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FIRST ACCESS to Nadeem Walayat’s Analysis and Trend Forecasts

U.S. Autos Seek Bailout Cash to Prevent Bankruptcy

Companies / US Auto's Nov 12, 2008 - 10:45 PM GMT

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Companies Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe big three US motor companies Ford, General Motors and Chrysler once thought of too big to fail are increasingly teetering at the brink of bankruptcy. Increasingly law makers on capital Hill (Nancy Pelosi) are seeking to allocate part of the $700 billion bank bailout funds at the auto industry so as to prevent bankruptcy and mass unemployment as a chain reaction hits suppliers that would impact on nearly 4 million US Jobs. Given the magnitude of the debts and losses of the big three, the initial estimates of $25 billion would soon mushroom to over $100 billion should the bailout go ahead.


General Motors closed at just $3 at less than 4% of its $77 high. The General Motors chart clearly shows that not only is the stock heavily oversold trading at the downtrend line but also that frankly there is not much further downside left in the price, as the next stop is zero, i.e. bankruptcy. Should General Motors survive the credit crisis then based on previous trends the stock price would target an eventual move towards $20.

Ford is not far behind in terms of capital destruction closing at just $1.84 down 95% since 1999. The stock chart, even more than that of General Motors illustrates the weak state of the corporation where there is no sign of any recovery on the horizon with so much overhead resistance generated over the last 5 years in the region of $5 that effectively puts a cap on the stock price should it survive bankruptcy through the aid of bailout cash.

Chart Courtesy of stockcharts.com

By Nadeem Walayat
http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Copyright © 2005-08 Marketoracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat has over 20 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis specialises on the housing market and interest rates. Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication. We present in-depth analysis from over 150 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets. Thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

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