Category: Stock Markets 2011
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Thursday, April 07, 2011
Bearish Sentiment... Stocks Bull Market... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
Make no mistake when trying to understand what's in play here. Yes, we have a major headache with sentiment. No one would argue that a 41.6% spread of more bulls to bears is a real problem that'll have to be dealt with in time. No one, I believe, would also argue that we're still in a bull market. If you don't think we are then you haven't been watching for the past year or so. When sentiment becomes a problem it means that some decent selling is out there, but with a printing machine in place from fed Bernanke, the bull market lives on until the liquidity he's providing goes away. It's really that simple folks. When you have this type of spread in place, (57.3% versus 15.7%) it tells you that the time has come for reigning in the bullish attitude to some degree, but again, not completely.
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Wednesday, April 06, 2011
BullBear Market Report / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Steven_Vincent
In the last BullBear Market Report, I called for a bottom to the Middle East/Japan panic selloff while at the same time laying out the parameters for a bearish turn in the markets. The bearish conditions did not come to fruition and BullBear Traders were able to catch the exact bottom of the move after having lightened their positions at the exact top. I emphasized an overweight position in BRIC and Emerging Markets and that has proven to be an accurate call as well. We also jumped on bottoms in Grains and Agriculture as well as a long term breakout in Clean/Alternative Energy.
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Tuesday, April 05, 2011
Stock Shrug Off Dwindling Consumer Confidence / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Money_Morning
Jason Simpkins writes:
High prices for commodities last month sent consumer confidence spiraling to a three-month low, but that doesn't necessarily mean the stock market will suffer.
On the contrary, stocks over the past two years actually have performed remarkably well in the months following sharp declines in consumer confidence.
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Tuesday, April 05, 2011
Stock Market Quiet At Resistance...After Hours Buyout... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
What else can you say about today! The market refused to sell all day, even though we tested and failed at the test of the old highs on Friday. You would have thought that the bears could have done some damage today based on Friday's failure off a long run up, but that was not to be. The market moved up a bit at the open, but then spent the rest of the day trading on either side of the flat line with the Nasdaq leading down and the Dow leading up. Apple Inc. was a drag along with Google Inc. That's really the only reason why the Nasdaq was red at all. So nothing to talk about all that negative with technology. The NDX has under performed for some time now, but again, that's mostly due to Apple, which is taking a long and much needed rest from going up every single day for seemingly years.
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Tuesday, April 05, 2011
Stock Market Flash Crash Assets Move to Bullish Camp / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
Despite recent calls for a new bear market, the bulls still have a few things going for them as we kick off the week of trading:
- Friday’s labor report came in above expectations.
- Defensive assets are lagging again.
- Energy investments continue to perform well.
- The Fed is still on track to complete QE2 as originally planned.
Monday, April 04, 2011
What the NYSE New Highs Are Saying About the Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Marty_Chenard
Today, we are reporting on the raw data for the daily NYSE New Highs. On this chart, a minimum of 100 is a very important level in a rally, and 150+ is what I want to see. 50 is neutral, and less than 50 is historically Negative.
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Monday, April 04, 2011
Stock Market Pullback Before Going Higher Likely / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
Very Long-term trend - The continuing strength in the indices is causing me to question whether we are in a secular bear market or two consecutive cyclical bull/bear cycles. In any case, the very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014-15.
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Sunday, April 03, 2011
Stocks Stealth Bull Market Trend Forecast 2011 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stocks stealth bull market passed its second anniversary this month (March 2011), having trended from trough to peak on the Dow Jones Industrial Averages stock Index from 6470 to 12,400, a gain of over 91%. This in-depth analysis seeks to formulate a concluding trend forecast for the remainder of 2011 and into early 2012 (over 9 months). Whilst this article contains key analysis and the concluding trend forecast, the full analysis and implications of are contained within NEW FREE Stocks Stealth Bull Market Update 2011 Ebook, that will be made available for download within the next few days, ensure you are subscribed to my ALWAYS FREE Newsletter to get access to the FREE ebook download.
Sunday, April 03, 2011
NYAD … Stock Market Breadth Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Caldaro
As a follow up to our previous post: http://caldaro.wordpress.com/2011/01/17/nyad-market-breadth/ we provide an update on the NYAD charts.
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Saturday, April 02, 2011
Stock Market Confirmed Uptrend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Caldaro
The SPX/DOW confirmed a new uptrend this week. The uptrend will be counted as Major wave 3 of Primary wave III. This uptrend should last into June with a targeted range of SPX 1440-1462. For the week economic reports were mixed: ten improving and nine declining. On the upbeat we had personal income/spending, PCE prices, pending home sales, auto sales, the monetary base and leading wbase, the WLEI, the payrolls report, and the unemployment rate declined.
Saturday, April 02, 2011
Stock Market Strong Week...Friday Reversal? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
This is the question we have to ask ourselves tonight. The market had a very nice week with today being the day we tested back up to resistance on both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. The old high on the S&P 500 being 1344 with some resistance at 1332 first. We hit 1337 today right in the middle. The Nasdaq had strong horizontal resistance off a gap down at 2800 to 2808. We hit 2802 today on the highs. So in essence, both indexes hit their strong resistance levels today. The reason this is so important to look at is because we want to see what happened after resistance was hit.
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Friday, April 01, 2011
Will 1970s-Style Inflation Derail the Stocks Bull Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
Inflation can adversely affect corporate profits, household discretionary spending, and stock prices. Rising costs for raw materials have a dampening effect on profits. Increasing costs of food and energy begin to account for larger and larger portions of a household’s disposable income. From an investment perspective, when the annual inflation rate jumped significantly between 1971 and 1974, stock market (SPY) returns eventually suffered as shown below.
Friday, April 01, 2011
The Higher the Dow, the More Dangerous It Becomes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Bill_Bonner
The Dow went up more than 70 points yesterday. The higher it goes, the more dangerous it becomes.
What’s the matter with this downturn? Shouldn’t it lower stock prices? Shouldn’t it empty tables at fancy restaurants? Shouldn’t it close down some of these luxury shops and make it easy to upgrade to business class?
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Friday, April 01, 2011
Stocks Should Bolt Higher, Now! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Bob_Clark
Where have all the the trillions gone? The Fat Boys have nicked them, one by one. There are dark forces about.
They don't skulk in the shadows, but live in the light. They thrive in a time of ignorance, greed, sloth and complacency. They are seen as the light. The Illuminati. They are the chosen ones. They are our financial leaders.
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Friday, April 01, 2011
Five Reasons To Consider Locking In Some Stock Market Gains / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: David_Grandey
Here are your “Into The End Of The Quarter” Trend Channel charts.
Thursday, March 31, 2011
U.S. Dollar and Stock Market Trend Relationship, Currency and Real Wars / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This analysis seeks to determine the impact of the USD index on the stock market trend, which forms part of a series of analysis that is working towards formulating a detailed trend forecast for the stock market for the remainder of 2011.
The consensus view is that a rising US Dollar is bearish for the stock market whilst a falling Dollar is bullish. The below graph illustrates that more or less this has been the trend relationship between the two markets for the past 10 years.
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Thursday, March 31, 2011
Anne Hathaway and Automatic Stock Trading / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Robert_Murphy
A humorous financial story making the rounds concerns the apparent relationship between media mentions of the actress Anne Hathaway and jumps in the stock price of shares of Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway.
The presumed culprits are algorithmic trading programs, which raises the question, What does Austrian economics have to say about computers buying and selling shares of stock?
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Thursday, March 31, 2011
A Lesson from Charlie Sheen (about the Stock Market) / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jared_Levy
Maybe I am a fan of Charlie's because of his role in the movie Wall Street, which motivated my career in finance. Perhaps it's the fact that I have enjoyed his films and his comedy.
I have to admit that Mr. Sheen has been accused of (and is guilty of) actions that I do not approve of or condone, but what I have found interesting is undeniable about the man -- he speaks his truth! (As irrational as it may seem or offensive as it may be.)
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Tuesday, March 29, 2011
The Copper Price and the Stock Market Trend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Copper is an important industrial metal which can be treated as a leading economic indicator for economic activity that extends beyond the performance of the mining sector stocks and can be expected to act as an oscillating leading / lagging indicator for the overall stock market trend, the degree to which this analysis seeks to determine.
Tuesday, March 29, 2011
Stock Market Bulls Get Benefit of Doubt, Though End of QE2 Concerning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
James Bullard, President of the Fed’s St. Louis Bank, is speaking in Prague today. According to Bloomberg:
Read full article... Read full article...He said four areas in particular are raising “macroeconomic uncertainty.” These included turmoil in the Middle East and north Africa, the natural disaster in Japan, “the U.S. fiscal situation and the possibility of a government shutdown,” and Europe’s sovereign debt crisis.
Chairman Ben S. Bernanke has given no indication the central bank will deviate from its plan to buy bonds through June to spur economic growth and reduce 8.9 percent unemployment.