Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, February 20, 2016
Stocks Bear Market Rally Continues / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tony_Caldaro
An eventful holiday shortened week. The market started the week on Tuesday at SPX 1865. After gap up openings on Tuesday/Wednesday the SPX reached 1931. After that it pulled back to 1902 on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 2.7%, NDX/NAZ gained 3.7%, and the DJ World index gained 3.8%. Economics reports for the week were again biased negative. On the uptick: the PPI, industrial production, capacity utilization, GDPn, plus weekly jobless claims were lower. On the downtick: NY/Philly FED, NAHB, housing starts, building permits, leading indicators and the WLEI. Next week we get the second estimate to Q4 GDP, the PCE, and more housing reports.
Saturday, February 20, 2016
Stock Market Sentiment...Looking At The Technical World..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The market is showing some very interesting pattern set-ups on the daily index charts. The oscillators on the attempted pullback on those daily charts are holding nicely with many of the bear market stocks not showing a move lower on those oscillators as their price pulls back. A sign of many bear-market stocks bottoming? It could very well be, but that answer only comes with certainty when we experience the next strong down move. So far so good. Many stocks are in very deep bear markets, even though our indexes are not. Individual stocks from all over the stock-market world are experiencing some horrific moves lower. There are some signs based on positive divergences that this process may be in the very beginning stages of turning around.
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Friday, February 19, 2016
Stock Market Danger Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
You may ask, “Why the rally back to the zero line?”
The first answer is, “Because it can.” That’s what support and resistance lines are meant to portray. They represent pockets of buying power or selling pressure, depending on which side you are coming from.
There is another reason. Computer algorithms can be trained to “sense” these areas and use them to the owner’s advantage. In this case, it may be to the owner’s advantage to maintain the market at this level so that certain options will pay off.
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Friday, February 19, 2016
Equity Outflows Resume... It’s Time to be All-in Short / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX bounced off Intermediate-term support at 1904.40 this morning. There are a couple more supports that must be taken out today so progress may be slow, but steady on the downside. This assumes no catalyst rears its ugly head to spark the panic decline today.
Despite the three-day rally, we have seen the longest streak of equity outflows since 2008.
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Friday, February 19, 2016
Premarket Stock Market Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has fallen to its 2-hour mid-Cycle support in the Premarket. This is unusual for OpEx in the Index Futures. It suggests some turmoil that may carry over to the open. OpEx Fridays are usually more volatile than normal, but this type of activity before the open is unusual.
ZeroHedge reports, “Not even this morning's mandatory European open ramp has been able to push US equity futures higher, and as a result moments ago the E-mini hit session lows on rising concerns about Brexit as talks drag on in Brussles, but mostly as a result of overnight confusion about China's loan explosion and whether the PBOC has lost control over its maniacally-lending banks.”
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Friday, February 19, 2016
Stocks, Commodities, Bonds, Gold and Currencies Weekly Views / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Gary_Tanashian
It occurs to me that in public writing I tend to bludgeon people with macro fundamentals (like gold vs. positively correlated markets, yield relationships and even confidence in global policy makers), market indicators (VIX, Equity Put/Call, Gold-Silver ratio, Sentiment, Participation, etc.) and other views beneath the surface of things. So much so that I sometimes forget that people might like to see simple nominal charting as a frame of reference.
Friday, February 19, 2016
Support for Stock Market Indexes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Donald_W_Dony
The recent downward slide for North American indexes appears to have found a floor.
After declining for much of the last six weeks, the key U.S. indexes have all reached their 200-week moving averages (m/a) and stopped.
Only the commodity-heavy TSX went right through its 200-week m/a and settled on the lower support level of 12,000.
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Friday, February 19, 2016
How Rogue Market Price Spikes Can Make You Money / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Stocks are taking a breather today from the recent rally off our cycle lows and support level. As explained and shown in this morning’s video we are expecting stocks to stall out over the next 5 days and become choppy.
Any weakness in stocks means money will flow into metals and that is what happened on Thursday afternoon.
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Thursday, February 18, 2016
How Investors Can Leverage the Most Powerful Force in the Universe / Stock-Markets / Investing 2016
By: Investment_U
Andrew Gordon writes: Investing in the early days of an initial public offering (IPO) isn’t what it used to be.
Last year’s IPOs are a shining example. Shares of tech companies that IPO’d in 2015 averaged around a 40% drop from their first-day closing price to current prices.
The kind of gains you would have gotten from Amazon (Nasdaq: AMZN) (over 35,000% since its IPO), Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT) (over 53,000%) and Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) (nearly 16,000%) are nowhere to be found among newly minted public companies.
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Thursday, February 18, 2016
Stock Market Rally is Broken / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The short-covering rally in SPX appears to be broken. Confirmation of the reversal is close by, at Intermediate-term support/resistance at 1911.56.
The peak in the cash market was at 14:21 hours yesterday. The rally was 21.5 market hours in length after a 56 hour decline. SPX is now going into a Wave C panic decline that may last between 4.3 and 6.14 days. Wave A will look like a picnic by comparison.
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Thursday, February 18, 2016
Donald Trump is Scaring Investors / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Bloomberg
Oaktree's Howard Marks spoke with Stephanie Ruhle and David Westin on Bloomberg TV's "Bloomberg <GO>" on how the presidential election and Trump are scaring investors. He also discussed his bet on Jeffrey Gundlach's upstart investment firm, DoubleLine Capital.
On how the presidential election is impacting markets, Marks said: "They're scaring the hell out of people." Of Trump he added: "Donald says, the Chinese are killing us. The Mexicans are killing us. The Japanese are killing us. But we're going to get the jobs back. And I think that people tend to believe him…The others compete to be equally fearful and dramatic."
Thursday, February 18, 2016
Stocks Have Taken Out Critical Support… Prepare Now! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jesse
One of the most critical lines to watch is the 12-month moving average for stocks.
Historically this line has served well as a proxy for determining if stocks were in a bull or bear market. When stocks rallied above this line, they were in a bull market. When they fell below this line, they were in a bear market.
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Thursday, February 18, 2016
Strong Stock Market Session with Strong Underlying Technicals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a big day today. They gapped up big, pulled back early on, and then stair-stepped their way higher all day, until they reached the session highs with an hour to go. They pulled back late in the session, and bounced in the last 15-20 minutes to finish with a very strong gain on the session.
Net on the day, the Dow was up 257.42 at 16,453.84, 30 points off its high. The S&P 500 was up 31.24 to 1926.82, 4 points off its high. The Nasdaq 100 was up 94.77 to 41.99.10.
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Thursday, February 18, 2016
Stock Market Exploring Possibilities....Sentiment... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
hroughout 2015 I felt the market was in a topping phase due to complacency along with massive, negative divergences on those key, monthly index charts. The market didn't fall much in 2015, but it refused to have sustainable upside action. In the end, the markets were down slightly for the year. It took all of 2015 for the market to finally stop its upward thrusts.
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Wednesday, February 17, 2016
Wealthbuilder Stock Market Brief / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Christopher_Quigley
Time for steady state economics to be introduced.
As a student of economics and monetary theory one of my greatest heroes is M. King Hubbert.
He was an American scientist born in Texas in 1903. He was a man of great integrity,
intellectual honesty and courage. He was a visionary who believed in the power of ideas
and the need to use intellectual rigor to analyze and manage change.
Wednesday, February 17, 2016
Perverse Sort of Stock Market Wave Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
This has been a difficult retracement to follow. Here is the detail of what has happened.
The first Wave down from 1947.20 is clearly a Wave (a), since does not have a five wave structure. What fooled me was that I had assumed that Wave [b] was really a larger degree Wave B, which meant that Wave C of (3) would begin at 1881.60. Instead, it was the final wave [c] of A.
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Wednesday, February 17, 2016
FTSE Bounce to Prove Brief / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market
By: AnyOption
The bounce in capital markets across the globe amid speculation of expanded stimulus from the European Central Bank and looser lending conditions in China may have sent risk assets and equities higher, but the positive sentiment is unlikely to last. Worsening fundamental conditions in the United Kingdom combined with a weak external environment have contributed to the sizable decline in FTSE 100 equity index over the last several months, with the benchmark dipping into a bear market last month following a widespread market selloff. A number of lingering issues continue to plague the index, keeping the pressure on performance high as concerns about the drag from energy, softer industrial activity, and another bout of regional bank weakness are offset gains from a more competitive Pound.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 17, 2016
Very Solid Stock Market Session and Nice Start to the Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices started off the week with a bang. They ran hard all day, with a huge gap down early morning, bounced, consolidated late afternoon, and then came on again right at the close to finish at the highs for the day. It couldn't be a better day.
Net on the day, the Dow was up 222.57 at 16,196.41, at the tick high for the day. The S&P 500 was up 30.80 to 1895.58, within pennies of its high. The Nasdaq 100 was up 85.14 to 4104.33, also at the tick high for the day.
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Tuesday, February 16, 2016
The 2016 Financial Market Meltdown and The Golden Age / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The majority of the world’s stock indices topped out this month on Monday, February 1st, 2016 after a strong oversold technical bounce in price. Several indexes are now in the process of their first re-test of those multi-month lows which should act as support.
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My belief is that the FED will abandon its plan to raise short-term rates in March 2016, given the “economic global contraction” in economic data including the Baltic Dry Index and troubled banking systems in the European Union.
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Tuesday, February 16, 2016
SPX Rolling Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX went on a low volume ramp over the extended weekend, topping out near 1895.00, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at midnight. Since then it has eased down near Short-term resistance at 1884.20. Today is a double Pivot Day in the Cycles Model, suggesting a strong reversal may be happening.