US CPI Inflation Tuesday Potential Panic Event!

Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2025 Aug 11, 2025 - 11:16 PM GMT

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US CPI Inflation Market Brief - 5pm UK Time - 11th August 2025

Dear Patron

S&P 6400 - It's CPLIE Tuesday tomorrow, market expectations are for 2.8% to deliver a Sept rate cut that the FOMO crowd are betting on (90% CME probability) where a hotter reading could trigger the end of FOMO and the correction to kick into gear with the expected leg lower into at least the end of September and probably into early October to target 6000 - 5900 with the risk of Trump derangement delivering worse.

Market expects CPI 2.8% vs 2.7% prev month, so even the market expects inflation to nudge higher. Whilst the jobs report revisions sent rate cut expectations soaring triggering FOMO, but if as I expect CPLIE comes in hotter than expected, say 3.1% vs 2.8% then that will induce a fair bit of panic in the market.

Another sign to expect the correction is Mike "Always Wrong" Wilson of Morgan "crap at investing" Stanley turning very bullish on stocks as they let him back onto the investing cartoon networks such as CBNC to proclaim a new bull market has started!

In the meantime I continue to trim into the blow off top as opportunities present themselves, such as selling 1/3rd of my Eth into its breakout pump over $4300 and today selling a chunk of Micron at $126. Note the blow off top is a function of the RISE in the S&P of over 30% off it's April low, so does not mean it is THE TOP, as post correction swings analysis suggests S&P targeting 6600-6700 during December, but first we need to see the nature of the coming correction beast....more in my next article.

Now what if inflation comes in lower than the 2.8% expected! That would be a SUPRISE to everyone! It would mean that Trump was RIGHT and the Fed was WRONG and the market would go BESERK! PANIC TO THE UPSIDE!

Your trimming into FOMO Mania blow off top analyst.

Nadeem Walayat

For immediate first access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for just $7 per month, lock it in now at $7 before it rises to $10 per month for new sign-up's. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

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By Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Nadeem Walayat has over 35 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 1000 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

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