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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Credit Crisis 2011

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Tuesday, August 09, 2011

S&P’s Downgrade of U.S. Sovereign Debt – Some People Actually Pay Them for these Opinions? / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleS&P stated the obvious after the U.S. markets closed on August 5 – the projected growth in U.S. public debt is on a long-term unsustainable path. Rather than paying S&P for this opinion, all you need to do is look at some past CBO projections and you would have arrived at the same opinion years ago. For example, in December 2007, CBO published the chart immediately below showing its projections of U.S. public debt held by the public as a percent of nominal GDP under two scenarios. The first scenario, the “extended-baseline” scenario, assumed that the federal spending and revenue budgetary legislation that was on the books as fiscal 2007 would prevail over the next 75 years.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, August 08, 2011

S&P U.S.Debt Downgrade, Don't Shoot the Messenger / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDon't shoot the messenger. The downgrade of U.S. government debt by S&P is the result of policies pursued over many years that rely on the U.S. being the world's reserve currency. Policy makers have forgotten that the status must be earned; it's not a birthright.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, August 08, 2011

El-Erian: U.S. Very, Very Long Way from Debt Default Risk / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Bloomberg

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMohamed El-Erian, co-CEO of PIMCO, spoke to Bloomberg Television’s Betty Liu and Erik Schatzker this morning regarding the S&P downgrade and its impact on the markets and economy.

El-Erian said that the S&P downgrade is perhaps not yet the “Sputnik moment” and that the costs and risks of any new QE have gone up. Excerpts from the interview ca be found below, courtesy of Bloomberg Television

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Interest-Rates

Monday, August 08, 2011

When Risk-Free Becomes Risk-Certain, Repercussions of the S&P Announcement / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Jeff_Berwick

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLate Friday evening, Standard and Poor's was the first US credit ratings agency to actually whisper that, possibly, the emperor has no clothes.

The emperor, in fact, has been standing there naked for years.  All one has to do is look at the growth in US Government debt and that fact is clear.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, August 08, 2011

Bill Gross of PIMCO on U.S. Debt Downgrade / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Bloomberg

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBill Gross, who runs the world's biggest bond mutual fund at Pacific Investment Management Co., appeared on Bloomberg Television's "Downgrade: A Special Report" live Sunday night special with Bloomberg's Tom Keene. Gross said the U.S. has "enormous" problems and that the dollar is vulnerable. He also said “his hat is off” to S&P for “demonstrating some spin.”

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Interest-Rates

Monday, August 08, 2011

U.S. Credit Rating Downgrade, We Are Not AAA / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Vitaliy_Katsenelson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI have received many emails and a few calls from friends, asking one question: What are the consequences of the downgrade? So I decided to put my thoughts on paper. I break up the consequences into three categories: fundamental (the impact on the economy), emotional (the short-term impact on the market), and political (will it change anything in Washington DC?).

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Interest-Rates

Monday, August 08, 2011

The U.S. Should Downgrade S&P / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: EconMatters

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe biggest news last week (other than the $2.5-trillion that got wiped off global stock markets) is that Standard & Poor’s made good on its tough talk and downgraded the United States long-term credit rating one notch from AAA to AA+. S&P also has kept the outlook at “negative” meaning the U.S. has little chance of regaining the top rating in the near term.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, August 07, 2011

U.S. Downgrades S&P / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Brady_Willett

U.S. Treasury Securities are no longer risk-free.  This news comes after Standard and Poor’s cut the triple-A rating it has awarded the U.S. since 1941 (Moody’s has been in the AAA camp since 1917). Given the U.S.’s status as the world’s reserve currency printer – not to mention the safe haven flows arriving in the U.S. due to the recent upheaval in Euroland - the immediate impact of the downgrade is highly uncertain. However, what can be said is that should Moody’s or Fitch also cut, capital may be required to exit U.S. debt due to restrictive ownership covenants.  This ominous prospect could quickly come into play should another financial crisis arise and/or the U.S. economy slip back into recession. After all, Moody’s warned last week that it may cut if lawmakers do not enact larger debt reduction plans (an increasingly difficult undertaking with the markets and economy weakening), and Fitch is set to complete its U.S. ratings review by the end of August.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 03, 2011

Helicopter Ben Prepares Fed's Next Flyover, Don't Let this Clown Steal Your Money / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: The circus known as the debt-ceiling debate may have left town - at least for the time being - but there's still one sad clown left standing squarely in the center of the ring.

I'm talking about U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke - otherwise known as "Helicopter Ben."

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Interest-Rates

Monday, July 25, 2011

U.S. Political Leaders Playing Dangerous Game with Nation’s Debt Rating / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Chris_Ciovacco

Leaders from both parties in Washington are playing a dangerous political game with the nation’s AAA credit rating. The first self-imposed deadline of July 22 to have a framework of a debt-ceiling deal in place has already passed. The second and firmer deadline of August 2 is a little more than a week away. Despite Standard and Poor’s warnings of a possible debt downgrade if realistic deficit-reduction plans are not agreed upon, the Wall Street Journal included the following in their update from Sunday night:

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, July 23, 2011

Trouble Brewing In Credit Markets / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Tony_Pallotta

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCredit markets continue to signal either a weakening economy or outright recession yet equities refuse to pay attention. With daily market volume dominated by intraday traders with no concern about macro data this comes as no surprise. The danger becomes that equity markets have no ability at forecasting any longer. The Great Recession saw equities peak just two months before contraction began. We may in fact be watching the same horrific forecasting ability play out if the credit markets are accurate.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 19, 2011

European Bank Stress Test: "It's not that 8 failed...but that 82 passed!!" / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe European Banking Authority announced Friday that 8 banks had failed their stress tests and 16 more had narrowly passed. But the results drew much criticism from analysts, who said that the stress test is not strict enough.

Indeed, this is something that European Financial Forecast readers have known since the first stress test last summer.

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Economics

Monday, July 18, 2011

Why Banks Aren’t Lending: The Silent Liquidity Squeeze / Economics / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Ellen_Brown

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhy aren’t banks lending to local businesses? The Fed’s decision to pay interest on $1.6 trillion in “excess” reserves is a chief suspect.

Where did all the jobs go? Small and medium-sized businesses are the major source of new job creation, and they are not hiring. Startup businesses, which contribute a fifth of the nation’s new jobs, often can’t even get off the ground. Why?

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Politics

Monday, July 18, 2011

Global Economic Crisis: Finance Is the New Mode of Warfare / Politics / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Michael_Hudson

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article“When I was in Norway earlier this year, one of its politicians sat next to me at a dinner and said, “You know, there’s one good thing that President Obama has done that we never anticipated in Europe. He’s shown the Europeans that we can never depend on America again. No matter how good he sounds, no matter what he promises, we’re never again going to believe the patter talk of an American President. Mr. Obama has cured us. Our problem is what to do about the American people that don’t realize this nightmare that they’ve created, this smooth-talking American Tony Blair in the White House.”

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Interest-Rates

Friday, July 15, 2011

Moody's Warning Edges U.S. Credit Rating Closer to Downgrade / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Money_Morning

David Zeiler writes: With time running out on a deal to raise the U.S. debt ceiling, Moody's Investors Service turned up the heat by warning Washington's bickering politicians that any missed debt payments will result in a credit rating downgrade.

Such a downgrade would have economically catastrophic consequences, roiling stock markets worldwide, sharply increasing borrowing costs for the U.S. government as well as businesses, and derailing an already-anemic economic recovery.

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Politics

Wednesday, July 13, 2011

Europe and America are Financially Burning / Politics / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Bob_Chapman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMarkets are what they are today because that is the way government wants them. The stock market has stayed up for quite some time, but the best earnings are fading. The Street is well aware of what has been happening for a number of years. They just do not say anything and go along with the program. They have come to overlook situations worldwide as well as in America, because they believe that, “The President’s Working Group on Financial Markets” won’t let the market fall.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 13, 2011

The Hunt for Eurozone's Own Lehman Bros That Could Trigger Financial Armageddon / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeith Fitz-Gerald writes: Does the Eurozone have its own American International Group Inc. (NYSE: AIG), or worse, its own Lehman Bros. when it comes to Greece?

I believe it does.

Why else would the European Union have bent over backwards to "save" a member nation that: A) Accounts for 2.01% of the EU by trade volume; and B) Would essentially be like letting Montana go out of business - no offense to Montanans or Montana!

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Politics

Tuesday, July 12, 2011

Big Banks Waging Warfare Against the People of the World / Politics / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Washingtons_Blog

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMichael Hudson is a highly-regarded economist. He is a Distinguished Research Professor at the University of Missouri, Kansas City, who has advised the U.S., Canadian, Mexican and Latvian governments as well as the United Nations Institute for Training and Research. He is a former Wall Street economist at Chase Manhattan Bank who also helped establish the world’s first sovereign debt fund.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, July 09, 2011

Real Bills Doctrine, You Have Never Ever Seen An Elephant Fly / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Professor_Emeritus

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn the 19th century a saying, long since forgotten, was current on Lombard Street: "There is nothing easier in the world than the banker's profession - provided that he can tell a real bill and a mortgage apart."

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Politics

Friday, July 08, 2011

The Political Tide Against the Ratings Agencies / Politics / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Aftab_Singh

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe bane of our pseudo-capitalistic system is the blatant double standard that is upheld with respect to prices. If the money prices of things go up, that’s ok, and the saint behind this wholesome circumstance is typically elevated to greatness. However, if the money prices of things go down, there’s got to be a bad guy somewhere — and boy does he get hanged, drawn and quartered in the town square.

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