Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, May 29, 2015
Investing’s Great Struggle / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
By: Zeal_LLC
The great endeavor of investing can be distilled down into four simple words, buy low sell high. They are so basic, so resoundingly clear, that even a child can understand this principle. Yet still the great majority of investors never achieve significant success. Even while full-well knowing the core idea of investing, they end up buying high and selling low. That treacherous struggle of investing must be overcome.
It’s funny, as life is full of simple ideas that are incredibly challenging to put into practice. Investing is certainly not unique in this regard. Americans’ expanding waistlines are a great example. The only way to lean up is some combination of eating less and exercising more. We all know this basic truth, we all know what we ought to be doing on both fronts, yet it’s still really hard to execute. Emotions are the reason.
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Friday, May 29, 2015
The Pressure Just Shifted from Greece to the US and EU / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
By: Raul_I_Meijer
With the 3rd US Q1 GDP print coming in at -0.7% (-3% if not for inventories), perhaps the media spotlights – and lively imagination – can move away from Greece for a few weeks. The US has enough problems of its own, it would seem. For one thing, its Q1 GDP is now worse than Greece’s. Of course its debt is also much higher, just not to the IMF and ECB. But let’s leave that one be for the moment. Though a bit of perspective works miracles at times.
Thursday, May 28, 2015
Hundreds of Billions of Dollars Are About to Flow Into Chinese Stocks / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: DailyWealth
Steve Sjuggerud writes: China will ultimately make up 50% of one of the world's major emerging-markets indexes...
"Who cares," you might think, at first...
YOU ought to care...
You see, hundreds of billions of dollars will flow into Chinese stocks in the next two or three years...
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Thursday, May 28, 2015
World War D—Deflation - Secular Bear Markets Analysis / Stock-Markets / Deflation
By: John_Mauldin
Everywhere I go I’m asked, “Will there be inflation or deflation? Are we in a bull or bear market? Is the bond bull market over and will interest rates rise?”
The flippant answer to all those questions is “Yes.” And that can be the correct answer as well, but it depends on what your time frame is and what tools you use to measure the markets and inflation. One of the newer members of the Mauldin Economics team is Jawad Mian, who writes a powerful global macro letter from his base in Dubai. He has been making the case for the “end of the deflation trade” (or more properly the return of a reflationary period) and the knock-on effects that would cause. Longtime readers know that I am in the secular deflation camp and ask me why there’s such a seeming difference my views and Jawad’s.
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Thursday, May 28, 2015
Stocks Extend Their Short-Term Uncertainty, Which Direction Is Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140, and profit target at 1,980, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, May 28, 2015
Stock Markets Buy and Hold is Back! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Rambus_Chartology
Tonight I would like to show you some really big consolidation patterns in regards to some big cap tech stocks mainly the networking and semiconductors. I have shown you some of these big bases in the past but now I’m going to create a brand new portfolio based just on these big patterns. It definitely won’t be as exciting as trading in and out all the time as the game plan will be to hold these stocks for a minimum of two years, no trading. This will be an investment portfolio based on these massive consolidation patterns. Big base or consolidation patterns equals big moves.
Thursday, May 28, 2015
Stock Market Right Back Up... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
When dealing with the stock market of the past five to six months there is a theme to be understood. Never judge one day's action as if that's the new trend to come. We have seen so many big days both to the up side and down side. There's a huge down day, such as there was yesterday. You feel assuredly that today is going to be either a follow up day, or, because markets were oversold, a slight up-day to unwind. This theme has repeated itself over and over. Big up-days and big down-days are game and you win a close, exciting game. You feel the momentum will be nothing to get excited or unhappy about depending on your position in the market. It can be compared to baseball in that a pitcher throws a great continue on, but the next day your pitcher gets hit hard and you lose.
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Wednesday, May 27, 2015
Stock Market Retracements Appear to be Nearing Completion / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has overshot its 2117.42 target but seems to be wrapping up its retracement under the 61.8% retracement level. Not only is this good positioning for a short position, but it appears that it will be triggering its small Orthodox Broadening Top. The target for this formation may be as low as 1623.00. In any event, this appears to be fertile ground for a Flash Crash.
Wednesday, May 27, 2015
Imminent Stocks Bear Market Signaled by Dow Theory ... / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Clive_Maund
Don't be fooled by the new highs in the flagship US stock indices that are being trumpeted on Wall St as a sign of strength - the internals of the market are terrible and getting worse, and one big sign of impending trouble is the Dow Theory non-confirmation of these new highs by other key indices.
First we will see how the S&P500 looks on its charts before moving on to consideration of other key indices. On the 1-year chart for the S&P500 index we can readily see that the breakout to new highs was marginal, on weak volume, and that the index has made very little progress since late last year - it appears to be rounding over and weakening within an uptrend that is converging, which has bearish implications. The fact that it has made new highs has theoretically opened up the possibility of a run to the upper boundary of the uptrend, which is quite some way above, but other factors that we will come to shortly suggest that it will fall way short of that, and they further suggest that this breakout could be false and be followed by a reversal to the downside anytime now.
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Tuesday, May 26, 2015
Is the Next Black Monday Stock Market Crash Right Around the Corner? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: DailyWealth
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: Black Monday happened in 1987, the year before I went to college...
The stock market fell 23% in one day. It was the worst one-day fall in stock market history.
"Overvaluation" was one of the causes, according to my finance professors at the University of Florida.
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Tuesday, May 26, 2015
Why the Stock Market Will Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: James_Quinn
“Things always become obvious after the fact” – Nassim Nicholas Taleb
“Facts do not cease to exist because they are ignored.” – Aldous Huxley
The S&P 500 currently stands at 2,126, fractionally below its all-time high. It is now 300% above the 2009 low and 34% above the 2008 and 2001 previous highs. Most people believe this is the new normal. They are comfortably numb in their ignorance of facts, reality, the truth, and the inevitability of a bleak future. When the herd is convinced progress and never ending gains are the norm, the apparent stability and normality always degenerates into instability and extreme anxiety. As many honest analysts have proven, with unequivocal facts and proven valuation measurements, the stock market is as overvalued as it was in 1929, 2000, and 2007.
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Tuesday, May 26, 2015
The Truth Behind Wall Street Stock Winners / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
By: Harry_Dent
We all know there’s manipulation on Wall Street. There are companies that are much stronger than their fundamentals would suggest, and it laughs in the face of free market capitalism as it was originally intended.But it’s not just Wall Street that’s to blame…
The concept of free markets suggests that they work best when they’re run from the bottom up, not top down. “The invisible hand” was first brilliantly explained by Adam Smith in The Wealth of Nations in 1776.
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Tuesday, May 26, 2015
Stock Market Top in Place? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - The bull market is still intact.
Intermediate trend - Are long-term cycles sketching an important top?
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which ultimately indicate the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, May 25, 2015
Money Murder Mystery: Who Killed the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: ...
MoneyMorning.com Shah Gilani writes: Liquidity, the "life blood" that allows the world's capital markets to function, has been murdered.
Liquidity was choked violently in the bond market by the gloved hands of its erstwhile babysitter – the broker-dealers- but it bled to death in the stock market from a thousand cuts.
We should be afraid. The lurking henchmen who worked as lookouts on "the job" are the very regulators and guardians of the stock and bond markets who should've stopped it.
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Sunday, May 24, 2015
The Chinese and U.S. Economies Are Bubble-Thin / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: ...
MoneyMorning.com Michael E. Lewitt writes: The Shanghai Composite Index soared by 8% last week to its highest level since 2008 and is up about 130% over the last year.
The Shenzhen Composite Index jumped by 12% last week and is up 166% over the same period and is now trading at 66x earnings according to Bloomberg, three times the level of the Shanghai Index.
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Sunday, May 24, 2015
Stock Market Topping, Silver Price Dropping / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Last time I wrote, I was looking for a top in the stock market early last week near 2130-35 SPX and a 5% drop in silver. We got a 4.5% drop in silver and the stock market topped on Wednesday. Tuesday, May 26, I'm looking for a big drop in silver, perhaps as much as 7.5% and a small drop in the stock market to perhaps 2109/10 SPX.
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Saturday, May 23, 2015
Stock Market SPX Uptrend Inflection Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market opened the week at SPX 2123. It then made marginal new all time highs on Monday, Tuesday, and also Wednesday, before going into a trading range for the rest of the week. The entire range for the week was only 15 points. For the week the SPX/DOW were mixed, the NDX/NAZ gained 0.75%, and the DJ World index gained 0.80%. On the economic front reports for the week were mixed. On the uptick: housing starts, building permits, leading indicators, the WLEI, and the CPI. On the downtick: existing homes sales, the Philly FED, the NAHB, plus weekly jobless claims rose. Next week starts with a Monday holiday, then durable goods and housing sales during the week followed by Q1 GDP and the Chicago PMI on Friday.
Saturday, May 23, 2015
The “Real Flash Crash” Will Scare You to Death / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: ...
MoneyMorning.com Shah Gilani writes: Just about every investor knows about the stock-market “Flash Crash.”
Even though it happened all the way back on May 6, 2010, this historic sell-off has been all over the news lately as U.S. regulators try to extradite a small-time London-based trader they’ve identified as the cause.
That’s rubbish. Stocks don’t crash because one trader put down bunches of “sell” orders.
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Saturday, May 23, 2015
Stock Market Diamond Formation Breaks Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
What do you know…the Megaphone formation has turned into a Diamond formation. It appears to have broken down beneath the Diamond in the final minutes of trading. In addition, the futures are lower after the close. We probably won’t have absolute certainty until Monday. A break beneath 2122.00 would likely verify the Diamond formation.
Friday, May 22, 2015
SP500 Looks For Lifetime High, German DAX Follows / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
By: Gregor_Horvat
A three wave decline from the highs and down to 2114 is corrective pattern that is pointing to new highs especially if we also consider a five wave rise to around 2131 recently. As such, we believe that sooner or later the futures contract on S&P500 will reach new all-time highs.
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