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The $USD Thinks the Fed Will Choose Inflation

Economics / Inflation Jun 13, 2018 - 06:19 PM GMT

By: Graham_Summers

Economics

The Fed meets today, and whatever happens will be a BIG “tell” for the rest of the year.

On the one hand, inflation is clearly seeping fully into the financial system. Even the ridiculously massaged CPI measure of inflation shows it is close to 3%.

This would suggest the Fed would move aggressively to hike rates to curb inflation.


On the other hand, the Fed has already hiked rates TWICE in the last six months while withdrawing $116 billion liquidity via its QT operations. And even this has resulted in a crisis brewing in the emerging market space with emerging market currencies imploding against the $USD.

This would suggest the Fed will start “walking back” its hawkishness as the last FOMC minutes would suggest… with fewer rates hikes this year and possibly slowing the pace of its QT program.

Our money is on the latter option.

The Fed ready admitted its open to an “inflationary overshoot.” Given how guarded the Fed typically is concerning real risks to the financial system (remember the “subprime is contained” gaffe in 2007?) this suggests the Fed is well aware inflation is going to be a REAL problem.

The $USD seems to be “sensing this” as it is struggling at major resistance for most major currency pairs.

Put simply, we believe the Fed will choose inflation over a deflationary crisis in the emerging market space.On that note, we just published a Special Investment Report concerning FIVE secret investments you can use to make inflation pay you as it rips through the financial system in the months ahead.

On that note, we just published a Special Investment Report concerning FIVE secret investments you can use to make inflation pay you as it rips through the financial system in the months ahead.

The report is titled Survive the Inflationary Storm. And it explains in very simply terms how to make inflation PAY YOU.

We are making just 100 copies available to the public.

To pick up yours, swing by:

https://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/inflationstorm.html

Graham Summers

Phoenix Capital Research

http://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com

Graham also writes Private Wealth Advisory, a monthly investment advisory focusing on the most lucrative investment opportunities the financial markets have to offer. Graham understands the big picture from both a macro-economic and capital in/outflow perspective. He translates his understanding into finding trends and unde74rvalued investment opportunities months before the markets catch on: the Private Wealth Advisory portfolio has outperformed the S&P 500 three of the last five years, including a 7% return in 2008 vs. a 37% loss for the S&P 500.

Previously, Graham worked as a Senior Financial Analyst covering global markets for several investment firms in the Mid-Atlantic region. He’s lived and performed research in Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and the United States.

© 2018 Copyright Graham Summers - All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

Graham Summers Archive

© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


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