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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Friday, July 12, 2013

Can the Fed Cause a Stock Market Crash? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Money_Morning

Tony Daltorio writes: A recent article by Paul B. Farrell of MarketWatch said that there is a 98% risk of a stock market crash before the end of 2014.

He said in the article "bubbles are everywhere. . .ready to blow."

That's quite a statement. One key reason Farrell expects a crash? Federal Reserve policies.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, July 12, 2013

Bernanke Inspires a New Stock Market All-Time High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short. Pre-market futures were on a tear, and today’s rise unemployment claims scarcely mattered. Today’s rally in US equities is universally attributed to Chairman Bernanke’s comments following his somewhat wonkish speech to economists in Cambridge, MA yesterday after the market closed. In response to a question, Bernanke said that “highly accommodative monetary policy for the foreseeable future is what’s needed.” That, along with similar dovish remarks, triggered a rise in equity futures and a cliff-dive in US Dollar futures.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, July 12, 2013

New Dow High as Another Stocks Bear Market Goes Up in Smoke / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Dow Jones surges to a new all time closing high of 15,460.92 as many market commentators literally never learn! And there is a reason for this.

Bull markets do one thing, and one thing only, they resolve to NEW bull market highs, as that is what ultimately defines what a bull market is, and so the market that I have traded for near 30 years, the DJIA stock index has once more resolved to a new bull market ALL Time High.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, July 11, 2013

Market Moves Ahead Should be Good for Gold, Bad for the US Dollar / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Casey_Research

By John Williams, Shadowstats

Nothing is normal: not the economy, not the financial system, not the financial markets and not the political system. The financial system still remains in the throes and aftershocks of the 2008 panic. A number of underlying problems of that time, tied to the risks of a near-systemic collapse and the related, extreme economic downturn, were pushed into the future—not resolved—by the extraordinary liquidity and systemic-intervention actions taken by the Federal Reserve and federal government. Further panic is possible, and severe US dollar debasement and inflation remain inevitable.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, July 11, 2013

Bernanke Boosts Stock Markets, Bashes U.S. Dollar / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: PhilStockWorld

Hallelujah!!!

And He shall print for ever and ever. That's right kids, Uncle Ben came to the rescue last night with his most doveish speech of the year (and the competition was fierce!). We went over the Fed Minutes (well, half of them, they were long!) in yesterday's chat (tweeted here) but all that analysis was thrown out the window when Bernanke said: "Both sides of our mandate are saying we need to be MORE accommodative."

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, July 11, 2013

Your Best Strategy for Playing the QE Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Money_Morning

Martin Hutchinson writes: Don't worry. The bubble "Quantitative Easing" has built is still intact. For now.

However, even though there's breathing room, don't think it's time to breathe easy. There will be Hell to pay, just not now.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, July 11, 2013

Fed Speaks After Hours... Stock Market Looking To Correct A Bit?.....Nothing Bearish.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Jack_Steiman

That may be the truth of things as the market seems to be churning around the resistance level of 1654/1656. Markets, if overbought on the short-term charts, will struggle at a particular resistance level. This will allow the short term oscillators to unwind which will provide more energy for another move and test back up. If the oscillators unwind enough without too much price erosion, the market will likely make it through that resistance level in time.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, July 11, 2013

Rising Interest Rates, Gold and the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Clif_Droke

Many analysts predict that banks will be hurt by higher interest rates. Yet the best leading indicator of banks' future profits - financial sector stocks - aren't showing the slightest concern by this prospect.

Indeed, judging by the performance of the Bank Index (BKX) and the Broker Dealer Index (XBD), financial institutions seem to be quite at home with the idea of higher interest rates. This, we are told by some experts, is because higher rates allow banks to loan more money. Insurers also generate more returns on their investment portfolios with rising rates without having to rely on premiums.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 10, 2013

China Economic “Miracle” Has Failed… What’s Next For the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: Graham_Summers

China, which the investment world blindly continues to believe will power the global economy to growth, just posted its single worst export data since 2009.

All in all, Chinese exports fell 3.1% from a year earlier. Analysts had forecast growth of 3.7%. The reason? They continue to believe China will somehow pull a rabbit out of a hat and grow exports at a time when the global economy is sharply contracting.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 10, 2013

Stock Market Rally Eight Gains in Ten Sessions / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short. Premarket futures were positive and the S&P 500 opened at its intraday low, up 0.15% from Monday’s close, surged for a couple of minutes but gave back much of the gain by the end of the first hour of trading. Rally mode then resumed, and the index rose to its 0.84% intraday high in the final 30 minutes of trading. It closed off its high with a gain of 0.72%, stretching the latest rally to four consecutive days and eight positive closes out of the last ten sessions.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 10, 2013

Stock Market Bad Omens / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: John_Mauldin

We have clearly been in a recent run of higher interest rates, with a looming "threat" that there might be less quantitative easing before the end of the year. It would appear now that Bernanke wants to leave his successor to implement what everyone knows must be coming at some point: a return to a normal interest-rate environment. While rising interest rates are bad for me personally (for another four months), a return to normalcy would be good for our future – though the transition is likely to be bumpy.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 09, 2013

U S Stock Markets… Chartology’s Best Kept Secret…The Bullish Rising / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Rambus_Chartology

As most of you know I’ve been bullish on the stock markets for quite sometime now. I know there are a lot of investors that are bearish on the US markets and are looking for them to crash on burn. From my perspective nothing is broken that would tell me at this point in time to expect a major correction. So far the charts have been playing out beautifully and if nothing is broken there is no need to fix it.

The first chart I would like to show you is a very long term monthly look at the INDU that seems to be repeating a pattern that formed back in 2002 to 2007 rally phase. I’ve shown this chart several times in the past that shows the bullish rising wedge that formed as a halfway pattern in the middle of the 2002 to 2007 rally. No one at the time recognized this pattern, the bullish rising wedge, because everyone always considers these patterns as bearish. Nothing could be further from the truth as I have shown many times they act and perform just as any other consolidation if the price action breaks out through the top rail. The chart below shows the bullish rising wedge that formed in 2002 to 2007 as a halfway pattern that measured out perfectly in time and price to the 2007 high just before the crash. You can see our current bullish rising wedge that I’ve been showing since the breakout about 6 months or so ago.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 09, 2013

Stock Market Holding 1628.... Nasdaq Lags… Nothing Bad... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Jack_Steiman

Today was an important day for the bulls. They finally captured the gap resistance level of 1628 on the S&P 500 on Friday after numerous failures. They didn't clear cleanly as the close was only approximately four points above, but it was good to see the close above 1628. Today the bulls were able to get a gap up again putting some further distance away from 1628. Every point counts when you're trying to move through a key level of resistance such as 1628. The move today wasn't huge, but it was decent and that's really all that matters as you can't have explosive days every day.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 08, 2013

Stock Market Flash Crash Warning / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Chris_Vermeulen

US Equities opened higher this morning and are setting up for a sharp pullback based on technical analysis using trends, cycles, momentum, volume, market breadth and key resistance zones.

Take a look at the charts below for a quick flash of what I think.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 08, 2013

The Inflation Trades Are Your Friend / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: David_Banister

Ignore the pundits and pay attention to the action and what you see around you. Last time I walked down the cereal aisle I thought maybe I needed glasses, but no… the boxes keep shrinking. That’s inflation as seen in food being priced in via smaller servings at the same or higher prices. Gold has likely put in a massive cyclical bottom in the 1180′s with 1156 the likely support now for any further pullback and analysts continue to downgrade the better Gold miners right near the cycle bottom.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 08, 2013

Gold, Stocks and Bonds Financial Respite / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: David_Petch

When volatility spikes the economy in certain ways, it can cause some leveraged positions to implode which can, through paper markets collapse the price of a given commodity etc. Some event is looming that will serve as a trigger for the next down leg in the broad stock market indices...the rising US Dollar Index is serving that at present and as mentioned earlier this week, there are thousands of potential dominoes out there waiting to be knocked over to start the cascade...just which one and when this occurs is an unknown. And with volatility comes government to try and maintain stability through financial respite. There are many definitions of respite in the dictionary, but the short and sweet version is “To delay the carrying out of (punishment)...or to relieve temporarily, especially of anything distressing or trying”.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 08, 2013

QE, The Velocity of Money And Dislocated Gold / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing

By: Raul_I_Meijer

From time to time, it's nice to look at a series of graphs, and let them tell their thousand words worth - each - of stories. In this case, I started out looking at US monetary base at the St.Louis Fed website and it sort of went from there. Curious trends and intriguing numbers, beyond what I would have thought. To refresh memory and avoid confusion, first a few definitions:

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 08, 2013

Stock Market Uptrend Asserting Itself? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.

Intermediate trend - SPX continues to progress according to its structure. After reaching 1687,an intermediate reversal took it down to the 1560 level, from which it rebounded strongly. That rebound appears to be evolving into the beginning of a new uptrend.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 08, 2013

U.S. Stock Market is Uptrending / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Tony_Caldaro

After a gap up Monday to SPX 1627, the market pulled back to 1605 on Wednesday, then gapped up again Friday and hit 1632. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.55%, the NDX/NAZ were +2.00%, and the DJ World index was +0.70%. On the economic front positive reports continued to lead negative ones. On the uptick: ISM manufacturing, factory orders, the ADP, the Payrolls report and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: ISM services, the WLEI, the M1 multiplier and the trade deficit widened. Next week we get the FOMC minutes, the PPI and Consumer sentiment.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, July 07, 2013

Stock Market (Bernanke) Demand Cannot be Sustained As Is / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Michael_Noonan

If central planners were put in charge of managing the Mohave Desert, out West, it would eventually run out of sand. When central planners manage anything, they distort natural market forces, and that ultimately creates an exaggerated effect in the opposite direction. At some point, and now sooner rather than later, the Fed's [Bernanke] interference with the stock market is going to make the 2008 crash seem like a minor correction.

There is one thing, and one thing only, driving the stock market, and that is debt. It is not new capital. It is not new investment in plants and machinery, the "old fashion" way of creating a sustained bull market. It is borrowed money, and the cost of cheap money is going to become dear. When that happens, the [overly] leverage factor is going to destroy everyone who is leveraged. This "party" to the upside will end, and when it does, those who chose to believe in the lies will suffer dire financial consequences.

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