Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, September 27, 2012
QE3, SPR Release and Gasoline Prices / Commodities / Crude Oil
With crude oil accounting for 65% of the price of gasoline, there's typically a high correlation between the price of oil and gasoline. However, there's been a disconnect between the two for the most part of this year. The main reason for the disconnect is the divergence of supply market fundamentals.
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Thursday, September 27, 2012
Gold Break Out to New High Near / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Brien Lundin expects money printing by the Federal Reserve to raise gold above its $1,920/oz high, and as editor and publisher of Gold Newsletter, he considers it his job to show people how to profit. In this exclusive Gold Report interview, Lundin explains why he believes it is time to be aggressive in equity positions and names companies that could benefit the most from the coming leg up.
The Gold Report: We just had a third round of bond buying in quantitative easing (QE). Will QE3 help the economy?
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Thursday, September 27, 2012
The Great Game, Gold Arbitrage & Three Little Pigs / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
The Great Game
An astute reader from Atlanta named Ken wrote the following in a letter to me:
"It seems that the game plan (for financial heavyweights) is to buy assets, real things that can't be papered away by the government, and pay back with depreciated dollars."
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Wednesday, September 26, 2012
Gold Long Term Bull Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Patrick McGough writes: The Gold Bull market started during the first quarter of 2001, and has now been in play for approximately 11 1/2 years. Commodity cycles tend to have 13 year bull markets and 21 year bear markets. This completes a 34 year cycle and for the moment Gold appears to be in the last 1-1 1/2 years of this cycle. Fortunately for us traders this tends to be the most explosive part of the cycle. In the actual economy Gold really does not serve as a commodity but as a currency. If this were not the case why do central banks accumulate or hold gold as reserves? The yellow metal is truly the currency of last resort.
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Wednesday, September 26, 2012
Gold and Silver Buy the Dips / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
WHOLESALE gold prices in US Dollars dipped beneath $1760 per ounce for the 3rd time this week in London on Wednesday morning, gaining against the Euro and Sterling as those currencies fell faster and rising back towards last week's new all-time high versus the Swiss Franc.
World stock markets extended Tuesday's late plunge in US equities, knocking 2.4% off the French CAC40 index as the Euro dropped to a 2-week low beneath $1.2850.
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Wednesday, September 26, 2012
China Buys North Korea Gold Reserves / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Today’s AM fix was USD 1,763.75, EUR 1,369.80, and GBP 1,089.07 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,766.75, EUR 1,369.36 and GBP 1,088.37 per ounce.
Silver is trading at $33.79/oz, €26.41/oz and £20.99/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,630.00/oz, palladium at $627.10/oz and rhodium at $1,075/oz.
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Wednesday, September 26, 2012
Crude Oil Prices are Headed Higher / Commodities / Crude Oil
Dr. Kent Moors writes: My latest trip to London may have centered on the briefings I gave on Iranian oil sanctions, but I also did a number of media appearances.
As I have mentioned before, questions from European interviewers are generally more knowledgeable and to the point than in the states. This may be because places like London are much closer to the events directly affecting oil prices.
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Wednesday, September 26, 2012
Cutting-Edge Technologies Will 'Green' Natural Gas Fracking / Commodities / Natural Gas
Fracking in the U.S. is here to stay, affirms Keith Schaefer, editor of the Oil & Gas Investments Bulletin. North American business is dependent on cheap energy, and even energy utilities are switching from coal to natural gas. Although environmental concerns remain, the industry has incentive to do the right thing, says Schaefer. In this exclusive interview with The Energy Report, Schaefer profiles service companies that are using cutting-edge technology to make fracking safer, greener and cheaper.
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Wednesday, September 26, 2012
The Great Graphite Supply Shakeup / Commodities / Metals & Mining
Investors who remember the lithium boom (and bust) a few years ago may be twice shy to enter a space with big upside potential tied to electric vehicles. But the parallels between graphite and lithium are superficial, insists Simon Moores, analyst with Industrial Minerals. Graphite, unlike lithium, supplies layers of demand, with reliable end-users in the steel industry. Meanwhile, China's production lull is making way for market entrants. In this exclusive interview with The Critical Metals Report, Moores profiles graphite miners around the world competing for the market's attention.
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Tuesday, September 25, 2012
Measuring Gold Fiat Currency Performance Since 1971 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
In 1971 President Nixon closed the window that allowed U.S. dollars to be sold for gold owned by the U.S. Just before that, the price of gold was $35 an ounce. Since then gold has been called a 'barbarous relic', a term used by Keynes, the famous economist.From that time on, the world's currencies stood merely on the confidence their governments engendered and the control they exercised over international financial dealings of all kinds. That confidence lasted until 2007 when the credit crunch brought government financing on both sides of the Atlantic into question. Up until now the performance of the underlying value of currencies has hidden these questions as exchange rates are adequately 'managed' through swap arrangements to stabilize exchange rate movements to the extent that violent moves don't happen. But the real value of currencies in terms of their real solvency is now a matter of open debate. As of now, relative to the amount of gold available to markets, the price of gold is the only measure of value that currencies can be held to. We look at that and look at the conditions that are determining the value of currencies now and in the future.
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Tuesday, September 25, 2012
QE and the Commodity Markets / Commodities / Commodities Trading
QE and the Commodity Markets
After the recent announcements of the ECB’s OMT program, (outright monetary transactions), and the FED’s QE 3 program, (open ended asset purchases), we were forced to not only review the equity markets, but also the commodity markets. We updated the commodity charts last weekend. Those who review our public charts, on a regular basis, are one step ahead of this report. We will start with a review of the GTX (S&P GSCI Commodity Index), then all five of its sectors.
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Tuesday, September 25, 2012
Gold ETFs Set New Record, Bullion Prices "Should Break Higher After Consolidation Period" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
SPOT MARKET gold bullion prices traded around $1765 an ounce Tuesday morning in London, 1.8% off last Friday's seven-month high.
"It looks to me like we've got a short period of consolidation," says Standard Chartered analyst Daniel Smith.
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Tuesday, September 25, 2012
Gold and Silver Price October Correction Is Seasonally Weak / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Today’s AM fix was USD 1,766.75, EUR 1,369.36, GBP 1,088.37 per ounce. Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,758.50, EUR 1,361.91 and GBP 1,084.96 per ounce.
Silver is trading at $34.23/oz, €26.58/oz and £21.18/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,633.75/oz, palladium at $643.00/oz and rhodium at $1,100/oz.
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Tuesday, September 25, 2012
Manipulation of the Gold Price and the Crash of Paper Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
There is much discussion these days as to whether the price of gold is being manipulated. The answer is simply “yes.”
It is likely that most potential gold investors would agree that the major financial institutions have the ability to influence the gold price. They would also agree that to do so would be of benefit to those institutions. Yet, many investors still have difficulty making the final leap to agree that, if the institutions can manipulate the gold price and, by doing so, will profit from it, they will actually manipulate the price. Odd, as this would seem to me to be the easiest of the three premises to accept.
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Tuesday, September 25, 2012
Just When You Thought It Was Safe To Buy Silver Again / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Kerry Kutz submits: Silver hits $35 and gets driven down again
We were in Chicago for the HardAssets conference last week. This was a new show that was sparsely attended. However, there were some good companies telling their stories and I think you'll enjoy hearing about them. If we own them or plan to own them, we'll always let you know. We don't tout stocks for anyone. All we do is tell their stories. But there's another story that's far more important than that of any precious metals producer. And that is market rigging. Chris Powell of GATA.org said it best when he uttered the phrase, "There are no longer any markets, only interventions."
Tuesday, September 25, 2012
Gold and Silver When Financial Repression Fails / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Financial repression may prove to be the policy that triggers the inevitable return to fair value in precious metals. The failure of this academic policy, originally deployed in the 1950’s,adds to the list of possible scenarios triggering the failure of the manipulative price suppression that has been observed in the precious metals futures markets.
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Tuesday, September 25, 2012
How Gold and Silver Safe Haven in Today's Troubled World / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
The reasons for holding precious metals as a relatively safe haven for one’s personal wealth are numerous.
One common investing thesis for buying precious metals is that these intrinsically valuable commodities can hold their value in times of rising price levels. This characteristic can help American savers keep pace with credit expansion and paper currency debasement.
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Tuesday, September 25, 2012
Creating Fiat Currency Is a Blank Check for Gold Miners / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Worldwide monetary creation today has implications for the watchful investor in gold and silver. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Leonard Melman, publisher and editor of The Melman Report, explains why, and shows who will be well positioned to benefit from current economic stimulus strategies.
The Gold Report: Now that the curtain has been raised and we can see the Federal Reserve's much-anticipated program of a third round of quantitative easing (QE3), what are your thoughts? How do you expect QE3 to affect your portfolio?
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Monday, September 24, 2012
Secular Commodity Markets Peak Forecast 2013 / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Forecasting a secular commodities bull market peak is two-part: why commodities should make a blow-off price acceleration and why commodities should then fall out of favour in an enduring way.
Let me start by showing that commodities have been a particularly poor-performing asset class over time:
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Monday, September 24, 2012
Investor Gold Buying to Resume & Fed Doubling Their Balance Sheet AGAIN! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
A leading precious metals consultancy, Thomson Reuters GFMS, has forecast that investors will buy record amounts of gold in the remainder of 2012. GFMS produces the benchmark supply and demand statistics for the gold market. GFMS forecasts that investors will purchase 973 tons of gold in the second half of 2012, more than during the wild gold market of the summer of 2011. This surge in demand for the yellow metal, GFMS says, will move gold above the $1850 an ounce level, not far from the record high of $1920 hit in September 2011.
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