Friday, May 05, 2017
French Elections, Brexit And Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The first round of the French presidential elections is behind us. Now, the main developments in Europe which may affect the gold market – except the turmoil in the still fragile banking sector – are a run-off in France and Brexit. Let’s analyze them and their potential impact on the gold prices.
Friday, May 05, 2017
Why the Trump Tax Plan May Implode in America Rather than Explode in China / Politics / Taxes
By: Dan_Steinbock
Recently, President Trump released a US tax cut plan to reshore US corporate revenues. Some expect it to cause great challenges to manufacturing and capital outflows from China. The realities are more complex.At the eve of the White House’s 100-day mark in office, the Trump administration released an outline of tax reductions for American companies and households. There is great demand for change. US tax individual income tax system is broken, and while US corporate tax rates are high internationally, US companies have parked more than $1 trillion worth of cash abroad.
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Friday, May 05, 2017
Gold Stocks and Silver Nearing Relief Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
The past few weeks have been rough for precious metals. Gold had climbed all the way to $1297/oz but the other parts of the sector (Silver and the gold stocks) failed to confirm the move. They have since fallen off a cliff. Over the past 14 days, GDX has lost 15% while GDXJ has declined 20%. Silver during that span has declined every day. Yes, Silver has declined 14 consecutive days. Gold still has some “catching down” to do (with the rest of the sector) but the gold stocks and Silver are oversold and nearing a bounce.
Friday, May 05, 2017
BrExit War - Theresa May Warns EU to Cease Interfering in UK General Election / Politics / BrExit
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The general election appears to be fast accelerating the evaporation of the calm before the Brexit storm as negotiations appear to be breaking down even before they were due to be begin following the outcome of the 7th May French Presidential Election. It started early week following the leak of last weekends lunch between Theresa May and European Commission unelected President Jean-Claude Junker that saw the continents europhile press put an anti-British spin on the meeting.
Friday, May 05, 2017
Gold Price Cycle Low Update / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: SurfCity
Seems everyone (me included) is trying to spot when the next Intermediate Low in Gold and PMs will be. Again, one of the things I am looking for is a failed short term Trading Cycle to confirm the move into the next Intermediate Low.
Well we now have Failed Trading Cycles in Silver and two Failed Cycles in GDX and GDXJ. Silver and the GDXJ are very oversold here so could we be nearing an Intermediate Bottom (RSI, MACD and Slow Sto are all at or approaching ICL levels)? But Gold is the Cycle driver and the Gold chart is giving me some issues (see my next section).
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Friday, May 05, 2017
Stock Market Volatile Consolidation Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a very topsy-turvy volatile session. The day started out with a hard gap down, they bounced hard, came down again with another bounce up, came down one more time around the noon hour even harder, and then rallied for the rest of the day. They consolidated late in the day and firmed up to close mixed on the day.
Net on the day, the Dow was down 6.43 at 20,951.47. The S&P 500 was up 1.39 at 2389.52. The Nasdaq 100 was up 1.16 at 5626.32.
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Friday, May 05, 2017
Nervous Breakdowns in the Gold and Silver Precious Metals Markets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Rambus_Chartology
The internet is slower than molasses in January and hard to annotate charts, but I got a few updated. Below is the combo chart for the PM complex we’ve been following which shows the dominate pattern being the triangle consolidation pattern. Just before I left the price action was breaking out below the bottom rail and I was looking for a possible backtest to the underside to take one last position. Some had a complete backtest but others didn’t. If you were lucky enough to get that last position great job.
Friday, May 05, 2017
Gold Stocks Huey Looking Haggard These Days, But… / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017
By: Gary_Tanashian
HUI is torn, frayed and downright bearish. What’s more, it’s been bearish since it started to drop from the SMA 200 failure point.
In NFTRH, we managed bounce #1 (off the Dec. low) as just that, a bounce. Then we managed bounce #2 as just that, a bounce. It doesn’t take a trained eye to see why; only a rise above the October high would have set an uptrend for bounce #1 and a rise above the February high would have set an uptrend for bounce #2.
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Friday, May 05, 2017
Gold Miner Stocks, Metal Proxies and Gold Bugs in Hades ? or just close / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017
By: Denali_Guide
In a place called PURGATORY, hundreds of Gold Miner Stocks, and thousands of GoldBugz find themselves stranded today as the bodies of JNUG and GDXJ twist in the wind, as they wait to be cut down from the gallows of the GDX / GDXJ RE-Balance.
Thursday, May 04, 2017
French Election Forecast Countdown - Elite Banker Macron vs Fascist Le Pen / Politics / France
By: Nadeem_Walayat
All eyes are now on the second and final round of voting to be held in a few days time on 7th May 2017 when Rothschild Banker Macron goes head to head against Fascist Le Pen. The consensus view is that Marine Le Pen just CANNOT Win, as the odds are heavily stacked against her despite a late narrowing in the polls giving Macron a healthy lead of 60% against Le Pen trailing heavily behind on 40%,that's a HUGE 20% gap!
Thursday, May 04, 2017
New Risk for Investors: Fed Considers Jacking Up Inflation Target / Economics / Inflation
By: MoneyMetals
Stefan Gleason : Investors are under-estimating inflation risk. As a consequence, they are under-pricing inflation protecting assets including precious metals.
The Federal Reserve has given itself the objective of engineering an inflation rate of around 2%. However, there are many ways in which real-world inflation can potentially outpace the Fed’s 2% target.
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Thursday, May 04, 2017
Choose Your Neighborhood Wisely / Housing-Market / Social Issues
By: Rodney_Johnson
To make good on a promise to my wife, a native Texan, we just completed our move from Florida back to Texas.When we left the Lone Star State in 2005 (on her birthday, no less), she told me she’d like to move back when the kids had left the house. With the youngest now a freshman in college, it was time.
We could live anywhere, since my work doesn’t require a geographic center. So last fall we narrowed the search for a new home by considering climate, natural beauty, proximity to a major airport and health care, and travel time to relatives.
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Thursday, May 04, 2017
Stock Market Largest Bubble Since 1983 - Why to Think Like a Surfer / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: Harry_Dent
I took up surfing in my early 30s.It didn’t last long. But I learned a tremendous amount from the experience (least of which is that I suck at surfing).
Well, it’s time to think like a surfer.
Your sole focus is to catch the wave.
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Thursday, May 04, 2017
Sign of Gold and Silver Stocks Outperformance / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks 2017
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Precious metals moved visibly lower yesterday, but we can’t say the same about gold and silver mining stocks. The miners refused to follow the metals lower and the question is if this is a sign of a local (or major) bottom.
In our opinion, it’s too early to say so. Miners did outperform yesterday, but due to the recent major technical development (namely, the breakdown below the key long-term support line), the implications are not necessarily bullish.
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Thursday, May 04, 2017
Debt is Financial Life – Nonsense! / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2017
By: DeviantInvestor
Examine the picture below. The global economy thrives on debt and credit. We purchase essential products using debt/credit. The U.S. dollar bill is a debt of the Federal Reserve. All debt based assets have counter-party risk.
The St. Louis Federal Reserve publishes data on “Total Debt Securities” in $ millions. Note the rapid rise since 1971 after President Nixon encouraged rapid devaluation of the dollar.
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Thursday, May 04, 2017
Gold, Stocks, Bonds, Currencies Best Investment Practices / Stock-Markets / Investing 2017
By: Axel_Merk
How does one construct a portfolio in an era of seemingly ever rising and highly correlated asset prices? Years of asset prices moving higher has changed both retail and institutional investors; it has changed the industry; and, in my humble opinion, those changes spell trouble. The prudent investor might want to take note to be prepared.
Thursday, May 04, 2017
The Student Debt Servitude Sham / Politics / Student Finances
By: Gordon_T_Long
Many today strongly believe it is morally wrong to indenture students to the degree of liabilities presently required to achieve the education required to become a productive contributor within our modern society.
The question we need to demand answers to is why has college costs for students exploded upward, while salaries and job positions for graduates has not? What is driving the relentless and inexplicable surge in the debt burden for students and their parents?
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Thursday, May 04, 2017
Irish Property Bubble, Housing Market Will Crash / Housing-Market / Global Housing Markets
By: GoldCore
Irish Property Bubble? Central Bank Governor Denies Is Bubble
Central Bank of Ireland governor Philip Lane yesterday rejected suggestions of an Irish property bubble and that the economy is on the brink of another housing bubble and said the recent increase in house prices is not indicative of a property bubble forming.
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Thursday, May 04, 2017
Stock Market Positive Expectations, But Will Uptrend Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,410, and profit target at 2,200, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, May 04, 2017
Tesco £5 off Next £40 Shop Vouchers, Discounts, Offers and Club Cards / Companies / Tesco
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Once upon a time there was a supermarket giant called Tesco that would literally throw money at its customer so that they continued to shop in its stores for the expressed purpose of maintaining the lions share of the UK retail market at more than double the share of Tesco's nearest rival. The Tesco club card was the flag ship in Tesco's arsenal for retaining big spending customers amongst many weapons of mass consumption such as £5 off for your Next £40 shop vouchers that the checkout tills like lottery machines would spit out every now and then.