Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, June 26, 2014
Bad GDP Data? Stock Market Doesn’t Care / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Today’s 3rd Estimate of Q1 GDP shocked to the downside, but the GDP is backward looking, and the market couldn’t care less. The S&P 500 hit its -0.13% intraday low two minutes into the session and then began its fairly steady recovery to its 0.56% intraday high about 15 minutes before the close. A bit of selling in the final minutes trimmed the gain to 0.49%. The index is now a mere 0.17% off its record close on Friday.
Thursday, June 26, 2014
Stock Market Right Back Up... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
A reversal to the reversal. Why not. When all seemed ripe for big selling we didn't see any today, although we tried early on for sure. A small gap down that had a chance to at least run somewhat lower. No large gap down suggested today wouldn't be terrible, which I spoke about early on in the morning update, but there was hope that we could move lower throughout the day. It just didn't happen. Why? Hard to say other than the usual. Folks are still looking to buy when there's some decent weakness, and in this market, weakness is about 1% lower.
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Wednesday, June 25, 2014
Stock Market Down Day with Increased Volatility / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short. Yesterday I pointed out that the last two S&P 500 sessions had the second and third smallest intraday ranges in two decades. Well today that changed. The intraday range (0.28% to -0.73%) increased to 1.02%, which is the 72nd percentile of the year so far. The index closed off its late-day low for a decline of 0.64%.
With tomorrow’s Durable Goods Orders and the 3rd Estimate of Q1 GDP (which is expected to be revised downward), we may see some additional volatility.
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Wednesday, June 25, 2014
Wednesday Market Worries – Will U.S. GDP Be Revised Down Again? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Does this look healthy to you?
We did manage to pull out of a tailspin back in 2011 – the last time our GDP went negative but, funny story – in July of 2011, the S&P fell from 1,350 to 1,100 by August 9th and it gyrated between 1,100 and 1,200 until October when the Fed's "Operation Twist" (because "Operation Screw the Poor" got bad test scores) gave us a boost.
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Wednesday, June 25, 2014
Dow Jones Secular Stocks Bull Market Projection / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: Trader_MC
As an investor and a speculator I am mostly interested in Cyclical Markets (Cyclical Bull or Bear Markets). On average Cyclical Bull Markets last between 4 and 5 years and Cyclical Bear Markets last between 2 and 3 years. Cyclical Markets occur within Secular Markets that define the long term trend. Over the last 100 years, history has shown that the Dow Jones Secular Markets last about 17-18 years on average. For example the Secular Bull Market from 1945 to 1963 lasted 18 years and made over 350% gains, the Secular Bull Market from 1982 to 2000 lasted also 18 years and made over 1000% gains.
Monday, June 23, 2014
Stock Market at a Minor Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - May be tracing out an ending diagonal pattern.
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Monday, June 23, 2014
Investing in Undervalued Country Just Starting Stocks Bull Markets / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Research proves that undervalued equity markets achieve higher future returns over longer term investment horizons.
Studies show that investing in markets which have just been through a bear market and their valuations are low is one of the best ways to grow your investment capital.
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Sunday, June 22, 2014
Stock Market Primary III Wave Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
The bull market made news highs this week, after the FOMC meeting, statement, and press conference. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.3%, the NDX/NAZ were +1.0%, and the DJ World index was +1.0%. On the economic front positive reports continue to outpace negative ones. On the uptick: the NY/Philly FED, industrial production, the NAHB, the CPI, leading indicators, and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: housing starts, building permits, and the WLEI. Next week we get reports on Q1 GDP, Personal income/spending, and the PCE.
Sunday, June 22, 2014
Stock Market Complacency - Quiet Quad Witch / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jesse
Today was a quad witch in stock option expiration and the day was very quiet with low volatility.
Next week there is not much in the way of new economic news, with the third iteration of 1Q GDP coming out.
Saturday, June 21, 2014
Islamic Caliphate is Born, World War III has BEGUN! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Ty_Andros
Insanity is coming at US in huge waves. This week really saw a lot of new tea leaves presented to those working through the puzzle of the MAN MADE disaster. We are indeed living in interesting times, and I believe they will be studied and written about for decades and centuries into the future. I also believe this time period offers the greatest opportunity's in history if played from an applied Austrian economic perspective, and a good handle on history. They are one and the same actually. So let's look at some of the vignettes we covered this week:
Saturday, June 21, 2014
Stock Market Rally Refuses to Die / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
I'll keep this brief this weekend as there really is very little, if anything, to add to what I have been talking about for weeks, if not months. The market is somehow finding a way to hang in there against all the odds. The froth and greed are ramping higher by the day as the market hangs tough. Yet, through all this greed and froth the market doesn't fall. It should get crushed, yet it doesn't. We have had exceptions to the rule historically. In the bear market of 2007 we had a bull-bear spread of -22%. Maybe we need +50 this time to get a top in. No one knows, but in the end, it's always about one thing in the short-term and that one thing, of course, is price. Nothing else. PRICE! What is price doing and how are those oscillators responding is all we care about. Nothing else.
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Friday, June 20, 2014
These Lies Could Trigger Another Financial Market Collapse / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes: The public has been brainwashed about deflation.
We've been hoodwinked by central banks, governments, and the manipulators who pull the reins of those Trojan horses into believing that deflation is a deadly disease. It's not.
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Friday, June 20, 2014
The Era Of No Respect / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
The late, great comedian Rodney Dangerfield once made the following joke. “Last week I told my psychiatrist, "I keep thinking about suicide." He told me from now on I have to pay in advance.” Rodney would tug on his necktie and repeat his catch phrase, “I tell ‘ya, I get no respect!”
Friday, June 20, 2014
Is VIX Beckoning The Stock Market Bear? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Clif_Droke
The FOMC issued guidance at its Wednesday policy meeting to the effect that interest rates would remain low into the foreseeable future. It further lowered the pace of its monthly asset purchases by $10 billion to $35 billion per month. The Fed also said it expects the unemployment rate to range between 6.0% and 6.1% for the rest of the year, which is slightly lower than its previous projection.
Thursday, June 19, 2014
The Stocks Dow Jones Industrial Average Index: a Fata Morgana / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Wim_Grommen
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) Index is the only stock market index that covers both the second and the third industrial revolution. Calculating share indexes such as the Dow Jones Industrial Average and showing this index in a historical graph is a useful way to show which phase the industrial revolution is in. Changes in the DJIA shares basket, changes in the formula and stock splits during the take-off phase and acceleration phase of industrial revolutions are perfect transition-indicators. The similarities of these indicators during the last two revolutions are fascinating, but also a reason for concern. In fact the graph of the DJIA is a classic example of fictional truth, a fata morgana.
Thursday, June 19, 2014
India's Stocks Bull Market Forecast Still On Track / Stock-Markets / India
By: EWI
This chart tells you everything you need to know about the opportunities that financial forecasting firm Elliott Wave International (EWI) sees in India's stock market:
Thursday, June 19, 2014
The Coming Crash Of the Financial And Monetary System / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: GoldSilverWorlds
In an excellent video presentation, Claudio Grass, Managing Director at Global Gold Switzerland, explains why a crash of the financial and monetary system seems inevitable. The presentation covers all actual issues like currency wars, rigged markets, central bankers’ interventions, statistics manipulation, monetary mismanagement and financial repression. Claudio Grass does a great job “connecting these dots” but in a factual way. In this article, we collect several quotes and graphs. The full video presentation is 22 minutes long. Readers are highly recommended to watch the full presentation and subscribe to receive three exclusive reports for free on http://welcome.globalgold.ch.
Wednesday, June 18, 2014
Outlook on U.S. Dollar, Currencies & Markets: Look Out Below! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Axel_Merk
The FIFA World Cup and market predictions have in common that we are tempted to create a world of make-believe when it comes to predicting outcomes. While others ponder about the meaning of a round ball, we’ll focus on the implications of a make-believe world comprised of ever-higher asset prices. Our caution: look out below!
Tuesday, June 17, 2014
Stock Market SP500 Looking For 2000 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Gregor_Horvat
S&P500 accelerated to the upside this month with increasing volume and momentum. In fact, move from 1858 is very strong, so based on personality we think it was wave three of a five waves in progress in blue wave (5). As such, we expect even more upside in coming days; market may reach levels around 1980/2000.
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Tuesday, June 17, 2014
Stock Market Fractional Gain to Start the Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short:Against the backdrop of conflict in Iraq, this morning’s economic news was upbeat. The Empire State Manufacturing Index surprised to the upside and the Fed’s much broader Industrial Production series also beat expectations. The S&P 500 hit its -0.27% intraday low seconds after the opening bell. I then did sine wave during the first half of the day making nearly equidistant arcs below and above Friday’s closing price. The trading range tightened in the afternoon, and a dip into the red early in final hour created a bit of suspense for market watchers. But the index quickly recovered and closed the day with a modest 0.08% gain.