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Rising Interest Rates... Falling Bonds

Interest-Rates / US Bonds Jul 02, 2014 - 06:39 PM GMT

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Interest-Rates

TNX took off like a bottle rocket for a second day, overcoming its 50-day Moving Average at 25.87 and mid-Cycle support/resistance at 25.92. It should complete Minor Wave 1 of (3) near the hourly Cycle Top at 26.73.

This is Primary Cycle action and it may not be over until July 25 to July 29.


The suggested decline has come to pass. It also appears that TLT may continue its Wave 1 decline to its Cycle Bottom at 110.30 before a sizeable bounce ensues.

LIBOR also had a breakout above its Wave 1 high and appears capable of moving much higher. Libor not only tells us about the risk levels about the general market, but also the trust level among banks.

We all know about the $340 Billion reverse repo submitted to the Fed for quarter-end bank window dressing. This may reflect the fact that now the banks know that the problem of insufficient collateral is systemic.

If so, LIBOR may rise to its Cycle Top at .1718 in very short order.

Regards,

Tony

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