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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Wednesday, July 11, 2018

Yield Curve Inversion a Remarkably Accurate Warning Indicator For Economic & Market Peril / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Dan_Amerman

Would you have appreciated a single number that could have given you a clear and unmistakable warning before the tech stock bubble collapsed? How about an unequivocal mathematical warning in 2006 that major financial trouble was on the way, well before the problems of 2007 and 2008?

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Economics

Sunday, June 17, 2018

The Corruption of Capitalism / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Harry_Dent

I call it “killing the golden goose.”

David Stockman, a speaker at this year’s Irrational Economic Summit, calls it “the corruption of capitalism.”

Andrew O’Hehir, a contributor for Salon, recently interviewed Yanis Varoufakis about the story behind Greece’s financial crash. He was the prime minister during the height of the Greek crisis, elected in early 2015 in response to the Greece debt default crisis.

And in July of 2015, Varoufakis resigned after the ECB (European Central Bank) and IMF (International Monetary Fund) forced a bailout package that went against what he and his SYRIZA party had promised the Greek people.

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Economics

Sunday, June 17, 2018

What Are Corporate Tax Cuts Doing to Wages? / Economics / Wages

By: Harry_Dent

There’s no end to the insanity. Our central bankers and politicians are trying to keep this artificial bubble going at all costs.

How shortsighted. How arrogant. How selfish!

These politicians will be roasted in history, not just for creating the greatest bubble ever, but for extending it far beyond any logic.

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Economics

Sunday, June 17, 2018

Comparing Wages Globally / Economics / Wages

By: Harry_Dent

Finally! I recently came across this great analysis that the OECD (the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development) did to show how well off workers in different countries are after adjusting for income and entitlement taxes, like social security and health care.

Basically, it measures what people get paid for a fair day’s work.

And we’re not talking average household income here. Household numbers are affected by choices: whether both spouses work full-time, one part-time, or one not work at all… Female participation rates AND the number of kids one chooses all have an effect on per capita numbers.

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Economics

Thursday, June 14, 2018

How Online Gambling has Impacted the Economy / Economics / Gambling

By: Steve_Marks

A Powerful Influence

Unless you have been sleeping under a rock in a cave, on a different planet, chances are you have noticed or heard about the recent rise in online gambling. Pretty much everything you can imagine is now moving to the online space, and gambling being such a lucrative industry, you can bet that bringing that industry to the world wide web has made a powerful impact on the economy.

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Economics

Wednesday, June 13, 2018

The $USD Thinks the Fed Will Choose Inflation / Economics / Inflation

By: Graham_Summers

The Fed meets today, and whatever happens will be a BIG “tell” for the rest of the year.

On the one hand, inflation is clearly seeping fully into the financial system. Even the ridiculously massaged CPI measure of inflation shows it is close to 3%.

This would suggest the Fed would move aggressively to hike rates to curb inflation.

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Economics

Tuesday, June 12, 2018

The Dangers of Investing Based on Phony Government Statistics / Economics / Economic Statistics

By: MoneyMetals

President Donald Trump recently took to Twitter to boast, “The U.S. has an increased economic value of more than 7 Trillion Dollars since the Election. May be the best economy in the history of our country. Record Jobs numbers. Nice!”

“We ran out of words to describe how good the jobs numbers are,” reported Neil Irwin of the New York Times, amplified in a Trump retweet.

If you believe the headline numbers, joblessness is at a generational low with the economy booming.

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Economics

Friday, June 08, 2018

U.S. Jobless Claims Lower than Expected / Economics / Unemployment

By: Donald_W_Dony

The U.S. Unemployment rate just posted a new 45-year low. That is good news for the S&P 500.

The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits fell by 1 thousand to 222 thousand in the week ending June 2. This occurred after the previous week's revised level of 223 thousand and below the market's expectations

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Economics

Thursday, June 07, 2018

The US Dollar Has Already Figured Out That Inflation is Coming / Economics / Inflation

By: Graham_Summers

The Fed has gone dovish. In fact, it’s going to allow inflation to explode higher.

That, in of itself, is significant… to understand why, we first need to acknowledge how the Fed currently operates to control risk in the financial system.

The Fed currently has two primary tools for controlling the financial system. They are:

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Economics

Wednesday, June 06, 2018

Who Finances America's Borrowing? Recession Indicator for Independent Thinkers Part 2 / Economics / Economic Theory

By: F_F_Wiley

Have you ever lacked for information about America’s various debt burdens? Twenty-odd years ago, if you paid any attention to debt, you might have relied on original source data to stay current. But the times they are-a-changing, aren’t they? In today’s high-tech, data-rich world, anyone who follows financial news should know roughly where we stand with our borrowings. Whether you’re a mainstream media addict or a blog junkie, your daily dose includes more commentary than ever before on which types of borrowers are increasing their leverage and by how much.

For example, don’t bother to sit down and ready yourself before reading the following observations about debt ratios, they should come as no big surprise (but note that we’re comparing debt to the highest prior GDP reading, or peak GDP):

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Economics

Saturday, June 02, 2018

Buckle Up Deflationists… You’re Getting Taken to the Cleaners / Economics / Inflation

By: Graham_Summers

The current view trending in social media as well as most of the financial media is that Italy is about to trigger a systemic collapse of Europe.

Those proposing this theory are using charts of Italy’s bond yields and stock market that focus on the last few years when the country was being priced at a ridiculously low risk.

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Economics

Wednesday, May 30, 2018

Debilitating Inflation Is Like an Army of Termites Eating Away Your House / Economics / Inflation

By: MoneyMetals

Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome back David Smith, Senior Analyst at The Morgan Report, and regular contributor to MoneyMetals.com.

David, thanks for joining us again, how are you?

David Smith: You bet, Mike. It's great to speak with you again.

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Economics

Monday, May 28, 2018

A Recession Indicator for Independent Thinkers / Economics / Recession

By: F_F_Wiley

Last month we took sides in the ongoing debate about the Great Yield Curve Scare—we argued that the curve hasn’t flattened enough to deliver a strong recession signal at this point in time. We showed that the recent flattening is similar to those that occurred at various stages of the last nine business-cycle expansions, but usually before the midpoints. In other words, history places today’s curve in an early- or mid-cycle position, not late-cycle as commonly believed. We concluded that the recent flattening isn’t all that interesting as far as the business cycle is concerned.

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Economics

Monday, May 21, 2018

Frontier Growth, Catching Up, Falling Behind and Extremely Falling Behind / Economics / Emerging Markets

By: MoneyFacts

The economic growth model a country chooses to implement is very important for its economic development. This is the challenge primarily faced by countries with developing economies which place the process of increasing their level of economic development as one of their main goals in order to advance to the category of countries with developed economies. 

There are different models of economic growth: frontier growth, catching up, and falling behind.Frontier growth which is characteristic to countries (for example, the United States) which create qualitatively new products and new production based on new technologies.

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Economics

Monday, May 21, 2018

5 Effects Of Currency Fluctuations On The Economy / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Submissions

Currency fluctuations are some of the most analyzed aspects of any economy. Slight changes in the value of a currency can send reverberations across the economy. In fact, some currency fluctuations levels can have drastic effects on the health of an economy. Markets like forex and other trading sectors are heavily reliant on how strong or weak a particular currency is. The strength of a currency can also determine how a particular country handles international trade. Indeed, five of the strongest currencies in the world are so influential in the world that many aspects of the global economy are almost tied to them. There are several effects of fluctuations of currencies. Below are some of the most important.

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Economics

Wednesday, May 09, 2018

Coming Inflationary Storm Is Entirely Due to Central Banks / Economics / Inflation

By: Graham_Summers

We’ve received a number of emails asking us how inflation is on the rise while the Fed is technically “tightening.”

The answer is that while the Fed is technically tightening, other Central Banks, particularly the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and European Central Bank (ECB) have been printing their currencies by the hundreds of billions.

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Economics

Monday, May 07, 2018

Global Synchronized Economic Slowdown / Economics / Global Economy

By: Michael_Pento

Not too long ago the overwhelming consensus from the perennial Wall Street Carnival Barkers was that investors were enjoying a global growth renaissance that would last for as far as the eye can see. Unfortunately, it didn’t take much time to de-bunk that fairy tale. After a lackluster start to 2018, the market's expectations for global growth for the remainder of this year is now waning with each tick higher in bond yields.

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Economics

Thursday, May 03, 2018

Fed FOMC Update: Stagflation on the Horizon / Economics / Inflation

By: Graham_Summers

The Fed is fast approaching its worst nightmare.

Stag-flation.

Stagflation is when inflation is rising at the same time that the economy is weakening, if not contracting.

The Fed has always argued that low levels of inflation (2%) were acceptable provided the economy was also growing. Indeed, this is the very gimmick the Fed has utilized to mask the fact that quality of life has been falling in the US since the early ‘70s (by understating inflation, the Fed has overstated economic/ income growth).

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Economics

Wednesday, May 02, 2018

Two Charts That Argue Inflation, NOT Deflation, is Now the Dominant Trend / Economics / Inflation

By: Graham_Summers

The markets are moving into their first MAJOR inflationary shift in TEN years.

Perhaps the single best metric for measuring inflation vs. deflation in the bond markets is the TIPs to Long US Treasury ratio. In its simplest rendering when this ratio rises, it means inflation is on the rise. When it falls it means deflation is dominating the bond markets.

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Economics

Wednesday, April 25, 2018

Is the Malaysian Economy a Potemkin Village / Economics / Malaysia

By: Sam_Chee_Kong

Before we go on let's define what do you mean by Potemkin Village. As per Wikipedia definition,

“ In politics and economics, a Potemkin village (also Potyomkin village, derived from the Russian: потёмкинские деревни, Russian pronunciation: [pɐˈtʲɵmkʲɪnskʲɪɪ dʲɪˈrʲɛvnʲɪ] potyomkinskiye derevni) is any construction (literal or figurative) built solely to deceive others into thinking that a situation is better than it really is. The term comes from stories of a fake portable village built solely to impress Empress Catherine II by her former lover Grigory Potemkin during her journey to Crimea in 1787.”

To determine whether Malaysia's economy is really a potemkin village I will bring do a study bases
on the economic data for the past 10 years. I will look into the growth of GDP, money supply, corruption
index, inflation and other indicators as well.

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