Gold and Silver Prepare For A Momentum Rally

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Today we warn of a potential downside price rotation in precious metals that may last 3~5+ weeks as metals set up for a massive breakout rally which we believe will start in late April or early May. Our custom indicators are suggesting that precious metals, and the general US stock markets, may be setting up for a bit of a reprieve rotation after a very impressive recovery. Be patient as we believe this pullback in prices will provide an excellent buying opportunity for the eventual momentum rally setting up in about 30+ days.​

Let’s start by looking at our Custom Market Volatility indicators.  The Weekly chart below highlights the recent recovery in the US stock market since the December 24th, 2018 lows and also shows that the current recovery level is sitting right at a 61.8% Fibonacci level.  It is our belief that a period of general price weakness will begin to unfold over the next 10~15+ days in the US stock market.  This rotation is very healthy for the next leg higher – the momentum rally we have been suggesting will take place in the near future.

We believe the downside rotation in the US stock market will be the result of renewed calm from expectations that the global economy may begin a recovery process as the US/China trade issues and other geopolitical issues seem to become more resolved.  We believe the recent upside move in the US stock markets were a flight to safety for many foreign investors fearing that US/China trade issues would result in very harsh outcomes near March 1.  If the trade issues appear to be close to a resolution, this flight to safety trade may wane a bit over the next 10~20+ days as emerging markets may see a dramatic upside bounce in valuations.

How does this relate to Gold and Silver?  It is very likely that the upside pricing pressure in precious metals will stall a bit as the global equities markets take center stage.  If our analysis is correct, the developed markets will contract while the emerging markets take focus.  This falls right into line with our analysis that the US stock markets will pause/rotate over the next 10~20+ days in preparation for a larger upside price swing.

Our custom Gold/Silver Index is showing that precious metals are trading in a sideways Pennant/Flag formation near levels that have historically been resistance.  We still believe the upside in the precious metals market over the long term is substantial, yet we believe the news of a US/China trade resolution and the resulting rally in the emerging markets will remove much of the upside pricing pressure in the precious metals markets for about 15+ days before momentum support is found.

Our researchers believe the timing of this move is right for a short term swing trade.  Be prepared for rotation in nearly all the global markets and be prepared for emerging markets to see an upside price rally as a result of positive news from the US and China over the next 2+ weeks.

Are you ready for these moves?  Do you value the research we share with you and the insight we provide?  Please take a minute to visit www.TheTechnicalTraders.com to learn how we can help you find and execute better trades.  Support our work – become a member.  We dedicate our efforts to providing you with more detailed and intuitive market research available anywhere else.  Isn’t it time you invested in a team that can really help you make 2019 a great success?

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Chris Vermeulen
www.TheTechnicalTraders.com

Chris Vermeulen has been involved in the markets since 1997 and is the founder of Technical Traders Ltd. He is an internationally recognized technical analyst, trader, and is the author of the book: 7 Steps to Win With Logic

Through years of research, trading and helping individual traders around the world. He learned that many traders have great trading ideas, but they lack one thing, they struggle to execute trades in a systematic way for consistent results. Chris helps educate traders with a three-hour video course that can change your trading results for the better.

His mission is to help his clients boost their trading performance while reducing market exposure and portfolio volatility.

He is a regular speaker on HoweStreet.com, and the FinancialSurvivorNetwork radio shows. Chris was also featured on the cover of AmalgaTrader Magazine, and contributes articles to several leading financial hubs like MarketOracle.co.uk

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