Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. TESLA! Cathy Wood ARK Funds Bubble BURSTS! - 12th May 21
2.Stock Market Entering Early Summer Correction Trend Forecast - 10th May 21
3.GOLD GDX, HUI Stocks - Will Paradise Turn into a Dystopia? - 11th May 21
4.Crypto Bubble Bursts! Nicehash Suspends Coinbase Withdrawals, Bitcoin, Ethereum Bear Market Begins - 16th May 21
5.Crypto Bubble BURSTS! BTC, ETH, XRP CRASH! NiceHash Seizes Funds on Account Halting ALL Withdrawals! - 19th May 21
6.Cathy Wood Ark Invest Funds Bubble BURSTS! ARKK, ARKG, Tesla Entering Severe Bear Market - 13th May 21
7.Stock Market - Should You Be In Cash Right Now? - 17th May 21
8.Gold to Benefit from Mounting US Debt Pile - 14th May 21
9.Coronavius Covid-19 in Italy in August 2019! - 13th May 21
10.How to Invest in HIGH RISK Tech Stocks for 2021 and Beyond - Part 2 of 2 - 18th May 21
Last 7 days
RAMPANT MONEY PRINTING INFLATION BIG PICTURE! - 16th Jun 21
The Federal Reserve and Inflation - 16th Jun 21
Inflation Soars 5%! Will Gold Skyrocket? - 16th Jun 21
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: Inflation Is For Fools - 16th Jun 21
Four News Events That Could Drive Gold Bullion Demand - 16th Jun 21
5 ways that crypto is changing the face of online casinos - 16th Jun 21
Transitory Inflation Debate - 15th Jun 21
USDX: The Cleanest Shirt Among the Dirty Laundry - 15th Jun 21
Inflation and Stock Market SPX Record Highs. PPI, FOMC Meeting in Focus - 15th Jun 21
Stock Market SPX 4310 Right Around the Corner! - 15th Jun 21
AI Stocks Strength vs Weakness - Why Selling Google or Facebook is a Big Mistake! - 14th Jun 21
The Bitcoin Crime Wave Hits - 14th Jun 21
Gold Time for Consolidation and Lower Volatility - 14th Jun 21
More Banks & Investors Are NOT Believing Fed Propaganda - 14th Jun 21
Market Inflation Bets – Squaring or Not - 14th Jun 21
Is Gold Really an Inflation Hedge? - 14th Jun 21
The FED Holds the Market. How Long Will It Last? - 14th Jun 21
Coinbase vs Binance for Bitcoin, Ethereum Crypto Trading & Investing During Bear Market 2021 - 11th Jun 21
Gold Price $4000 – Insurance, A Hedge, An Investment - 11th Jun 21
What Drives Gold Prices? (Don't Say "the Fed!") - 11th Jun 21
Why You Need to Buy and Hold Gold Now - 11th Jun 21
Big Pharma Is Back! Biotech Skyrockets On Biogen’s New Alzheimer Drug Approval - 11th Jun 21
Top 5 AI Tech Stocks Trend Analysis, Buying Levels, Ratings and Valuations - 10th Jun 21
Gold’s Inflation Utility - 10th Jun 21
The Fuel Of The Future That’s 9 Times More Efficient Than Lithium - 10th Jun 21
Challenges facing the law industry in 2021 - 10th Jun 21
SELL USDT Tether Before Ponzi Scheme Implodes Triggering 90% Bitcoin CRASH in Cryptos Lehman Bros - 9th Jun 21
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: Prepare For Volatility - 9th Jun 21
Gold Mining Stocks: Which Door Will Investors Choose? - 9th Jun 21
Fed ‘Taper’ Talk Is Back: Will a Tantrum Follow? - 9th Jun 21
Scientists Discover New Renewable Fuel 3 Times More Powerful Than Gasoline - 9th Jun 21
How do I Choose an Online Trading Broker? - 9th Jun 21
Fed’s Tools are Broken - 8th Jun 21
Stock Market Approaching an Intermediate peak! - 8th Jun 21
Could This Household Chemical Become The Superfuel Of The Future? - 8th Jun 21
The Return of Inflation. Can Gold Withstand the Dark Side? - 7th Jun 21
Why "Trouble is Brewing" for the U.S. Housing Market - 7th Jun 21
Stock Market Volatility Crash Course (VIX vs VVIX) – Learn How to Profit From Volatility - 7th Jun 21
Computer Vision Is Like Investing in the Internet in the ‘90s - 7th Jun 21
MAPLINS - Sheffield Down Memory Lane, Before the Shop Closed its Doors for the Last Time - 7th Jun 21
Wire Brush vs Block Paving Driveway Weeds - How Much Work, Nest Way to Kill Weeds? - 7th Jun 21
When Markets Get Scared and Reverse - 7th Jun 21
Is A New Superfuel About To Take Over Energy Markets? - 7th Jun 21
Why Tether USDT, Stable Scam Coins Could COLLAPSE the Crypto Markets - Black Swan 2021 - 6th Jun 21
Stock Market: 4 Tips for Investing in Gold - 6th Jun 21
Apple (AAPL) Summer Correction Stock Trend Analysis - 5th Jun 21
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: I 'Believe' We Rally Into A June Swoon - 5th Jun 21
Stock Market Russell 2000 After Reaching A Trend Channel High Flags Out - 5th Jun 21
Money Is Cheap, Own Gold - 5th Jun 21
Bitcoin and Ravencoin Cryptos CRASH Bear Market Buying Levels Price Targets - 4th Jun 21

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Financial Crisis in Russia Ruins Economies of Post Soviet States

Economics / Russia Sep 25, 2009 - 06:53 AM GMT

By: Pravda

Economics

Migrant workers who earn their living in the Russian Federation sharply reduced the size of bank transfers to their families. According to the report of Asia Development Bank, in the first six months of 2009, the sum of money transferred by migrants to the countries of the Caucasus and Central Asia reduced by approximately 25 percent compared to the same period last year. However, the money transferred by guest workers is a serious support factor for the economies of post-Soviet countries.


According to the World Bank, in 2008 migrants officially transferred $318 billion to their countries. For many developing countries these funds are one of the main sources of foreign currency. These funds support internal demand to the detriment of the demand of the country of stay, and therefore, foreign producers oriented at their own market. Besides, for many countries, transfers from Russia are the strongest tool for fighting poverty and therefore, an element of ensuring political stability.

According to the analysis conducted by Adams and Page back in 2003, 10 percent increase in the proportion of migrants in a country population causes 1.9 percent reduction in the population whose daily income does not exceed $1.

There are countries that are largely dependent on the guest workers inflows. According to the World Bank, migrants’ bank transfers account for 36 percent of the GDP of Moldova and Tajikistan, and 27 percent of Kazakhstan’s GDP. However, adequate statistical analysis is complicated by the so called “gray transactions,” made through relatives, friends, and neighbors. Growing jobless rate in Russia causes chain reaction in the recipient countries.

“Deep recession in Russia decreased trade, investment, and money transfers to the subregion countries, which often has a significant depressing effect,” the document states. In particular, the sum of money sent by migrants from Russia to the countries of that region fell by approximately 25 percent in the first half of 2009. “Since these transfers are the main source of income for some countries, it affected internal consumption in a negative way and interferes with payment balances,” Prime Tass quotes the experts’ conclusion.

According to Asia Development Bank (ADB), Armenia, Georgia, and Kazakhstan were affected by the crisis the most. Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan, on the other hand, turned out to be more stable since they have sufficient natural resources and closed economies.

ADB believes that Kazakhstan’s GDP will fall by 1 percent in 2009. In Kyrgyzstan, where according to the latest data, the amount of bank transfers decreased by 24 percent during the first six months, experts still predict a doubtful growth by one percent instead of four percent predicted earlier. However, Kirgizia and the funds it received from Russia and other countries is another story.

The prediction for Tajikistan’s GDP was lowered from 3 to 0.5 percent, and for Turkmenistan – from 10 to 8 percent, which does not look bad in the crises. Despite high oil prices, the forecast for Azerbaijan’s GDP was lowered to 3 percent from initial 8.

“Despite the recession, Russia continues to provide significant aid to many countries of the region,” the report says. The aid comes in the form of large loans provided to Kyrgyzstan and Armenia.

Vitaly Salnik
Bigness.Ru

Pravda.ru

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

Pravda Archive

© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in