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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Wednesday, October 12, 2016

Gold and Crude Oil - General Stock Market Links / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Without a doubt the most important event of the recent month (or even the recent years) was unexpected OPEC’s decision to limit its production to a range of 32.5-33.0 million barrels per day. The agreement reached in Algiers (which is expected to be implemented this year) improved oil investors’ sentiment and pushed the price of crude oil above the barrier of $50. But is it enough to break above the Jun peak? Is it possible that the relationships between crude oil, gold and the general stock market give us more clues about future crude oil’s moves?

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Wednesday, October 12, 2016

Gold and Silver Metals Show Strength Relative to the USD Index / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Gold, silver and mining stocks moved higher yesterday, but the size of the rally was not huge and it was another day during which the PM sector didn’t decline. The back and forth movement and decreased volatility appear to be temporary as this kind of performance is something that we’ve seen during both consolidations and bottoms. Which way will the precious metals sector go?

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 11, 2016

For How Long Can OPEC Talk Up Oil Prices? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

Not a day passes without OPEC making oil and gas headlines, and today is surely no exception. Seemingly in lockstep with OPEC, the market is once again pacified on the promise that changes to the global oil supply glut are a' comin'.

Yesterday, the Wall Street Journal quoted anonymous sources close to the matter who had it on good authority that the Saudi's were willing to cut "up to" 400,000 barrels per day (and that they had planned to do so all along, with or without an OPEC agreement). We can assume this figure is off August or September levels, which are near-record highs for the oil-rich country.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Tuesday, October 11, 2016

Presidential Election and Bear 'Super-Cycle' Stifle Growth in Markets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: The_Gold_Report

Contrary to what a number of gold bugs have observed, other experts believe recent drops in the gold price are not a bull market correction, but rather reflect a market stuck in a commodity bear "super-cycle." Coupled with a gloomy end-of-year outlook for stock markets, precious metals and miners could be in for a rough Q4.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Tuesday, October 11, 2016

What in the World Happened to Gold and Silver Prices Last Week? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: MoneyMetals

By Clint Siegner : Gold and silver prices charged higher during the first 6 months of the year. They fell into a rut over the summer, and then hit the skids last Tuesday. Lots of bullion investors are wondering what in the world happened. There are three primary factors driving this price correction.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, October 10, 2016

This Past Week in Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest movement in the gold and silver markets, noting the cycle has reversed down.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, October 10, 2016

Gold Trading COT Report “Means Lower – Then Much Higher – Prices Coming” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

The gold trading Commitment of Traders (COT) report, released Friday, shows the peculiarly timed gold sell off and much needed wash out of speculative longs out of the gold futures market last week sets gold up for lower prices, prior to moving higher again.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, October 10, 2016

Gold and Silver PM Stocks Indices at an Emotionally Challenging Juncture / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Rambus_Chartology

This past week there was some panic selling in the PM complex which is what we need to see happen to put in an important low. The HUI hit the 50% retrace at 195 for this first leg up in its new bull market, just under 200, which is an important physiological round number. Many times investor will place their sell/stops just under a round number like 40, 50 or 200 for instance, thinking if a stock drops below that important round number it’s time to exit that position. Many times a drop below these round numbers can be the reversal point for the next rally in the case of an uptrend.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, October 10, 2016

Gold – Commitments of Traders – hedge fund longs liquidate / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Dan_Norcini

Fortunately for we traders, the Commitments of Traders report did at least catch the big move lower on Tuesday of this week so we were able to get a peek inside the market to see what happened to those massive hedge fund long positions during this week’s meltdown in the gold price.

Here is the first chart. Hedge fund outright positions.

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Commodities

Sunday, October 09, 2016

Gold Bull Markets Have Corrections / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Gary_Savage

Human nature is nothing if not consistent. I’ve seen this dozens  of times. At every single intermediate cycle low traders begin to doubt. No matter how strong the bull signals are, when a correction occurs traders find, or make up reasons for why the bear market is still in force or a new bear market is starting.

Folks, bull markets have to have corrections. They don’t signal the end of the bull, they are just profit taking events when price gets stretched too far above the mean, or when sentiment becomes too bullish.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Saturday, October 08, 2016

Gold Bugs Great News - COT Report Playing Out As Usual, Means Lower Then Much Higher Prices Coming / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: John_Rubino

This year’s recovery in precious metals prices – and the sudden spike in gold/silver mining stocks – convinced a lot of people that a new bull market had begun. Last week’s brutal smack-down scared the hell out of many of the same folks.

The latest commitment of traders (COT) report implies that we should all relax. Things are playing out pretty much according to a script that’s been in place for decades — and which points to happy times by early next year.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Saturday, October 08, 2016

Crude's Post-OPEC Rally "Bears Watching" But "Natural Gas is More Interesting Market at this Juncture" / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: EWI

New insights from Chief Energy Analyst Steve Craig

Elliott Wave International's Steve Craig offers you his latest insight on price trends in crude oil and natural gas.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Friday, October 07, 2016

Gold’s, Miners’ Stops Run / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold, silver, and their miners’ stocks plummeted out of the blue this week, shattering their bull-market uptrends.  Gold-futures speculators had been holding excessive long positions for months, weathering all kinds of selling catalysts.  But once gold slipped through key support, long-side futures stop losses started to trigger unleashing cascading selling.  Understanding this event and its implications is crucial for traders.

This week’s precious-metals carnage was a big surprise, erupting suddenly with no technical warning.  Gold had been faring quite well after hitting its latest interim high of $1365 in early July.  That was driven by heavy fund buying of gold-ETF shares in the wake of late June’s unexpected pro-Brexit vote.  After those big capital inflows dried up, gold consolidated high.  At worst by late August it had pulled back 4.1% to $1308.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Friday, October 07, 2016

What Tools Does the Fed Have Left and How Could They Affect the Gold Market? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Although the U.S. economy is currently expanding, we cannot rule out the possibility of a significant slowdown in the next few years. Some analysts argue that the Fed would be out of ammunition during the next crisis. Is that true? “Not necessarily,” as it turns out – the whole issue is a bit more complicated. We will now analyze what monetary weapons could the Fed use to stimulate the economy when the next recession strikes. The table below presents a short summary of available tools.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Friday, October 07, 2016

Sterling Gold Surges 5% In One Minute “Flash Crash” – Up 1.7% In Week As Gilts Sell Off / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Sterling gold surged 5% in less than a minute overnight in Asia with prices rising from £994/oz to £1,043.40/oz as sterling had a massive “flash crash.” Sterling plummeted in the second biggest fall in its history – only slightly less than the collapse after the Brexit vote.

Despite gold’s peculiar, sharp fall in dollar terms on Tuesday and 4.1% loss for the week, sterling gold is another 1.7% higher this week – from £1,010/oz to £1,027/oz –  again showing gold’s importance in hedging against currency devaluation.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Friday, October 07, 2016

Gold Bull Still Intact, Use Pullback to Accumulate / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: The_Gold_Report

This week's drop in the gold price has spooked many investors, says money manager Adrian Day, who provides his perspective on the volatility.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Friday, October 07, 2016

Gold Mining Shares in a World of Hurt / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Dan_Stinson

The HUI is coming unglued on the charts with the index falling below long term chart support at the 200 day moving average in today’s session. It had not been below that key technical indicator since early February of this year.

We are also now seeing the 50 day moving average and the 100 day both moving lower.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, October 06, 2016

Gold’s Second Waterfall Drop this Week / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Michael_J_Kosares

We do not often find ourselves jogging the same track as the redoubtable Dennis Gartman who commands untold premiums for his advice, but now, it seems, he is verifying our suspicion of two days ago (Please see “Gold’s waterfall drop might be associated with the big drop in British sterling”) that something is amiss in London gold trading circles.  Here is today’s chart – a second waterfall move in the gold market coincident with a second swan dive for the pound and Gartman’s take (snipped from ZeroHedge).

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, October 06, 2016

Crude Oil Price Double Top or Further Rally? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Trading position (short-term; our opinion): No positions are justified from the risk/reward perspective. In other words, we think that taking profits off the table and closing the previous long positions is a good idea.

On Tuesday, crude oil gave some of earlier gains after news that Iran and Libya have continued to increase production. In these circumstances, light crude slipped to the previously-broken resistance zone, but then closed the day above it. Is this a verification of the breakout?

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, October 06, 2016

Gold Price to Rally $80 into October 14th? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

I admit I missed the GDX move down to 22.93 today, but at the same time it has presented itself with a great opportunity. The chart below is predicting GDX 29.84 by October 14. I am now leveraged, extremely leveraged with options for a strong rally ahead in gold and GDX.

A lot of negative bias now in the precious metals complex has me thinking the other way: and that is a massive short covering rally ahead. The e-wave look and cycles suggest the same. The "nonfarm payrolls report" on Friday could be (likely) the catalyst.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


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