Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, May 13, 2015
Stock Market Tops - First Dow, Then Russell… Now This / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
I have been touting a major top in stocks, especially in the Dow and the largest small-cap index, the Russell 2000.With each new bubble, we reach higher highs, and then crash to lower lows. It’s such an obvious megaphone pattern that I’m not sure how anyone could miss it.
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Tuesday, May 12, 2015
Stock Market Sell Status is Upgraded / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
SPX has now crossed its 50-day Moving Average at 2089.47. This is an aggressive sell signal with confirmation beneath its prior low at 2067.93. We’ll probably see some back-testing of the 50-day before it resumes its decline. There is a good possibility of a trendline break in the Orthodox Broadening Top today.
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Tuesday, May 12, 2015
Stocks and Bond Markets Reach an Epiphany... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Good Morning!
The SPX Premarket has bounced from the 50-day Moving Average at 2089.58 this morning. It appears that the algos have been turned on while the volume is light to ramp it back, but so far SPX remains negative prior to the open.
USD/JPY had a sharp sell-off while SPX was in decline. It is attempting a retracement, but appears to be stalled at 120.14. Meanwhile, SPX appears to have given up all the gains from the positive employment report form Friday.
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Tuesday, May 12, 2015
Bill Gross Promises to Give "Everything" Away / Stock-Markets / Social Issues
Bill Gross of Janus Capital sat down with Bloomberg Television's Erik Schatzker at his office in Newport Beach, California to discuss his new life, how he defines success and why he's giving away his multi-billion-dollar fortune. On how much he's given away, Gross said: "I think to this point probably $600 million to $700 million."
Gross went on to say "We'll give everything that we have other than our home away to either philanthropic causes that I've talked about, or to the foundation." He said the amount he'll give away "is staggering, even to me."
On why he hasn’t talked more about his philanthropy, Gross said: "I guess Sue and I try and keep it quiet. We're not the--not that there's anything wrong with this,--but we're not the type to attend functions and parties and galas. We like to work underneath so to speak.”
Tuesday, May 12, 2015
Stock Market Another Try...Another Failure.....But Not Bearish.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Another day, another failure, but you are all used to that by now. Right? Hello? Look folks, we've seen this so many times over the past five months it shouldn't have a single adverse effect on you. Wash, rinse and repeat for so long it's off the charts. That said, we need to study how the market sold off today and ask ourselves if the selling that took place below the breakout level of 2119 to, let's call it, 2125 was really bearish. I would suggest it was not. The volume was light and the oscillators were leading, while price fell very little meaning solid unwinding without a lot of price depreciation. It would be very bad for the bulls if price was leading lower with force while the oscillators stayed up there. No longer are we overbought, and no one should feel as if today's selling was anything bad in terms of price.
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Tuesday, May 12, 2015
Canaries In The Coal Mine - Tech High-Flyers Fall To Earth / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
While the “stock market” continues to flirt with new records, there’s turmoil under the surface. High-flying social media companies Twitter and LinkedIn fell hard in late April, and now recent IPO Etsy, an online marketplace for arts and crafts, is down 50% since going public (8% of that today).
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Tuesday, May 12, 2015
Stocks Spooked as Yields break Head & Shoulders Necklines / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The Head & Shoulders neckline was redrawn on TNX, but the outcome is the same. Yields are now going high and it is being recognized
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Monday, May 11, 2015
Why Your Investment Portfolio Probably Isn’t as “Diversified” as You Think / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
Stefan Gleason writes: “Am I diversified?”
It’s a question every investor should ask. It’s a question that CNBC’s bombastic stock guru Jim Cramer encourages his followers to pose. Unfortunately, Cramer’s answers are one-dimensional – he looks at diversification only in terms of stock holdings.
Having a stock portfolio that is diversified among different sectors and styles is just one aspect of diversification. During a stock market crash, any broadly diversified stock portfolio can be expected to go down with the market.
Monday, May 11, 2015
New World Order - Greece Not Allowed Leave EU - Says Marc Faber / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
- Greece will not be ejected from the EU – Faber on CNBC
- Greek default will trigger massive losses for ECB and European banks
- Highlights geo-political impetus to keep Greece within EU, NATO fold
- Shows strategic geo-political importance of Greece in NATO’s Cold war with Russia
- China and Russia’s ever-closer relationship more important than declining UK
- “This Is A New World Order” – Dr Faber
Monday, May 11, 2015
How to Profit from the Fed's Anti-Cash Stance / Stock-Markets / Banksters
MoneyMorning.com Peter Krauth writes: Savvy investors know that over short time periods, and especially during bear markets, the saying “cash is king” often holds true. It provides security and allows for bargain hunting when assets are cheap.
However, through times of financial repression and negative interest rate policies (NIRP), central planners, along with banks, are changing that precept into “cash is trash.”
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Monday, May 11, 2015
Stock Market Investors' Sentiment Improves Again Following Jobs Data Release - Will It Last? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140, and profit target at 1,980, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, May 11, 2015
Stock Market Still Vulnerable to Big Downside / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Last time I wrote, I was expecting a move to about 2064/65 or about a 2% drop into the 12.5 week cycle low. We got a 2.45% drop into May 6th, TD 13 of the 12.5 wk low. Our money flow indicators suggested more upside as they were washed out nicely and we went long the end of the day Thursday and got out on Friday and took 30 points out of the market (all provable on my web site).
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Monday, May 11, 2015
Stock Market More Distribution Under Way? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - The bull market is still intact.
Intermediate trend - Is the 7-yr cycle sketching an important top?
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which ultimately indicate the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, May 10, 2015
Investors Stay Away from This Irrational Indulgence / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
MoneyMorning.com Michael E. Lewitt writes: When I see the market rally mindlessly -as it did on Friday, after the jobs report pushed the jobless rate down to 5.4%- I ask myself a set of questions like the following….
Do investors really think it's going to matter if the Fed raises interest rates by a quarter of a point in September instead of June? Do they really think it's normal that €3 trillion of European debt is yielding less than zero? The Swiss National Bank (Switzerland's Federal Reserve) owns $100 billion of stocks…Is that considered normal?
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Sunday, May 10, 2015
All Eyes on Stock Market New Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
DOW
Finally it seems we may just see that new all time high to complete the ending diagonal pattern we have been following for the last few months, more importantly it also seems the DOW has also caught up with the SPX, which is a good thing as it aligns both markets.
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Saturday, May 09, 2015
Stock Market Choppiness Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Another one of those choppy weeks. The market started the week at SPX 2108. Gapped up on Monday hitting SPX 2121, dropped to 2068 by Wednesday despite a gap up opening that day, then rallied to 2118 on Friday with also a gap up opening. Three gap up openings on the week, net gain 8 points. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.65%, the NDX/NAZ were mixed, and the DJ World index was +0.30%. On the economic front reports continued to come in positive. On the uptick: factory orders, ISM services, consumer credit, monthly payrolls, wholesale inventories, the WLEI, and the unemployment rate improved. On the downtick: the ADP index, the MMIS, and both weekly jobless claims and the trade deficit increased. Next week is highlighted by Industrial production, Retail sales and the PPI.
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Saturday, May 09, 2015
A Perfect Jobs Report For The Bulls...Still No Breakout... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The market looked very bad heading in to Thursday's action. It went up a bit Thursday off of oversold, short-term conditions as it waited on Friday's big Jobs Report, due out this morning one hour before the open. Traders were hedging their bets on which way it would go. Bears knew a bad number for the second month in a row would likely bring about a real slaughter as things have been weak on the economic front lately. The bulls were counting on bad weather being the culprit to the recent string of bad news on the economy.
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Saturday, May 09, 2015
FTSE 100 Is Reaching A Turning Point / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market
Recent rallies in the FTSE 100 have been nothing short of impressive ISHARES FTSE 100 UCITS ETF (LON:ISF). These are moves that have been inspired by low inflation levels, strong consumer spending, and better than expected corporate earnings in the region’s largest companies. This is the type of fundamental backdrop that supports the prospects for continued rallies. But when we look at price levels in their current form, there is some reason for caution in the near term.
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Friday, May 08, 2015
Investing and the Lollapalooza Effect / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
How to Dress for a Rainy Day
Valuations are quite high and could spur financial instability, Janet Yellen told us yesterday. The question on the lips of the attendees at my recent Strategic Investment Conference was how to hedge their portfolios in a world of increasing volatility. For the last two years, my associate Worth Wray and I have been examining ways to design core strategic portfolios that are both robust and insulated. The challenge is that designing portfolios using backward-looking tools in a world that will not look like the past is an endeavor fraught with peril.
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Friday, May 08, 2015
Stock Market Deflationary Outcome. It's Coming / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The reality is that ever since the 2000 top, both the economy and the stock market have been trying to deflate. It has been these deflationary forces that the Money Masters have been fighting. In the process, they created the housing bubble, the 2007 stock market bubble, the 2008 commodity bubble, the banking crisis and consequently the worst financial disaster since The Great Depression. Those deflationary forces have yet to be fully expressed, but they will. Ever since the rally out of the March 2009 low began, I have said that it has been an advance within the context of a much longer-term secular bear market. As the 2009 low was being made, I also said that the longer the rally out of that low lasts, the more dangerous it would become.
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