional ways of evaluating the stock market's "proper value"? You might be surprised at what these four charts show.
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Friday, September 22, 2017
USDJPY Leads the way for a Resurgent Greenback / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
A very good evening to one and all.
Despite a shock to the system last night,
the sharp USD rally has not invalidated any of the operating wave counts.
Although it is a picture of what is to come for the USD in the near future,
The short term wave counts are pointing to one last push up before completing the larger structures.