Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, January 20, 2009
Dow Jones Stock Market Forecast 2009 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Looking forward a week is hard enough let alone 12 months, Still, the in-depth analysis of October 2008 -
Stocks Bear Market Long-term Investing Strategy that accurately forecast a 20% corrective rally (that appears to have terminated) and a subsequent stocks bear market low in Mid 2009, with a strategy of scaling into the market at the rate of 10% of funds allocated to stock holdings per each month that the market is within 10% of its lows. The bear market rally following the November lows has been weak, which does not bode well for stocks, as the hope associated with the Obama rally appears to have evaporated.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 20, 2009
Presidential Cycle Suggests Strong Stocks Bull Market in.. 2011 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: Money_and_Markets
Nilus Mattive writes: I don't consider myself a political person. I don't stay up late on election nights to tally results. Nor do I put signs up in my front yard. In fact, my personal views about the way our great country should be run don't even fit into any of the mainstream viewpoints.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 20, 2009
Fed Manipulating Market Prices, Gold, Oil and Bonds / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation
By: Rob_Kirby
Questions Begging Answers - To say that markets have been behaving “strangely” recently is an understatement. In recent weeks and months we've been witness to historic lows in sovereign interest rates in-the-face-of record amounts of debt being issued by governments? We've seen the price of gold behave counter intuitively by “not rising” in-the-face-of unprecedented systemic global economic malaise? Last, but not least, we've witnessed a “complete flip-flop” in the traditional pricing of Brent Crude Oil [IPE-London] versus West Texas Intermediate [NYMEX-N.Y.]? Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 20, 2009
Obama Stock Market Bounce or Bump? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: PaddyPowerTrader
U.S. markets were closed yesterday for Martin Luther King Day ahead of Obama's big day out today. So will we get a Barack bounce or bump? Well we will most likely see some sort of knee-jerk rally on such a historic day. But then we will have the hangover induced by the same old same old issues of evaporating earnings, dismal future guidance, rising unemployment, continued falls in house prices and an increasing foreclosure rate. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 20, 2009
Stock Market Investor Sentiment Indicator Remains at Neutral / Stock-Markets / Trader Psychology
By: Guy_Lerner
The "dumb money" sentiment indicator remains neutral on the equity markets, and the "smart money" has turned more bearish. It should be noted that this is the sixth week in a row where the "dumb money" is neutral, and this is not a scenario that is generally supportive of higher prices especially with prices on the S&P500 under their 40 week moving average. The ideal situation for higher equity prices would be for the "smart money" to be bullish and the "dumb money" bearish (i.e., bull signal). Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 19, 2009
Stock Market Entering Full Panic Mode / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Oxbury_Research
So much for 2009.
I just looked at the market and had a flashback. Remember when you were a child, sitting on the merry-go-round, and everything was pleasant until that one kid thought it would be funny to push it faster and faster? And it's tolerable for about 5 seconds, prior to the nausea? Then you just want to cry. That's how I feel now.
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Monday, January 19, 2009
Entire TARP Program a Financial Disaster and Bureaucratic Nightmare / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
By: Money_and_Markets
Martin Weiss writres: Just a month after our trusted leaders in Washington told us that the debt crisis was over …
Just a week after Wall Street was still rejoicing with a great “Obama rally”…
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Monday, January 19, 2009
Stock Market Inauguration Rally Should Be Handled With Care / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Kingsley_Anderson
There has been much talk about an “Obama Rally” taking place in January. Traders should be careful when entering long positions in the short-term, particularly on Tuesday. My contention is not that a rally will NOT happen by the end of the month. Only time will tell. Right now, the market is oversold, so it is very possible that a bounce will occur sometime in the near future. What I am saying is that any rally that begins on Tuesday should be taken with a grain of salt. There are three reasons why I would be reluctant to participate in such a move.
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Monday, January 19, 2009
Stock, Commodities, Futures and Forex Markets Analysis 19th January 2009 / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
By: INO
The March NASDAQ 100 closed higher on Friday as it consolidated this week's decline. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling that additional weakness is possible near-term. If March extends this week's decline, the reaction low crossing at 1097.00 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 1218.77 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-
day moving average crossing at 1211.06. Second resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 1218.77. First support is Thursday's low crossing at 1138.50. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 1097.00. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 19, 2009
UK Stocks Tick Higher After Another Bank Bailout / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: PaddyPowerTrader
Equities were becalmed Friday after a week in which Citigroup and Bank of America lost nearly half their market capitalistion. Size it seems isn't everything these days . As was the case in autumn 2008, it's very hard for indices to make much progress if financials remain a drag. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 19, 2009
A Nasty Bear Market, Watch China's Shanghai Stock Market Index / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Jack_Steiman
In every nasty bear market comes a point where you have to rally for a while. It does NOT mean the market is in good shape. It does NOT mean the ultimate bottom is in. Nothing is straight down. So is this market ready for some type of rally that can last a while and not just collapse right out? The title tonight says it all. The Shanghai market had been leading up but has now been in a wedge that is basing out. It looks ready to turn up and make the move and should this happen, it should lead our markets higher for a while to give everyone some needed relief. The chart is included in tonight's newsletter. If China rocks some we should go along for the ride and there's technical reasons for that as well. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 19, 2009
Credit Crunch Back in Action / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
By: Regent_Markets
After taking some time off between Christmas and New Year, the credit crunch was well and truly back in action last week. Fears over further banking problems and sovereign debt downgrades for the likes of Ireland and Greece surfaced last month, but until now, these fears have merely been simmering in the background. Last week, the heat was once again turned up, and major fault lines are once again running through the global economy.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 18, 2009
Global Banking Crisis Worsens as Bailout Capital Exceeds Net Worth of Banks / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
BBC News: US banking giants in tie-up deal
“Struggling US banking giant Citigroup and its rival Morgan Stanley have agreed a deal which sees the tie-up of their brokerage operations. Morgan Stanley is paying Citigroup $2.7 billion for a 51% stake in the joint venture while Citigroup will have a 49% stake.
“Observers say the deal showed how much Citigroup wanted to slim down its operations and build up cash reserves. It received the largest government bail-out of any US bank last year.
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Sunday, January 18, 2009
Credit Crisis Investing- Three Pronged Wroking Capital Model Strategy / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
By: Steve_Selengut
One of the great things about being a professional investor is the opportunity one has to apply his or her long-term experience to the investment environment that is unfolding (or coming unglued) in the present.
If nothing else, most successful investors develop a consistent strategy that allows them to take advantage of short-term changes and the opportunities that they create in a somewhat unemotional manner. You can always tell a "newbie" by a "let's see how you do for a year" comment, or a "what's hot" question.
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Sunday, January 18, 2009
Stock Markets Hit by Barrage of Bleak Economic and Corporate Data / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
Investor sentiment around the globe was negatively impacted during 2009's second full week of trading as a barrage of bleak economic and corporate news offered more confirmation of a deepening recession, bringing risk aversion to center stage.
The US dollar and government bonds (excluding emerging markets and countries on the periphery of the Eurozone) gained, but global equities and commodities were on the defensive as nervous investors tried to gauge the likely damage of the economic malaise.
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Sunday, January 18, 2009
Airline Sector Stocks: The Death of a Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
By: Daniel_Smolski
Anyone who has recently flown can probably attest to the feeling of uneasiness, loss of control and an overall uncomfortable feeling that grips one, as they step into an airport and submit themselves to the grueling process of check-in and boarding. The deregulation of the airline sector in the late 1970s has brought prices down so greatly, that it flying is now available to the masses. This has resulted in airports growing to mammoth-sized structures resembling small cities. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 17, 2009
Financial Black Holes Destroying Capital / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
By: Money_and_Markets
Mike Larson writes: When I was a kid, black holes fascinated me. The idea that you could have an area of space so massive … so dense … that it could suck in and absorb ANYTHING that got too close — even light — seemed ludicrous. Like pure science fiction. But they're real.
These days, black holes aren't so fascinating. But unfortunately, they are very, very real. And they keep popping up throughout the financial sector …
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Saturday, January 17, 2009
Trigger Happy Stock Market Trading / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Joseph_Russo
The November Low - In direct contrast to our previous piece exploring the current onset of Super-Cycle Wave IV , we will now take a closer look at the November low, and review the price action since then relative to speculative trading strategies. The small chart plots three months of daily closes for the Dow Jones Industrials. It shows that the move up toward the January high was clearly corrective.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 17, 2009
Stock Market Bulls Hold The Line, For Now / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Kingsley_Anderson
It looks like the other shoe dropped this week. Just when everyone thought that we may have heard the last of the financial sector's woes, more bad news hit the wires. The question is how many more shoes are left? Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 17, 2009
Obama Will Fail to Lift Stock Markets Next Week / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: Money supply is growing at an extreme rate and that should help the equities market.
Short Term There is an indicator developed by Joseph Granville called Net Field Trend (NFT). NFT is the number of issues in an index with a negative field trend subtracted from those in a positive field trend. The field trend is determined by looking at On Balance Volume (OBV) of each issue. OBV is a running total of volume of an issue added to the total on up days and subtracted from the total on down days.
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