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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Saturday, October 29, 2016

SPX Stock Market Downtrend Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 2141. After a gap up opening on Monday, and a SPX 2155 high, the market pulled back into Wednesday hitting 2132. Another gap up opening on Thursday took the market to SPX 2147. But another pullback dropped to the SPX to 2119 on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW mixed, and the NDX/NAZ lost 0.95%. Economic reports for the week were again mixed. On the downtick: consumer confidence/sentiment, new home sales, durable goods, and the WLEI declined. On the uptick: Case-Shiller, FHFA housing, pending home sales, Q3 GDP, plus weekly jobless claims declined. Next week will be highlighted by the FOMC meeting, the ISMs and monthly Payrolls. Best to your week!

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 28, 2016

$50 Trillion in Cash Is Sitting on the Sidelines Today / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: David_Galland

Dear Parader,

I have just come off what can only be described as “Hell Week” in opening Bad Brothers Wine Experience.

To give you a sense of the enterprise, below are photos of Bad Brothers four days before we opened, and a photo on opening day.

The dramatic difference between before and after is attributable to the way many Argentines approach a job. Weeks, or even months, can go by with modest progress, but when the deadline is staring them in the face like the proverbial onrushing train in the tunnel, 30 or 40 people show up at the door like the company of dwarves in The Hobbit.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 28, 2016

Nasdaq 100 Takes Out Support, S&P 500 Hangs on by a Thread / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a very strong gap up at the opening today, they reached resistance, and then they came down pretty hard the rest of the session to finish negative on the day and near the session lows going away.

Net on the day, the Dow was down 29.65 at 18,169.68, but was 85 points higher at one point in the day. The S&P 500 was down 6.39 at 2133.04, 14 points off the high. The Nasdaq 100 was down 24.15 at 4836.45, nearly 50 points off the high. So you can see how that nasty reversal affected the market.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 27, 2016

Stock Market Short-Term Uncertainty Following Economic Data, Earnings Releases / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 27, 2016

Not a Pretty Day for the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a volatile session, first gapping lower and snapping back sharply to fill that gap, only to roll over, retest, and slightly take out the lows before a late rally brought them back.

Net on the day, the Dow was up 30.06 at 18,199.33. The S&P 500 was down 3.73 at 2139.43, 8 points off its low. The Nasdaq 100 was down 30.86 at 4860.59, 11 points off its high.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 26, 2016

4 Incredible Market Forecasts You Have to See to Believe / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: EWI

Dear reader,

Consider the common thread among these four market calls:

Forecast 1: A two-month, double-digit rally in a blue-chip stock index, even as investor sentiment hit a negative extreme last seen at the epic market lows of March 2009.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 26, 2016

3 Reasons Ex-Wall Street Trader Jared Dillian Is Stock Market Net Short Today / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: John_Mauldin

BY MAULDIN ECONOMICS : Take profits and batten down the hatches. That’s the advice of former head of ETF trading Jared Dillian. He believes equity markets are likely to see a rough ride in the next few months.

In a recent interview with Mauldin Economics, Dillian elaborates on three red flags that make a case for a near-term pullback in stocks. Dillian first notes that “the price action is really not that good” in various financial markets.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 26, 2016

The Aging of the Microchip Industry Is the Reason Behind This Economic Malaise / Stock-Markets / Technology

By: John_Mauldin

BY GEORGE FRIEDMAN : Classical economics argues that as capitalism matures, competition causes both wages and profits to decline. Wages go down because the early successes of capitalism cause more workers to compete for jobs. Profits decline because more businesses enter markets, causing business failure.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 26, 2016

The Next big Catalyst for Stocks and Commodities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Clif_Droke

We’re about to enter that time when financial commentators offer up their best guesses as to what investors can expect in the Near Year.  It always makes for fun reading, but it also never fails to disappoint.  Instead of engaging in that tired exercise in futility, investors would do better to focus on something more productive.  And that would be next year’s most likely catalyst for stock and commodity prices.


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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 26, 2016

Stock Market Cycle Shift / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Ed_Carlson

Last week’s commentary stated that we expected to see a high in the Dow no later than Wednesday. That high didn’t come a day too soon as the index topped on Wednesday at 18,252 and fell to an intra-day low on Friday at 18,050.

The Hybrid Lindsay model points to a low this week and it looks increasingly as if the low will come late as short-term cycles have shifted to be more in line with the Lindsay intervals pointing to a low this Friday. 

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 25, 2016

Today is a Stock Market Daily Turn Date / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

While SPX hasn’t broken out above 2154.79 in the Premarket, there is a threat of a final probe to the 50-day Moving Average at 2161.11 that may turn the double zigzag (w-x-y) into an a-b-c formation, which is more appropriate for a Wave 2. That appears to be the pattern in the futures, although the futures and cash markets don’t necessarily have to agree in pattern.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 25, 2016

Another Stock Market Gap Goes Nowhere....Huge Earnings Week... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

Let's start with the world of earnings. There have been so many pre-warnings, meaning warnings that were announced before the actual earnings date, that we know the season got off to a bad start. Some giants warned ahead of time, but now we'll focus on those who are waiting for their actual day to announce. This morning we got Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB), an economically-sensitive stock, to report, and it wasn't pretty. It was down huge for the day. What's so amazing to me so far this particular-earnings season is how low the bar has been set for just about everyone, since we are dealing with eight straight quarters of lowered earnings expectations. It would be easy, one would think, for most to beat with no problem. The actual numbers may be weak, but they are better than expected. Right!? Not happening so far overall. Always good beats, but the number of bad reports is adding up, once again, more than anyone would like.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 24, 2016

Why are Americans Avoiding the Stock Markets; Fear or Lack of Money? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Sol_Palha

"A champion is afraid of losing. Everyone else is afraid of winning." ~ Billie Jean King

The financial crisis of 2008 scarred many individuals and scared away even more; add in the Great Recession, and one can see that the average can come up with many reasons to avoid the stock market. To make matters worse, the unemployment rate remains stubbornly high, and wages in most instances are dropping instead of rising which means that many Americans have little to no disposable income left after expenses. Don't for one second believe the twisted statistics issued by the BLS (Bureau of labour department); those statistics are on par with toilet paper.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 24, 2016

SPX may be completing a double zigzag pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The SPX Premarket appears to be challenging the Triangle formation and the two-hour mid-cycle resistance at 2146.56 in a double zigzag pattern. This may explain the overlapping, corrective structure of the retracement of the decline between October 10 – 13.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 24, 2016

Stocks, Crude Oil and EURUSD Trend Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Ken_Ticehurst

We should now begin to see a drop in WTI over the next couple of months and in to 2017, so far the consolidation that has ocurred over the last few weeks has been as forecast and the next down phase we have been modelling for months is now due.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 24, 2016

Stock Market Positive Expectations, Will Stocks Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Monday, October 24, 2016

Stock Market Another Month to Go? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is up but weakening.  Potential final phase of bull market.

SPX Intermediate trend: The uptrend from 1810 continues, but it has entered a corrective phase which could extend into November.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 24, 2016

Large Sell-off in Stock Market Looming / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

About every 20 weeks or so there is usually a noticeable sell-off in the stock market. We had the October 15, 2014 low followed 20 weeks later, in mid March, 2015 by a low, which was followed in late August (the 24th) by that low. Then roughly 5 months later on January 20, 2016 by a low, then June 27th and now November 2016. The March 2015 low was a shallow, skipping low as was June 27, 2016 (the Brexit low).

November 2016 also represents the 8-year cycle low due from November 21, 2008. Wednesday next week is exactly 40 weeks from the January 2016 low, so it is due. The 20 week lows are subdivided by 5 and 10 week lows last seen 8/2/16(five), 9/12/16(ten) and 10/13/16(five). The ideal 10/20/40 week low is due Nov 21, 2016 one week.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 24, 2016

Stock Market Boredom Before The Storm / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: John_Rubino

With all the surprising and/or disturbing things going on – Brexit, China’s soaring debt, US/Russia/China saber rattling, the, um, unique US presidential race, the cyber attack that shut down big parts of the US Internet – you’d think that an unsettled world would be reflected in skittish financial markets.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, October 22, 2016

Still waiting for SPX uptrend to kick off / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

Another choppy week. The week started at SPX 2133. After a decline on Monday to SPX 2124 the market rallied to 2148 by Wednesday. Then monthly options expiration kicked in and the market declined to SPX 2130 by Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.25%, and the NDX/NAZ were +0.85%. Economic reports were mixed. On the downtick: the NY FED, capacity utilization, the NAHB, the WLEI, housing starts, plus weekly jobless claims were higher. On the uptick: industrial production, the CPI, building permits, existing home sales, the Philly FED, and the Q3 GDP est. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by Q3 GDP, durable goods orders and more housing reports. Best to your week!

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