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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Thursday, September 20, 2007

New Upleg for Natural Gas? / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The U.S. Natural Gas Fund (AMEX:: UNG) corrected right to the top of its initial upmove (37.40) from early September, at which point it pivoted to the upside in what looks like the start of a new upleg. As long as today's low at 37.40 contains any forthcoming downside volatility, my preferred scenario calls for the emergency of a powerful upleg that tests the June-Sept resistance lines, now just shy of 44.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 20, 2007

Gold, Crude and Euro Breaking Out on US Interest Rate Cut - Montary Doves at Point of Gun / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWOW! What an interesting couple weeks. A lousy August Jobs Report, even though it exaggerated job growth the upside! The Birth-Death Modlel actually added 120 thousand mythical jobs, including construction jobs and financial sector jobs, both clearly in retreat, a blatant deception. The US Federal Reserve finally was given the smoking gun they needed on a platter to cut interest rates. Martin Feldstein gave the USFed considerable political cover, urging cuts, claiming they were already 100 basis points too high. So gold is breaking out, crude oil is breaking out, the euro is breaking out, the Canadian looney dollar is breaking out, the HUI stock index of miners is breaking out, and the USDollar is breaking down.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 20, 2007

Commodites Soar as US Dollar Plunges to New Lows Due to Record National Debt / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Gold_Investments

Gold
Spot gold rose more than one percent to hit a 27-year high at $730.20 an ounce this morning on safe-haven buying and a slide in the dollar to record lows against the euro.
Gold was quoted at $728.00/728.50 an ounce, compared with $721.10/721.90 in New York late on Wednesday.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 20, 2007

Confidence in UK Central Bank Destroyed; Gold Hits 27-Year High Ahead of Fed Speech / Commodities / Central Banks

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES touched $730 per ounce in London on Thursday – a 27-year high – as world stock markets slipped and the US Dollar sank.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 20, 2007

Why Silver is Set To GO THROUGH THE ROOF... / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Clive_Maund

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt was somewhat odd that despite the extraordinarily bullish COT profile for silver, as of last weekend, gold took center stage and has soared during this week as predicted, despite its COT profile not being as dramatically bullish as that for silver, but that's fine by us as it has afforded time to get this article up. Of course, the reason for silver's underperformance relative to gold so far this week is not hard to find - silver broke down below important support last month, whereas gold didn't, and now silver is having to battle the resulting negative sentiment and supply overhang.

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 19, 2007

Gold Price and Stocks Expected to Digest Recent Gains Before Continuing Higher / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Under "normal" circumstances, the streetTRACKS Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) should be at or nearing a digestion and/or pullback period. Maybe it can loop up one more time to 72+, but the vast majority of my near-term work is warning me to step aside to allow the GLD to rest and correct. If that proves correct, then I expect a corrective period, or sequence, that traverses a range between 72 and 70, if not down to 69-68 prior to the next upleg.

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 19, 2007

Why You Should Be A Gold Bull / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: David_Urban

Just the facts:

  • Gold demand in the 2nd Q of 2007 rose 19% YoY to 922 tonnes.
  • Gold jewelry demand in the 2 nd Q of 2007 rose 29% YoY to 675.1 tonnes.
  • India was the largest consumer of gold in the 2 nd Q of 2007 with 240 tonnes, compared to 166.4 tonnes a year ago.
  • Total gold supply for the 2nd Q of 2007 was down 7% YoY at 840 tonnes, down from 902 tonnes.
  • Mine output is at a 10 year low.
  • Gold margin for futures has been increased.
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Commodities

Wednesday, September 19, 2007

AGRI-FOOD THOUGHTS - China Consumer Boom Means Higher Soft Commodity Prices / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs incomes rise in China and India, their consumers will dictate prices for oil and food. Their preferences are setting relative prices of nearly all commodities. These preferences have shifted to reflect their higher incomes, and will continue to do so. Chart below portrays per capita consumption of beef and rice by Chinese consumers, per UN FAO. Beef is now a preferred item on the menu at Chinese homes. Magnifying this shift is number of consumers in China and India. Such preference shifts have caused prices of grains and meats around world to rise. Higher beef consumption means raising more beef. Raising more beef means using more grain. More grain is consumed to feed the beef than is freed up from eating less rice. Agri-Food growth cycle that has emerged is really that simple.

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 19, 2007

Gold Surges on the Fed 50 Basis Point Interest Rate Cut / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Gold_Investments

Gold
Spot gold was trading at $723.70/724.20 an ounce as of 1200 GMT. As expected gold surged on the Federal Reserve's quite drastic 50 basis point interest rate cut and 50 basis points discount rate cut. On the decision, spot gold in electronic after hours trading immediately rallied from $715 to $726.90. Subsequently it has traded sideways to slightly down in Asian and European trading.

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 19, 2007

Gold, Oil & Euros Pushed Higher by Fed's Interest Rate Cut; "US in Deep Trouble" / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

GOLD PRICES pulled back $2 per ounce in London on Wednesday morning to trade just shy of the new 16-month high hit when the US Federal Reserve slashed Dollar interest rates on Tuesday in a bid to "forestall" recession.

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 18, 2007

Gold Breaks $721 as the Financial World Waits for the US Fed to Cut Rates / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES traded flat in Asia on Tuesday before rising into the London open and breaking a new 16-month high above $721 per ounce ahead of today's US session.

"There is no reason to believe the long-term rally has ended," says Christopher Langguth for Mitsui's technical reading of the weekly charts.

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 18, 2007

Commodity Markets Update - All Eyes on the Feds Interest Rate Decision / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Gold_Investments

Gold
Spot gold was trading at $720.00/720.50 an ounce as of 1215 GMT. It traded sideways in Asia and has continued to rally in Europe after yesterday's nearly 1% increase.

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 18, 2007

What Next for Gold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: David_Vaughn

GoldLooks like gold has finally passed the magic 700 an ounce number.

I am sitting at a coffee shop and I look at the counter and notice all the pasties and bread. I think…hmm…the bread of life. And guess what came to my mind. Yes, you guessed it. Gold is the bread and life of the financial world. Gotta have it!

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 18, 2007

Gold: Is the US Interest Rate Cut Built In? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Bob_Kirtley

The consensus appears to be that the Federal Reserve will announce a rate cut at today's meeting of the FOMC. As gold bugs we expect this action to be negative for the US Dollar and therefore positive for gold, or is it?

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Commodities

Monday, September 17, 2007

Gold Safehaven as Northern Rock Potential Bust Impacts Financial Markets / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Gold_Investments

Gold
Spot gold was trading at $710.30/710.80 an ounce as of 1215 GMT after last week's more than 1% price increase.

Gold has risen in Asia and early European trading and safe haven buying on Northern Rock and wider financial market jitters are likely to be supportive of the price despite gold looking slightly overbought in the short term.

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Commodities

Monday, September 17, 2007

Gold Strong on US Interest Rate Decision, Northern Rock Crash Continues / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

Gold Trades at 16-Month High Ahead of US Interest Rates Decision, Investment Banking Results, Inflation Data and Northern Rock Bail-Out

GOLD PRICES ROSE throughout the Asian session on Monday, putting the Spot Gold Price above $712 per ounce at the start of London trade – its highest weekly start since May 2006.

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Commodities

Sunday, September 16, 2007

Gold Top Forming, Bearish Nearterm Outlook - Technically Precious with Merv / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Merv_Burak

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWell, it's been a good upside run for gold these past few weeks but it is starting to look like a top and possible lower prices ahead.

GOLD PRICES
If one looks carefully one can spot slightly different prices for gold in various media and internet sites, all quoted as prices on the same day. One should remember that gold prices come from different sources. There is the London price. There is the Hong Kong price. There is the Sydney price. But the price I use for my data is the New York Mercantile Exchange price. Even here one has many choices. You could use the “Cash” price or you can use the prices for any one of several futures contract months. I like to use the source that has the most trading activity to obtain the best idea of where the professionals, traders, speculators and the like are operating with their money.

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Commodities

Sunday, September 16, 2007

Crude Oil and Value of Technical Analysis / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Joseph_Russo

Before we get to our weekly briefing on the major market indices, we thought it appropriate to explore the following:

What value might traders and investors place on technical market analysis?

The answer depends upon a few basic variables.

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Commodities

Sunday, September 16, 2007

Bullish Precious Metals, Crude Oil, and Gold Stocks / Commodities / Elliott Wave Theory

By: Robert_McHugh_PhD

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs the Fed hyperinflates, sacrificing the Dollar to bail out a deteriorating economy, precious metals and Gold stocks are benefiting. Gold and the HUI are close to bullish breakouts.

Gold finished the Minor degree wave 3 of Intermediate degree 1 up on May 12th at $730.40. Gold 's Minor degree wave 4 is a Symmetrical Triangle , which is a consolidation pattern of the Minor degree wave 3 rally that started back in 2001 and extended into the May 12th, 2006 top. Waves a through e within wave 4 are complete. A break above $730 would confirm that the triangle is complete, and wave 5 up is underway, and would be a “buy” signal. We came close to that level this past week.

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Commodities

Sunday, September 16, 2007

Gold and Silver Analysis - Precious Points: Old Number 7 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Joe_Nicholson

“The weekly chart in the yellow metal shows a little more room to run as price rockets upward from the 5-week moving average. Though silver closed above the 50-day sma, the vibration around this level suggests it could be retested early next week, with $12.60-12.65 probably providing good support. A positive test would clear the path for $13.00, which should prove formidable.” ~ Precious Points: Sustainable Growth? , September 9, 2007

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