Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. TESLA! Cathy Wood ARK Funds Bubble BURSTS! - 12th May 21
2.Stock Market Entering Early Summer Correction Trend Forecast - 10th May 21
3.GOLD GDX, HUI Stocks - Will Paradise Turn into a Dystopia? - 11th May 21
4.Crypto Bubble Bursts! Nicehash Suspends Coinbase Withdrawals, Bitcoin, Ethereum Bear Market Begins - 16th May 21
5.Crypto Bubble BURSTS! BTC, ETH, XRP CRASH! NiceHash Seizes Funds on Account Halting ALL Withdrawals! - 19th May 21
6.Cathy Wood Ark Invest Funds Bubble BURSTS! ARKK, ARKG, Tesla Entering Severe Bear Market - 13th May 21
7.Stock Market - Should You Be In Cash Right Now? - 17th May 21
8.Gold to Benefit from Mounting US Debt Pile - 14th May 21
9.Coronavius Covid-19 in Italy in August 2019! - 13th May 21
10.How to Invest in HIGH RISK Tech Stocks for 2021 and Beyond - Part 2 of 2 - 18th May 21
Last 7 days
The US Dollar is the Driver of the Gold & Silver Sectors - 28th Jul 21
Fed: Murderer of Markets and the Middle Class - 28th Jul 21
Gold And Silver – Which Will Have An Explosive Price Rally And Which Will Have A Sustained One? - 28th Jul 21
I Guess The Stock Market Does Not Fear Covid - So Should You? - 28th Jul 21
Eight Do’s and Don’ts For Options Traders - 28th Jul 21
Chasing Value in Unloved by Markets Small Cap Biotech Stocks for the Long-run - 27th Jul 21
Inflation Pressures Persist Despite Biden Propaganda - 27th Jul 21
Gold Investors Wavering - 27th Jul 21
Bogdance - How Binance Scams Futures Traders With Fake Bitcoin Prices to Run Limits and Margin Calls - 27th Jul 21
SPX Going for the Major Stock Market Top? - 27th Jul 21
What Is HND and How It Will Help Your Career Growth? - 27th Jul 21
5 Mobile Apps Day Traders Should Know About - 27th Jul 21
Global Stock Market Investing: Here's the Message of Consumer "Overconfidence" - 25th Jul 21
Gold’s Behavior in Various Parallel Inflation Universes - 25th Jul 21
Indian Delta Variant INFECTED! How infectious, Deadly, Do Vaccines Work? Avoid the PCR Test? - 25th Jul 21
Bitcoin Stock to Flow Model to Infinity and Beyond Price Forecasts - 25th Jul 21
Bitcoin Black Swan - GOOGLE! - 24th Jul 21
Stock Market Stalling Signs? Taking a Look Under the Hood of US Equities - 24th Jul 21
Biden’s Dangerous Inflation Denials - 24th Jul 21
How does CFD trading work - 24th Jul 21
Junior Gold Miners: New Yearly Lows! Will We See a Further Drop? - 23rd Jul 21
Best Forex Strategy for Consistent Profits - 23rd Jul 21
Popular Forex Brokers That You Might Want to Check Out - 22nd Jul 21
Bitcoin Black Swan - Will Crypto Currencies Get Banned? - 22nd Jul 21
Bitcoin Price Enters Stage #4 Excess Phase Peak Breakdown – Where To Next? - 22nd Jul 21
Powell Gave Congress Dovish Signs. Will It Help Gold Price? - 22nd Jul 21
What’s Next For Gold Is Always About The US Dollar - 22nd Jul 21
URGENT! ALL Windows 10 Users Must Do this NOW! Windows Image Backup Before it is Too Late! - 22nd Jul 21
Bitcoin Price CRASH, How to SELL BTC at $40k! Real Analysis vs Shill Coin Pumper's and Clueless Newbs - 21st Jul 21
Emotional Stock Traders React To Recent Market Rotation – Are You Ready For What’s Next? - 21st Jul 21
Killing Driveway Weeds FAST with a Pressure Washer - 8 months Later - Did it work?- Block Paving Weeds - 21st Jul 21
Post-Covid Stimulus Payouts & The US Fed Push Global Investors Deeper Into US Value Bubble - 21st Jul 21
What is Social Trading - 21st Jul 21
Would Transparency Help Crypto? - 21st Jul 21
AI Predicts US Tech Stocks Price Valuations Three Years Ahead (ASVF) - 20th Jul 21
Gold Asks: Has Inflation Already Peaked? - 20th Jul 21
FREE PASS to Analysis and Trend forecasts of 50+ Global Markets by Elliott Wave International - 20th Jul 21
Nissan to Create 1000s of jobs with electric vehicle investment in UK - 20th Jul 21
Bitcoin Halvings Price Forecast and Stock to Flow Analysis - 18th Jul 21
Dell S3220DGF Unboxing and Stand Assembly - 32 Inch 165hz Curved Gaming Monitor Amazon Discount - 18th Jul 21
What Does The Fed Mean By “Transitory Inflation” And Why Is It Important To Understand? - 18th Jul 21
Will the US stock market’s worsening breadth matter? - 18th Jul 21
Bitcoin Halving's Price Projection Forecasts Trend Trajectory - 18th Jul 21

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

BP Criminal Negligence and the US Culture of Crime and Punishment

Companies / Market Regulation Jun 12, 2010 - 01:12 PM GMT

By: Andrew_Butter


Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe legal battle that will determine whether BP survives has only just begun. The result will hinge on whether someone or more than someone, employed directly or indirectly by BP in the drilling operation prior to the blow-out did something that was “negligent”, or “reckless”, or not done strictly in accordance with the approved safety procedures and the myriad of regulations mandated by this or that agency.

That sounds like a replay of the credit crunch. Then there were laws, lots of laws and yet there was an unmitigated disaster.

In any case if the Exxon Valdez experience is any guide, it could take a while…like twenty years. But that’s better than India, over there they only just handed down verdicts on the 1984 Bophal disaster, here’s a report from last week:

Seven former senior employees of Union Carbide’s Indian subsidiary were convicted today of “death by negligence” for their roles in the Bhopal gas tragedy which killed an estimated 15,000 people.

The way the maximum sentence was seven years in prison, and hardly any of the families of the victims ever received compensation. That was thanks to the local laws which mandated the nasty foreign company was forced to buy insurance from a local Indian company which was not obliged to re-insure, and which had a clever clause that meant they didn’t have to pay anyone until it could be proven that there had been no “crime”.

If no “criminal” negligence can be proven, then under the 1990 Oil Pollution Act the maximum that BP will be liable to pay for “economic damage” will be $75 million.

Of course that’s on top of the cost of the clean-up which BP is liable for under all circumstances; although it’s not abundantly clear what “clean” means, nor is there a precise guideline on when “clean” has to be achieved.

You can disperse oil using chemicals but that causes environmental damage and in any case all that does is create clouds of “dispersed” oil droplets under the surface, even though the surface of the water is sparkling “clean”. That’s what all those clouds of oil droplets below the surface that are drifting into the Gulf Stream are all about, BP was very smart they started spraying dispersants at the source, so the oild never reached the surface. That doesn’t mean it’s not there, just it’s a whole lot harder to spot.

With regard to the rest, the Exxon trials lasted twenty years and the verdict relied mainly on the fact that the captain was drunk and of course, Exxon should not have employed a captain who was a drunk.

Is there an angle lurking that a clever legal team could use? One word spoken in jest on the thousands of hours of recorded transmissions might make all the difference.

The race is on to find the golden sound-bite.

If that fails, there is always the fall-back of the alleged “culture of blatant disregard of safety”, that means all of BP’s past crimes will be sifted through and paraded in the worst possible light so they can be “taken into consideration”.

But that will all be academic if Democratic Sen. Robert Menendez’s bill to retroactively raise the liability limit for impacts like lost wages or dwindling tourism to $10 billion;  passes into law.

The cost of economic damage can be roughly calculated from the past records of the turnover of affected industries, although there is an element of “art” in that. But economic value of ecological damage is something else, there you just think of a number; who knows the “economic-cost” of making some species of toad extinct, who can prove that clouds of dispersed oil droplets poisoned spawning ground, or even that the oil that mysteriously surfaced, or was deposited a thousand miles from the “event”, was that cause?

If “recklessness”, or “negligence” can be proved the potential “number” is potentially infinite. That’s why BP has lost more than $50 billion off its market cap since the blow-out.

But all of that pales into insignificance when compared to another sort of economic damage, which is far more pervasive than either the direct economic damage (from the affected fishermen and the supply-chain that is supported by them), and the tourism industry.

That is how much Americans pay for “safety”.

Safety is a huge business in the developed world, particularly America. When President Bush was elected all he could talk about was a Star Wars Super-Missile defence system that would have cost at least a trillion dollars, and would, according to him, have “keept America safe”.

That plan was shelved after the 9/11 attack which would still have been “successful” (to the perpetrators), even after the trillion dollars on Star Wars had been spent. But no worries, Bush got his trillion dollars and counting to “punish” the perpetrators, or more to the point, the “known associates” of the perpetrators, like the 350,000 women and children that the Lancet says died in Iraq. Although whether on not Americans are sleeping sounder in their beds after that delicious extravaganza of Rambo Revenge; is debatable. If they are not, then the money was wasted.

The American system of law relies on the idea of crime and punishment. It is moral hazard on speed…”if you can’t do the time don’t do the crime”; punishment not prevention is what creates “order”.

That’s why USA has the largest prison population of  any developed nation, thanks in part to the “War on Drugs”, where the crime is to take drugs because that might make you a less “orderly” member of society. Plus three-strikes and you’re out; plus the one of the highest rates of execution per capita in any developed country, comparable with the rate in China and Saudi Arabia.

Does that prove Americans, in general, are more “criminal” than other people?

Moral hazard is all very well in principle but it can have “unintended” consequences. The first is that “safety rules” piled on top of more safety rules costs an extraordinary amount of money.

One of the reasons that Americans pay much more for drugs and for medical treatment than anyone else in the world pays for the same drugs and the same procedures, are the “safety” rules that are supposed to provide a superior level of protection to Americans, with the emphasis placed always of retroactively finding the “criminal”, and “punishing” him (and sometimes her), by putting a big hand in their pocket, and the pockets of any “known associates”.

As if the workers on the Horizon rig deliberately and criminally blew it (and themselves) up.

Under the normal definition of a “crime”, a worker would have deliberately sabotaged the blow-out preventer and the cementation job. But would that have been the responsibility of BP?

Or perhaps an executive in BP gave an order that he knew would have caused the rig to blow up. But there again, the Tool-pusher and the captain of the rig had a legal responsibility to refuse to action any order that they considered might jeopardize the crew?

The way that oil-field work is administered in USA is different from in the North Sea. In USA you have volumes and volumes of rules and laws, and if you can persuade the authorities that you comply with them, then you can do what you want. In the North Sea (particularly after the Alpha Bravo disaster), it’s up to the operator to prove to the satisfaction of the authorities that any new procedure is safe.

Yet there was plenty of evidence that the approaches to cementation that were commonly used ion the Gulf of Mexico; were not foolproof. Regardless, they conformed to the code and the law.

But the authorities carried a “Big Stick”, crime and punishment. That was supposed to be the ultimate guarantor of safety.

It wasn’t.

Whether BP is made bankrupt or whether the hoteliers and fishermen in Louisiana and Florida are made bankrupt by the disaster, or both; is academic. America as a whole is going to be paying more for oil in the future, regardless of what happens, and regardless of who, if anyone goes to jail, that won’t change.

There are other ways to handle the unforseen (but not totally unexpected) consequences of dangerous jobs. It’s exactly the same principle from doing medicine (dangerous for the customers), to driving cars (dangerous for Toyota), writing mortgages (dangerous for banks), building nuclear power station (stalled in USA for twenty years because of safety concerns), to drilling oil wells.

The first is to create a blame-free co-operation between the authorities and the industry that looks further than how to identify and punish a “perpetrator” in the case of an accident.

The second is to mandate contingency plans for “worst-case”.

One lesson learned from the BP spill is that the company was completely unprepared to deal with a disaster of this magnitude. Absolutely no thought had been given to what would need to be done, if there was an uncontrolled leak 5,000 feet under-water.

The capping device that is now in place had not even been thought about on the day the rig blew up, yet it’s pretty obvious that one solution if the BOP fails is to cut off the riser and place a cap. Why wasn’t that device, engineered properly (BP say they are coming up with a better model), on standby and in place?

It’s not as if this is the first time an oil well has blown. Just because it was 5,000 ft below the surface did not make it “special”.

Insofar as the spill is concerned, there are plenty of skimmers that can operate in eight-ft waves that could have, if deployed in sufficient numbers, have skimmed off the oil from the surface (i.e. without relying on dispersants which essentially just hide the problem under-water).

Why were one hundred of those devices not deployed on standby within three days sailing along with tenders plus if necessary inflating bags to temporarily hold the oil.

 Those “mothers” can pick up 5,000 barrels of oil a day; and they can be dragged around using a GPS mandated routing controlled from the air.

In a word they were not built.

Although to be fair there were some skimmers (less effective than the ones not built) available in Holland, UK, and Norway, and they were offered. But the offer of help was rejected by both the Obama Administration (on a government to government level), and by BP.

It’s hard to imagine why the Obama administration refused assistance; it’s almost as if they wanted the situation to become worse. Or perhaps it was because of the Jacobs Law which mandates that all of the oil-service vessels operating in the Gulf of Mexico; must have been made in America.

In fact BP was prevented from mobilising all of the resources that could have been mobilised to collect up the oil that had been spilled (in the mean-time while they drilled their relief well and experimented with novel ideas on the well-head), by none other than the US Government.

Now that might open up an interesting legal argument in BP’s favour if every the subject of criminal negligence gets to Court.

With the US Government in the dock as the “perpetrator” who prevented BP from mobilizing all possible resources to prevent ecological and economic damage.

But is that criminal?

By Andrew Butter

Twenty years doing market analysis and valuations for investors in the Middle East, USA, and Europe; currently writing a book about BubbleOmics. Andrew Butter is managing partner of ABMC, an investment advisory firm, based in Dubai ( ), that he setup in 1999, and is has been involved advising on large scale real estate investments, mainly in Dubai.

© 2010 Copyright Andrew Butter- All Rights Reserved
Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

Andrew Butter Archive

© 2005-2019 - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


15 Jun 10, 20:39
Brits need to grow up and take responsibility

Oh please, can't you Brits take responsibility for your careless acts?

16 Jun 10, 01:30
US need to remember they don't own the world

US arrogance,ignorance,financial recklessness without equal are painting them to be the Stalinist modernists for the 21st century.As for "careless acts" you really need to choose your worlds much more carefully. Countless families around the world have been destroyed with a "oops sorry" from the US administration and I don't see the US taking responsibility in any way that matters.

Virtually the entire planet has a legal claim against the US for financial negligence alone ,be satisfied we have not yet pressed the claim.

16 Jun 10, 01:35
Americans need to grow up and take responsibility

Bhopal gas tragedy: America's double standards

A witness to the Bhopal disaster points out American hypocrisy

I was there in Bhopal on December 7,1984, when Warren Anderson, then the chairman of Union Carbide, was whisked away from the stricken city to Delhi and back to the US – and we all knew that it was happening with the help of Rajiv Gandhi, then India's prime minister.

Since then Anderson has been protected by the US business-political establishment from being extradited to India to answer for the appalling human and environmental damage wrought by his company's gas leak in Bhopal a few days earlier. That was one of the world's worst industrial disasters, leading to the death of over 5,000 people and continuing ill-health of over 500,000. (See my last visit and report six months ago).

Now that same American establishment that has protected Anderson has been pillorying Tony Hayward, BP's chief executive, following BP's oil leak in the Gulf of Mexico. The tirade has been led by President Barack Obama, who has been behaving like a spoiled child for the past 50 or so days, casting around for someone to blame when it is his own officials who are primarily at fault.

These two man-made catastrophes have generated mega outbursts of irrational media coverage in India and the US in the past week, both fuelled by political cant.

In Delhi, politicians and media have been in a frenzy over the Bhopal gas leak following a court judgment last Monday that eight Indian former Union Carbide executives should serve two-year prison sentences and be fined about $2,000 (subject to appeals that could take years).

In neither case are the main political players really focusing on the primary issues – the appalling damage and threat to the environment in the Gulf, and health problems in Bhopal where thousands of people have suffered for over 25 years.

In both cases it is the US that is making sure its interest are protected. On Bhopal, Anderson was airlifted out of India when he could have been detained, and has been protected ever since by the American business-political establishment. On the Gulf spill, it is America that has decided that BP and Hayward, not its own officials and companies, should be the target for abuse and penalties.

Andrew Butter
18 Jun 10, 23:06
Apologizing for BP

Reference: Brits need to grow up and take responsibility

Oh please, can't you Brits take responsibility for your careless acts? the article.

It was not about whether BP or "The Brits" were taking responsibility for the spill, it was about how a system of laisse-fair combined with draconian "punishment" simply does not work.

Since you brought up the subject of "taking responsibility", frankly although they seem pretty incompetent, as far as I can see BP do appear to be taking responsibility.

The people who are not taking responsibility for their part in the disaster, and the damage that followed are the Americans, who spend all their time whining about how it's someone else's fault...yet:

1: The drilling contractor was American

2: The cementation company was American.

3: The BOP manufacturer was American.

4: The regulator was American.

5: The clean up response was American.

I didn't see any of them "taking responsibility".

Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in