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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Friday, September 19, 2014

Another Miserable Week for Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Alasdair_Macleod

Gold and silver drifted lower over the course of the week, with a challenge to the $1200 level for gold becoming a distinct possibility. Silver is struggling to hold $18.50. Mainstream opinion has been negative for commodities generally, with a strong dollar undermining them. Brent crude, for example, is now well under $100.

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Commodities

Friday, September 19, 2014

Bird's Eye View of the Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Since last summer, investing in the mining sector has been akin to riding a mini roller coaster. There have been two huge rallies, two sudden and sharp declines while more than a handful of individual stocks have rebounded over 200% from their lows. Nevertheless, as we noted a few weeks ago the weakness of the metals won out and are dictating the terms. Since we covered the metals in our last missive we wanted to focus soley on the miners. A look at the bear market analog chart as well as a very long-term chart of GDM illustrates the coming risks and opportunities.

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Commodities

Friday, September 19, 2014

Silver Price at Critical Juncture / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Austin_Galt

Silver has just kept tanking and tanking over the last couple of months. And taking my silver longs with it. It's been painful stuff. That will teach me to trade against the trend. It's certainly a different picture to all the hooting and hollering of the bulls back in June.

Silver is now back to just above its major yearly low of US$18.17 set in 2013. I often remark how the market likes to take things to the extreme and once again we have a clear case of that here. So, we are now at a critical juncture. If price were to break to new yearly lows now then price would likely capitulate. I just do not see this happening. Let's investigate.

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Commodities

Friday, September 19, 2014

Silver - Almost Time to Backup the Truck and Load up / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Joseph_Russo

The following is a plausible forecast / prediction

Despite my known disdain for time and price predictions, I base the plausible forecast for an October 2014 generational low in the dollar-denominated value of Silver upon the cyclical duration of a prior elongated bear market that occurred from May 1968 thru November 1971.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 18, 2014

Silver Price: A Collapse and a Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: DeviantInvestor

Complaint From A Silver Bull

The last 3 plus years have been difficult. My faith in the silver bull market and my fear of fiat currencies has been shattered. There is no joy in "Silverville" - nothing but worry and despair!

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Commodities

Thursday, September 18, 2014

Silver Buyers Keep Stacking And Demand Higher Despite Falling Prices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldCore

The silver price has remained subdued this year, falling just less than 5% year-to-date, and is now near a 14 month low. Naturally, investor psychology has been affected by the price weakness.

Quoted today in Bloomberg News, Mark O’Byrne, director of GoldCore said that “sentiment remains quite bad in the silver market.”

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Commodities

Thursday, September 18, 2014

Monetary Policy Weighs on Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Bob_Kirtley

Background

Gold has an inverse relationship with the US Dollar so when the dollar declines gold rises. The dollar is affected by monetary policy as decided by the various central bankers across the planet. We recently covered the effect of the European version of QE with an article entitled; ‘Why ECB QE Is Bearish For Gold Prices’ so today we will take a quick look at the ramifications for the precious metals sector emanating from the monetary policy meeting of the Federal Reserve held today.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 18, 2014

Gold Price Hammered by Strong U.S. Dollar / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Clive_Maund

The Pope just observed that the situation in the world today amounts to a Third World War - he's right and although he didn't point the finger, we know what it's all about - the maintenance and imposition of the dollar as the dominant world currency, by diplomacy or by force as deemed necessary. We will come to these geopolitical considerations later as they of course have huge implications for the dollar and thus for Precious Metals.

As you probably know we had expected gold and silver to start picking up in the last update, for various reasons, the most important of which was that they are at important support at the most bullish time of year, seasonally, for the Precious Metals, but the dollar rally accelerated even more, driving gold and silver still lower and deeper into key support which is now being severely tested. If the dollar continues higher then gold and silver could crash key support, but this doesn't look likely short-term because the dollar is now critically overbought and needs to take a breather.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 18, 2014

It’s Not the Fed Taking Gold Down, but the Vote in Scotland / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Michael_J_Kosares

Some of you might be wondering what happened to gold at the 4pm (MDT) open, particularly in light of the rather benign, steady-as-she-goes Fed announcement. This looks like it might have to do with the Scotland independence vote in the UK tomorrow. [One man's opinion] A late poll has the vote closing to 51% (No) – 49% (Yes). In other words a complete toss-up with the Yes vote gaining momentum going into tomorrow’s proceedings.

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 17, 2014

Gold Report - U.S. National Debt Surges $1 Trillion In Just 12 Months / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldCore

The U.S. financial position continues to deteriorate badly and in the last 12 months has increased by over $1 trillion dollars.

Nick Laird of Sharelynx has just reproduced his fascinating and timely chart showing the US debt limit, the actual US debt and the gold price all in one chart. From 2000 until around the first quarter of 2013, there was a very strong and close correlation between the growth of the US national debt and the rise in the US dollar gold price.

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 17, 2014

Can Gold Price Finally Recover? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Clif_Droke

Gold recently fell to its lowest level in seven-and-a-half months as the dollar rose to a 14-month high. Easing tensions in Ukraine and the Middle East also acted as a drag on gold and silver prices. Investors have been asking the obvious question as to whether gold can recover from here and if a bottom of at least short-term duration is imminent?

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 17, 2014

The Energy Prices at Risk with Scottish Independence / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: Money_Morning

Dr. Kent Moors writes: This isn’t the first time the devolution movement has threatened to break up the United Kingdom.

Scotland and Wales were considering their independence when I was living in London and lecturing at the London School of Economics almost forty years ago.

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 16, 2014

U.S. Dollar and Gold Elliott Wave Projection / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Trader_MC

Gold is now at a key juncture and it should reveal its price action structure in the coming weeks. The first chart is my main Elliott Wave count and shows a Double Three Corrective Pattern (W)-(X)-(Y) in process from the top in 2011. You can see that Gold is currently in a corrective channel and should end soon a Wave (ii) which is also composed of a Double Three Corrective Pattern. If that scenario plays out Gold should enter a Wave (iii) that should send it to around $1550 which would be the minimum target.

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 16, 2014

The Collapse Of U.S. Silver Stocks As Public Debt Skyrockets / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Steve_St_Angelo

The U.S. Empire is in real trouble.  This is due to its idiotic business model of selling quality assets while acquiring massive liabilities and debts.  Of course, the U.S. Government realizes this is not a sustainable way to do business, but at least for now.... we continue to have our Bread & Circuses, McDonalds & NFL Football for a bit longer.

Furthermore, Americans have no clue that the role of the U.S. Dollar as the world's reserve currency continues to disintegrate each passing day as more countries elect to by-pass the Dollar and trade in other currencies... especially the Chinese Yuan.

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 16, 2014

Don't Miss This Gold Buying Opportunity / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: The_Gold_Report

Brien Lundin, founder of Jefferson Financial, producer of the New Orleans Investment Conference and Gold Newsletter, believes at least a small amount of the massive liquidity produced by loose monetary policy in Western economies will find its way into mining equities following a summer pullback in equity prices—but don't wait long. Lundin expects the "buying opportunity" to last for two, maybe three weeks before seasonal gold demand pushes prices higher. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Lundin discusses a select group of gold and precious metals equities that he expects to perform well as near-term news reaches the market.

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Commodities

Monday, September 15, 2014

Why ECB QE Is Bearish For Gold Prices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Bob_Kirtley

The recent action by the ECB appears to have caught many gold bulls off guard. A common interpretation of the impact that a potential quantitative easing program would have on gold prices was that it would be very bullish. This argument was based on the concept that money printing is bullish for gold, and that QE1 and QE2 by the Fed triggered major rallies in the yellow metal. Whilst we do not dispute that QE1 and QE2 by the Fed were indeed bullish for gold, we strongly disagreed that the ECB would introduce a program that would spark a major rally. In fact we went further, predicting that what the ECB was going to do was in fact highly bearish for gold, and in this article we will endeavour to explain why.

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Commodities

Monday, September 15, 2014

Junior Miners Breaking Out Higher Forecasting Gold and Silver Price Bottom? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Jeb_Handwerger

Summary
  •   Despite post Labor Day sell-off in precious metals, junior miners maintain uptrend.
  •   The junior miners are usually a leading indicator. Is this outperformance forecasting an inflection point for the precious metals?
  •   Going into the overbought US equity, bond dollar and real estate market is dangerous, while precious metal stocks are trading at pennies on the dollar.
  •   Major generalist funds may soon enter the precious metals market as QE ends. A large cash position is waiting on the sidelines.
  •   US dollar rally may not last as QE expires. Inflationary pressures could pick up.

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Commodities

Monday, September 15, 2014

The Silver Price Sentiment Cycle / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: DeviantInvestor

The following chart shows:

Silver Prices: 1972 – 1979

  •  Silver moved upward from about $1.40 in 1971, rallied to about $6.40 in March 1974, and fell to about $4.30 in August 1977.
  • The March 1974 peak took about 3 years and ended about 4.55 times its starting point.
  • The August 1977 low took another 3.5 years and fell about 33% from the peak price.
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Commodities

Monday, September 15, 2014

Why Goldman Sachs is Wrong on Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Michael_Pento

Wall Street powerhouse Goldman Sachs has recently reiterated its negative view on gold, which it has held for the past year. However, it is now doubling down on this view and advising clients to actually go short the metal. Jeff Currie, head of commodity research at Goldman noted "Our target is really driven by the view that we think that the Fed will ultimately be the dominate force here and put more downward pressure [on prices]".

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Commodities

Monday, September 15, 2014

Marc Faber - “I Want To Be Diversified, I Want To Own Some Gold” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldCore

Veteran investor Marc Faber, author of The Gloom, Boom and Doom Report, reiterated the need for gold in a diversified portfolio when interviewed last week on CNBC. 

Faber, a resident of Thailand, is an advocate of gold storage in Singapore, and believes that a diversified portfolio will help protect against future market corrections which he believes are on the horizon.

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