Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, June 28, 2015
COMPQ Elliott Wave Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The spike to new highs could be counted as a small thrust from a triangle 4th wave, so we would need to see a large decline now back under 5000 to suggest the idea of a possible end to wave [5] of the larger wave 3, short term its yet to show a small 5 wave decline, but if it can remain below 5120 then I would favor more weakness now and target more downside. The NDX failed to make a new yearly high so we have a small divergence between the COMPQ and NDX.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 28, 2015
On Monday, It’s China Versus Greece / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Fear and greed are both getting a serious workout lately, but Monday will be even more fun than usual because of two big stories that hit over the weekend. First, Greece decided to put the draconian demands of its European creditors to a popular vote, to which the creditors responded by cutting Greece off from new bailout money. Greek citizens, now staring down the barrel of capital controls and/or bank failures, are busily emptying their bank accounts:
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 28, 2015
FTSE 100 Could Rise on Rates / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market
Stock markets in the UK have been attempting to recover from recent declines and regain the foothold that was established earlier this year in the 7140 region. Most global stock benchmarks have had a positive year in 2015 but the story has been somewhat different in the UK where there is still the peripheral impact of sovereign debt in the Eurozone to complicate investment ideas.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, June 27, 2015
Stock Market Uptrend/downtrend Inflection Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The market started the week at SPX 2110. A gap up opening took the SPX to 2130 on Monday, the high for the week. Then the market pulled back every day, including Friday, to end the week at SPX 2102. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.4%, the NDX/NAZ were -0.7%, and the DJ World index was +0.1%. Economics reports for the week were mostly positive. On the uptick: existing/new home sales, personal income/spending, FHFA prices, the PCE, consumer sentiment, the WLEI, and Q1 GDP improved. On the downtick: durable goods, plus weekly jobless claims rose. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by Payrolls, the Chicago PMI and ISM manufacturing. Best to your week!
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, June 27, 2015
Flatline Investing and Dead End Debt Schemes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Next Tuesday is the end of the first half of 2015. As of today, the Dow has once again rallied up to break the magical 18,000 line, holding this level after coming within inches of this level for the first time on December 5, 2014....now 139 trading days ago.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 26, 2015
Stock Market - Why I am Ultra Bearish over the Long Term / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Some interesting developments are playing out in long term charts that make me feel comprehensively bearish over the long term:
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 26, 2015
Stocks and the Slippery Roads For the Rickshaw Economy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Stocks were weak Thursday on the 'better than expected' consumer spending number.
Jobs remain weak, despite the spin about The Recovery™.
There are jobs that will provide a poverty wage, and workers are increasingly insecure in an on-demand, rickshaw economy.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, June 25, 2015
Chinese Stocks: "How to Think Like a Billionaire Investor" / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
What's next for the high-flying Shanghai Composite?
With China's main Shanghai Composite index up almost 40% this year, and the tech-heavy Shenzhen Composite index up more than 90% YTD, are Chinese stocks in a bubble?
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, June 25, 2015
Greece and Stock Market Divergences.......Transports Ugly.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The market was gapping down just a drop heading in to the trading day. Nothing to get upset about but, then came the news many didn't want to hear. Talks regarding Greece breaking down, which is not unexpected. The futures fell further still and down we went. Gap down and run for the most part. Not a terrible day by any means. Not a bearish day big picture by any means, but it was a decent down-day with Greece being one part of the equation along with negative short-term divergences being the other culprit. They were pretty large, and, thus, some selling could have been expected.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, June 23, 2015
China Stocks: Where Have They Been and Where are They Going? / Stock-Markets / China Stocks
Historians have aptly named the 20th century the "American Century." THIS century, many experts agree, will belong to China. In Q1 of 2015 alone, the Shanghai Composite stock index gained 16%. And over the prior 12 months, it had gained 84%.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, June 23, 2015
Dow Stock Index Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Equities markets have a tendency to change direction following options expiration. Given equities rallied into the end of last week, a downturn can now be expected. It may have started last Friday or perhaps markets will sneak in one final rally on "hope" of a positive outcome from this week's meeting of European leaders on the Greece problem. Either way, a decline is expected. The only question is "how long will it last?"
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, June 23, 2015
Greece / Stock Market Played Like a Bouzouki / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
We have a deal!
No really. This time we do have a deal. Uh, we think.
And the cry went forth, and Very Serious People breathed a sigh of relief, the Greek people continued to take their euros out of the banks, and the markets rallied. Again.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, June 23, 2015
Stock Market is on a Hair Trigger / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The Ending Diagonal does not appear to be complete. Micro Wave c of Sub-minute Wave (v) must push higher. The target listed this morning still appears to be reasonable, given the circumstances. If so, this will be the top of Wave (5). I will change it as I see the progress of this (final) rally.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, June 23, 2015
Stock Market Bullish Pattern Still With Us....Greece Still With Us As Well..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The S&P 500 bulls had their hopes lit up this morning. Actually, for those who follow these things, those hopes were lit up last night as soon as the futures came out. They were flying up pretty nicely giving the bulls visions of saying so long to S&P 500 2134. Those futures went higher still as night progressed but fell some before the open. With the close on the S&P 500 at 2110 Friday, there was a lot of work for the bulls to do to get it over 2134. We came within a few points of that, only to see it back off some as the day progressed. Another good old college try that just didn't happen. An up-day, but not a breakout day, so there's still not much to get overly pumped up about, even though other areas are trying to break out, such as the small and mid-cap stocks.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 22, 2015
Stock Market Crash Charts / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
If the Fed continues to intervene and prevents the correction then we will almost certainly have an 87 style crash this fall.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 22, 2015
De-Greece-ing the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Current Position of the Market
Intermediate trend - Waiting for confirmation that the ending diagonal is complete.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 21, 2015
Stock Market Monday Big Drop? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
It looks as though the US stock market could plunge Monday. We have Saturn Semi-Sq. Pluto while Saturn is in Scorpio and while Jupiter is trine Uranus. On the cycle front we have a Gann cycle low due Monday while we also have a Bradley turn date. The Armstrong Pi Cycle suggests a panic week for the Dow Industrials (which by my reckoning should occur on Monday).Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 21, 2015
Global Stock Markets in Self-Perpetuating Denial / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
MoneyMorning.com Michael E. Lewitt writes: The central bank circus was on full display this week as the Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee held a two-day meeting only to emerge with another mind-numbing series of excuses for keeping interest rates at zero when the economy is not in crisis.
One such claim was that inflation (as measured by economists) is insufficiently high, despite the fact that the price of real-world goods and services (including gasoline again) are steadily rising. The Fed stated that it's afraid raising interest rates – for the first time in nine years and by all of 25 basis points – could send the economy into a tailspin. That isn't only bad policy, it is pathetic.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 21, 2015
Markets - All Eyes on New Highs / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
SPX
In the last report I was looking for a bit more downside, then setup for a move higher. http://www.wavepatterntraders.com/all-eyes-on-new-highs-part-ii/
For the best part that's exactly what we saw, with the rally late last week it should now setup for a move higher now for the final piece to this suspected ending diagonal that has been in progress from the Oct 2014 lows. Whilst there is a way to count the pattern completed, based on the recent sideways chop, I favor more upside and make a new high above 2134.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 21, 2015
Shanghai China Stocks Sink: Déjà vu 2001 & 2007…All Over Again / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
What is occurring today in China’s Shanghai Stock Index can best be described by Yogi Berra’s famous line: “Déjà vu 2001 & 2007…All Over Again.”
Almost 85% of China-listed companies are trading at higher multiples today than they did at the previous market top in 2007…just before the crash.
Read full article... Read full article...